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NSC 2019 Winter Conference:Silviculture Practices for Changing Forest Landscapes, Values, and ExpectationsFebruary 26-27, 2019

Provincial Reforestation Program:Seedlings – Drivers, Demand and

Capacity

Neil Hughes RPFResource Practices Branch, FLNRORDNorthern Silviculture Committee Meeting

February 26th 2019Prince George

Seedling Demand Drivers

• Harvesting• Beetle Kill• Wildfires

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British Columbia Provincial Harvest

2016 / 17 183,788 ha

2017/18 170,058 ha

North 85,000, South 70,000 Coast 15,50080% planted and 20% Natural Regeneration

• 2017 Planting Season• Obligation

harvesting and S.108

• Government - FFT

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Cariboo Natural Resource Region 38,650

Kootenay-Boundary Natural Resource

Region20,727

Northeast Natural Resource Region

14,372

Omineca Natural Resource Region

76,512

Skeena Natural Resource Region

33,027

South Coast Natural Resource Region

7,281

Thompson-Okanagan Natural Resource

Region43,391

West Coast Natural Resource Region 13,530

TOTALS 247,490

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Licensee Obligations1. Annual harvesting commitment

averages 210 million trees per year2. Section 108 legal obligation

120 – 170,000,000 trees3. Drought Losses

Unknown but substantial

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LicenseeHigh / Medium Low Unknown sub-total

High / Medium Low Unknown sub-total Total

West Fraser 25,647 2,863 3,765 32,275 9,178 1,507 3,803 14,488 46,763 Tolko 29,568 2,523 3,598 35,689 1,202 450 34 1,686 37,375 Canadian Forest P 8,051 633 1,089 9,773 6,673 963 1,767 9,403 19,176 BCTS 5,800 600 254 6,654 3,687 558 3,306 7,551 14,205 All others 23,933 2,974 3,555 30,462 14,169 2,436 7,534 24,139 54,601

92,999 9,593 12,261 114,853 34,909 5,914 16,444 57,267 172,120

2017 2018

Licensee Obligations Impacted by Fires

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Non Obligation Planting Requirements

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THLB wildfire impacted area Remaining NSR from 2000-2016 Approximately

100,000

THLB burnt only 2017 and 2018 1,000,000

Remaining severe Mountain Pine Beetle Impacted THLB

900,000

THLB wildfire impacted areas within severe and very severe MPB impacted areas

250,000

Burnt area under legal reforestation obligation 188,880

Net impacted THLB areas 1,750,000

Wildfire and MPB impacted area (ha)

Provincial Reforestation Program

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Non-obligation reforestation

1. Forests For Tomorrow - Gov’t-funded investments to improve timber supply.

2. Forest Carbon Initiative - FESBC/ProvGov’t/Fed Gov’t funded reforestation to increase carbon sequestration.

• FFT building since 2003.• FCI 4 year funding (2017-2021) • 2020 (may) be the final year for FCI sowing• Est. seedling demands for 2020, 60-64M

M trees

Sowing Year FFT FCI Total

2012 23 23

2013 24 24

2014 19 19

2015 20 20

2016 24 24

2017 25 1 26

2018 24 11 35

2019 22.5 25.9 48.4

2020 25 37 62

2021 25 0 25

2022 25 0 25

2023 25 0 25

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Ten Year Provincial Planting Program

Calendar Year Licensee

BCTS + FSMF

Provincial Delivery

s108 Other Total FCI FFT 2008 170 59 0 7 1 4 241 2009 131 50 0 14 1 3 198 2010 112 43 0 18 0 3 177 2011 132 43 0 14 6 4 199 2012 165 40 0 15 13 3 235 2013 170 36 0 23 6 2 237 2014 169 38 0 25 4 3 239 2015 178 40 0 19 2 5 244 2016 174 42 0 20 6 5 247 2017 161 64 0 26 6 3 248

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Current Seedling Demand

2018 Sowing Requests Growing 2019 for planting 2020Industry 255FFT, FCI 53

308 million

What is the Demand Projection for the next 3-5 years???

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Sowing Year

Provincial Reforestation

Program1

(M seedlings)

FES2

(M seedlings)

Sec.108 Licensees3

(M seedlings)

Licensees Obligation4

(M seedlings)

Total Sowing Request (M Seedlings)

2017 27 236 2632018 39 235 2742019 74 3 229 3062020 70.5 3 10 223 306.52021 24.5 7 15 224 270.52022 24.5 7 15 228 274.52023 24.5 15 227 266.52024 24.5 15 225 264.52025 24.5 15 219 258.52026 24.5 15 219 258.52027 24.5 15 193 232.5Total 382 17 118 2458 2975

Average 35 6 13 223 270

Scenario #2: Potential Expansion of the Provincial Reforestation Program (over and above Scenario #1)

2018 work to address seedling demand and supply capacity

What Should the Next Steps Be?

Work with Licensees to: better determine seedling requirements for next 3-5

years.Determine Priorities and schedules for reforestationWork with Nurseries and Silviculture Industry: to develop strategies to deliver as much of the

demand as possible at a cost acceptable to all.16