SMBs make-up half the GDP. How will they vote?

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Transcript of SMBs make-up half the GDP. How will they vote?

  • Page

    Research Method 3

    Executive Summary 4

    Importance of the SMB Market 5

    Political Affiliation 6

    The Issues 12

    Conclusions 20

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    2

  • 2016 RESEARCH METHOD

    3

    1,366 interviews Businesses with 5-499 employees Owners, C-level executives, key

    decision makers

    Phone internet interviews Fielded through January 16

    Nationally representative

    study

  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    4

    SMBs have local influence and national economic power. As a group, they account for

    roughly 7.6M businesses and make up 46% of the GDP. With 89% of SMBs generating

    sales locally, decisions and policies impacting their communities and businesses are of

    crucial importance.

    SMB owners consist largely of Republicans, over indexing the US population at 148. Democrats are the clear minority, making up 19% of SMBs.

    Democrats fare worse in annual sales Average annual sales of Republican-owned SMBs are $1.1 million higher than businesses

    owned by Democrats, and $2.9 million higher than businesses owned by Undecideds.

    but are more confident about the economy. Three quarters of Democrats believe the economy will improve in the next two years.

    Republicans and Democrats are both politically active, but use different platforms for making their opinions heard.

    Democrats are significantly more likely to sign a petition, while Republicans are more likely to

    serve on a board.

    Democrats and Republicans share business and personal concerns, but prioritize them differently.

    Democrats are more focused on attracting new customers and having enough money to retire,

    while Republicans are more focused on the cost of health insurance and employee benefits.

  • THE IMPORTANCE OF THE SMB MARKET

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    Small and mid-sized businesses* account for 46% of the GDP.

    SMBs comprise 98% of all identified exporters; and 97% of all

    identified importers.

    SMBs in America account for 54% of all U.S. sales.

    SMBs provide 55% of all jobs.

    *Defined by Census as businesses with under 500 employees

    Sources: Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council: Small Business Facts and Figures (sbecoucil.org) sourced from Census bureau; Small Business

    Association: Small Business Trends (sba.gov); Small Business GDP: Update 2002-2010, private non-farm GDP; Census Bureau Statistics of U.S. Businesses

  • 6

    POLITICAL AFFILIATION

  • NEARLY HALF OF SMB OWNERS ARE

    REPUBLICAN; OVER ONE-THIRD ARE

    UNDECIDED

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    Sources: MRI 2015 Doublebase and The Business Journals SMB Insights 2016

    Politically, do you consider yourself . ; Undecided includes those who identify as Independent, or selected Other or None

    *Indexed versus Total U.S. Adults 18+

    Political Party Affiliation

    Democrat19%

    (50 INDEX*)

    Republican46%

    (148 INDEX)

    Undecided35%

    (113 INDEX)

    TOTAL SMB OWNERS

    Democrat38%

    Republican31%

    Undecided31%

    TOTAL U.S. ADULTS 18+

  • AGE, GENDER & RACE ARE KEY

    DIFFERENTIATORS OF POLITICAL

    PARTY AFFILIATION

    8

    75

    90

    109

    90

    64

    150

    110

    88

    126

    182

    138

    110

    90 94

    109

    Millennials GenXers Boomers+ Women-Owned Minority-Owned

    Republicans Democrats Undecideds

    Index Vs. Total

    SMB Owners

    (=100)

    Profile Characteristics of Political Affiliation

    Indexed Versus Total SMBs

    274,875Estimated # of

    Businesses: 996,421 2.13M 1.06M 377,953

    Source for number of businesses: Small Business Research Center, based on Census and Bureau of Labor Statistics data for businesses with 5-499 employees; Q4 2015 projection

  • REPUBLICANS HAVE THE GREATEST

    WEALTH & RUN THE MOST WELL

    ESTABLISHED COMPANIES

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    Index Vs. Total

    SMBs

    72% men 106

    28% women 88

    $198K household income (average) 107

    $1.7M net worth (average) 113

    84% married 114

    66% college graduates+ 97

    $9.6M annual sales (average) 113

    31.9 years in operation (average) 112

    11% under 10 years in operation 73

    24 employees (average) 96

  • DEMOCRATS INCLUDE THE MOST

    COLLEGE GRADS & RUN THE

    YOUNGEST COMPANIES

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    Index Vs. Total

    SMBs

    57% men 84

    43% women 134

    $170K household income (average) 92

    $1.3M net worth (average) 87

    62% married 84

    76% college graduates+ 112

    $8.5M annual sales (average) 100

    25.2 years in operation (average) 89

    21% under 10 years in operation 140

    22 employees (average) 88

  • UNDECIDEDS HAVE THE LOWEST

    SALES AND RUN YOUNGER COMPANIES

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    Index Vs. Total

    SMBs

    70% men 103

    30% women 94

    $176K household income (average) 95

    $1.3M net worth (average) 87

    68% married 92

    67% college graduates+ 99

    $6.7M annual sales (average) 79

    25.5 years in operation (average) 90

    19% under 10 years in operation 126

    26 employees (average) 104

    Undecided includes those who identify as Independent, or selected Other or None

  • 12

    THE ISSUES

  • ALL GENERATE LOCAL SALES; THUS

    POLITICS & POLICIES THAT IMPACT

    THE COMMUNITY ARE CRUCIAL

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    Using 100 % points, how would you break down your companys 2015 sales among the following three geographic categories? ...W ithin your local area, The

    rest of the U.S., Outside of the U.S.

    92% 89% 92%

    59%64% 62%

    23%29%

    24%

    Republicans Democrats Undecideds

    Local National International

    Geographies Where Sales Are

    Generated

  • DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS BOTH

    SPEAK OUT, BUT USE DIFFERENT

    APPROACHES

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    150

    136

    110

    113

    90

    79

    84

    136

    90

    100

    105

    108

    110

    111

    113

    114

    Signed a petition

    Been published

    Made a speech

    Written/called a politican

    Served on committee/officer for local org

    Attended public meeting on town/school affairs

    Served on a Board

    Active member of group influencing public policy/govt

    Republicans

    Democrats

    Index Vs. Total SMB Owners

    (=100)

    Which of the following public activities have you participated in over the past 12 months?

    Civic Activities Participated in Past Year

    Indexed Vs. Total SMB Owners

  • REPUBLICANS ARE MORE CONCERNED

    ABOUT ALL ISSUES RIGHT NOW

    15

    Republicans Democrats Undecideds

    AVERAGE % VERY CONCERNED ACROSS 17

    BUSINESS & PERSONAL ISSUES43% 34% 36%

    Lets face it-youre one of the people in your business who has to be concerned with ALL of the issues related to running the business. What are the issues

    that youre most concerned about?

    The seventeen issues include:

    The U.S. economy

    Having enough money to retire

    Keeping up with demands on your time

    Being able find and keep good employees

    The cost of health insurance and other employee

    benefits

    Access to capital, business loans or credit

    Rising cost of doing business

    Spending enough time with my family

    Your own daily stress level

    The global economy

    Possible tax changes that could hurt your business

    Being able to attract new customers

    Maintaining existing customer base

    The outcome of the upcoming presidential election

    New competitive paradigms, such as the new shared

    economy

    Inability to attract qualified, younger staff

    The world environment and global warming

  • REPUBLICANS ARE HIGHLY CONCERNED

    ABOUT THE OUTCOME OF THE

    UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

    16Lets face it-youre one of the people in your business who has to be concerned with ALL of the issues related to running the business. What are the

    issues that youre most concerned about?

    31%42%

    31%

    51%21%

    30%

    Republicans Democrats Undecideds

    Concern About the Outcome of the Upcoming

    Presidential Election on Your Business

    82%

    63% 61%

    Very Concerned

    Somewhat

    Concerned

  • DEMOCRATS ARE SUBSTANTIALLY MORE

    CONFIDENT IN THE U.S. ECONOMY THAN

    REPUBLICANS

    17

    23%

    35%

    14%

    29%

    7%

    12%

    Republicans Democrats

    Confident

    Very Confident

    Extremely Confident

    What is your level of confidence that the U.S. economy will continue to improve over the next 24 months?

    Confidence in the Improvement of U.S. Economy

    Over the Next 24 Months

    76%

    44%

    +32%

    points

  • DEMOCRATS GREATER ECONOMIC

    CONFIDENCE TRANSLATES INTO MORE

    PLANNED FULL-TIME HIRES

    18Approximately how many full-time employees are you planning to hire over the next 12 months?

    Plan to Hire Full-Time Employees Next 12 Months

    83%

    73%

    78%

    Democrats Republicans Undecideds

    Average Number

    Estimated to be Hired: 3.3 employees3.8 employees 4.5 employees

  • REPUBLICANS ARE FOCUSED ON THE

    ECONOMY, TAXES & RISING COSTS;

    DEMOCRATS, ON CUSTOMERS & RETIREMENT

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    Republicans Democrats Undecideds

    The cost of health insurance and other employee benefits 1 3 1

    The U.S. economy 2 8 6

    Rising cost of doing business 3 7 2

    Being able to attract new customers 4 1 4

    Possible tax changes that could hurt your business 5 10 7

    Maintaining existing customer base 5 4 4

    Being able to find and keep good employees 7 4 2

    Having enough money to retire 8 2 8

    Top Five Concerns of SMB Owners Across Political AffiliationsRank Ordered by % Very Concerned

    Lets face it-youre one of the people in your business who has to be concerned with ALL of the issues related to running the business. What are the

    issues that youre most concerned about?

  • 20

    CONCLUSIONS

  • KEY DIFFERENTIATORS

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    Demographics Firmographics Issues

    Republicans

    Skew older & male

    Have the highest net

    worth

    More likely to be

    married

    Run the most established

    companies (avg. 32

    years in operation)

    Highest annual sales

    Highest degree of concern across all

    business issues.

    Especially high degree of concern about the

    Presidential election.

    Least confident about potential

    improvement of the U.S. economy.

    Top concerns: cost of health insurance, U.S.

    economy, rising costs, possible tax

    changes.

    Most impacted by skills shortage.

    Democrats

    Skew younger

    Highest share of

    college grads

    Most equitable share

    of male and female

    owners

    Highest share of Women

    and Minority owned

    businesses

    Younger companies

    (21% in operation under

    10 years)

    High confidence in future success of the

    U.S. economy.

    Top concerns: Attracting new customers,

    having enough money for retirement.

    Strong views about the role of business as

    regards the environment, sustainability, and

    social responsibility.

    Undecideds Skew younger &

    male

    Younger companies

    (19% in operation under

    10 years)

    Moderate confidence in future success of

    the U.S. economy.

    Moderate concern about the outcome of the

    Presidential election.

    Top concerns: Cost of health insurance,

    rising costs, being able find/keep

    employees.

  • DEMOGRAPHIC/FIRMOGRAPHIC

    COMPARISON

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    Republicans Democrats Undecideds Total SMBs

    Male / Female 72% / 28% 57% / 43% 70% / 30% 68%/32%

    Average Household Income $198K $170K $176K $185K

    Average Net Worth $1.7M $1.3M $1.6M $1.5M

    Average Age

    - Millennials

    - Gen X

    - Boomers or older

    54.1

    6%

    27

    67

    51.7

    12%

    33

    55

    51.8

    11%

    33

    56

    52.8

    8%

    30

    62

    Married / Single 84% / 16% 62% / 38% 68% / 32% 74% / 23%

    College Graduate + 66% 76% 67% 68%

    Average annual sales $9.6M $8.5M $6.7M $8.5M

    Average years in operation

    % in operation under 10 years

    31.9

    11%

    25.2

    21%

    25.5

    19%

    28.5

    15%

    Average # employees 24 22 26 25

    Women-owned business

    Minority-owned business

    28%

    7

    39%

    20

    29%

    12

    31%

    11%

  • Research:

    Jessie Shaw

    212-500-0611

    [email protected]

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