Simple “Stommel” model of THC thresholds
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Transcript of Simple “Stommel” model of THC thresholds
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
Simple “Stommel” model of THC thresholds
Idealized map of pathways and transports for NADW formation
Abrupt Change of the Thermohaline Circulation
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
Precipitation-minus-evaporation change in third decade
Surface temperature change in third decade
Response of a climate model to THC shutdown
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
What is happening in the North
Atlantic and Arctic at present?
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
Response of a climate models to future warming
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
Response of MOC to transient climate change is a result of several competing processes
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
ARCSS Synthesis Retreat, 8-14 August 2004, Lake Tahoe
Simple “Stommel” model of THC thresholds
Idealized map of pathways and transports for NADW formation
Abrupt Change of the Thermohaline Circulation