Simple Linear Regression and Measures of Correlation

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    SIMPLE LINEAR

    REGRESSION ANDMEASURES OF

    CORRELATION

    Prepared by:

    Carmela S. Obayan

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    TOPIC OUTLINE

    1. Simple Linear RegressionA. The Scatter Diagram

    B. The Least Squares Linear Regression Equation

    C. The Standard Error of Estimate

    2. Measures of Correlation

    A. Description of Correlation

    B. Correlation Between Interval Data1. Pearson r from Raw Scores

    2. Pearson r Computed from Standard Scores

    3. Pearson r Computed by the Method Difference

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    TOPIC OUTLINE

    C. Correlation Between Ordinal Data1. Spearman Rho

    2. Gamma

    D. Correlation Between an Interval and NominalData

    1. The Correlation Ratio

    2. The point-Biseral Ordinal Data

    3. The Z-test

    4. The t- test

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    SCATTERDIAGRAM

    A graphical approach in

    solving problems that

    concern estimation and

    forecasting

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    SCATTERDIAGRAM

    A graphical approach in

    solving problems that concern

    estimation and forecasting.

    Consist of joining points

    corresponding to the pairedscores of dependent and

    independent variables.

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    EXAMPLE: Working Experience and Income

    of 8 Employees

    Employees Years of WorkingExperience (X) Income in Thousandof Pesos(Y)

    A 2 8

    B 8 10C 4 11

    D 11 13

    E 5 9F 13 17

    G 4 8

    H 15 14

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    SCATTERDIAGRAM

    Working Experience and Income of 8 Employees

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    THE LEAST SQUARE LINEARREGRESSION

    If a straight line appears to

    describe the relationship, the

    regression formula can be used.

    Y = a + bx

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    THE LEAST SQUARE LINEAR

    REGRESSION

    b = (X X)(Y Y)

    (X X)2

    a = Y - bX

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    STANDARD ERRORESTIMATE

    The distance of the Y values

    from Y1.

    Se = Y2a(Y)b(XY)

    n - 2

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    MEASURES OF CORRELATION

    When the degree of

    relationship is measured,correlation is basically

    the test of measurement.

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    MEASURES OF CORRELATION

    The two variables tend to

    vary together; the

    presence of one indicatesthe presence of the

    other; one can be

    predicted from thepresence of the other.

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    MEASURES OF CORRELATION

    The degree of relationship

    between variables is expressed

    into:1. Perfect Correlation

    2. Some degree of Correlation

    3. No Correlation

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    MEASURES OF CORRELATION

    REMINDERS:

    The relationship of two

    variables does notnecessarily mean that

    one is the cause or the

    effect of the other

    variable.

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    MEASURES OF CORRELATION

    REMINDERS: When the computed r is high,

    it does not necessarily mean

    that one factor is stronglydependent on the other.

    On the other hand, when the

    computed r is small it doesnot necessarily mean thatone factor has no dependenceon the other factor.

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    EXAMPLE: Given set of scores X and Y,

    find Pearson r

    X YA 18 10

    B 16 14

    C 14 8

    D 13 12

    E 12 10

    F 10 8

    G 10 7

    H 8 6

    I 6 5

    J 3 0

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    RAWSCORES

    r

    r = NXY XY[NX2-(X)2][NY2-(Y)2]

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    STANDARD SCORES

    r

    Step 1 = Solve X and Y

    X = XN

    Y = YN

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    STANDARD SCORES

    r

    Step 3 = Find the standard

    deviation of X and Y

    Sx = X2

    N

    Sy = Y2

    N

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    STANDARD SCORES

    r

    Step 4 = Find the values standard

    scores of X and Y

    Zx = X-X

    Zy = Y-Y

    S

    S

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    STANDARD SCORES

    r

    Step 5 = Multiply ZX and ZY

    r = ZX-ZY

    N

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    THE PEARSON R FROMBY THE

    METHOD OF DIFFERENCES

    r

    r = Sx2

    + Sy2

    Sd2

    2SxSy

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    THE PEARSON R FROMBY THE

    METHOD OF DIFFERENCES

    r

    X2= X2(X)2

    N

    Y2= Y2(Y)2

    N

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    STANDARD SCORES

    r

    Sx = X2

    N

    Sy = Y2

    N

    T P R F T

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    THE PEARSON R FROMTHE

    STANDARD SCORES

    r

    D2 = D2 (D)2N

    T P R F B T

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    THE PEARSON R FROMBY THE

    METHOD OF DIFFERENCES

    r

    r = Sx2

    + Sy2

    Sd2

    2SxSy

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    Spearman Rho

    o This is the Spearman

    rank-order correlation

    coefficient (Rho).

    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA

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    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA

    o For cases of 30 or

    less, Spearmanpisthe most widely

    used of the rank

    correlationmethods.

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    p= 1 - 6D2N(N2 -

    1)

    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA

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    Gamma

    oAn alternative to therank-order

    correlation

    coefficient is the

    Goodmans and

    Kruskals gamma (G).

    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA

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    G = Ns N1Ns + N1

    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA

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    Step 1

    Arrange the ordering for one of

    the two characteristics from the

    highest to the highest to the

    lowest or vice versa from the top

    to the bottom through the rows

    and for the other characteristicfrom the highest to the lowest or

    vice versa from left to right

    through the column.

    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA

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    Step 2

    Compute Ns by multiplying the

    frequency in every cell by the

    series of the frequencies in all

    CORRELATION BETWEEN ORDINAL

    DATA