Situational Analysis Report for the Town of Whitchurch ...

Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville 1 December 2015

Situational Analysis

For the Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville

Prepared by:

Robert Humphrey Economic Development Officer

In Partnership with:

December 2015

Attachment 2

Situational Analysis for Whitchurch-Stouffville

Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville December 2015

Situational Analysis For the Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville

Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville Economic Development

111 Sandiford Drive Stouffville, Ontario Canada L4A 0Z8

Phone: 1-855-642-8697 x2301 Fax: 905-640-7957

[email protected] www.townofws.ca

McSweeney & Associates 201 - 900 Greenbank Road

Ottawa, Ontario CANADA K2J 1S8

Phone: 1-855-300-8548 Fax: 1-866-299-4313

Email: [email protected] Website: www.mcsweeney.ca



Table of Contents 1 Introduction 1

2 Data Sources 1

3 Whitchurch‐Stouffville’s Economy at a Glance 2

3.1 Demographics 2 3.1.1 Population 2

3.1.2 Age Structure 2

3.1.3 Income 3

3.1.4 Education 3

3.1.5 Post‐Secondary Education 3

3.1.6 Migration Patterns 3

3.1.7 Visible Minority Population 3

3.1.8 Dwelling Characteristics 4

3.2 Labour Force 4 3.2.1 Key Labour Indicators 4

3.2.2 Labour Force by Industry 4

3.2.3 Labour Force by Occupation 5

3.2.4 Commuting Patterns 5

3.3 Economic Base Analysis 5 3.3.1 Employment Profile 5

3.3.2 Location Quotient – Sectors 5

3.3.3 Location Quotient – Sub‐sectors 6

3.3.4 Location Quotient – Industries 6

4 Statistical Overview of Whitchurch‐Stouffville 10

5 Demographic Analysis 12

5.1 Population and Age Structure Profile 12

5.2 Whitchurch‐Stouffville Incomes 13

5.3 Education 15

5.4 Post‐Secondary Field of Study 17

5.5 Migration to Whitchurch‐Stouffville 18

5.6 Visible Minority Population 20

5.7 Dwelling Characteristics 21

6 Labour Force Analysis 22

6.1 Key Indicators 22

6.2 Labour Force by Industry 24

6.3 Labour Force by Occupation 25

6.4 Commuting Flow 26

7 Economic Base Analysis 28

7.1 Employment Profile 28

7.2 Location Quotient Analysis 30 7.2.1 Location Quotients Analysis by Sector 31

7.2.2 Dominant Sub‐Sectors 32

7.2.3 Location Quotients by Industry Level 33

7.3 Shift‐Share Analysis 34

8 Economic Development Trends Analysis 38

8.1 Site Selection Factors 38

Appendix A: Data Tables 41



List of Tables and Figures Table 1: Statistical Overview of Whitchurch‐Stouffville 2015 vs. Ontario 2015 10

Table 2: Demographic Changes for Whitchurch‐Stouffville and Ontario, Census 11

Table 3: Demographic Changes for Whitchurch‐Stouffville and Ontario, Census/Manifold

11

Table 4: Population Change, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2001 to 2015 12

Table 5: Where Whitchurch‐Stouffville Resident Labour Force Works, 2011 26

Table 6: Place of Residence for Persons Working in Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2011 27

Table 7: Job Change by Sector, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2008 – 2015 35

Table 8: Shift‐Share Analysis for Jobs by Sector, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2008 – 2015 36

Table 9: Site Selection Factors – Corporate Survey 2014 39

Table 10: Consultants Survey 2014 40

Table 11: Percentage Population by Age, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2006, 2011 & 2015 41

Table 12: Percentage Population by Age, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 42

Table 13: Income Levels, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2010 & 2014 43

Table 14: Total Income Levels, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014 44

Table 15: Family Income Levels, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014 44

Table 16: Household Income Levels, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014 45

Table 17: Education Attainment, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 45

Table 18: Post‐secondary Qualifications by Major Field of Study, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015

46

Table 19: Mobility Status, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 46

Table 20: Visible Minority Population as Percentage of Population, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2015

47

Table 21: Distribution of Visible Minority Population in Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2015 47

Table 22: Key Labour Force Indicators, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. ON, 2006, 2011 & 2015

47

Table 23: Labour Force by Industry, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs Ontario, 2015 48

Table 24: Labour Force by Occupation, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 48



Figure 1: % Population by Age, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2006, 2011 & 2015 12

Figure 2: % Population by Age, Whitchurch‐Stouffville 2015 vs. Ontario 2015 13

Figure 3: Total Income Levels, Whitchurch‐Stouffville 2010 & 2014 vs. Ontario 2014 14

Figure 4: Average and Median Income, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014 14

Figure 5: Education Attainment Breakdown for Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2015 15

Figure 6: Education Attainment, Whitchurch‐Stoufffville vs. Ontario, 2015 16

Figure 7: Post‐Secondary Field of Study, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 17

Figure 8: Mobility Status Breakdown, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontaro, 1 Year Ago 18

Figure 9: Mobility Status Breakdown, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 5 Years Ago 19

Figure 10: Change in Visible Minority Population, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2001 – 2015 20

Figure 11: Average Dwelling Value, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2006, 2011 & 2015

21

Figure 12: Labour Force Indicators, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario 2006, 2011 & 2015

22

Figure 13: Unemployment Rate, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario 2006, 2011 & 2015 23

Figure 14: Labour Force by Industry, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 24

Figure 15: Labour Force by Occupation, Whitchurch‐Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 25

Figure 16: Number of Jobs by Sector for Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2015 29

Figure 17: Location Quotients by Employment Sectors, Whitchurch‐Stouffville, 2015 31

Figure 18: Employment Sub‐sectors with High Location Quotients, W‐S, 2015 32

Figure 19: W‐S Employment Industries with High Location Quotients, 2015 33



1 Introduction

A Situational Analysis is a statistical snapshot of the current economic climate of a community. This specific Situational Analysis verifies the current status of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s demographic and labour force profile, purely from numbers perspective. This statistical exercise does not portray the “why” or “how” these numbers exist, but instead can only give some insights on Whitchurch-Stouffville’s economic make-up according to the statistical data collected. This document does not provide any solutions or strategic actions, but instead provides observations of what Whitchurch-Stouffville’s local economy looks like on paper. The information gleaned from the Situational Analysis, when combined with the community assets found in Whitchurch-Stouffville’s Community Profile and the insights gathered through an intensive consultation process, including one-on-one interviews and online surveys, help to outline the strengths, weakness opportunities and threats (SWOT) of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s economy. This detailed SWOT analysis forms the basis of the Town’s Economic Development Strategic Action Plan.

2 Data Sources

Please note that every effort has been made to use the most current data available. There are three major sources of information for this document:

The 2006 and 2011 Census from Statistics Canada York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015 SuperDemographics 2015 from Manifold Data Mining Inc. EMSI Data: EMSI combines employment data from Survey of Employment,

Payrolls and Hours (SEPH) with data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), Census, and Canadian Business Patterns (CBP) to form detailed geographic estimates of employment. Projections are based on the latest available EMSI industry data, 10-year past local trends in each industry and growth rates from national industry projections from the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) produced by Human Resources and Skills Development Canada.

Manifold Projection Method 2015 Demographic data are population statistics collected by Statistics Canada via Census every five years. The most recent Census was conducted in May 2011. The upcoming Census will be conducted in May 2016. There is normally one to two year time lag between collecting and publishing Census data. For example, the first batch of 2011 Census, population and dwelling, were released by Statistics Canada in February 2012. The last batch, income and housing, is scheduled for release in August 2013. As census is conducted every five years, and there is a 1-2 years lag in collecting and publishing census data, Manifold estimate demographic data between the census years and project for 1, 5, 10, and 15 years in the future. Manifold update techniques are based on the following techniques:

Enhanced cohort survival methods



Nearest neighborhood and regression techniques Structural coherence techniques.

Manifold Data Source:

Statistics Canada Health Canada Regional Health Ministries Citizenship and Immigration Canada Regional School Boards Brisc International Inc. Flyer Distribution Association Real Estate Boards/Companies Canadian Bankers Association Bank of Canada Canada Post Corporation Consumer and business directories books Publication of hospitals, CMHC, BBM and partners Proprietary survey and research.

3 Whitchurch-Stouffville’s Economy at a Glance The following section highlights some of the observations and data found in Whitchurch-Stouffville’s Situational Analysis. For a more visual representation please refer to infographic at the end of this section. 3.1 Demographics

3.1.1 Population

Whitchurch-Stouffville’s 2015 population is approximately 45,335 people Whitchurch-Stouffville is the 2nd fastest growing community in Ontario; 3rd

fastest in Canada Population Growth Rate (2015-2020): Town 38.29%; Ontario 5.67%

3.1.2 Age Structure

The 35-39 age segment is the largest in Whitchurch-Stouffville compared to the 50-54 age segment in Ontario

15-29 age segments, typically the prime years to enter the labour force, are where Whitchurch-Stouffville has lower population numbers

The age segments 0-14 and 30-44 in Whitchurch-Stouffville have higher percentages than the province

The Town’s age profile indicates a younger population than that of Ontario



The median age of 40.95 is lower than the provincial median of 41.68

The average age of 40.38 is lower than the provincial average of 41.09

3.1.3 Income

The percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents who make more than $50,000 annually was larger than that of Ontario

The largest percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s 2014 income level was the income segment between earning $60,000 and $79,999 annually.

In 2014, Whitchurch-Stouffville’s average and median total and household income levels were higher than Ontario

2014 Average Household Total Income: $129,911 vs. $94,943

3.1.4 Education

The percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents who have a university certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor level or above is slightly higher than that of Ontario in 2015

3.1.5 Post-Secondary Education

70% of residents aged 25-64 have a post-secondary degree

The largest field of study by percentage was Business, management and public administration

Whitchurch-Stouffville displayed a competitive advantage, relative to Ontario in the fields of Architecture, engineering and related technologies as well as Education

3.1.6 Migration Patterns

The percentage of town residents that had moved within the previous year (15.9% movers) was larger than the percentage of “movers” in Ontario (11.7%)

People moving to Whitchurch-Stouffville, within the last year and last five years, were much more likely to be relocating from other parts of Ontario as opposed to moving from outside of the province

The percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents that had moved within the past five years was larger than the percentage of “movers” in the province 3.1.7 Visible Minority Population

In 2001, roughly 1-in-20 Whitchurch-Stouffville residents was a visible minority. In 2015, that ratio has changed to more than 1-in-4 residents

South Asian (32.88%) and Chinese (32.33%) represent the largest percentages of the 2015 visible minority population in Whitchurch-Stouffville



3.1.8 Dwelling Characteristics

The total number of dwellings in Whitchurch-Stouffville increased from 8,525 in 2006 to 17,560 in 2015

The average value of dwellings in Whitchurch-Stouffville increased from $495,718 in 2006 to $648,466 in 2015, which is well above the provincial average

3.2 Labour Force

3.2.1 Key Labour Indicators

In 2015, Whitchurch-Stouffville had a labour force size of 26,766, compared to 21,115 in 2011 and 13,700 in 2001

In 2006, 2011, and 2015, the unemployment rate in Whitchurch-Stouffville was consistently lower than the Ontario unemployment rate

3.2.2 Labour Force by Industry

Relative to the province, a larger percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s resident labour force worked in the following industries:

o Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting o Construction o Utilities o Wholesale trade o Information and cultural industries o Finance and insurance o Professional, scientific and technical services o Management of companies and enterprises o Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services o Educational services o Arts, entertainment and recreation o Other services (except public administration)

A smaller percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s resident labour force, as compared to Ontario, worked in:

o Mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction o Manufacturing o Retail trade o Transportation and warehousing o Real estate and renting and leasing o Health care and social assistance o Accommodation and food services o Public administration



3.2.3 Labour Force by Occupation

In comparison to the province, Whitchurch-Stouffville has larger percentages of its labour force working in:

o Management o Business, finance and administration o Natural and applied sciences and related o Education, law and social, community and government services o Art, culture, recreation and sport o Trades, transport and equipment operators and related o Natural resources, agriculture and related production

As compared to Ontario, Whitchurch-Stouffville has smaller percentages of its labour force working in:

o Health o Sales and service o Manufacturing and utilities

3.2.4 Commuting Patterns

The majority of the Whitchurch-Stouffville resident labour force who worked outside of town commuted to work in Toronto and Markham (York Region)

The largest number of non-resident labour force commuting to work in Whitchurch-Stouffville travelled from Toronto, Durham and York Regions

79.7% of the workers living in Whitchurch-Stouffville had a usual place of work outside of Whitchurch-Stouffville

64.0% of workers declaring a usual place of work in Whitchurch-Stouffville lived outside of Whitchurch-Stouffville

3.3 Economic Base Analysis

3.3.1 Employment Profile

There were 15,829 jobs in Whitchurch-Stouffville in 2015 With 3,412 jobs in 2015, the construction sector employer was the largest sector

in Whitchurch-Stouffville

3.3.2 Location Quotient – Sectors

Compared to Ontario and Canada, employment sectors in Whitchurch-Stouffville which also had a higher than normal concentration were:

o Construction o Arts, entertainment and recreation o Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting o Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services



3.3.3 Location Quotient – Subsectors

Sub-sectors with high concentrations compared to Ontario and Canada are as follows:

o Heavy and civil engineering construction o Amusement, gambling and recreation industries o Chemical manufacturing o Specialty trade contractors

3.3.4 Location Quotient – Industries

In terms of employment at the industry level, the following industries have very high concentrations:

o Land subdivision o Vending machine operators o Other electrical equipment and component manufacturing o Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing o Other non-metallic mineral product manufacturing o Highway, street and bridge construction o Other specialty trade contractors



The Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville is situated north of Toronto in the Regional Municipality of York.

The community is home to a growing residential population of approximately

45,000 and a workforce over 26,000 strong.



4 Statistical Overview of Whitchurch-Stouffville Table 1 provides the 2015 statistical estimates based on 2011 census data for Whitchurch-Stouffville and Ontario. Table 1: Statistical Overview of Whitchurch-Stouffville 2015 vs. Ontario 20151

Topic Demographic Variable Whitchurch-Stouffville Ontario

Population Total population 45,335 13,780,979 Projected Population 2020 70,467 14,562,361 Projected Population 2025 95,877 15,393,872

Labour Force2 Total population 15 years and over 41,557 11,536,559 In the labour force 26,766 7,647,348 Participation rate (%) 64.4 66.29 Employment rate (%) 60.7 61.37 Unemployment rate (%) 5.7 7.43 Income ($)3 Average total per capita income (2014)

($) 59,225 47,037

Median total per capita income (2014) ($)

43,347 32,898

Average household income (2014) ($) 129,911 94,943 Median household income (2014) ($) 102,840 71,748 Households Total number of private households 17,560 5,291,909 Average number of persons in private

households 2.66 2.53

Dwelling Total number of occupied private dwellings

17,560 5,291,909

Average value of dwelling ($) 648,466 557,783 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. MPAC. York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015.

1 The content of the report is derived from Manifold’s proprietary postal code information. No confidential information about an individual, household, organization or business has been obtained from Statistics Canada. 2 Labour force - Refers to persons who were either employed or unemployed. Participation rate - Refers to the labour force expressed as a percentage of the population 15 years and over excluding institutional residents. Employment rate - Refers to the number of persons employed expressed as a percentage of the total population 15 years and over, excluding institutional residents. Unemployment rate - Refers to the unemployed expressed as a percentage of the labour force. 3 Note that Income variables always use the data from the previous year.



The following table provides an overview of statistical changes in Whitchurch-Stouffville. Table 2: Demographic Changes for Whitchurch-Stouffville and Ontario, Census Whitchurch-

Stouffville Ontario

Topic Demographic Variable 2006 2011 2006 2011 Population Total Population 24,390 37,628 12,160,282 12,851,821 Children & Youth (0-14) Increased Increased Adult (15-64) Increased Increased Age 65 and up Increased Increased

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada 2006 and 2011 Census data. Table 3: Demographic Changes for Whitchurch-Stouffville and Ontario, Census/Manifold Whitchurch- Percent Change Demographic Stouffville Ontario 2006-2015 Topic Variable 2006 2015 2006 20154 W-S OntarioLabour Force

Employed population 15 years and over Participation rate (%) Employment rate (%) Unemployment rate (%)

13,700 26,766 69.6 64.4 66.6 60.7 4.3 5.8

6,587,580 7,647,348 67.1 66.29 62.8 61.37 6.4 7.43

95.4 16.09 -7.5 -1.21 -8.9 -2.28 34.9 16.09

Income ($) Median family income ($) Median household income ($)

95,007 115,220 86,364 102,840

72,734 90,574 60,455 71,748

21.3 24.53 19.1 18.68

Households Total number of private households

8,525 17,560

4,555,025 5,291,909

105.9 16.18

Dwelling Value

Average value of dwelling ($)

495,718 648,466

297,479 557,783

79.6 87.50

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada 2006 Census data; Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. MPAC.

4 2015 data is obtained through Manifold and is not directly comparable to Census data.



5 Demographic Analysis

5.1 Population and Age Structure Profile Table 4 illustrates the population change in Whitchurch-Stouffville from 2001 to 2015 in comparison to that of Ontario. The population in Whitchurch-Stouffville have been increasing exponentially since 2001. The town is the second fastest growing community in Ontario. Table 4: Population Change, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2001 to 2015 2001 2006 2011 2015 Whitchurch-Stouffville Population 22,008 24,390 37,628 45,335 % Change from Previous Census - 10.8 54.3 20.5 Ontario Population 11,410,046 12,160,282 12,851,821 13,780,979 % Change from Previous Census - 6.6 5.7 7.2

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001, 2006, 2011 and SuperDemographics 2015, York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015.

Figure 1 & 2, and Tables 11 and 12 in the Appendix, represent the changing demographics of Whitchurch-Stouffville compared to Ontario. Figure 1: % Population by Age, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2006, 2011 & 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006, 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015, York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Percentage

Age Group

2006

2011

2015



Figure 2: % Population by Age, Whitchurch-Stouffville 2015 vs. Ontario 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006, 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015, York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015.

Whitchurch-Stouffville compared to Ontario, 2015:

The 35-39 age segment is the largest in Whitchurch-Stouffville compared to the 50-54 age segment in Ontario.

Whitchurch-Stouffville has a higher percentage of its population between the ages of 0-14 and 30-44, suggesting young families reside here, while there is a notable gap between 15-29 years of age in Whitchurch-Stouffville – prime years to enter the labour force – as compared to the province.

Overall, Whitchurch-Stouffville’s age profile indicates a younger population than that of Ontario, particularly the percentage of the populations over 50 years old. The median age of 40.95 is slightly lower than the provincial median of 41.68, as is the average age of 40.38 versus the provincial average of 41.09.

5.2 Whitchurch-Stouffville Incomes Using the information in Figures 3 and 4, as well as Tables 13-16 (in the Appendix), the following observations can be made with respect to incomes:

Compared to Ontario, the percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents who make more than $50,000 annually was larger than that of Ontario.

The largest percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s income level was the income segment between $60,000 and $79,999 annually.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9Percentage

Age Group

Whitchurch‐Stouffville %

Ontario %



In 2014, Whitchurch-Stouffville’s average and median total and household income levels were higher than Ontario.

Figure 3: Total Income Levels, Whitchurch-Stouffville 2010 & 2014 vs. Ontario 2014

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2011 (2010 incomes) and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (2014 incomes). Figure 4: Average and Median Income, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014

McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (2014 incomes)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Percentage

Income Levels

W‐S 2010 W‐S 2014 ON 2014

$43,347

$59,225

$102,840

$129,911

$32,898

$47,037

$71,748

$94,943

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

Median income ($) oftotal population 15years and over

Average income ($) oftotal population 15years and over

Median householdtotal income ($)

Average householdtotal income ($)

Incomes

Whitchurch‐Stouffville 2014 Ontario 2014



5.3 Education Figures 5 and 6, and Table 17 in the Appendix, outline the education levels obtained by Whitchurch-Stouffville’s residents (aged 25-64) as compared to Ontario. The following figure provides a visual breakdown of the educational attainment levels of the Whitchurch-Stouffville population aged 25-64 in 2015. Definitions may be found in the footnotes. Figure 5: Education Attainment Breakdown for Whitchurch-Stouffville, 20155

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 *Population aged 25 to 64 in Whitchurch-Stouffville.

5 'Highest certificate diploma or degree' refers to the highest certificate diploma or degree completed based on a hierarchy which is generally related to the amount of time spent 'in-class.' For postsecondary completers a university education is considered to be a higher level of schooling than a college education while a college education is considered to be a higher level of education than in the trades. Although some trades requirements may take as long or longer to complete than a given college or university program the majority of time is spent in on-the-job paid training and less time is spent in the classroom. For further definitions refer to the National Household Survey Dictionary Catalogue no. 99-000-X. For any comments on collection dissemination or data quality for this variable refer to the Education Reference Guide National Household Survey Catalogue no. 99-012-X2011006. 'High school diploma or equivalent' includes persons who have graduated from a secondary school or equivalent. It excludes persons with a postsecondary certificate diploma or degree. 'Postsecondary certificate diploma or degree' includes 'apprenticeship or trades certificates or diplomas' 'college CEGEP or other non-university certificates or diplomas' and university certificates diplomas and degrees. 'Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma' includes Registered Apprenticeship certificates (including Certificate of Qualification Journeyperson's designation) and other trades certificates or diplomas such as pre-employment or vocational certificates and diplomas from brief trade programs completed at community colleges institutes of technology vocational centres and similar institutions. Comparisons with other data sources suggest that the category 'University certificate or diploma below the bachelor's level' was over-reported in the NHS. This category likely includes some responses that are actually college certificates or diplomas bachelor's degrees or other types of education (e.g. university transfer programs bachelor's programs completed in other countries incomplete bachelor's programs non-university professional designations). We recommend users interpret the results for the 'University certificate or diploma below the bachelor's level' category with caution. 'University certificate diploma or degree above bachelor level' includes the categories 'University certificate or diploma above bachelor level' 'Degree in medicine dentistry veterinary medicine or optometry' 'Master's degree' and 'Earned doctorate.'

Total population* (100%)

Postsecondary certificate; diploma or

degree (69.7%)

Apprenticeship or trades

certificate or diploma (7.4%)

College; CEGEP or other non-university

certificate or diploma (26.3%)

University certificate or

diploma below bachelor level

(6.14%)

University certificate; diploma or degree at

bachelor level or above (29.82%)

Bachelor's degree

(20.7%)

University certificate; diploma or degree

above bachelor level(9.1%)

No certificate, diploma or

degree (8.11%)

High school diploma or equivalent (22.18%)



Based on Figure 6, it can be concluded than:

The percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents who have a post-secondary certificate; diploma or degree is higher than the provincial percentage in 2015.

The percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents who have a university certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor level or above is slightly higher than that of Ontario in 2015.

Figure 6: Education Attainment, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015.

8.1

11.0

22.1

24.2

69.7

64.7

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2015 Whitchurch‐Stouffville %

2015 Ontario %

Percentage

No Certificate; diploma or degree

High school diploma or equivalent

Postsecondary certificate; diploma or degree

7.4

7.6

26.2

23.7

6.1

4.5

29.8

28.9

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


2015 Ontario %

Percentage

Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma

College; CEGEP or other non‐university certificate or diploma

University certificate or diploma below bachelor level

University certificate; diploma or degree at bachelor level or above

20.7

17.8

9.1

11.1

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0


2015 Ontario %

Percentage

Bachelor's degree University certificate; diploma or degree above bachelor level



5.4 Post Secondary Field of Study Based on Figure 7 and Table 18 (in the Appendix), the following observations can be made for persons aged 15 and over with post-secondary qualifications in 2015.

The largest field of study by percentage was Business, management and public administration.

Whitchurch-Stouffville also showed a competitive advantage in the fields of Architecture, engineering and related technologies as well as Education.

Figure 7: Post-Secondary Field of Study, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 20156


6 'Major Field of study' is defined as the main discipline or subject of learning. It is collected for the highest certificate diploma or degree above the high school or secondary school level and classified according to the Classification of Instructional Programs (CIP) Canada 2011. This variable shows the 'primary groupings' a CIP variant. For more information on the CIP classification see the Classification of Instructional Programs Canada 2011 Catalogue no. 12-590-X available from: www.statcan.gc.ca/concepts/classification-eng.htm. For any comments on collection dissemination or data quality for this variable refer to the Education Reference Guide National Household Survey Catalogue no. 99-012-X2011006. 'No postsecondary certificate diploma or degree' includes persons who have not completed a registered apprenticeship certificate (including Certificate of Qualification Journeyperson's designation) or other trades certificate or diploma a college CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma or a university certificate diploma or degree.

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

Other fields of study

Personal, protective and transportation services

Health and related fields

Agriculture, natural resources and conservation

Architecture, engineering, and related technologies

Mathematics, computer and information sciences

Physical and life sciences and technologies

Business, management and public administration

Social and behavioural sciences and law

Humanities

Visual and performing arts, and communications…

Education

2015 Percentage (%)

Field of Study

Ontario Whitchurch‐Stouffville



5.5 Migration to Whitchurch-Stouffville The mobility (refers to whether or not people lived in the same dwelling unit either one year or five years ago) of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents in 2015 can be seen in Figures 8 and 9, and Table 19 (in the Appendix). The following figure is a visual breakdown of the mobility status in Whitchurch-Stouffville compared to Ontario (2015 estimates data). Definitions may be found in the footnotes. Figure 8: Mobility Status Breakdown, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 1 Year Ago7

Whitchurch‐Stouffville (2015) Ontario (2015)


7 Non-movers are persons who were living at the same address as the one at which they resided one year earlier. Movers are persons who were living at a different address from the one at which they resided one year earlier. Non-migrants are movers who were living at a different address, but in the same census subdivision (CSD) as the one they

lived in one year earlier. Migrants are movers who were residing in a different CSD one year earlier (internal migrants) or who were living outside

Canada one year earlier (external migrants). Intraprovincial migrants are movers who were living in a different CSD from the one at which they resided one year earlier,

in the same province. Interprovincial migrants are movers who were living in a different CSD from the one at which they resided one year earlier,

in a different province.

Movers (15.9%)

Non‐migrants (4.4%)

Migrants (11.5%)

External Migrants (0.6%)

Internal migrants (10.9%)

Interprovincial migrants (0.2%)

Intraprovincial migrants (10.7%)

Movers (11.7%)


Migrants (4.8%)







Figure 9: Mobility Status Breakdown, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 5 Years Ago Whitchurch‐Stouffville (2015) Ontario (2015)

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. Figure 9 compares the mobility of Whitchurch-Stouffville residents five years ago to that of Ontario. The percentage of town residents that had moved within the past five years was larger than the percentage of “movers” in the province. People moving to Whitchurch-Stouffville were more likely to be relocating from within the province as opposed to moving from outside of Ontario.

Movers (49.6%)


Migrants (36.1%)





Movers (37.9%)


Migrants (16.9%)







5.6 Visible Minority Population Figure 10 and Table 20 (in the Appendix) illustrate the visible minority population as a percentage of the overall total population in the Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville in 2015:

The visible minority population as a percentage of the overall population is six times larger in 2015 as compared to 2001, increasing from 4.5% to 27.73%.

In 2001, roughly 1-in-20 Whitchurch-Stouffville residents was a visible minority. In 2015, that ratio has changed to more than 1-in-4 residents.

Figure 10: Change in Visible Minority Population, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2001 – 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001, 2006 and 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015, York Region Planning Estimate, December 31, 2015.

22,00824,390

37,628

45,335

990 1,775

9,135

12,570

4.50

7.28

24.28

27.73

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2001 2006 2011 2015

Percentage

(%)

# of Residents

Years

Total Population Visible Minority Population Percentage

0.78

1.58

2.01

2.04

2.52

2.55

3.09

3.80

7.58

8.83

32.33

32.88

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Japanese

Korean

Latin American

Arab

Visible minority

West Asian

Southeast Asian

Multiple visible minorities

Filipino

Black

Chinese

South Asian

Percentage of 2015 Visible Minority Population



5.7 Dwelling Characteristics Figure 11 presents dwelling characteristics in Whitchurch-Stouffville for 2006, 2011 and 20158 as compared to the province:

The total number of dwellings in Whitchurch-Stouffville increased from 8,525 in 2006 to 17,560 in 2015.

The average value of dwellings in Whitchurch-Stouffville increased from $495,718 in 2006 to $648,466 in 2015, which is well above the provincial average.

Wealthy residents living in rural estate homes and properties, as well as the high residential demand in urban areas have contributed to the rise in the average value of dwellings across Whitchurch-Stouffville.

Figure 11: Average Dwelling Value, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2006, 2011 & 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006, 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. MPAC.

8 2015 Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (based on the self-reported values of the 2011 census adjusted for inflation), MPAC

$495,718$542,454

$648,466

$297,479

$367,428

$577,783

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

2006 2011 2015

Average

value of dwelling

Year

Whitchurch‐Stouffville

Ontario



6 Labour Force Analysis

6.1 Key Indicators Figures 12 and 13, along with Table 22 in the Appendix, provide a comparison of key labour force indicators for Whitchurch-Stouffville and Ontario from 2006 to 2015. The following observations can be made9:

In 2015, the labour force participation rate and employment rate are significantly lower in Whitchurch-Stouffville when compared to 2006 and 2011.

Both the labour force participation rate and employment rate for Whitchurch-Stouffville are lower in 2015 compared to the Ontario rates.

The unemployment rate in Whitchurch-Stouffville and Ontario has followed the same pattern between 2006 and 2015, with the Town’s rate being lower than the provincial average in each of 2006, 2011 and 2015.

Figure 12: Labour Force Indicators, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario 2006, 2011 & 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006, 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015.

9 Participation rate %=labour force/total population 15+, Employment rate %= employed/total population 15+, Unemployment rate %=unemployed/labour force

54.0

56.0

58.0

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

2006 2011 2015

Percentage

Year

Whitchurch‐Stouffville Participation Rate Whitchurch‐Stouffville Employment Rate

Ontario Participation Rate Ontario Employment Rate



Figure 13: Unemployment Rate, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario 2006, 2011 & 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006, 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015.

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

2006 2011 2015

Percentage

Year

Whitchurch‐Stouffville Unemployment Rate Ontario Unemployment Rate



6.2 Labour Force by Industry Figure 14 and Table 23 (in the Appendix), indicate the industries worked in by Whitchurch-Stouffville’s resident workforce. Figure 14: Labour Force by Industry, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. In 2015, a larger percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s resident labour force worked in the following industries as compared to Ontario:

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting; utilities; construction; wholesale trade; information and cultural industries; finance and insurance; professional, scientific and technical services; management of companies and enterprises; admin and support, waste management and remediation services; educational services; arts, entertainment and recreation; and other services (except public administration) A smaller percentage of Whitchurch-Stouffville’s resident labour force, as compared to Ontario, worked in:

Mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction; manufacturing; retail trade; transportation and warehousing; real estate and renting and leasing; health care and social assistance; accommodation and food services; and public administration

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and huntingMining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction

UtilitiesConstruction

ManufacturingWholesale trade

Retail tradeTransportation and warehousing

Information and cultural industriesFinance and insurance

Real estate and rental and leasingProfessional, scientific and technical servicesManagement of companies and enterprises

Admin. and support, waste management and remediation…Educational services

Health care and social assistanceArts, entertainment and recreationAccommodation and food services

Other services (except public administration)Public administration

Percentage

Industry

Ontario % Whitchurch‐Stouffville %



6.3 Labour Force by Occupation Figure 15 and Table 24 (in the Appendix) compare the estimated percentages of the labour force in Whitchurch-Stouffville to Ontario by occupation for 2015. In comparison to the province, Whitchurch-Stouffville has larger percentages of its labour force working in:

Management Business, finance and administration Natural and applied sciences and related Education, law and social, community and government services Art, culture, recreation and sport Trades, transport and equipment operators and related Natural resources, agriculture and related production.

As compared to Ontario, Whitchurch-Stouffville has smaller percentages of its labour force working in:

Health Sales and service Manufacturing and utilities.

Figure 15: Labour Force by Occupation, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015

Source: McSweeney & Associates Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015.

0 5 10 15 20 25

Management

Business, finance and administration

Natural and applied sciences and related

Health

Education, law and social, community and gov't services

Art, culture, recreation and sport

Sales and service

Trades, transport and equipment operators and related

Natural resources, agriculture and related production

Manufacturing and utilities

Percentage

Occupations

Ontario Whitchurch‐Stouffville



6.4 Commuting Flow The following two tables provide information on persons reporting a “usual place of work other than in their home or outside of Canada”, and reveal the following regarding labour force commuting:

The majority of the Whitchurch-Stouffville resident labour force who worked outside of Whitchurch-Stouffville commuted to work in Toronto and York Region.

The largest number of non-residential labour force commuting to work in Whitchurch-Stouffville travelled from Toronto, Durham and York Regions.

79.7% of the workers living in Whitchurch-Stouffville had a usual place of work outside Whitchurch-Stouffville.

64.0% of workers declaring a usual place of work in Whitchurch-Stouffville lived outside of Whitchurch-Stouffville.

Table 5: Where Whitchurch-Stouffville Resident Labour Force Works, 2011 Place of Work Total Male Female Toronto, C 5,210 2,810 2,395 Whitchurch-Stouffville, T 3,025 1,440 1,585 Markham, T 2,970 1,415 1,555 Richmond Hill, T 880 405 470 Vaughan, CY 615 410 210 Aurora, T 510 165 345 Newmarket, T 445 170 270 Mississauga, CY 405 270 135 Pickering, CY 180 135 50 Uxbridge, TP 175 95 85 Brampton, CY 115 95 25 Ajax, T 100 50 50 East Gwillimbury, T 65 25 40 King, TP 60 25 35 Oshawa, CY 55 35 20 Bradford West Gwillimbury, T 55 35 0 Whitby, T 30 0 25 Scugog, TP 20 0 10 Georgina, T 20 0 20 Caledon, T 20 20 0 Total Resident Labour Force 14,955 7,600 7,325 Total resident labour force with a usual place of work outside of Whitchurch-Stouffville

11,930 6,160 5,740

Percent of residents declaring a place of work outside of Whitchurch-Stouffville

79.7% 81.0% 78.3%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey, Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 99-012-X2011032.



Table 6: Place of Residence for Persons Working in Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2011 Place of Residence Total Male Female Whitchurch-Stouffville, T 3,025 1,440 1,585 Markham, T 920 405 515 Toronto, C 755 515 240 Uxbridge, TP 550 270 285 Newmarket, T 465 290 175 Georgina, T 390 180 205 Scugog, TP 380 200 185 East Gwillimbury, T 350 145 205 Aurora, T 280 190 90 Richmond Hill, T 245 155 90 Pickering, CY 180 55 125 Vaughan, CY 140 120 20 Whitby, T 130 60 75 Oshawa, T 105 75 30 Kawartha Lakes, CY 100 70 30 Ajax, T 85 45 40 Bradford West Gwillimbury, T 70 50 20 Brampton, CY 55 40 0 Clarington, MU 50 35 15 Brock, TP 50 35 0 Mississauga, CY 35 30 0 Barrie, CY 35 30 0 Innisfil, T 25 20 0 Total Workforce working in Whitchurch-Stouffville

8,420 4,455 3,930

Total non-resident workforce commuting to work to Whitchurch-Stouffville

5,395 3,015 2,345

Percent of workers (non-residents) commuting to work to Whitchurch-Stouffville

64.0% 67.6% 59.6%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey, Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 99-012-X2011032.



7 Economic Base Analysis This section uses the number of “jobs” in Whitchurch-Stouffville as input for the economic base analysis. More specifically, by “jobs” we are referring to the employed labour force declaring a usual place of work in Whitchurch-Stouffville (outside the home) versus labour force by place of residence. The employed labour force therefore includes Whitchurch-Stouffville residents and non-residents. 7.1 Employment Profile The Statistics Canada “North American Industry Classification System” (NAICS) of classifying industries is used for this report. The largest grouping or aggregations of industries categories are called Sectors, which are broken down into Sub-sectors, which are then further broken down into Industries. An example of this breakdown follows: Sector Level 31-33 Manufacturing industries Sub-sector Level 311 Food manufacturing Industry Level 3111 Animal food manufacturing



The following figure illustrates that there are 15,829 jobs in Whitchurch-Stouffville in 2015. With 3,412 jobs in 2015, the construction sector employer was the largest sector in Whitchurch-Stouffville. Figure 16: Number of Jobs by Sector for Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2015

NAICS Industry 2015 Jobs

11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 420

21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 18

22 Utilities 78

23 Construction 3,412

31-33 Manufacturing 1,277

41 Wholesale trade 527

44-45 Retail trade 1,681

48-49 Transportation and warehousing 539

51 Information and cultural industries 287

52 Finance and insurance 498

53 Real estate and rental and leasing 322

54 Professional, scientific and technical services 1,135

55 Management of companies and enterprises 35

56 Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services 1,242

61 Educational services 736

62 Health care and social assistance 939

71 Arts, entertainment and recreation 785

72 Accommodation and food services 667

81 Other services (except public administration) 776

91 Public administration 303

X0 Unclassified 152

15,829

Total Jobs (2015) Source: www.economicmodeling.com – Employees & Self-Employed – EMSI 2015.3.



7.2 Location Quotient Analysis An economic base analysis is an analysis of how the local economy functions. It does not provide solutions to economic problems, but instead provides useful information required for decision-making about economic strategies. The economic base analysis helps determine which economic activities “bring money in”, and where money might be “leaking out”. While the actual flow of money in and out of Whitchurch-Stouffville would be the most accurate means of describing the economic base of the area, data or statistics for this form of cash flow analysis are not available. As such, a surrogate for cash flow is required, and the most common substitute is employment which uses an economic base analysis tool called “Location Quotient Analysis”. This method compares the level of employment concentration (or specialization) in Whitchurch-Stouffville to the level of employment concentration in one or more benchmark areas. In other words, does Whitchurch-Stouffville have proportionately more or less employees in specific industries than the benchmark area? “Benchmarking” employment in Whitchurch-Stouffville to Ontario and Canada provides information on:

The extent to which Whitchurch-Stouffville is producing all of the goods or services required for consumption in Whitchurch-Stouffville (this potentially identifies opportunities to replace the imports with locally provided goods and services).

Whether the Whitchurch-Stouffville economy is producing goods or services in excess of quantities required for local consumption, indicating a high degree of development and specialization (or industry concentration) that results from the goods or services being consumed by non-residents.

The location quotient method is a “first cut” analysis that requires interpretation of the results, but it will point to the economic sectors that deserve a more thorough and in-depth analysis and “street-level” validation. A location quotient of between 0.75 and 1.25 generally indicates the local economy is self-sufficient in that industry. A 1.0 would indicate the exact same proportion of that industry’s jobs to all Whitchurch-Stouffville jobs as to that of the benchmark, in this case, Canada. A location quotient of less than 0.75 usually indicates a lack of self-sufficiency, requiring an importation of goods or services, as there is insufficient local employment to produce the required goods/services. A location quotient of greater than 1.25 usually indicates the industry has more local employment than is required to sustain the needs of Whitchurch-Stouffville; therefore, it will export its goods or services and bring money into the community.



7.2.1 Location Quotients Analysis by Sector The next figure illustrates the location quotients for Whitchurch-Stouffville by employment sector compared to Ontario and Canada as benchmarks. Figure 17: Location Quotients by Employment Sectors, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2015

Source: www.economicmodeling.com – Employees & Self-Employed – EMSI 2015.3. Sector location quotients for Whitchurch-Stouffville vary when compared to Ontario and Canada, however most sectors are self-sufficient. Employment in the construction sector was the most highly concentrated sector in Whitchurch-Stouffville in 2015. Compared to Ontario and Canada, employment sectors in Whitchurch-Stouffville which also had a higher than normal concentration were:

Arts, entertainment and recreation Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services.

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction

Utilities

Construction

Manufacturing

Wholesale trade

Retail trade

Transportation and wareh

ousing

Inform

ation and cultural industries

Finance and insurance

Real estate and ren

tal and leasing

Professional, scientific and technical services

Managem

ent of companies and enterprises

Administrative and support, w

aste…

Educational services

Health care and social assistance

Arts, entertainmen

t and recreation

Accommodation and food services

Other services (except public administration)

Public administration

Unclassified

Location Quotients

Sector

2015 Provincial Location Quotient 2015 National Location Quotient



7.2.2 Dominant Sub-Sectors Figure 18 illustrates the subsectors that have a significant concentration in Whitchurch-Stouffville (top ten 2015 provincial location quotient with 0.5% percentage of jobs). Figure 18: Employment Sub-sectors with High Location Quotients, W-S, 2015

Source: www.economicmodeling.com – Employees & Self-Employed – EMSI 2015.3. In terms of jobs at the sub-sector level, the specialty trade contractors, professional, scientific and technical services, and administrative and supportive services sub-sectors dominates employment levels. Other sub-sectors with high concentrations compared to Ontario and Canada are as follows:

Heavy and civil engineering construction Amusement, gambling and recreation industries Chemical manufacturing.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Heavy and civil engineering construction

Amusement, gamblin

g an

d recreation

industries

Specialty trade contractors

Chemical m

anufacturing

Construction of build

ings

Farm

s

Tran

sit an

d ground passenger tran

sportation

Gen

eral m

erchan

dise stores

Administrative an

d support services

Personal and laundry services

Location Quotients

Sub‐sector

2015 Provincial Location Quotient 2015 National Location Quotient



7.2.3 Location Quotients Analysis by Industry Level The figure below demonstrates the employment figures by industries that have a significant concentration in Whitchurch-Stouffville. Figure 19: W-S Employment Industries with High Location Quotients, 2015

Source: www.economicmodeling.com – Employees & Self-Employed – EMSI 2015.3. In terms of employment at the industry level, the following industries have very high concentrations:

Land subdivision Vending machine operators Other electrical equipment and component manufacturing Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing Other non-metallic mineral product manufacturing Highway, street and bridge construction Other specialty trade contractors.

4.06

4.76

4.97

5.64

5.77

5.97

6.38

7.23

7.38

8.07

8.10

8.14

8.22

9.50

14.69

19.52

26.65

6.55

7.02

4.71

7.46

5.67

6.13

5.78

10.58

9.10

5.98

5.65

3.69

2.14

4.51

18.72

14.41

23.74

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00

Data processing, hosting, and related services

Clay product and refractory manufacturing

Foundation, structure, and building exterior contractors

School and employee bus transportation

Other amusement and recreation industries

Cement and concrete product manufacturing

Remediation and other waste management services

Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing

Other non‐metallic mineral product manufacturing

Highway, street and bridge construction

Other specialty trade contractors

Veneer, plywood and engineered wood product…

Sawmills and wood preservation

Rooming and boarding houses

Other electrical equipment and component…

Vending machine operators

Land subdivision

Location Quotients

Industry

2015 National Location Quotient 2015 Provincial Location Quotient



7.3 Shift-Share Analysis Shift-share analysis compares the local employment growth/decline of Whitchurch-Stouffville jobs by industry to the employment growth/decline of that industry within Canada, as well as the job growth overall for Canada. More specifically, this analytical tool examines the job growth/decline by attributing growth, stability, or decline in particular industries over time to three distinct forces:

Canadian economic growth: regional job growth/decline that is attributable to the growth, stability, or decline of the entire Canadian economy.

Industry growth: regional job growth/decline that is attributable to the growth, stability, or decline of that particular economic activity in the Canadian economy (with the economic growth component removed).

Regional economic growth: regional job growth/decline that is attributable to the regional economy because it is growing/declining more or less quickly than jobs in the larger economy (with the Canadian economic and industry growth components removed).

This tool, when correctly interpreted, provides greater descriptive power than the location quotient method. It has been applied to all NAICS Industry Sectors using place of work statistics. Shift-share analysis allows the examination of changes through time (trends) versus the static snapshot of location quotients. To begin, the change in absolute job numbers between 2008 and 2015 by sector will be examined.



The following chart illustrates changes in job numbers by sector in Whitchurch-Stouffville between 2008 and 2015. The figure points out that the largest increase in jobs between 2008 and 2015 was in the construction sector (increased from 2,514 to 3,412 jobs). The largest decline in jobs was in the wholesale trade sector, which decreased from 620 in 2008 to 527 in 2015. Table 7: Job Change by Sector, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2008 - 2015

Sector 2015 Jobs

2008 Jobs

ChangePercent Change

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 420 472 (52) (11%)

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 18 42 (24) (57%)

Utilities 78 81 (3) (4%)

Construction 3,412 2,514 898 36%

Manufacturing 1,277 1,337 (60) (4%)

Wholesale trade 527 620 (93) (15%)

Retail trade 1,681 1,337 344 26%

Transportation and warehousing 539 506 33 7%

Information and cultural industries 287 148 139 94%

Finance and insurance 498 369 129 35%

Real estate and rental and leasing 322 267 55 21%

Professional, scientific and technical services 1,135 855 280 33%

Management of companies and enterprises 35 33 2 6%

Admin. and support, waste management and remediation services 1,242 812 430 53%

Educational services 736 560 176 31%

Health care and social assistance 939 914 25 3%

Arts, entertainment and recreation 785 655 130 20%

Accommodation and food services 667 626 41 7%

Other services (except public administration) 776 571 205 36%

Public administration 303 272 31 11%

Unclassified 152 107 45 42%

Total 15,829 13,097 2,732 21%

Source: www.economicmodeling.com – Employees & Self-Employed – EMSI 2015.3.



Table 8: Shift-Share Analysis for Jobs by Sector, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2008 – 2015

Sectors (NAICS Classification) 2008 Jobs

2015 Jobs

Growth/Decline

Nat. Growth Effect

Ind. Mix Effect

Expect Change

Local Effect

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 472 420 (52) 24 (67) (43) (8) Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 42 18 (24) 2 3 5 (29) Utilities 81 78 (3) 4 (7) (3) 0 Construction 2,514 3,412 898 125 257 382 516 Manufacturing 1,337 1,277 (60) 67 (228) (161) 101 Wholesale trade 620 527 (93) 31 (26) 5 (97) Retail trade 1,337 1,681 344 67 (54) 13 332 Transportation and warehousing 506 539 33 25 11 36 (3) Information and cultural industries 148 287 139 7 (14) (7) 146 Finance and insurance 369 498 129 18 7 25 104 Real estate and rental and leasing 267 322 55 13 14 27 28 Professional, scientific and technical services 855 1,135 280 43 56 99 181 Management of companies and enterprises 33 35 2 2 (5) (3) 6 Admin, waste mgmt. and remediation services 812 1,242 430 40 (21) 19 411 Educational services 560 736 176 28 20 48 128 Health care and social assistance 914 939 25 46 104 150 (124) Arts, entertainment and recreation 655 785 130 33 13 46 84 Accommodation and food services 626 667 41 31 41 72 (31) Other services (except public administration) 571 776 205 28 (20) 8 197 Public administration 272 303 31 14 (4) 10 21 Unclassified 107 152 45 5 15 20 24 Total 13,097 15,829 2,732 652 94 746 1,986

Source: www.economicmodeling.com – Employees & Self-Employed – EMSI 2015.3. The shift-share analysis table above explains 2008-2015 job growth in Whitchurch-Stouffville for each industry sector by attributing absolute changes in job numbers to national, industry and regional growth effects. An example of how to interpret the table follows:

The construction sector experienced an increase of 898 jobs between 2008 and 2015. This increase may be attributed to the following:

o Overall job growth in the national economy would have resulted in the growth of 125 jobs;

o Jobs in the construction industry in Canada increased, therefore 257 job changes could be expected due to industry job effect;

o The total construction job increased in Whitchurch-Stouffville was 898, of which 125 can be attributed to the national economic growth and 257 job change can be attributed in the industry effect, therefore the local effect was an increase of 516 jobs.

With a loss of 93 jobs, the wholesale trade sector experienced the largest decrease between 2008 and 2015. This loss may be attributed as follows:

o Overall job growth in the national economy would have resulted in a growth of 31 wholesale trade jobs;



o Jobs in the wholesale trade industry in Canada increased during this period, however, a decrease of 26 jobs could be expected due to industry job decline;

o Since a total loss of 93 jobs can be attributed to the industry decline (-26) and a growth of the national economy (31), the local effect was a loss of 97 jobs in Whitchurch-Stouffville.

The shift-share analysis reveals the following:

The following sectors were growing at a more rapid rate than can be explained by national and industry growth combined, and were an area of strength in Whitchurch-Stouffville between 2008 and 2015.

o Construction (+516) o Administrative support/waste management/remediation services (+411) o Retail trade (+332) o Other services (except public administration) (+197) o Professional, scientific and technical services (+181) o Information and cultural industries (+146) o Educational services (+128) o Finance and insurance (+104) o Manufacturing (+101) o Arts, entertainment and recreation (+84) o Real estate and rental and leasing (+28) o Public administration (+21) o Management of companies and enterprises (+6) o Utilities. (0)

Employment in the following sectors in Whitchurch-Stouffville suffered local weakness between 2008 and 2015 after considering both national and industry growth:

o Health care and social assistance (-124) o Wholesale Trade (-97) o Accommodation and food services (-31) o Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction (-29) o Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting (-8) o Transportation and warehousing. (-3)



8 Economic Development Trends Analysis

8.1 Site Selection Factors In 2014, Annual Corporate Survey and the Consultants Survey were conducted to rate site selection factors and the impact these factors have on planning decisions. 10 Highlighted points of the survey are as follows:

Highway accessibility, Availability of skilled labour, and Available land were all in the top 5 most important site selection factors in 2014.

Highway accessibility was the top location factor in both surveys. Available land jumped from 10th to 3rd on the Corporate Survey from 2013 to 2014. Expedited or “fast-track” permitting rose to 4th from 10th in the Consulting Survey. Low crime rate and Colleges and universities in the area were the top Quality of

Life factors in the respective Corporate and Consultants surveys. Ratings of public schools was also an important factor.

The following two tables provide more detailed results of the 2014 Corporate Survey and Consultants Survey 2014.

10 For more information about the survey please go to : http://www.areadevelopment.com/Corporate-Consultants-Survey-Results/Q1-2014/28th-Corporate-Executive-RE-survey-results-6574981.shtml



Table 9: Site Selection Factors – Corporate Survey 2014 Area Development Combined Ratings* of 2014 FactorsRanking ‐ Site Selection Factors 2014 20131. Highway accessibility 88.3 93.5 (2)**2. Occupancy or construction costs 87.9 87.4 (4)3. Available land 85.7 80.3 (13)4. Available buildings 82.2 83.8 (6)5. Availability of skilled labour 82.1 95.1 (1)6. Labour costs 81.6 90.8 (3)7. Right‐to‐work state 77.9 80.6 (T11)8. Proximity to major markets 77.1 75.6 (15)9. Energy availability and costs 76.8 80.8 (10)10. Corporate tax rate 75.6 82.4 (7)11. Tax exemptions 73.2 80.6 (11)11T. State and local incentives 73.2 81.9 (8)13. Expedited or “fast‐track” permitting 71.0 76.3 (14)14. Low union profile 70.9 81.4 (9)15. Inbound/Outbound shipping costs 69.5 70.9 (18)16. Environmental regulations 68.6 71.7 (17)17. Availability of long‐term financing 63.1 74.8 (16)18. Training programs 62.8 51.5 (23)19. Accessibility to major airport 62.4 59.4 (21)20. Proximity to college/technical training 61.5 54.1 (22)21. Proximity to suppliers 60.3 67.7 (19)22. Raw materials availability 53.7 60.5 (20)23. Availability of unskilled labour 52.5 48.9 (24)24. Availability of advanced ICT services 45.1 84.6 (5)25. Water availability 44.0 N/A26. Railroad service 30.9 29.4 (25)27. Waterway or ocean port accessibility 27.8 20.2 (26)Ranking ‐ Quality‐of‐life Factors

1. Low crime rate 84.4 80.9 (1)**

2. Ratings of public schools 75.3 73.0 (4)

3. Healthcare facilities 74.2 79.7 (2)

4. Housing availability 69.7 71.5 (5)4T. Housing costs 69.7 75.3 (3)

6. Colleges and universities in area 68.3 59.5 (7)7. Recreational opportunities 65.9 66.4 (6)

8. Cultural opportunities 60.8 54.8 (8)9. Climate 60.0 59.5 (7T)*All figures are percentages and are the total of “very important” and “important” ratings of the Area Development Corporate Survey and are rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent. **(2013 ranking)

Source: Area Development Magazine Special Presentation (Q1 2015)



Table 10: Consultants Survey 2014 Area Development Combined Ratings* of 2014 FactorsRanking – Site Selection Factors 2014 20131. Highway accessibility 98.6 97.4 (2)**2. Availability of skilled labour 97.3 98.3 (1)2T. Labour costs 97.3 92.9 (5T)4. Expedited or “fast‐track” permitting 97.2 87.7 (10)5. Available land 95.8 93.0 (4)5T. State and local incentives 95.8 93.8 (3)7. Energy availability and costs 91.6 88.6 (8T)8. Proximity to major markets 91.5 92.9 (5T)9. Occupancy or construction costs 90.2 84.2 (16)9T. Tax exemptions 90.2 91.9 (7)11. Available buildings 88.8 83.1 (18)12. Corporate tax rate 86.1 86.8 (11)12T. Accessibility to major airport 86.1 88.6 (8T)14. Proximity to suppliers 85.9 86.7 (12)15. Training programs 83.3 79.0 (20)16. Low union profile 82.2 85.9 (14)17. Environmental regulations 78.9 84.1 (17)18. Inbound/outbound shipping costs 77.4 81.8 (19)19. Right‐to‐work state 74.0 86.0 (13)20. Railroad service 69.0 50.0 (25)21. Water availability 68.0 N/A22. Proximity to college/technical training 66.7 78.1 (21)23. Availability of unskilled labour 65.3 53.1 (24)24. Availability of advanced ICT services 62.0 85.0 (15)24T. Raw materials availability 62.0 69.9 (22)26. Waterway or ocean port accessibility 47.1 39.3 (26)27. Availability of long‐term financing 38.9 59.4 (23)Ranking – Quality‐of‐life Factors

1. Colleges and universities in area 79.1 82.5 (1)

2. Low crime rate 75.0 78.0 (2)

3. Ratings of public schools 72.2 77.0 (3)

4. Healthcare facilities 62.5 70.2 (5)

5. Housing availability 56.9 68.4 (6)

6. Climate 54.2 61.4 (7)

7. Housing costs 54.1 74.3 (4)

8. Recreational opportunities 47.3 49.5 (9)

9. Cultural opportunities 44.5 51.7 (8)*All figures are percentages and are the total of “very important” and “important” ratings of the Area Development Corporate Survey and are rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent. **(2013 ranking)

Source: Area Development Magazine Special Presentation (Q1 2015)



Appendix A: Data Tables Table 11: Percentage Population by Age, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2006, 2011 & 2015 Age Segment 2006 Percentage 2011 Percentage 2015 Percentage

Total population 24,390 100.00 37,628 100.00 45,335 100.00

Population age 0-4 1,200 4.92 2,665 7.08 3,038 6.70

Population age 5-9 1,480 6.07 2,365 6.29 3,215 7.09

Population age 10-14 1,755 7.20 2,245 5.97 2,905 6.41

Population age 15-19 1,775 7.28 2,265 6.02 2,593 5.72

Population age 20-24 1,380 5.66 1,955 5.20 2,533 5.59

Population age 25-29 935 3.83 2,145 5.70 2,558 5.64

Population age 30-34 1,130 4.63 2,820 7.49 3,012 6.64

Population age 35-39 1,595 6.54 2,890 7.68 3,415 7.53

Population age 40-44 2,130 8.73 2,805 7.45 3,318 7.32

Population age 45-49 2,215 9.08 2,845 7.56 3,195 7.05

Population age 50-54 1,925 7.89 2,750 7.31 3,065 6.76

Population age 55-59 1,805 7.40 2,330 6.19 2,885 6.36

Population age 60-64 1,370 5.62 2,240 5.95 2,448 5.40

Population age 65-69 1,050 4.31 1,640 4.36 2,392 5.28

Population age 70-74 945 3.87 1,260 3.35 1,703 3.76

Population age 75-79 745 3.05 1,040 2.76 1,206 2.66

Population age 80-84 505 2.07 720 1.91 967 2.13

Population age 85+ 445 1.82 645 1.71 887 1.96

Median Age of Pop 42.2 39.1 40.95 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006, 2011 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015, York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015.



Table 12: Percentage Population by Age, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015

Age Segment Whitchurch‐Stouffville

Percentage Ontario Percentage

Total population 45,335 100.00 13,780,979 100.00

Population age 0-4 3,038 6.70 734,489 5.33

Population age 5-9 3,215 7.09 752,178 5.46

Population age 10-14 2,905 6.41 757,751 5.50

Population age 15-19 2,593 5.72 830,627 6.03

Population age 20-24 2,533 5.59 920,544 6.68

Population age 25-29 2,558 5.64 881,280 6.39

Population age 30-34 3,012 6.64 857,456 6.22

Population age 35-39 3,415 7.53 849,209 6.16

Population age 40-44 3,318 7.32 911,290 6.61

Population age 45-49 3,195 7.05 986,274 7.16

Population age 50-54 3,065 6.76 1,120,199 8.13

Population age 55-59 2,885 6.36 1,022,501 7.42

Population age 60-64 2,448 5.40 866,471 6.29

Population age 65-69 2,392 5.28 745,134 5.41

Population age 70-74 1,703 3.76 535,104 3.88

Population age 75-79 1,206 2.66 401,110 2.91

Population age 80-84 967 2.13 303,838 2.20

Population age 85+ 887 1.96 305,521 2.22

Median Age of Pop 40.95 41.68 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015, York Region Planning Estimates, December 31, 2015.



Table 13: Income Levels, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2010 & 2014 Income Levels W‐S 2010 Percentage W‐S 2014 Percentage Ontario 2014 PercentageIncome of population 15 years and over

29,935 41,557 11,536,559

Without income 1,310 1,823 615,987

With income 28,625 100.00 39,734 100.00 10,920,572 100.00

Under $5,000 2,885 10.08 3,784 9.52 1,127,084 10.32

$5,000 to $9,999 1,740 6.08 2,521 6.34 810,940 7.43

$10,000 to $14,999 1,900 6.64 2,735 6.88 947,532 8.68

$15,000 to $19,999 2,045 7.14 2,795 7.03 975,192 8.93

$20,000 to $29,999 3,170 11.07 4,233 10.65 1,452,156 13.30

$30,000 to $39,999 2,850 9.96 4,069 10.24 1,255,468 11.50

$40,000 to $49,999 3,000 10.48 4,121 10.37 1,081,202 9.90

$50,000 to $59,999 2,600 9.08 3,592 9.04 853,457 7.82

$60,000 to $79,999 3,285 11.48 4,478 11.27 1,032,244 9.45

$80,000 to $99,999 2,475 8.65 3,457 8.70 654,427 5.99

$100,000 and over 2,660 9.29 3,948 9.94 730,869 6.69

$100,000 to $124,999 1,065 3.72 1,682 4.23 356,485 3.26

$125,000 and over 1,595 5.57 2,265 5.70 374,384 3.43 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2011 (2010 incomes) and Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (2014 incomes).



Table 14: Total Income Levels, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014

Income Levels W‐S Percent ON Percent

Income of population 15 years and over 41,557 11,536,559

Without income 1,823 615,987

With income 39,734 100.00 10,920,572 100.00

Under $5,000 3,784 9.52 1,127,084 10.32

$5,000 to $9,999 2,521 6.34 810,940 7.43

$10,000 to $14,999 2,735 6.88 947,532 8.68

$15,000 to $19,999 2,795 7.03 975,192 8.93

$20,000 to $29,999 4,233 10.65 1,452,156 13.30

$30,000 to $39,999 4,069 10.24 1,255,468 11.50

$40,000 to $49,999 4,121 10.37 1,081,202 9.90

$50,000 to $59,999 3,592 9.04 853,457 7.82

$60,000 to $79,999 4,478 11.27 1,032,244 9.45

$80,000 to $99,999 3,457 8.70 654,427 5.99

$100,000 and over 3,948 9.94 730,869 6.69

$100,000 to $124,999 1,682 4.23 356,485 3.26

$125,000 and over 2,265 5.70 374,384 3.43

Median income ($) of total population 15 years and over 43,347 32,898

Average income ($) of total population 15 years and over 59,225 47,037 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (2014 incomes). Table 15: Family Income Levels, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014 Family Income Whitchurch‐Stouffville Ontario

Family income of economic families 13,586 3,876,390

Median family income ($) 115,220 90,574

Average family income ($) 145,273 113,454 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (2014 incomes).



Table 16: Household Income Levels, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2014

Household Income Levels Whitchurch‐Stouffville

Percent Ontario Percent

Household total income of private households. 17,560 100.00 5,291,909 100.00

Under $5,000 363 2.07 124,584 2.35

$5,000 to $9,999 195 1.11 98,736 1.87

$10,000 to $14,999 324 1.85 155,490 2.94

$15,000 to $19,999 364 2.07 237,356 4.49

$20,000 to $29,999 721 4.11 401,879 7.59

$30,000 to $39,999 902 5.14 446,742 8.44

$40,000 to $49,999 1,184 6.74 462,340 8.74

$50,000 to $59,999 1,209 6.88 473,779 8.95

$60,000 to $79,999 2,160 12.30 683,095 12.91

$80,000 to $99,999 2,057 11.71 620,364 11.72

$100,000 to $124,999 2,375 13.53 577,498 10.91

$125,000 to $149,999 2,198 12.52 404,990 7.65

$150,000 and over 3,506 19.97 605,055 11.43

Median household total income ($) 102,840 71,748

Average household total income ($) 129,911 94,943 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015 (2014 incomes). Table 17: Education Attainment, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 Education Attainment W‐S % Ontario % Total population 25 to 64 years by highest certificate, diploma or degree

27,164 100.00 7,494,680

No certificate, diploma or degree 2,204 8.11 11.04

Certificate, diploma or degree 24,960 91.89 88.96

High school certificate or equivalent 6,025 22.18 24.23

Postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree 18,935 69.71 64.73

Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma 2,023 7.45 7.63

College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma 7,141 26.29 23.73

University certificate, diploma or degree 9,771 35.97 33.37

University certificate or diploma below bachelor level 1,669 6.14 4.45

University certificate or degree 8,102 29.83 28.92

Bachelor's degree 5,615 20.67 17.76

University certificate or diploma above bachelor level 2,487 9.16 11.15 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015.



Table 18: Post-secondary Qualifications by Major Field of Study, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 Fields of Study W‐S % Ontario % Total population aged 15 years and over by major field of study

41,557 100.00 11,536,559

No postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree 16,829 40.50 45.49

Education 2,202 5.30 3.61

Visual and performing arts, and communications technologies 923 2.22 2.00

Humanities 1,593 3.83 3.21

Social and behavioural sciences and law 2,628 6.32 6.47

Business, management and public administration 6,187 14.89 11.90

Physical and life sciences and technologies 1,080 2.60 2.10

Mathematics, computer and information sciences 1,334 3.21 2.47

Architecture, engineering, and related technologies 4,999 12.03 11.32

Agriculture, natural resources and conservation 343 0.83 0.90

Health and related fields 2,326 5.60 7.63

Personal, protective and transportation services 1,113 2.68 2.84

Other fields of study 0 0.00 0.06 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. Table 19: Mobility Status, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 W-S W-S % Ontario % Total population 1 year and over (by mobility status 1 year ago) 50,956 100.0 13,780,978Non-movers 42,845 84.1 88.3 Movers 8,111 15.9 11.7 Non-migrants 2,249 4.4 6.9 Migrants 5,862 11.5 4.8 Internal migrants 5,571 10.9 3.9 Intraprovincial migrants 5,444 10.7 3.4 Interprovincial migrants 127 0.2 0.4 External migrants 291 0.6 1.0 Total population 5 years and over (by mobility status 5 years ago) 50,956 100.0 13,780,978Non-movers 25,659 50.4 62.1 Movers 25,297 49.6 37.9 Non-migrants 6,902 13.5 21.0 Migrants 18,395 36.1 16.9 Internal migrants 16,985 33.3 12.9 Intraprovincial migrants 16,671 32.7 11.4 Interprovincial migrants 315 0.6 1.5 External migrants 1,409 2.8 4.1




Table 20: Visible Minority Population as Percentage of Population, Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2015 2001 2006 2011 2015

Total Population 22,008 24,390 37,628 50,956

Visible Minority Population 990 1,775 9,135 12,570

Percentage 4.50 7.28 24.28 24.67 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. Table 21: Distribution of Visible Minority Population in Whitchurch-Stouffville, 2015 Percentage

South Asian 4,133 32.88

Chinese 4,063 32.33

Black 1,110 8.83

Filipino 953 7.58

Southeast Asian 389 3.09

West Asian 320 2.55

Arab 256 2.04

Latin American 253 2.01

Korean 199 1.58

Japanese 98 0.78

Visible minority 317 2.52

Multiple visible minorities 478 3.80

Total 12,569 100.00 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. Table 22: Labour Force Indicators, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2006, 2011 & 2015

Whitchurch‐Stouffville Ontario

Characteristic 2006 2011 2015 2006 2011 2015 Total population 15 years and over by labour force activity

19,690 29,935 41,557 9,819,420 10,473,670 11,536,559

In the labour force 13,700 21,115 26,766 6,587,580 6,864,990 7,647,348

Employed 13,105 19,780 25,225 6,164,245 6,297,005 7,079,476

Unemployed: 595 1,335 1,541 423,335 567,985 567,872

Not in the labour force 5,990 8,820 14,791 3,231,840 3,608,685 3,889,211

Participation rate 69.6 70.5 64.4 67.1 65.5 66.29

Employment rate 66.6 66.1 60.7 62.8 60.1 61.37

Unemployment rate 4.3 6.3 5.76 6.4 8.3 7.43




Table 23: Labour Force by Industry, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 Industries W‐S Percent Ontario Percent

All industries 26,257 100.00 7,441,940 100.00

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 412 1.57 114,790 1.54

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 24 0.09 30,368 0.41

Utilities 237 0.90 63,379 0.85

Construction 2,384 9.08 463,281 6.23

Manufacturing 1,779 6.78 780,868 10.49

Wholesale trade 1,917 7.30 343,052 4.61

Retail trade 2,812 10.71 838,007 11.26

Transportation and warehousing 679 2.59 344,689 4.63

Information and cultural industries 874 3.33 197,642 2.66

Finance and insurance 2,192 8.35 407,056 5.47

Real estate and rental and leasing 476 1.81 148,810 2.00

Professional, scientific and technical services 2,443 9.30 569,355 7.65

Management of companies and enterprises 51 0.19 6,608 0.09 Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services

1,507 5.74 343,740 4.62

Educational services 2,241 8.53 555,129 7.46

Health care and social assistance 1,774 6.76 770,778 10.36

Arts, entertainment and recreation 755 2.88 158,687 2.13

Accommodation and food services 1,018 3.88 462,971 6.22

Other services (except public administration) 1,238 4.71 329,537 4.43

Public administration 1,444 5.50 513,194 6.90 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015. Table 24: Labour Force by Occupation, Whitchurch-Stouffville vs. Ontario, 2015 Occupations W‐S Percent Ontario Percent

All occupations 26,257 100.00 7,441,940 100.00

Management occupations 3,906 14.88 861,406 11.58

Business, finance and administration occupations 4,921 18.74 1,271,626 17.09

Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 2,040 7.77 552,122 7.42

Health occupations 957 3.64 437,018 5.87 Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services

3,412 12.99 891,402 11.98

Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 958 3.65 227,173 3.05

Sales and service occupations 5,380 20.49 1,725,377 23.18 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations

3,609 13.74 965,698 12.98

Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations

554 2.11 118,396 1.59

Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 520 1.98 391,722 5.26 Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. SuperDemographics 2015.

Situational Analysis Report for the Town of Whitchurch ...

Documents

Transcript of Situational Analysis Report for the Town of Whitchurch ...