SK Innovation 2Q16 Earnings Release...
Transcript of SK Innovation 2Q16 Earnings Release...
2016. 7. 22
2Q 2016 Earnings Release
SK innovation
This presentation contains forward-looking statements with respect
to financial conditions, results of operations and business of SK Innovation,
and plans and objectives of the management of SK Innovation.
Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about
SK Innovation’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results or
performance of SK Innovation to be materially different from any future results
or performance expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
Financial results for 1Q16 are subject to change according to the outside
independent auditors’ review.
Disclaimer
Agenda
2Q 2016 Financial Results
2Q 2016 Business Highlights
I/E Materials Business
Q&A
Appendix
(Unit: bn KRW) 2Q16 1Q16 QoQ 2015
Sales 10,280.2 9,458.2 +822.0 48,356.3
Operating Profit 1,119.5 844.8 +274.7 1,979.6
EBITDA 1,346.4 1,082.7 +263.7 2,931.1
Non-Operating
Profit △218.3 △104.8 △113.5 △325.5
Pre-Tax Income 901.2 740.0 +161.2 1,654.1
3
Sales & Operating Profit
* P/L from TAC business reclassified as discontinued operation in FY2015.
4
(Unit: bn KRW) 2016. 2Q 2015 Y-o-Y
Assets 32,586.6 31,359.8 +1,226.8
- Current assets 14,686.6 12,842.1 +1,844.5
Liabilities 14,844.0 14,313.5 +530.5
- Debt
(Net Debt)
7,569.3
(1,398.9)
8,174.8
(3,515.2)
△605.5
(△2,116.3)
Shareholders’
Equity 17,742.6 17,046.3 +696.3
- Paid-in Capital 468.6 468.6 -
Debt/Equity 83.7% 84% △0.3%p
Balance Sheet
Agenda
2Q 2016 Financial Results
2Q 2016 Business Highlights
I/E Materials Business
Q&A
Appendix
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
13.01 13.04 13.07 13.10 14.01 14.04 14.07 14.10 15.01 15.04 15.07 15.10 16.01 16.04
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Refining – Refining Margins
Production troubles in Canada, Nigeria
Lower US crude inventory and production
($/B) Dubai Crude oil
Diesel Crack
Gasoline Crack ($/B)
Oil prices showed upward trend on
lower global output level
Refining margin weakened on
higher run-rates, despite robust
demands
0
5
10
15
20
25
13.01 13.04 13.07 13.10 14.01 14.04 14.07 14.10 15.01 15.04 15.07 15.10 16.01 16.04
$22.8 (‘16.1.21)
Gasoline Crack
‘16.1Q: 15.6$/B → ‘16.2Q: 11.5$/B (△4.1$/B)
Diesel Crack
‘16.1Q: 9.6$/B → ‘16.2Q: 10.5$/B (+0.9$/B)
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(Unit : Bn. KRW)
Margin Others 1Q16
OP
2Q16
OP
Inventory
Effect
Operating profit increased on
inventory-related gains from crude
price rise
Crude price to continue recovery
trend on improved supply and
demand
Refining – Performance Analysis
△266.9 490.5
+474.9 +6.7 705.2
Dubai Crude Price
‘16.1Q : 30.4$/B → ‘16.2Q : 43.2$/B (+12.8$/B)
S’pore Cracking Margin
‘16.1Q : 7.8$/B → ‘16.2Q : 5.0$/B (△2.8$/B)
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Demands for refined products
outgrows global capacity additions
Fall T/A amount expected to be
larger than previous years
Global T/A Schedule
’16.10 6 Mil.B/D (+1.5 Mil.B/D YoY)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16
[Unit: Mil. b/d]
[Source: IEA, Bloomberg, Company estimates]
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6
4
2
Capacity additions vs. Demand growth
Global T/A Schedule
[Unit: Mil. b/d]
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0.5
1
1.5
2
2015 2016 E 2017 E
Net Capacity Additions Demand Growth
Refining – Margin Outlook
9 9
Olefin spreads improved moderately
Ethylene spreads improved with tight
supply on the back of facility turnaround
and trouble
PE spreads narrowed on new facility
startups and weak ME & WE demand
Aromatics narrowed marginally
PX spreads maintained solid trend on
steady PTA utilization rates
BZ spreads decreased slightly on weaker
demand
Petrochemical – Product Spreads
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
Naph Ethylene-Naph PE-Naph
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
BZ-Naph PX-Naph SM-Naph
PE
(US$/Ton)
SM
PX
BZ
Naph
Ethylene
(US$/Ton)
10 10
Increase in operating profit due to
healthy product spreads and
inventory-related gain
Ethylene spreads to maintain firm
trend with ongoing facility troubles
in the region,
PX spreads to remain steady as
high utilization rates of PTA facility
continues
Petrochemical – Performance Analysis
(Unit : Bn. KRW)
+8.6
+99.5
△29.7 224.3
302.7
Ethylene spread (/Naph)
’16.1Q : 674 → ’16.2Q : 727 $/ton
PX spread (/Naph)
’16.1Q : 406 → ’16.2Q : 395 $/ton
Margin Others* 1Q16
OP
2Q16
OP Volume
* inventory-related gain of 68 bil. KRW included
Lubricants Business
Operating profit remained steady
on inventory-related gain and
increased sales volume
Despite capacity addition,
base oil market to remain stable on
growing demand for premium base
oil
132.2
OP OP
1Q16 Margin Volume Others 2Q16
△70.0
+16.7
+54.0 132.9
(Unit : Bn. KRW)
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E&P Business
1Q16 2Q16
Despite increased crude price,
sales remained flat due to the decline
in sales volume and exchange rates
Volume settlement in Vietnam block
Operating profit decreased
on higher operating cost
Increased production from
Peruvian block
Sales 120.0 120.2
Average daily production 55 61
- Peru 88 27 32
- Peru 56 17 19
- Vietnam15-1 7 6
- SK E&P America 4 3
Oil Portion 36% 34%
1Q16 OP
Sales Change Cost Effect Others 2Q16OP
(Unit : Bn KRW, 1000 BOE/D)
Operating Profit (Q-o-Q) (Unit: Bn KRW)
23.2 (-) △6.8
+0.2 16.6
Agenda
2Q 2016 Financial Results
2Q 2016 Business Highlights
I/E Materials Business
Q&A
Appendix
14
I/E Materials Business
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Global No.2 LiBS maker
(based on sales volume)
‘16. 2Q Revenue 61.4 billion won
QoQ +3%, YoY+38%
‘16. 2Q EBITDA 32.6 billion won
QoQ +5%, YoY+236%
(Unit: 100mn won)
I/E Materials Business Financial result
LiBS Demand Outlook
(Unit: 100mn m2)
CAGR: 16% (IT: 12%, xEV: 45%)
LiBS demand likely to increase at
CAGR 16% by 2020
Source) TSR LIB Material Market Analysis (2015 edition), Company estimate
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4
8
12
16
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
xEV
IT
0
200
400
600
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
EBITDA
Revenue
Agenda
2Q 2016 Financial Results
2Q 2016 Business Highlights
I/E Materials Business
Q&A
Appendix
Agenda
2Q 2016 Financial Results
2Q 2016 Business Highlights
I/E Materials Business
Q&A
Appendix
1. Business Performance
2. Utilization Rate – Petroleum/Petrochemical Plants
Appendix
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1. . Business Performance (excluding intercompany transactions)
* SK Energy (including SKTI and SKIPC quarterly results)
(Unit: Bn KRW) SK
Innovation
SK
Energy*
SK
Global
Chemical
SK
Lubricants
2Q
Total
Sales 2,394 74,425 19,450 6,533 102,802
Operating Profit △213 7,052 3,027 1,329 11,195
Non-operating profit △1,030 △904 △182 △67 △2,183
Pre-tax Income △1,243 6,148 2,845 1,262 9,012
Petrochemical Plant
Petroleum Plant
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2. Utilization Rate – Petroleum/Petrochemical Plants
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
CDU 75% 68% 75% 76% 70% 77% 83% 83% 84% 89% 85% 90% 84%
Ulsan 84% 78% 91% 89% 80% 84% 89% 90% 86% 93% 86% 92% 85%
Incheon 48% 38% 27% 37% 39% 60% 66% 67% 78% 77% 81% 83% 81%
HOU 94% 94% 99% 92% 92% 99% 100% 83% 81% 100% 100% 91% 98%
#1 RFCC 100% 100% 100% 100% 54% 81% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
#2 RFCC 100% 40% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
NCC 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 100%
PE 100% 100% 93% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 98% 98%
PP 100% 90% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
PX 73% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%