Society of Manufacturing Engineers SME Torontopresentation...6/7/2014 1 SME Toronto Nigel Southway...
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Transcript of Society of Manufacturing Engineers SME Torontopresentation...6/7/2014 1 SME Toronto Nigel Southway...
6/7/2014
1
SME Toronto Nigel Southway SME Chapter Secretary/Past Chair 2012/2013
Toronto Chapter
Society of Manufacturing Engineers
WWW.SMETORONTO.CA
Advocate for the Take Back Manufacturing Initiative
About SME:
The Society of Manufacturing Engineers
Premier source for manufacturing knowledge, education and networking.
Connecting manufacturing practitioners together.
Provide Tradeshow , Expo and network events.
Reviews latest manufacturing technologies/processes/techniques/practices.
SME world-wide supported network of Chapters and technical communities.
Many programs, events, magazines, publications, huge technical database and online training ….
SME leader in manufacturing workforce Education/training/skill development.
SME is a LEAN Business Certification Authority.
www.sme.org.
WWW.SMETORONTO.CA $125 per Year
Toronto Chapter
6/7/2014
2
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing
A Forum Dedicated to Restoring
our Manufacturing Sectors.
A HUGE CHALLENGE!!!
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
www.SME-TBM.org
Vision of the reality
The Global Outlook
The Future Challenge
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
6/7/2014
3
Manufacturing and Engineering has been a good career
for a lot of us!!
It’s been good to me!
NIGEL SOUTHWAY
• 40 years Broad Business and Manufacturing Experience
• British Engineering Apprentice…Aerospace/Electronics (1966)
• BSc EEE C-Eng. in Engineering/MSc Management….
• Manufacturing Engineer (1972) British Aerospace/SPAR
• MOTOROLA Director Manufacturing Eng / Lean and Six Sigma Implementation (1980,s)
• Engineer / Manager / Director / VP Operations
• Change Agent/Educator/Coach/Advisor for LEAN/Six Sigma
• AUTHOR : CYCLE TIME MANAGEMENT… Fast Track to Productivity Improvement
• Consulted / Directed many organizations in different industry sectors.
www.nigelsouthway
(1992)
Automotive, Aerospace, Avionics, High-tech and consumer Electronics,
Pharmaceuticals, Food, Beverage. Consumer Products and Appliances,
Steel, Fabrication, Mining, Resource extraction equipment, Construction, Off-road equipment, Service and Financial Industries.
LEAN THINKING
• Assisted many Global Sourcing programs and Joint Ventures (2004 Onward)
• Society Manufacturing Engineers …Chair 2012/13 Toronto
6/7/2014
4
Supported Clients World Wide on LEAN THINKING & Productivity Improvement.
• Electronic assembly • Meat processing plant.. • Metal fabrications • HVAC Manufacturing • Toothpaste manufacturing • Steel mill processes • Bank check clearing house • US army medical Corp • Whiskey distilling • Dry-cell battery production • Credit card emboss house • Electrical products • Custom Power-Supplies • Computer design/manufacture • Sheet-metal fabricators • Plastic injection molding • Truck Components supplier • Construction equipment • Oil industry equipment providers • Aerospace equipment providers • Soap factory
• Bubblegum and candy factory • Food additive producer • Data-com system provider • Computer software developer • Mint (Coins and Medals) • Security equipment • Off-road equipment • Water pipeline manufacturer • Exhaust System Manufacturing • Commercial swimming pool manufacturing • Auto dealerships • Medical equipment Design/Manufacturer • Oil extraction equipment manufactures • Nano-tech Battery Manufacturing • Automotive parts supplier • Generic drug manufacturer • Vaccine Development and Manufacturing • Robotic Medical surgical devices • Commercial Heating Equipment
NEXUS Canada / USA / Mexico / UK / China / Russia / India / Ukraine
8
NAFTA Manufacturing Expansion…To a LCC (Low Cost Country)
MEXICO 1996 to 2002 A Maquiladora or Maquila (used interchangeably) is a plant in Mexico that retains a Maquiladora
Permit from the Mexican government to import raw materials duty free into Mexico for manufacturing,
assembly, repair or other processing. The foreign company must agree to re-export a majority of its
production.
• Low cost labor: Wages range from 15% to 25% of comparable
rates in the U.S. Normal work week is 48 hours. Productivity often exceeds
the U.S. rates.(U.S. Bureau of Labor)
• Favorable duty/tax treatment: Southbound, the Mexican
government allows duty-free imports of all materials and machinery needed
for the plant. Northbound, many North American sourced products are now
duty free under NAFTA.
• 100% Ownership of subsidiary: Leaves total control for
all operations in the hands of the parent. There are professional services
available to handle such matters as personnel, accounting and import/export
management.
• Proximity to U.S.: Lower turnaround times compared to other
low labor rate countries, lower transportation costs, and the ability for
managers or skilled technicians to commute on a daily basis to the Mexican
facilities is possible in the border areas.
• Access to the Mexican Market: Maquilas may sell part of
their previous years export output in Mexico’s 107 Million person consumer
market .
Also…
Free trade with EU and other trade jurisdictions with registered Mexican subsidiary status. And tax compliance
6/7/2014
5
GLOBALIZED MANUFACTURING
2004 Onward
CANADA MANUFACTURING
10 The future of Manufacturing in Ontario’s economy.
A NORTH AMERICAN PROBLEM
6/7/2014
6
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing
www.SME-TBM.org
A Forum Dedicated to Restoring
our Manufacturing Sectors.
25 Technical Associations
3 Trade associations
5 Educational policy makers
7 Media experts
3 Local government reps
5 Industry experts
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing
WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
12 M
TBM
6/7/2014
7
TBM…Our Ultimate Goal
13
Work together ….
Government, Education organizations Industry leaders ROADMAP……..Recover our future industrial capability …… and therefore our future prosperity.
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing
WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
CMTS Toronto Canada October 2011 SME Annual Conference Cleveland USA June 2012 Many Society and Association events in 2012/13
Presentations.... TAKE BACK MANUFACTURING
M
Raising the Awareness
TBM
6/7/2014
8
http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/fabrication/production/taking-back-manufacturing-51066
http://sme-tbm.org/app/download/5809147904/PEO+TBM+article.pdf
Professional Engineers Ontario
6/7/2014
10
WHY?..Take Back Manufacturing FOR OUR KIDS!!
19
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
20
Our Kids will think we don't make things!!!
This is NOT a game!!!...
? ? ? ?
6/7/2014
11
GLOBALIZED
MANUFACTURING
? ? We Question its future Sustainability
Moved Off-shore…..
22
Textiles
Furniture
Footwear
Electronics AUTO PARTS
Appliances
Plastic goods
Equipment metalwork Fittings Foods
Un-controlled trade….. “herd behavior”
For low cost labor rates
15% Reduction in Manufacturing Intensity in the last decade
TBM
6/7/2014
12
23
2009 2010 2011
CANADA
More than 500,000 jobs lost in 6 year period (300,000 Ontario)
25% job Reduction (Quantity / Quality)
Only 25000 jobs added in Resource Sector
TBM
50% of Manf SME’s lost in Ontario
10% Productivity Loss Due to reduced
Capacity utilization
Yet …. It’s argued we have skill shortage!!! (NOT a labor shortage)
1,000,000 Young Canadians
Now un or under employed!! Redeployed to part time
and lower paying service jobs
Source: Statistics Canada
What happened?
24
6/7/2014
13
- 1% GDP
25
OUR BIG BROTHER
(US GDP 2010=14000B)
US
A
Economists started to follow an almost
Religious and fanatical view of free market doctrine
Globalized Trade
-1% GDP
26
OUR BIG BROTHER
(US GDP 2010=14000B)
US
A
Free Market forces… Chased Emerging Markets Used liberalized Trade approach Removed barriers and controls Accepted Out of Balance Trade. Assumed More Service Sector Jobs???? Assumed local exports would grow/balance
6/7/2014
14
Global Trade Balance Imbalance
27
Global Trade Balance Imbalance
28
The Age of Globalization and Over-Supply
Uncontrolled Trade Balance has allowed emerging economies via corporations almost
unlimited access to mature economy consumers.
Means…
Significant increase in the global labor supply without adequate controls.
Means…
Significant Job loss in the mature economies and increased inequality
Free global flow of excess financialized capital/cheap money forcing down interest rates ….
Irresponsible and non value added investment, lending and borrowing practices.
Significant Loss of National government control of local Economies.
6/7/2014
15
- 4% GDP
Globalized Trade
Cumulative Deficit is now 50% 2010 GDP
-1% GDP
29 (US GDP 2010=14000B)
Significant government deficit and foreign borrowing
US
A
HUGE ONGOING TRADE IMBALANCE
(GDP=1350B)
-10% GDP
CA
NA
DA
-1% GDP
-2% GDP
Worse than USA numbers!!!
Canada/World
30
6/7/2014
16
-1% GDP
31
Declining
Prosperity INDEX
CA
NA
DA
We have lost our BALANCE to remain Productive.
It is not that we are less productive.. but more about having idle capacity!
Emerging Market
Resource Demand
Dependent
32
?
Any ratio far above 1.5 is an issue
EAST WEST
TBM
Major UNDER-employment
About 12.5%
Youth under-employment 20+%
We need jobs! (Agreed that some skill mix is an issue)
???
6/7/2014
17
Ontario Economic Performance
How has Globalized
Manufacturing
Affected our Province?
M
13% GDP & 15% Employment
ONTARIO
Reduction
Intensity
Gap
6/7/2014
18
Offshore content has increased
Reduced Manufacturing intensity
Declining
Capital
Investment
(70% LESS)
Reduced Investment trends will mean 25%
further decline in the next decade
6/7/2014
19
SERVICE JOBS????
? ?
? ?
Significant “out-shoring” in some of these sectors
(1 Manf Job = 3 Service Jobs)
6/7/2014
20
Large Out-of-Balance Trade Gap…. -15% of GDP.
Unbalanced Revenue
Flat to low growth … so recovery difficult.
Business and Job loss….. no real plan to fix.
Under- Capitalization and low technology investment…
Productivity loss (Utilization loss)
Erosion of skills and knowledge
Apathy and no vision for the future!
Summary
We are now a “have-not” Province! M
40
OUR ECONOMY NEEDS MANUFACTURING!
It is VERY obvious that we need a Balanced Economy
(Resources/Services/Manufacturing)
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
Not all Politicians Economists and Bankers agree or support this!
6/7/2014
21
So what’s next?
41
We need a critical mass of awareness by every-one
to force action taking to recover our future……
THE GAME CHANGER!
GLOBALIZED
MANUFACTURING
? ? TBM Positional Paper on the Waste in a Global Supply Chain
6/7/2014
22
43
Waste of VERY Expensive Bunker Fuel
Much Non-Value-Adding Inventory
PURE WASTE
44
Waste of VERY Expensive Bunker Fuel
This low grade bunker fuel is used by the worlds 90,000 cargo ships
A single large container ship emits pollutants equivalent to 50 million cars.
Total container ship pollution is 6 times that of the TOTAL cars in world
2,000 times the amount of sulfur compared to diesel automobiles.
Container ships account for 90% of global trade by volume.
Our Economies will be jeopardized by this global warming enabler
VERY LARGE CARBON FOOTPRINT
6/7/2014
23
45
Numeric data is available, click here for information.
Crude Oil Prices in USDs
Start of Globalization
Globalization breakeven point
Note: localized supply of energy will not change this outlook
We will not run out of Oil…
but ….
We will run out of Oil
we can afford to burn!!
46
6/7/2014
24
The end of cheap China
What do soaring Chinese wages mean for global manufacturing? Mar 10th 2012 | HONG KONG AND SHENZHEN | from the print edition
CHINA … Low Cost Country?
WEALTH TRANSFER???
GLOBALIZED
MANUFACTURING
? ? START THINKING LEAN & GREEN
?
6/7/2014
25
49
GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN
Localized TRADE Bloc
LEAN Review of Trading Models
GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN
CHINA/ASIA Manufacturing
recycle loop
Canada
USA
9000 km Each way MIN
6 weeks Transit Inventory MIN
$100/M cube to transport MIN
Many Transactions / Handling……
Much Waste of Natural Resource’s 50
HIGH WASTE
NOT LEAN
NOT GREEN
Dig Resources
Ship resources
Dock resources
Use Resources
Ship products
Dock products
Ship
Store
ship
Sell
Process
LEAN Review of Trading Models
SCRAP
$
NOW
When Interest rates are “normalized”
we will have a “High cost of Inventory trap”
Cost Drivers
6/7/2014
26
GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN
CHINA/ASIA Manufacturing
recycle loop
Canada
USA
9000 km Each way MIN
6 weeks Transit Inventory MIN
$100/M cube to transport MIN
Many Transactions / Handling……
Much Waste of Natural Resource’s 51
HIGH WASTE
NOT LEAN
NOT GREEN
Dig Resources
Ship resources
Dock resources
Use Resources
Ship products
Dock products
Ship
Store
ship
Sell
Process
LEAN Review of Trading Models
SCRAP
$
NOW
When Interest rates are “normalized”
we will have a “High cost of Inventory trap”
Cost Drivers
INSANITY
52
6/7/2014
28
Canada
USA
55
LEAN Review of Trading Models
LEAN & GREEN
Intrinsically less wasteful
Short Supply Chains
FAST RESPONSE
to customers
Local Manufacturing
Strong Incubator
for INNOVATION Balanced Trade
1000 km Each way MAX
1 week Transit Inventory Max
$10/M cube to transport Max
Few Transactions Minimal Inventory/Interest rate exposure
BALANCED ECONOMY Localized TRADE Bloc
HEALTHCARE
EDUCATION TRAINING
We have
“Run the Numbers”
56
USED
BALANCED SOURCING
MODELS
Every Engineer should understand business costing and economics!!!
LEAN Review of Trading Models
TBM
6/7/2014
29
BEST WORST
% of Total Cost LOCAL OFFSHORE OFFSHORE Issues
Material content 40 40 50 Foreign country materials may need harmonizing with your designs
Labor content 25 3 3 A clear advantage, but product skill and training may be an issue
Overhead 25 4 6 A lack of foreign management capability may effect other hidden costs
Local Support costs 7 10 10 Your internal support for offshore will be an adder to your business costs
Offshore support costs 0 3 6 Support at offshore site will be an adder to your business costs
Transportation 0 6 8 These added costs can also be effected by containerization skills and knowledge
Inventory costs 3 6 10 longer line of supply and maybe associated forecasting will attract inventory
Duty (export and import) 0 8 10 Brokerage, duty and insurance will add to the costs
Total factory cost 100 80 103 Baseline set on local supply
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
LOCAL BEST CASE WORSE CASE
We built Cost Trade-off Models … LOCAL versus Off-shore
BALANCED SOURCING
BA
LA
NC
ED
LA
ND
ED
CO
ST
LO
CA
L
BE
ST
OF
F-S
HO
RE
WO
RS
T O
FF
-SH
OR
E
?
OFFSHORE SAVINGS CAN GO POSITIVE OR VERY NEGATIVE
OFFSHORE LOCAL
58
Material
DIRECT
OVER HEAD
OH
Balanced Source Landed Cost Comparison
LOCAL
Material
OFFSHORE
Transportation
Other
Duty
Inventory costs
Support costs COPQ
Material
OFFSHORE 2015
DIRECT OH
DIRECT
10%
20%
30% +
+
+
+ +
+
2012 2011
Tipping Point
RESHORE
6/7/2014
30
LO
CA
L
BE
ST
OF
F-S
HO
RE
WO
RS
T O
FF
-SH
OR
E
?
Boston Consulting Group (BCG)…… Predict BALANCED LANDED COST parity by 2015 in most sectors
The REAL Costs to Manufacture OFF-SHORE will be projected to rise.
Due to:
Exchange, tariffs, Labor wage inflation, Product Quality Cost escalation
Transportation costs, Customer location Inventory costs, Ease of doing business,
Many Other hidden drivers….
OFFSHORE LOCAL
BALANCED SOURCING
Validated Cost Trade-off Models … LOCAL versus Off-shore
COMBINED OPERATIONS
Take Back Manufacturing
TBM
6/7/2014
31
LO
CA
L
BE
ST
OF
F-S
HO
RE
WO
RS
T O
FF
-SH
OR
E
?
Boston Consulting Group (BCG)…… Predict BALANCED LANDED COST parity by 2015 in most sectors
The REAL Costs to Manufacture OFF-SHORE will be projected to rise.
Due to:
Exchange, tariffs, Labor wage inflation, Product Quality Cost escalation
Transportation costs, Customer location Inventory costs, Ease of doing business,
Many Other hidden drivers….
OFFSHORE LOCAL
BALANCED SOURCING
Validated Cost Trade-off Models … LOCAL versus Off-shore
Reshoring Tipping point Product $ labor versus Cubic Volume
USA Economy
$ Lab
Product Cubic Volume
Offshore
Onshore
Tipping Point 2012
I Phone
Fridge
6/7/2014
32
Reshoring Tipping point Product $ labor versus Cubic Volume
USA Economy
$ Lab
Product Cubic Volume
Offshore
Onshore
Tipping Point 2015
I Phone
Fridge
GLOBALIZED
MANUFACTURING
? ? START THINKING LEAN & GREEN
6/7/2014
33
What is happening in the USA?
• Resurgence of Manufacturing in USA … Now at “tipping point”
via
lower US exchange rate ……………………………...
Rethinking of globalized supply
Balanced Sourcing Cost trade-off modeling
Re-shoring !!!
Reasons..
Transportation costs
Labor costs
Product quality
Customer location
Ease of doing business
What is happening in the USA?
• Resurgence of Manufacturing in USA … Now at “tipping point”
via
lower US exchange rate ……………………………...
Rethinking of globalized supply
Balanced Sourcing Cost trade-off modeling
Re-shoring !!!
Most Next generation products will Re-shore if:
Large bulk shipping cost %
Low/Mid labor content (less than 50%)
Hi Technology (Embedded Innovation)
Value adding local supply chains
Integrated with customer services
6/7/2014
34
What is happening in the USA?
• Resurgence of Manufacturing in USA … Now at “tipping point”
via
lower US exchange rate ……………………………...
Rethinking of globalized supply
Balanced Sourcing Cost trade-off modeling
Re-shoring !!!
Most Next generation products will Re-shore if:
Large bulk shipping cost %
Low/Mid labor content (less than 50%)
Hi Technology (Embedded Innovation)
Value adding local supply chains
Integrated with customer services
TBM
?
• Resurgence of Manufacturing in USA … Now at “tipping point”
via
lower US $ value ……..
Rethinking of globalized supply
Balanced Sourcing Cost trade-off modeling
Re-shoring !!!
Maybe not us with a
RESOURCE
ESCALATED
TBM
Experts are certain Manufacturing will Re-shore to North America …….
……..but not sure we will get our share in Canada!
6/7/2014
35
CIM: What factors are driving manufacturers'
decisions to bring production back to Canada?
Southway: It's a North American-wide realization that
off shoring is getting more expensive with increased
transportation expense due to oil costs, as well as
labor price escalation in emerging economies. Many
corporations and large consulting groups also recognize
that there are many hidden costs and issues in supporting
a remote supply chain. In general, local manufacturing is
now considered to be no more expensive than offshore
production. The landed cost tipping point in some sectors
and commodities is projected to be reached by 2015.
Local manufacturing also offers more stability and the
ability to innovate at home more effectively. And, being
closer to the customer has added inventory and flexibility
advantages.
CIM: How can industry members communicate the
importance and value of manufacturing to the
general population?
Southway: We have had three decades of people thinking
manufacturing is bad news. Manufacturing has been
viewed as dirty and dangerous, risky and unstable
employment, and so forth. We have a lot of work to do to
change this negative image. Just talking about TBM, telling
the real story, and showing what we do will help.
If we look at the long term, today's 12- to 15-year-olds will
lead the way. When they reach 22 years old, we will have a
thriving localized manufacturing economy. It certainly won't
be based on cheap oil or energy, but it will be very lean
and very green. Things will be made in local manufacturing
hubs or clusters. Factories will be very high-tech and their
operation will demand high levels of skill and education.
All this needs vision and a can-do attitude. Not having both
of these is our biggest risk.
Take Back Manufacturing
CANADA / US $ EXCHANGE
(Appreciated)
75 cent $
0.5
1.0 100 cent $
1985 1990 2000 2010
We did not earn it with Productivity growth!
4%
Prod
Growth
2% ?
6/7/2014
36
71
CANADA / US $ EXCHANGE
(Appreciated)
75 cent $
0.5
1.0 100 cent $
1985 1990 2000 2010
90 cent $
2015
? Purchase Price Parity 81 Cent $
4%
Prod
Growth
Impact of Poor Economic footprint (Auto sector)
• Canada (Ontario) at 0.95 dollar $76/hour
• US North $85/hour
• US Mid West $67/hour
• US South $49/hour
• Mexico $18.5/hour
72
At a 0.81 dollar and a competitive business environment would be at $55/hour
Reshoring will force some geographical location changes
Loaded Factory labor rates
6/7/2014
37
Many Factors will determine Reshoring (Resource & Product Transfers)
73
Low Cost Country
Global Trade
Localized Trade Oil /transport price increases
Emerging Economy Price Inflation
Public and industrial Pressure
Interest Rate Normalization
Re-evaluated Balanced Sourcing Models
Corporate taxation adjust
Complex Supply Chain Costs
Import/Export Re-balance
Re-shoring!
Local Re-Capitalization!
Re-Hiring! / Re-training!
Government budget Re-balance
High Loonie!
The Globalization Purist!
Our Inability to Understand
And Take Action!!! M
Close proximity to customer
IP protection issues
Ease of doing business
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
IT WILL BE A CHALLENGE FOR CANADA
BUT SOME MANUFACTURING CAN RETURN
IF WE TAKE IT BACK
6/7/2014
38
But….Are WE Ready???
TBM
M
?
TBM
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
Industry
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
Government
M
6/7/2014
39
TBM
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
Industry
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
Government
M
IMPROVE POLICY
TBM
Government
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
M
• Ensure a BALANCED Free Trade environment. • Focused Industrial POLICY and support PLANS • Embrace Waste-Free Forms of Globalization • Avoid duplicated policy and support organizations
6/7/2014
40
Policy support for TBM
FISCAL POLICY
• Fix Canadian Dollar to get to the same “tipping point” with the USA
• Adjust Ultra low Interest Rates to a “normalized” level
• Lower taxes for investments on new products / technologies / equipment and skill training.
• Install a Global based carbon tax to reduce waste/usage of energy and combat global ineptitude
TRADE POLICY
• Embrace a return toward a Localized TRADE bloc. (Ensure all trade deals are FAIR not FREE trade based)
• Reduce Non-North America IMPORTS via Controls and better support Strategic EXPORTS
• Participate in a Knowledge Based Economy .. BUT with Improved IP controls
• Improve Canada-US border and regulatory differences
INVESTMENT POLICY
• Re-deploy capital Investment into local value adding industries.
• Simplify industry Incentives (SR&ED etc)…. hold industry 100% accountable for results
• Encourage innovation and the commercialization of new products and technologies
EDUCATION / INFRASTRUCTURE / ENERGY POLICY
• Implement Industrial Education/Training via an Integrated Apprenticeship system
• Fix our declining infrastructure (Energy/logistics/communications)
• Improve regulatory efficiency. (Make it easier to do business..safety/legal/human rights etc)
• Simplify product and process compliance requirements, remove wasted efforts.
Define BOLD Policies to …Take Back Manufacturing.
TBM
Government
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
M
• Ensure a BALANCED Free Trade environment. • Focused Industrial POLICY and support PLANS • Embrace Waste-Free Forms of Globalization • Avoid duplicated policy and support organizations
Consider a change to the policy making process
Hold a Policy Blitz process!!
In Ontario alone we have 18 different policy groups
feeding off the public trough
Issuing independent reports
without integrated review and closure.
Put them all in one room!.. Come out with one plan!
6/7/2014
41
TBM
Take Back Manufacturing WWW.SME-TBM.ORG
IT NEEDS …
A DELIBERATE ACT
OF NATIONAL & REGIONAL…
• LEADERSHIP
• POLITICAL WILL
• PLANNING
• COMMITMENT
TBM
TBM
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
Industry
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
Government
M
?
The Current Skill Mix Is
In Disarray And Misaligned.
6/7/2014
42
TBM
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
We have become an
Over-educated
Under-trained
Redundant
Workforce!!!
• Education must better serve its citizens • Ensure it is value adding to the economy • Re-Balance Education versus Training • Integrated Industrial Learning System
84
We need a Nationwide formal system
to change the Industrial learning environment.
(Learning = Education/Training/Experience)
TBM has formed
a committee
to work on this system.
Integrated Industrial Learning System
6/7/2014
43
We can’t get there from here!
• Educational / Certification and Industrial silos
• Lack of organized system of career progression
• Lack of balance between Education/Training/Experience
• Lack of industry engagement
• Lack of government commitment (federal/provincial)
• Poor image of industrial career at teacher/parent level
• Ineffective communication with new generation
85
Need a significant reset !
Take Back Manufacturing (TBM)
Will demand the availability Of a future
manufacturing workforce that Is well-educated,
well-trained with industry experience.
High School
Current Environment
Education Institution
Education Institution
Work Term
Work Term
Education Institution
?
?
?
6/7/2014
44
Integrated Industrial Learning System
87
Take Back Manufacturing (TBM)
Will demand the availability Of a future
manufacturing workforce that Is well-educated,
well-trained with industry experience.
High School
Current Environment
Future IIAS Environment
Education Institution
Education Institution
Work Term
Work Term
Education Institution
? ?
?
High School
Education institution
Industrial Integrated Learning Contract
Work Term
Education institution
Work Term Career!
Provide education and hope they get a
job?
Place with industry and follow a career and receive focused
learning!
Integrated Learning (Education/Training/Experience)
88
Learning System
Integrated Industrial Learning System
6/7/2014
45
• Integrated & Scalable Career Pathway Apprentice Journeyperson Technician Technologist
Engineer
• Industry driven Skills and Education Development Progression
• Apprenticeship Pool From The Best, the Brightest And The Most Talented
• Become The Learning/Occupation Destination Of Choice for High School Students
• Must also support the re-training of the existing mature work-force!!
• Apprenticeship Courses Transferrable And Articulated To Other Post Secondary Colleges And Universities, Supporting Lifelong Progression In Learning As Shown In Career Pathway Above
• Industry must lead on driving and installing this system. (Integrated support from All Governments and Educators )
• The Integrated education and training must provide a highly flexible workforce.
• DO IT!...... Before we loose the Industrial Experience of the Baby Boomers!!
Trade
Technician
Technologist
Engineer Eng Degree
Eng Diploma
Tech Certificate
Trade Certified
High school
Manufacturing
needs YOU !
Integrated Industrial Learning System
TBM
TBM
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
Industry
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
Government
M
?
Let’s Mobilize!!!
&
Let’s WIN!!!
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TBM
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
Industry
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
Supply Chain Strategy + Productivity Improvements + Local Community Engagement
Industry Game-plan Checklist Supply Chain Strategy… Reduce intrinsic waste Run a Balanced Sourcing model…Include all cost factors … Rethink Sourcing plans within NAFTA…. US/Canada/Mexico Develop shorter supply chains where possible (NAFTA + Global) Strategize manufacturing closer to the trade bloc customer with partnerships and focused supply. Strategize manufacturing closer to the trade bloc supply (including primary resources).. Rebuild and Invest in strong local supply cluster relationships
Productivity Improvements… In all aspects of the business Re-invent business wide LEAN Thinking and a business Continuous Improvement culture Gain an aptitude for all forms of INNOVATION and commercialization tools Integrated Business systems … Ensure you have a future “Integration plan”. New process technology and capital reinvestment… Flexible Automation/Rapid Technologies. Participate in integrated Learning system to develop/retain/stabilize/mobilize your workforce.
Local Community Engagement ….. Work on the image Encourage local government to provide “business easy” infrastructure and costs Ensure engagement in applicable grants/saving programs and subsidies available to industry. Plan to minimize exposure to high energy and infrastructure costs Participate in local sustainable environment goals Re-Engineer and improve the local Manufacturing Image and value for every-one
RUN THE NUMBERS!!!
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93
Balanced Source Landed Cost Comparison
Material
OFFSHORE 2015
OH
DIRECT
Material
DIRECT
OVER HEAD
LOCAL
2015+
+TBM
5%+
+
+
+
+ +
+
Local Advantage?
Manufacturing has an IMAGE problem!!
Most manufacturing-based businesses are beyond dispirited….
Our Politicians/Government/Population have little understanding of business
and manufacturing…We must EDUCATE them!!
Manufacturing is deemed:
Dark, Dirty, Dangerous, Deafening and Difficult….
94
….. And Smelly!
M
And….
Highly unstable as a career! ?
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95
TBM
EXCITE the NEXT GENERATION
Change ….
The Image of Manufacturing
Let’s Make Manufacturing
Via… Student days at Trade shows
Student Chapters Plant open days
JOB Fairs Key public events
96
TBM
EXCITE the NEXT GENERATION
Change ….
The Image of Manufacturing
Let’s Make Manufacturing
Via… Student days at Trade shows
Student Chapters Plant open days
JOB Fairs Key public events
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49
TBM
North-American Manufacturing
Prosperity for all.
Industry
TBM – The 3 Parallel Imperatives
Educators
Government
IMPROVE POLICY
Hold a Policy Blitz process!!
IMPROVE Balance
Integrated Industrial
Learning system
IMPROVE & Mobilize
Supply Chain Strategy
+ Productivity Improvements
+
Local Community Engagement
Suggested Local Region Checklist 1. Work with Industry associations to fully understand these requirements………
2. Put industry where the people live who need the jobs!
3. Where possible encourage the leverage of existing local resources and supply chains
4. Make the rebuilding of small to large manufacturing facilities “easy and red tape free”.
5. Fix the high cost of energy!
6. Look at “manufacturing friendly” local taxes and tariffs
7. Ensure local legislations ( Safety/Human Resources/Environmental) are “business friendly”.
8. Ensure transportation logistics and infrastructure are competitive!
9. Encourage import avoidance as well as export enhancement!!!
10. Integrate/leverage existing clustered Industrial learning systems to provide a powerful workforce.
11. Encourage and help change the “Image” of manufacturing .. schools/teachers/public …
12. Become competitive with other NAFTA jurisdictions…… they are NOW our main competitors!!
98
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99
Take Back Manufacturing
FOR OUR KIDS!!!
Let’s Re-engineer Our Economy to Work Again!
TBM
Toronto Chapter
Questions for a friendly vote with a show of hands?
1. How many agree Canada needs a strong manufacturing base?
2. How many believe TBM is a realistic initiative?
3. How many believe government must focus on Industrial Policy
4. How many would like to be kept informed on TBM and would like to participate in the TBM journey?
5. How many give the “thumbs up” for TBM!!!
100
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51
Questions for a friendly vote with a show of hands?
1. How many agree Canada needs a strong manufacturing base?
2. How many believe TBM is a realistic initiative?
3. How many believe government must focus on Industrial Policy
4. How many would like to be kept informed on TBM and would like to participate in the TBM journey?
5. How many give the “thumbs up” for TBM!!!
101
Questions?
102
KEEP ASKING…. WHY?…