Social Media, Euroscepticism, & the European Public Sphere · 2019. 5. 27. · 5/24/2019 1...
Transcript of Social Media, Euroscepticism, & the European Public Sphere · 2019. 5. 27. · 5/24/2019 1...
5/24/2019 1
@MichaelBossetta
Centre for European Politics Department of Political Science University of Copenhagen
Social Media, Euroscepticism, & the European Public Sphere
@MichaelBossetta
The School of Athens (Raphael)
5/24/2019 2 @MichaelBossetta
“Causarum Cognitio” The Knowledge of Causes
5/24/2019 3 @MichaelBossetta
“Reactonim Cognitio” The Knowledge of Reactions
5/24/2019 4 @MichaelBossetta
How to not to do Science
5/24/2019 5
Far-right
Dissatisfaction
Conversation
Categorize
Populist
Eurosceptic
Public Sphere
Reaction Cause!
Populism
Euroscepticism
Public Sphere
@MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 6 @MichaelBossetta
There’s deeper causes – don’t simplify!
5/24/2019 7
Cause!
Populism
Euroscepticism
Public Sphere
Far-right
Dissatisfaction
Conversation
Reaction
Rising Inequality
Sensationalist Media
Economic Globalization
Increased Immigration
Technological Change
@MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 8
Euroscepticism Public Sphere
Empirics?
Populism
@MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 9
EUROSCEPTICISM
@MichaelBossetta
Theory
“Hard” versus ”Soft” Euroscepticism
(Taggert, 1998)
“The category of soft Euroscepticism remains extremely broad and arguably still includes parties that
are in essence pro-European integration”
(Szczerbiak & Taggert, 2017)
5/24/2019 10 @MichaelBossetta
Categorizing EU Evaluations Online
5/24/2019 11 @MichaelBossetta
Applied to EP2009 Online Discussions
• Statements evaluating the EU in:
• National journalist websites and blogs
• Transnational social media: • Twitter threads with EU-related #’s
• Facebook pages/groups for the EP election
5/24/2019 12 @MichaelBossetta
Results
5/24/2019 13
Soft
Hard
@MichaelBossetta
Results (De Wilde, Michailidou, & Trenz, 2014)
• Minority of online contributions about the EU polity are ‘complete’ arguments • Under-specified critique of the EU
• Therefore cannot be deliberative
• Elite-Citizen divide • Elites = Pro-European + Arguments
• Citizens = Diffuse Eurosceptic (Democratic Deficit)
5/24/2019 14 @MichaelBossetta
What about the mainstream media?
5/24/2019 15
(De Vreese & Azrout, 2019)
@MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 16
EUROPEAN PUBLIC SPHERE
SPOILER:
DOESN’T EXIST
@MichaelBossetta
Social Media!
5/24/2019 17 @MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 18 @MichaelBossetta
There’s no infrastructure to keep others out!
5/24/2019 19 @MichaelBossetta
Active Twitter users by country Source: Statista, 2019
5/24/2019 20
Anglo-Saxon Bias
Eurosceptic Bias
Most Active
@MichaelBossetta
Europeanization (Policy)
5/24/2019 21 @MichaelBossetta
Europeanization of Public Spheres (Risse, 2014)
1) European and EU issues, policies, and actors are visible in national debates
2) Fellow Europeans are present as speakers and audiences
3) Common European themes are addressed using similar frames of reference
5/24/2019 22 @MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 23 @MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 24
Does Contestation Drive Europeanization?
@MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 25 @MichaelBossetta
Research Questions
• To what extent are national media discourses about Euroscepticism Europeanized?
• What factors explain the presence of a Europeanized discourse about Euroscepticism?
We were not interested in studying Euroscepticism, but testing if national media
reporting on Euroscepticism indicates Europeanization
5/24/2019 26
Spoiler: it does!
@MichaelBossetta
Data
• 6 Countries’ Mainstream Media • UK, Ireland, France, Spain, Denmark, Sweden
• Different Media Systems
• Political success of Eurosceptic Party in EP Election
• Economic Relation to EU Budget
• Mainstream media articles from 2014
• 2 quality press, 2 tabloids per country
• All print media articles containing ‘Eurosceptic’ or ‘Euroscepticism’ (in respective languages)
5/24/2019 27 @MichaelBossetta
Number of articles per country (N=1,545)
129
26
207
467
275
440
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
UK IE FR ES SE DK
Articles per Newspaper
5/24/2019 29 @MichaelBossetta
LDA Topic Modelling
Results: Scope of LDA topics
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
National European
UK IE FR ES SE DK
5/24/2019 32 @MichaelBossetta
What Explains European Versus National Coverage?
• H1 (Media): The broadsheets’ Eurosceptic discourse
will be more European • Yes – 3.7 times more likely
• H2 (Politics): The less successful the Eurosceptic party, the more European the scope of the discourse • Yes – 1.5 times more likely
• H3 (Economic): Newspapers from net receiver countries will have more European discourse • Yes – 2.9 times more likely
5/24/2019 33 @MichaelBossetta
Findings
1. The discourse around Euroscepticism is Europeanized
2. The media drive this process
3. The Europeanization of Eurosceptic discourse is explained by macro-level structural conditions:
1. Type of Newspaper (media)
2. Degree of Eurosceptic Party Success (political)
3. Net Contributor or Receiver of EU Funds (economic)
5/24/2019 34 @MichaelBossetta
5/24/2019 35
Euroscepticism Europeanization
Media Type
Political System
EU Budget
+1
@MichaelBossetta
But…what about social media?
• Major problems delimiting national public spheres on social media
• Facebook data now heavily restricted
• Twitter highly elite, and not necessarily a good representation for national “public” spheres • (But we’re on the 2019 EP #’s)
• Mainstream media still set the agenda on social media
5/24/2019 36 @MichaelBossetta
@SMandPPodcast