Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael Bader Under Creative Commons...

Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael BaderUnder Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License

Institute for Policy Studies

Photo Credit: Stephen M. Scott, Flickr

Studying Neighborhood Change

Michael BaderAmerican University

July 17, 2012

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/



People

July 17, 2012




“…the problem of the twentieth century is the problem of the color-line.”

W.E.B. Du Bois, 1903“Our nation is moving toward two societies, one

black, one white—-separate and unequal.”Kerner Commission, 1968

“During the 1970s and 1980s a word disappeared from the American vocabulary… The word was

segregation.”Massey & Denton, 1993

July 17, 2012

Racial Segregation and Inequality



Institute for Policy StudiesJuly 17, 2012

Changing Context of Segregation

20% Black

33 % Black

53% Black

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

1976 1992

2004

Percent white respondents

Percent of Whites Willing to Consider Neighborhoods, by Percent Black

Sources: Farley, et al. 1978, 1994; Krysan & Bader 2007




How does segregation evolve in multicultural, post-Civil Rights America?

• PACE of neighborhood racial change slows dramatically

• PLACES of neighborhood racial & ethnic change reveal important differences between black and Latino segregation

July 17, 2012

Changing Context of Segregation



American University

Pace of Neighborhood Change– Out- vs. In-mobility

• Contemporary evidence suggests weak effects of out-migration

• Change driven by where people move upon moving

– Pace of change influences neighborhood stability– Inter-racial demographic differences

November 17, 2010

Pace & Place of Neighborhood Change




Describing Diversity

July 17, 2012



Identifying Neighborhood “Careers”

July 17, 2012Institute for Policy Studies




0

20

40

60

80

100 0

20

40

60

80

100

020406080100

% Lat ino % whit e

% black

1970

0

20

40

60

80

100 0

20

40

60

80

100

020406080100

% Lat ino % whit e

% black

1980

0

20

40

60

80

100 0

20

40

60

80

100

020406080100

% Lat ino % whit e

% black

1990

0

20

40

60

80

100 0

20

40

60

80

100

020406080100

% Lat ino % whit e

% black

2000

Source: Neighborhood Change Database, Geoly tics , Inc .

July 17, 2012

Chicago Metro Composition, 1970-2000




Racially/Ethnically Stable Neighborhoods

July 17, 2012

Stable white (53%)

Stable black (14%)

Stable multiethnic integration (4%)

1970 1980 1990 2000




Black Growth

July 17, 2012

All-white to all-black succession (4%)

All-white to majority black (4%)

1970 1980 1990 2000




Latino Growth

July 17, 2012

Mostly white to majority Latino(4%)

Mixed white/Latino to majority Latino (4%)

Late Latino growth (9%)

1970 1980 1990 2000




Latino Growth (cont.)

Latino growth then displacement(4%)

1970 1980 1990 2000




Place of Neighborhood Racial & Ethnic Change

Click icon to add picture

Chicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000

July 17, 2012

Stable whiteStable black

Stable multiethnic integrationAll-white to all-black succession

All-white to predominantly blackMixed white/Latino to all-LatinoMostly white to predom. Latino

Late Latino growthLatino growth then displacement




Place of Neighborhood Change: Black DiffusionChicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000

July 17, 2012








Place of Neighborhood Change: Latino Dispersion (1)Chicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000

July 17, 2012








Place of Neighborhood Change: Latino Dispersion (2)Chicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000

July 17, 2012








Place of Neighborhood Change: Displacement & Stable MultiethnicChicago Consolidated Metropolitan Area, 1970-2000

July 17, 2012








Percent elderly by career (2000)

Rac ial ly /ethnicallys table neighborhoods

Black growthneighborhoods

Latino growthneighborhoods

0.1

.2.3

.4.5

Stablewhite

Stableblack

Stableintegration

All whi teto

all black

All whi te tomajorityblack

Mixedwhite/Latinoto majority

Latino

Mos tlywhite topredom.Latino

LateLatinogrowth

Latinogrowth &displace-

ment

Latino Black Non-Latino white

by type of neighborhood racial/ethnic change, 2000Proportion of racial/ethnic group that is 65+ years old

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Rac ial ly /ethnicallys table neighborhoods

Black growthneighborhoods

Latino growthneighborhoods

0.1

.2.3

.4.5

Stablewhite

Stableblack

Stableintegration

All whi teto

all black

All whi te tomajorityblack

Mixedwhite/Latinoto majority

Latino

Mos tlywhite topredom.Latino

LateLatinogrowth

Latinogrowth &displace-

ment

Latino Black Non-Latino white

by type of neighborhood racial/ethnic change, 2000Proportion of racial/ethnic group that is 0-14 years old

July 17, 2012

Percent young children by career (2000)

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Thank [email protected]

July 17, 2012


Slides and images (except background) copyright Michael Bader Under Creative Commons...

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