Slide 1 Tasmania - Launceston

Notes

22 September 2014

Presenter: Ivan Neville

Branch Manager

Labour Market Research and Analysis Branch

www.employment.gov.au

Slide 2 Map of Tasmania

Notes

The region of Tasmania surveyed consists of the Launceston Employment Service Area (ESA) and West and North West Employment Service Area (ESA).

The Launceston ESA is made up of the following Local Government Areas:

Break O'Day (M), Dorset (M), Flinders (M), George Town (M), Launceston (C), MeanderValley(M), Northern Midlands (M), West Tamar (M).

The West and North West ESA is made up of the following Local Government Areas:

Burnie (C), Central Coast (M), Circular Head (M), Devonport (C), Kentish (M), King Island (M), Latrobe (M), Waratah/Wynyard (M), West Coast (M).

The Launceston ESA fits wholly within and comprises 100 per cent of the Launceston and North East Statistical Area Level 4.

Slide 3 Population profile

Region

Adult Population

(15 years+)

Adult Population Growth

(2007 to 2012)

Median Age

Launceston

117,200

4%

41

West and North West

92,300

4%

41

Tasmania

417,000

5%

40

Australia

18,419,600

10%

37

Notes

Source: ABS, Estimated Residential Population, 2012, ABS, Census of Population

The adult population growth in Launceston was 4 per cent, less than half that for Australia (10 per cent). The median age for Launceston (41) was above Australia (37).

Slide 4 Age Distribution

Notes

Source: ABS, Estimated Residential Population, 2002 - 2012

The Launceston population has aged significantly from 2002 to 2012:

The proportion of the population aged 25-44 years has decreased

The proportion of the population aged 55 years and over has increased

Slide 5 Ageing PopulationAge20072012Growth

0-14 years27,60026,400-4%

15-29 years26,20026,9003%

30-49 years37,90035,600-6%

50 years and over48,50054,70013%

Total140,200143,6002%

Notes

Source: ABS, Estimated Residential Population, 2012 & 2007

Between 2007 and 2012, the population of Launceston has aged:

The proportion of the population aged 0-14 years decreased by 4 per cent.

The proportion of the population aged 15-29 years increased by 3 per cent.

The proportion of the population aged 30-49 years decreased by 6 per cent.

The proportion of the population aged 50 years and over increased by 13 per cent.

Slide 6 Full-time employment down but not out - Launceston

Notes

Source: ABS, Labour Force Survey, August 2014

A shift from full-time employment to part-time employment has occurred between September 2008 and August 2013. Since then, however, there has been a shift back to full-time employment and away from part-time employment.

Full-time employment decreased by 5,500 jobs over the period from September 2008 to August 2013. However, the year to August 2014 saw an increase in full-time employment of 1,900 jobs.

Part-time employment increased by 5,400 jobs from September 2008 to August 2013. However, the year to August 2014 saw a decrease in part-time employment of 2,600 jobs.

Slide 7 Females employed full-time leading the way - Launceston

Time period

Employed full-time

Employed part-time

Males

Females

Males

Females

2013-2014

-450

2330

-500

-2070

GFC-2013

-2580

-2920

1610

3770

Notes

Source: ABS, Labour Force Survey, August 2014 2014

Over the year to August 2014, the number of females working full-time in Launceston increased by 2330, while the number of males working full-time, and the number of males and females working part-time has decreased.

95% of the females working full-time are aged 25 and over.

Slide 8 Increasing unemployment

Notes

Source: ABS, Labour Force Survey, August 2014

As shown in the graph, the unemployment rate for Launceston and Tasmania as a whole has been increasing since the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Since August 2011, the unemployment rates for Launceston and Tasmania have increased at a faster rate than that of Australia.

Slide 9 Duration of unemployment

Region

Long-term unemployed

(52 weeks or more)

Average duration of unemployment (weeks)

Persons

Proportion of all unemployed

Launceston

2,100

38%

64

West and North West

1,500

34%

60

Australia

157,600

22%

40

Notes

Source: ABS, Labour Force Survey, August 2014, 12 month averages of original data

The average duration of unemployment for people in Launceston (64 weeks) was higher compared with Australia (40 weeks)

In addition, both Launceston (38 per cent) and West and North West (34 per cent) had higher proportions of long-term unemployed compared with Australia (22 per cent).

Slide 10 Exposure to unemployment starts at home Families with children under the age of 15

Notes

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

At the time of the 2011 census:

19 per cent of families with children under the age of 15 (2,500 families) in the region were jobless.

48 per cent of one parent families with children under the age of 15 (1,700 families) in the region were jobless.

There were around 4,600 children (15 years and under) from jobless families.

Slide 11 High youth unemployment 15-24 years

Notes

Source: ABS, Labour Force Survey, August 2014, 12 month averages of original data

The unemployment rate for persons aged 15-24 years in Launceston is 17.9 per cent - higher compared with Australia (12.9 per cent).

In addition, the participation rate for those aged 15-24 years in Launceston (64.1 per cent) is lower compared with Australia (66.5 per cent).

Slide 12 High levels of disengagement among young adults (20-24 year olds)

Notes

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

A larger proportion of females in Launceston were not studying and unemployed or not in the labour force compared with Australia.

Slide 13 Females aged 20-24 years are heavily reliant on income support payments

Launceston

Tasmania

Australia

% on Income support payments

40%

37%

26%

% on Unemployment benefits

10%

10%

6%

% on Disability payments

3%

3%

2%

% on Parenting (PPS +PPP) payments

13%

13%

7%

Notes

Source: Department of Employment, administrative data, June 2014; ABS Estimated Resident Population, 2012

In Launceston, females aged 20-24 years are heavily reliant on income support payments:

40 per cent are on income support payments (compared with 26 per cent for Australia).

10 per cent are on unemployment benefits (compared with 6 per cent for Australia).

3 per cent are on disability payments (compared with 2 per cent for Australia).

13 per cent are on parenting payments (compared with 7 per cent for Australia).

Slide 14 Indigenous labour market outcomes

Region

Proportion of WAP Indigenous

Unemployment Rate

Participation Rate

Indigenous

Non-Indigenous

Indigenous

Non-Indigenous

Launceston

3%

15.0%

6.7%

59.0%

73.0%

West and North West

6%

11.5%

6.9%

65.0%

72.4%

Tasmania

4%

12.6%

6.3%

62.2%

73.3%

Australia

2%

17.2%

5.5%

55.9%

76.4%

Notes

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

Data from the 2011 Census shows that in Launceston, Indigenous labour market outcomes are poorer than those for Tasmania but better than Indigenous outcomes for Australia as a whole.

The unemployment rate for Indigenous persons in Launceston was 15.0 per cent, higher compared with Tasmania (12.6 per cent), but lower compared with Australia (17.2 per cent).

The participation rate for Indigenous persons in Launceston was 59.0 per cent, lower compared with Tasmania (62.2 per cent) but higher compared with Australia (55.9 per cent)

Slide 15 Lower educational attainment Persons aged 25-34 yearsRegionCompleted Year 12Attained Advanced Diploma, Diploma or Certificate III & IV LevelAttained Bachelor Degree or Higher

Launceston56%33%21%

West and North West45%36%15%

Tasmania59%32%24%

Australia75%30%35%

Notes

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

At the time of the 2011 Census, Launceston had a lower proportion of 25-34 year olds who completed Year 12 (56 per cent) compared with Australia (75 per cent). There was also a lower proportion of 25-34 year olds who had attained a Bachelor degree or higher (21 per cent) compared with Australia (35 per cent).

Slide 16 The problem starts early Highest year of school completed for persons aged 25-34 years

Notes

Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2011

This graph shows that at the time of the 2011 Census, Launceston had a lower proportion of 25-34 year olds who completed Year 12 or equivalent (56 per cent) compared with Australia (75per cent), and a larger propo