Solar Or Soy: Which is better for the planet? (A review of animal agriculture's impact)
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Transcript of Solar Or Soy: Which is better for the planet? (A review of animal agriculture's impact)
Which is better for the planet?(A review of animal agriculture’s impact)
Handout for presentations by Paul Mahony in Melbourne, Australiaon various dates during 2011 as at 16th June 2011
(Please print double-sided if possible)
SolarOr Soy
versus versus
Solar Or Soy
To the extent that solar power represents an alternative to coal, it is critical.
To the extent that soy represents an alternative to animal agriculture, it is also critical.
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Key messages - General
Human activity is having a massive impact
Climate change is real
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Key messages – Livestock
Scale
Inherent inefficiency
Greenhouse gases and other warming agents
Deforestation
Nutrition
Also . . .
Water
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ahon
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. . . it has to be part of the main gameP
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Some terms
CO2-e: Carbon dioxide equivalent (see next slide)
GHG: Greenhouse gas
GWP: Global warming potential (see next slide)
IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
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Some terms (cont.)
CO2-e and GWP:
• The emissions of different gases can be aggregated by converting them to carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2-e). It is like a common denomination for greenhouse gases.
• They are converted by multiplying the mass of emissions by the appropriate global warming potentials (GWPs).
• GWPs represent the relative warming effect of a unit mass of the gas when compared with the same mass of CO2 over a specific period.
• For methane, the GWPs used by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are 21 for 100 years and 72 for 20 years.
• The UN Food & Agriculture Organization used a GWP of 23 for the 100 year time horizon in its 2006 “Livestock’s Long Shadow” report.
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A sign of the times?Brisbane, Australia, January 2011
40 knots?
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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GeneralIt's real
Human impact
Dr James Hansen, Director, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, NASA interviewed on Late Night Live, ABC Radio National (Australia), 8th March, 2010 and replayed 8th July, 2010.
• There’s no disagreement about the physics of radiative transfer and the fact
that adding infra red absorbing gases to the atmosphere is going to make the
atmosphere more opaque in the thermal spectrum, in the long waves.
• That will reduce heat radiation to space and if you reduce the radiation to space, given the fact that the amount of energy
coming from the sun is unchanged, then you have to warm up the planet.
• You’ve got an energy imbalance and until the planet warms up enough to radiate that energy away, it’s going to continue to get warmer.
• So the basic physics is very hard to dispute.
Some of the fundamental scienceP
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GHGs, sea levels and temperatureSee next slide for more detailed image
Sources: Hansen, J; Sato, M; Kharecha, P; Beerling, D; Berner, R; Masson-Delmotte, V; Pagani, M; Raymo, M; Royer, D.L.; and
Zachos, J.C. “Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?”, 2008. (This presenter has inserted the various overlays.)
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2008/TargetCO2_20080407.pdf and Hansen, J., “Storms of my grandchildren”, 2009, Bloomsbury
GeneralIt's real
Human impact
• Ice core data show that during the period of 425,000 years before the industrial revolution, there was a close correlation betweenatmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4), temperature and sea level.
• In 1960, CO2 concentrations were around 315 ppm, so they have increased 75 ppm (24%) in 50 years.
• Prior to the start of the industrial revolution in around 1750, CO2 concentrations were approximately 280 ppm.
• For the period of human civilization before 1750 (around 10,000 years), CO2 concentrations, temperature and sea level were relatively stable.
390
300
• In less than 100 years, atmospheric concentrations of CO2 have increased to around 390 ppm, after never exceeding 300 ppm in the previous 1,000,000 years.
0
Paul M
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GHGs, sea levels and temperature
Sources: Hansen, J; Sato, M; Kharecha, P; Beerling, D; Berner, R; Masson-Delmotte, V; Pagani, M; Raymo, M; Royer, D.L.; and
Zachos, J.C. “Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?”, 2008. (This presenter has inserted the various overlays.)
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2008/TargetCO2_20080407.pdf and Hansen, J., “Storms of my grandchildren”, 2009, Bloomsbury
General
390
300
1750
It's real
Human impact
Note the correlation
between CO2
concentrations,
temperature and
sea level over a period of 425,000
years.
During that period
(and during the past million
years), except
during the past
100 years, the
atmospheric concentration of
CO2 has not
exceeded 300 ppm. It has
increased from around 315 ppm
in 1960 to around
390 ppm in 2011.
The shaded circles
incorporate the
10,000 years of
human civilization, during which
conditions have
been relatively
stable.
Atmospheric CO2 concentrations
were 280 ppm in
1750, before the
industrial revolution.
Previous slide contains a simpler version.
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A sign of the times?
Source: Adapted from CSIRO, “The Science of Climate Change: Questions and Answers”, Fig. 4.1, p. 10
General
Atmospheric CO2 over the past 2,000 years
It's real
Human impactP
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A sign of the times?
Source: Adapted from CSIRO, “The Science of Climate Change: Questions and Answers”, Fig. 4.1, p. 10
General
Atmospheric CO2 over the past 2,000 years
It's real
Human impact
Are we in serious trouble?
You bet!
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A sign of the times?
Source: CSIRO, “The Science of Climate Change: Questions and Answers”, Fig. 3.3, p. 8
General
Record number of hot and cold days in Australia since 1960
It's real
Human impactP
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A sign of the times?
Source: Water Corporation, WA “Impact on Water Availability – WA Reduced Inflow to Dams”,
http://www.watercorporation.com.au/D/dams_streamflow_large.cfm (Overlays have been inserted by this presenter.)
General
Inflow to dams - WA
1911-1974: 338 GL p.a.
2010: 6 GL
It's real
Human impactP
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A sign of the times?
Source: Munich Re, “Topics GEO.
Natural Catastrophes 2010:
Analyses, Assessments, Positions”
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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A sign of the times?
Source: Munich Re, “Topics GEO.
Natural Catastrophes 2010:
Analyses, Assessments, Positions”
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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ahon
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A sign of the times?
Source: Munich Re, “Climate
Change and Impacts”
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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What about risk management?
Likelihood: The planet is warming rapidly, with at least 90 per cent certainty that this is primarily due to human activities. (IPCC 4th assessment report, 2007)
General
Consequences: Catastrophic
RISK RATING: EXTREME!
WOULD AN ORGANISATION, FACED WITH A RISK OF THIS MAGNITUDE, TAKE MEANINGFUL ACTION OR WOULD IT STALL WHILE BOARD MEMBERS DEBATED?
It's real
Human impactP
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The need is urgent!
David Spratt, co-author of “Climate Code Red: the case for emergency action”
on the edge of a precipice . . .
“ . . . the world stands . . .
beyond which human actions will no longer be able to control in any meaningful way the trajectory of the climate system . . .”
Source: “Global Warming – No more business as usual: This is an emergency!”, Environmental Activists’Conference ’08: Climate Emergency – No More Business as Usual, 10 October, 2008, reproduced in Links International Journal of Socialist Renewal, http://links.org.au/node/683
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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ahon
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The need is urgent!
• British glaciologists have recorded water pouring down one of hundreds (possibly thousands) of moulins (craters) on Greenland's 2km thick ice
cap at an estimated rate of 42 million litres per day.
Sources: The Telegraph, 20th Feb 2009, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/4734859/Scientists-capture-dramatic-
footage-of-Arctic-glaciers-melting-in-hours.html
Hansen, J., “Storms of my grandchildren”, 2009, Bloomsbury, p. 287. (An alternative figure had been
shown on p. 255 but the correct figure has been confirmed as 250 cubic km.)
GeneralIt's real
Human impact
• James Hansen of NASA says Greenland's ice cap is now losing more than 250 cubic km of ice per year.
• As recently as the 1990's the ice cap was neither losing nor gaining mass at a substantial rate.
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ahon
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Source: Munich Re, “Weather
catastrophes and climate change: is
there still hope for us?”, 2005
“Natural climate change is inseparably linked to the history of the earth and its development.
Human activity has had a massive impact on the climate system over the past one hundred years - a unique experiment with an indefinite outcome.”
Munich Re, 2005
A sign of the times?
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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ahon
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A sign of the times?
Source: IPCC 2007: WG1-AR4, cited in Munich Re, “Climate Change and Impacts”
GeneralIt's real
Human impactP
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Livestock
“A global shift towards a vegan diet is vital to save the world from hunger, fuel poverty and the worst impacts of climate change, a UN report said today.”
The Guardian, 2nd June 2010
“A substantial reduction of impacts would only be possible with a substantial worldwide diet change, away from animal products.”
United Nations Environment Programme, June 2010
“Livestock are one of the most significant contributors to today’s most serious environmental problems. Urgent action is required to remedy the situation.”
Henning Steinfeld, United Nations Food & Agriculture Organization,
2006 (Co-author of the UN FAO’s “Livestock’s Long Shadow” report)
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Inherent inefficiencies
LivestockInefficiency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
Derived from W.O. Herring and J.K. Bertrand, “Multi-trait Prediction of Feed Conversion in Feedlot Cattle”, Proceedings from the 34th Annual Beef
Improvement Federation Annual Meeting, Omaha, NE, July 10-13, 2002, www.bifconference.com/bif2002/BIFsymposium_pdfs/Herring_02BIF.pdf, cited in Singer, P & Mason, J, “The Ethics of What We Eat” (2006), Text Publishing
Company, p. 210Paul M
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Inherent inefficiencies
Derived from W.O. Herring and J.K. Bertrand, “Multi-trait Prediction of Feed Conversion in Feedlot Cattle”, Proceedings from the 34th Annual Beef
Improvement Federation Annual Meeting, Omaha, NE, July 10-13, 2002, www.bifconference.com/bif2002/BIFsymposium_pdfs/Herring_02BIF.pdf, cited in Singer, P & Mason, J, “The Ethics of What We Eat” (2006), Text Publishing
Company, p. 210
LivestockInefficiency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
Paul M
ahon
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Inherent inefficiencies
Derived from W.O. Herring and J.K. Bertrand, “Multi-trait Prediction of Feed Conversion in Feedlot Cattle”, Proceedings from the 34th Annual Beef
Improvement Federation Annual Meeting, Omaha, NE, July 10-13, 2002, www.bifconference.com/bif2002/BIFsymposium_pdfs/Herring_02BIF.pdf, cited in Singer, P & Mason, J, “The Ethics of What We Eat” (2006), Text Publishing
Company, p. 210
• fugitive methane emissions from
fertilizer production (using natural gas);
• land clearing, with release of CO2 and loss of sequestration;
• nitrogen based fertilizer producing nitrous oxide (300 times as potent as CO2);
• water used and polluted, including oceanic dead zones from nitrogen run-off.
• emissions from farming and transportation;
• pesticides, herbicides and antibiotics;
LivestockInefficiency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
Nutrition via animals involves more:
Paul M
ahon
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Inherent inefficiencies
Australian Government Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority,
http://www.gbrmpa.gov.au/corp_site/key_issues/water_quality/agriculture (accessed 3 July 2008)
• water used and polluted
LivestockInefficiency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
The grazing of around 4.5 million cattle in the Great Barrier Reef Catchment
has caused widespread soil erosion, resulting in sediments, fertilizers and
pesticides entering the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area.
Nutrition via animals involves more:
Paul M
ahon
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Appropriation of Earth’s annual plant growth (net primary productivity or NPP)Food for livestock
58%
Food for humans
12%
Other30%
Humans’ calorie (energy) intake
83% direct from plants
17% from livestock
Sources: Derived from Fridolin Krausmann, et al “Global patterns of socioeconomic biomass flows in the year 2000: A comprehensive assessment of supply, consumption and constraints” and Helmut Haberl, et al “Quantifying and
mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth's terrestrial ecosystems”, cited in Russell, G. “Burning the biosphere, boverty blues (Part 1)”, www.bravenewclimate.com
Livestock
Inherent inefficiencies
Inefficiency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
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• At present, the US livestock population consumes more than 7 times as much grain as is consumed directly by the entire American population.
US Department of Agriculture, 2001. Agricultural statistics. Washington, DC
• The amount of grains fed to US livestock is sufficient to feed about 840 million people who follow a plant-based diet”
Dr David Pimentel, Cornell University “Livestock production and energy use”, Cleveland CJ, ed. Encyclopedia of energy (in press). [Cited 2003]
The above references were cited in Pimentel, D. & Pimentel M. “Sustainability of meat-based and plant-based diets and the environment”, American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, Vol. 78, No. 3, 660S-663S,
September 2003
Livestock
Inherent inefficiencies
Inefficiency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
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ahon
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“In the United States, more than 9 billion livestock are maintained to supply the animal protein consumed each year.”
US Department of Agriculture, Agricultural statistics, 2001
The above reference was cited in Pimentel, D. & Pimentel M. “Sustainability of meat-based and plant-based diets and the environment”, American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, Vol. 78, No. 3, 660S-663S, September
2003
Livestock
Scale
Ineff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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Source: Chart - UN FAO cited in Earth Policy Institute book_wote_ch3_13.xls, http://www.earth-policy.orgOther figures – FAOSTAT, http://faostat.fao.org/site/291/default.aspx,Biomass – Geoff Russell “Burning the biosphere – Boverty Blues Pt. 1”, www.bravenewclimate.com
Livestock/wildlife ratio – UN Food & Agriculture Organization “Livestock’s Long Shadow”, 2006
Cattle, sheep and goat population in 2006 3.3 billion:
Billions slaughtered in 2009:
• Chickens 51.5
• Other 7.8
Total 59.3
• Plus laying hens 6.5
• Plus milk providers 0.7
Livestock biomass is 700 million tonnes compared to human biomass
335 million tonnes.
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,400
3,600
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Source: FAO; UNPopM
illi
on
In
div
idu
als
Livestock/wildlife ratio 23:3
10,000 years ago, all animals
were wildlife.
Scale LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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Source: Chart - UN FAO cited in Earth Policy Institute book_wote_ch3_13.xls, http://www.earth-policy.orgOther figures – ABS 1301.0 Year Book Australia 2009-10
Australia 2008
45 million cows, sheep & pigs
475 million chickens
19 million other fowls,
turkeys, ducks and drakes
Population:
26.3 million cows
76.9 million sheep
2.4 million pigs
Killed for human consumption:
LivestockScaleIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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CO2-e emissions from livestock
20-year “Global Warming Potential” (GWP)
100 yrs
GWP of methane over 100 years is 21.
20 yrs
GWP of methane over 20 years is 72.
12 yrs
Most of the methane breaks down within 12 years and is therefore non-existent over the final 88 years.
This more accurately reflects its shorter-term impact.
Most CO2-e measures of methane are based on a period of 100 years.
Livestock
Short-term impacts become long-term if they contribute to us reaching tipping points.
Ineff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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LivestockSome context for beef: Aluminium
Ineff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Based on conservative 100 year GWP
Paul M
ahon
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Sources: Hamilton, C, “Scorcher: The Dirty Politics of Climate Change”, (2007) Black Inc Agenda, p. 40; Turton, H. “The Aluminium
Smelting Industry Structure, market power, subsidies and greenhouse gas emissions”, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper
Number 44, January 2002, ISSN 1322-5421, p. ix; Turton, H. “Greenhouse gas emissions in industrialised countries Where does
Australia stand?”, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper Number 66, June 2004, ISSN 1322-5421, p. viii.
Some context for beef: AluminiumLivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
� 16% of Australia’s electricity but provides only 0.06% of jobs and 0.23% of GDP.
� 2.5 times the world average of GHGs per tonne of product.
Based on conservative 100 year GWP
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ahon
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“To phrase it in terms of the industry joke, aluminium is congealed electricity.”
Mining Weekly.com
Source: Campbell, K., "Energy crunch constraining aluminium expansions”, 27 February, 2006, www.miningweekly.com,
http://www.miningweekly.com/article/energy-crunch-constraining-aluminum-expansions-2006-02-27
Some context for beef: AluminiumLivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Based on conservative 100 year GWP
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ahon
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“Aluminium is the ultimate proxy for energy”
Marius Kloppers, BHP Billiton CEO
Source: Campbell, K., "Energy crunch constraining aluminium expansions”, 27 February, 2006, www.miningweekly.com,
http://www.miningweekly.com/article/energy-crunch-constraining-aluminum-expansions-2006-02-27
Some context for beef: AluminiumLivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Based on conservative 100 year GWP
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ahon
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So how does beef compare?
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
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ahon
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GHG Emissions Intensity (kg of GHG per kg of product)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Wheat Other
grains
Sugar Cement,lime, etc
Steel Alumin-
ium
Other non-
ferrousWool Sheep
meat
Beef
George Wilkenfeld & Associates Pty Ltd and Energy Strategies, National Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990, 1995, 1999, End Use Allocation of Emissions Report to the Australian Greenhouse
Office, 2003, Volume 1, Table S5, p. vii
This chart is about
emissions intensity.
Things get even worse when you realise that we produce 10% more beef than aluminium.
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Based on conservative 100 year GWPP
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ahon
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GHG Emissions - Absolute
George Wilkenfeld & Associates Pty Ltd and Energy Strategies, National Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990, 1995, 1999, End Use Allocation of Emissions Report to the Australian Greenhouse Office, 2003, Volume 1, Table S5, p. vii
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Based on conservative 100 year GWPP
aul M
ahon
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What about coal-fired electricity?
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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Total CO2-e emissions from electricity generation by fossil fuels
Source: Dept of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency, National Greenhouse Inventory 2008, Fig 7, p. 8.
Coal180mt approx.
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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CO2-e emissions from Australian livestock
Adding emissions from livestock-related deforestation and savanna-burning increases livestock’s emissions to 106mt or 17.8% of the revised total.
The figure of 59mt represents 10.7% of Australia’s total emissions of 549mt.
It is based solely on enteric fermentation and manure management.
59 mt approx.
Source:
- Dept of Climate Change & Energy Efficiency, National Greenhouse Inventory 2008, Fig. 15, p. 15
- Livestock’s share of deforestation and savanna burning derived from George Wilkenfeld & Associates
Pty Ltd and Energy Strategies, National Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990, 1995, 1999, End Use
Allocation of Emissions Report to the Australian Greenhouse Office, 2003
Using a 20-year GWP, the final percentage increases to 29.6%.
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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CO2-e emissions from Australian livestock
Source: The University of Sydney and CSIRO, 2005, “Balancing Act – A Triple Bottom Line Analysis of the Australian Economy”
If we were to consider end-use, the percentage would be 30.64%.
30.64%
69.36%
Animal Agriculture
Other
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Based on conservative 100 year GWP
Paul M
ahon
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CO2-e emissions from livestock globally
82%
18%
Animal Agriculture
Other
United Nations Food & Agriculture Organization, “Livestock’s Long Shadow”, 2006
49% 51.00%Animal Agriculture
Other
World Watch Institute, 2009
- 20 year GWP on methane
- Foregone sequestration on land previously cleared*
- Livestock respiration overwhelming photosynthesis in absorbing carbon
- Increased livestock production since 2002
- Corrections in documented under-counting
- More up to date emissions figures
- Corrections for use of Minnesota for source data
- Re-alignment of sectoral information
- Fluorocarbons for extended refrigeration
- Cooking at higher temperature and for longer periods
- Disposal of waste
- Production, distribution and disposal of by-products and packaging
- Carbon-intensive medical treatment of livestock-related illness
* Foregone sequestration still not fully accounted for.
World Watch Institute, 2009 (amended)
- As above but amended (by this presenter) by removing livestock respiration as a factor
Source of World Watch material: Goodland, R & Anhang, J, “Livestock and Climate Change - What if the key actors in climate change are cows,
pigs, and chickens?”, World Watch, Nov/Dec, 2009, pp 10-19. (Note: Robert Goodland was formerly lead environmental adviser at the World
Bank. Jeff Anhang is a research officer and environmental specialist at the World Bank Group’s International Finance Corporation.)
57%
43% Animal Agriculture
Other
Livestock
- Significantly more than all the world’s transport
- Excludes factors considered by the World Watch Institute (refer below)
Paul M
ahon
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Comparison with electricity generation in Australiaallowing for livestock-related deforestation and savanna burning
GHG emissions from Australia’s LIVESTOCK are equivalent to:
1.7 times
Victoria
6.8 timesHazelwood
53% of total; and 60% of coal-fired
Based on conservative 100 year GWP
Paul M
ahon
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Comparison with electricity generation in Australia - NotesP
aul M
ahon
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Annual CO2-e emissions from National Greenhouse Inventory 2008
Coal-fired power Methane from livestock
216 mt180 mt
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
180 mt 59 mt
Source: Dept of Climate Change & Energy Efficiency, National Greenhouse Inventory 2008
Livestock
Based on conservative 100 year GWP and excluding deforestation and savanna burning
Ineff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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Annual CO2-e emissions from National Greenhouse Inventory 2008
Coal-fired power Methane from livestock
216 mt180 mt
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
180 mt 216 mt
Source: Brook, Prof. Barry and Russell, Geoff, “Meat’s Carbon Hoofprint”, Australasian Science, Nov/Dec 2007, pp. 37-39, http://www.control.com.au/bi2007/2810Brook.pdf (accessed 27 June, 2010)
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Amended for 20 year GWP but still excluding deforestation and savanna burning
Paul M
ahon
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Coal-fired power Methane, deforestation
and savanna burningfrom livestock
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
258 mt180 mt
Annual CO2-e emissions from National Greenhouse Inventory 2008
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Amended for 20 year GWP and now including deforestation and savanna burning
Paul M
ahon
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Passenger vehicles
Livestock excl. exports
258 mt180 mt
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
258 mt43 mt
Source: Vehicle emissions from Brook, Prof. Barry and Russell, Geoff, “Meat’s Carbon Hoofprint”, Australasian Science, Nov/Dec
2007, pp. 37- 39, http://www.control.com.au/bi2007/2810Brook.pdf (accessed 27 June, 2010)
Livestock production of 98 mt represents an estimate of domestic consumption, using beef as an indicator. 62% of beef is
exported. Emissions from all livestock are 258 mt x 38% = 98 mt. Source: http://www.mla.com.au/About-the-red-meat-
industry/Industry-overview/Cattle# accessed 3 April, 2011.
What’s better,giving up your car or giving up meat?
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
98 mt excl.
exports43 mt
Exports 62% of 258 mt = 160 mt
Based on 20 year GWP and including deforestation and savanna burning
Paul M
ahon
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Land Clearing
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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Land Clearing
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Paul M
ahon
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Land Clearing in Australia
Total area cleared since European settlement almost 1 million sq. km.
Approx. 70% or almost 700,000 sq km (9% of Australia’s land area) is due to livestock.
Cleared native vegetation and protected areas
Cleared native vegetation
Native vegetation
Protected areas
Sources: Map - National Biodiversity Strategy Review Task Group, “Australia’s
Biodiversity Conservation Strategy 2010–2020”, Figure A10.1, p. 91Other figures derived from Russell, G. “The global food system and climate
change – Part 1”, 9 Oct 2008, www.bravenewclimate.com, which utilised:
Dept. of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities,
State of the Environment Report 2006, Indicator: LD-01 The proportion and
area of native vegetation and changes over time, March 2009; and
ABS, 4613.0 “Australia’s Environment: Issues and Trends”, Jan 2010; andABS 1301.0 Australian Year Book 2008, since updated for 2009-10, 16.13 Area of crops
Livestock
Paul M
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Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
• 8.6 million hectares (86,000 sq km) cleared in Queensland
over 20 years from 1988 to 2008.
• 91% was for livestock pasture.
• If we drew a line 10km east from Melbourne’s CBD, it would almost reach Balwyn Rd, Balwyn.
• If we assumed that all the land north of that line was forest, how far would we go if we were to clear as much land as was
cleared in Queensland for livestock grazing between 1988 and 2008? (See next two slides.)
Source:
First two points from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5,
16th Biennial Australian Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National University, Canberra, 26-
30 September 2010
Paul M
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Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008
Original Map: Copyright 2010 Melway Publishing Pty Ltd. Reproduced from Melway Edition 38 with permission.
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
10 km
Paul M
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Livestock
Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres
Ineff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
20 years of land clearing
And that’s just Queensland!
Source:
Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land
degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian
Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National
University, Canberra,
26-30 September 2010
Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.
(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)
Cairns
Paul M
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Sources: Sankaran, M; Hanan, N.P.; Scholes, R.J.; Ratnam, J; Augustine, D.J.; Cade, B.S.; Gignoux, J; Higgins, S.I.; Le Roux, X; Ludwig, F; Ardo, J.;
Banyikwa, F; Bronn, A; Bucini, G; Caylor, K.K.; Coughenour, M.B.; Diouf, A; Ekaya, W; Feral, C.J.; February, E.C.; Frost, P.G.H.; Hiernaux, P; Hrabar, H; Metzger, K.L.; Prins, H.H.T.; Ringrose, S; Sea, W; Tews, J; Worden, J; & Zambatis, N., “Determinants of woody cover in
African savannas”, Nature 438, 846-849 (8 December 2005), cited in Russell, G. “Burning the biosphere, boverty blues (Part 2)”, www.bravenewclimate.com
MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/
Rainforest destruction in Africa
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
The vertical lines primarily represent the Guinea Savanna, which was once forest and is maintained as savanna through regular burning, primarily to enable cattle grazing.
Paul M
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Rainforest destruction in Africa
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
The vertical lines primarily represent the Guinea Savanna, which was once forest and is maintained as savanna through regular burning, primarily to enable cattle grazing.
Sources: Sankaran, M; Hanan, N.P.; Scholes, R.J.; Ratnam, J; Augustine, D.J.; Cade, B.S.; Gignoux, J; Higgins, S.I.; Le Roux, X; Ludwig, F; Ardo, J.;
Banyikwa, F; Bronn, A; Bucini, G; Caylor, K.K.; Coughenour, M.B.; Diouf, A; Ekaya, W; Feral, C.J.; February, E.C.; Frost, P.G.H.; Hiernaux, P; Hrabar, H; Metzger, K.L.; Prins, H.H.T.; Ringrose, S; Sea, W; Tews, J; Worden, J; & Zambatis, N., “Determinants of woody cover in
African savannas”, Nature 438, 846-849 (8 December 2005), cited in Russell, G. “Burning the biosphere, boverty blues (Part 2)”, www.bravenewclimate.com
MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/
Paul M
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Rainforest destruction in South America
http://rainforests.mongabay.com/amazon/amazon_map.html
http://www.world-maps.co.uk/continent-map-of-south-america.htm
MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/
Black carbon information: Presentation by Gerard Bisshop, World Preservation Fund presentation to Cancun Climate
Summit, Dec, 2010 “Shorter lived climate forcers: Agriculture Sector and Land Clearing for Livestock” (co-authors Lefkothea Pavlidis and Dr Hsien Hui Khoo)
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
70 percent of previously forested land in the Amazon is occupied by livestock pastures, and livestock feedcrops cover a large part of the remainder (United Nations Food & Agriculture
Organization, “Livestock’s Long Shadow”, 2006)
Paul M
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Rainforest destruction in South America
http://rainforests.mongabay.com/amazon/amazon_map.html
http://www.world-maps.co.uk/continent-map-of-south-america.htm
MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight
Center - http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/
Winds transport black carbon from the Amazon to the Antarctic Peninsula.
47% to 61% of black carbon in Antarctica comes from pasture management in the Amazon and Africa.
Black carbon information: Presentation by Gerard Bisshop, World Preservation Fund presentation to Cancun Climate
Summit, Dec, 2010 “Shorter lived climate forcers: Agriculture Sector and Land Clearing for Livestock” (co-authors Lefkothea Pavlidis and Dr Hsien Hui Khoo)
Black carbon melts ice rapidly by
absorbing heat from sunlight.
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
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James Hansen – Essential Measures
1. End coal-fired power.
2. Massive reforestation.
3. Significantly reduce non-CO2 forcings, e.g. methane, nitrous oxide, tropospheric ozone and black carbon.
Hansen says a CO2 target of <350ppm won’t solve the problem without measure 3.
A key factor in reducing CO2 concentrations will be measure 2.
Not possible without addressing animal agriculture
Not possible without addressing animal agriculture
Required to reduce CO2 concentrations to < 350 ppm (currently 390 ppm approx.)
Source: Hansen, J; Sato, M; Kharecha, P; Beerling, D; Berner, R; Masson-Delmotte, V; Pagani, M; Raymo, M; Royer, D.L.;
and Zachos, J.C. “Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?”, 2008.
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Water Consumption - Victoria
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Water Account, Australia, 2004-05, 4610.0, Media Release 112/2006, November 28, 2006
Australian Bureau of Statistics, Water Use on Australian Farms, 2004-05, 4618.0
34.26%
8.10%
5.24%
1.98%
15.89%
31.47%
2.28%
Dairy Farming
Other Agriculture, incl. beef & sheep
Services to Agricuture
Forestry & Fishing
Mining
Manufacturing
Electricity & Gas
Water supply
Other industries
Household
Animalagricultureexcl. dairy17%
Dairyfarming (incl. flood irrigation of pasture)34.26%
Plantbasedagriculture14%
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
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Water Consumption – Murray Darling Basin
Source: Russell, G. “Water for cattle”, Letters to the Editor, New Scientist Print Edition, 7 July, 2007, Issue 2611, p. 21, http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg19526111.300-water-for-cattle.html including reference to
Bryan, B & Marvanek, S, “Quantifying and valuing land use change for Integrated CatchmentManagement evaluation in the Murray-Darling Basin 1996/97-2000/01. Stage 2 Report to the Murray-Darling Basin Commission” , CSIRO Land and Water, Nov, 2004
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
Other 65%
Dairyfarming 35%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Gig
alitr
es
MurrayDarlingDairy4,200 GL
Aust Towns &Cities2,300 GL
Paul M
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Comparative water savings per annum(‘000 litres)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Vegetarian Diet (no
meat or milk
products)
Stage 3 Savings 3 Star Show erhead
& 4 Minute Show ers
Source: Derived from Ian Rutherfurd, School of Social and Environmental Enquiry, University of Melbourne, Amelia
Tsang and Siao Khee Tan, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Melbourne (2007) “City people eat rivers: estimating the virtual water consumed by people in a large Australian city”
Livestock
1 year on a vegan diet 45 years of 4 min., 3 star showers=
Ineff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrit ion
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Nutrition – Meat & Livestock Australia“Five essential ingredients in one amazing food”
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
He’s handsome, charismatic and intelligent. Unfortunately, we’re not so
sure about Sam.
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Nutrition
Food Amino Acid
(Protein) Score
Completeness
Score
Trout 148 48
Beef 144 29
Pork 136 36
Chicken 136 32
Spinach 120 93
Soybeans 118 52
Potato 109 52
Tofu 107 49
Quinoa 106 45
Cauliflower 102 74
Lentils 86 58
Broccoli 83 92
Rice 71 27
Walnuts 55 26
Almonds 54 42
Legend:
Animal-based
Plant-based
Note:
An Amino Acid Score of 100 or more indicates a complete or high-quality protein.
Source: Self Nutrition Data, http://nutritiondata.self.com/. (Derived from USDA Nutritional database for standard reference.)
LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
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0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Beef Soy Wheat Rice Potato
Protein (g) per hectare
GHG per hectare
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Beef Soy Wheat Rice Potato
Soy provides 12 times the protein of
beef per hectare . . .
. . . for one-seventh of the emissions.
Livestock
Source: Mahony, P, “Some Environmental Impacts of Animal Agriculture, Part 2”, updated Dec, 2010,
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/1097247/bccag/images/animals2.pdf and Mahony, P for Vegetarian Network Victoria “Submission in Response
to Victorian State Government’s Climate Change Green Paper”, Sep 2009,
http://www.vnv.org.au/site/files/submission090921climatechangegreenpaper.pdf
Paul M
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0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Beef Soy Wheat Rice Potato
Protein (g) per hectare
Soy provides 12 times the protein of beef per hectare . . .
Water per hectare
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
Beef Soy Wheat Rice Potato
. . . for one-third of the water.
Livestock
Source: Mahony, P, “Some Environmental Impacts of Animal Agriculture, Part 2”, updated Dec, 2010,
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/1097247/bccag/images/animals2.pdf and Mahony, P for Vegetarian Network Victoria “Submission in Response
to Victorian State Government’s Climate Change Green Paper”, Sep 2009,
http://www.vnv.org.au/site/files/submission090921climatechangegreenpaper.pdf
Paul M
ahon
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LivestockIneff iciency
Scale
GHGs
Deforestation
Water
Nutrition
What about Vitamin B12?
• One source is bacteria which can be found in soil and in the digestive systems of some animals.
• B12 analogues are found in certain fungi and algae, although not always beneficial to humans.
• It can also be produced directly from bacteria as a dietary supplement.
• That is a more natural approach than destroying natural environments and killing livestock.
Similar results for iron, zinc, calcium, omega-3 (ALA) and energy
See:
http://animalliberation.org.au/blog/98-vitamin-b12-fuss.html (Russell, G.)
http://www.vegetarianvictoria.org.au/cms/infosheets/9veganismandvitaminb12.pdf (Ogilvie, D.)
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Other issues- Fish:
- Ocean habitats are being destroyed by industrial fishing.
- 36% - 50% of the global catch is fed to livestock.
- Pigs & chickens eat 6 times as much seafood as Americans.
- Kangaroo: Difficult to farm and insufficient yield for mass consumption.
- Chicken: See above re seafood. Also corn and nitrogen-based fertilizer contributing to oceanic dead zones. Also inherently inefficient relative to a plant-based diet.
- Dairy: Is it natural? We are the only species that consumes the milk of other species, and the only one that consumes milk beyond a young age.
- Vested interests
- Environmental groups
- Political expediency
- Aid agencies promoting livestock donations
- Cultural and social conditioning, blind spots and blinkers
Livestock
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Other issues- Fish:
- Ocean habitats are being destroyed by industrial fishing.
- 36% - 50% of the global catch is fed to livestock.
- Pigs & chickens eat 6 times as much seafood as Americans.
- Kangaroo: Difficult to farm and insufficient yield for mass consumption.
- Chicken: See above re seafood. Also corn and nitrogen-based fertilizer contributing to oceanic dead zones. Also inherently inefficient relative to a plant-based diet.
- Dairy: Is it natural? We are the only species that consumes the milk of other species, and the only one that consumes milk beyond a young age.
- Vested interests
- Environmental groups
- Political expediency
- Aid agencies promoting livestock donations
- Cultural and social conditioning, blind spots and blinkers
Livestock
BUT IT’S
AN E
MERGENCY!
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What can we do?
Corporations:
- Modify dining and entertaining practices.
Individuals:
- Consume fewer livestock products.
- Inform others.
Environmental Groups:
- Make animal agriculture a high priority.
Governments:
- Utilise pricing factors, e.g. carbon tax.
- Inform the community.
- Modify dining and entertaining practices.
Livestock
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Do you have to miss out on delicious food?
Not at all.
See:www.veganeasy.org
www.vegetarianvictoria.org.au/recipes.htmlwww.vegetarianvictoria.org.au/healthy-living/healthy-living.html
Livestock
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Review of key messages - General
Human activity is having a massive impact
Climate change is real
Review of key messages – Livestock
Inherent inefficiency
Scale
Greenhouse gases and other warming agents
Deforestation
Nutrition
Livestock needs to be part of the main game
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Concluding message
Source: Ann Druyan, co-author with late husband Carl Sagan of “Shadows of forgotten ancestors” interviewed on Late Night
Live, ABC Radio National, Australia, 13 Dec, 2007
• “ . . . if we could recognise who we
really are
• rather than beings who were
magically and separately created from
the rest of nature,
• and if we could come to grips with that
reality,
• then maybe we could be aroused from
the stupor that we find ourselves in
and begin to save ourselves."
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