SHORT VERSION: A New Green Economy

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com A New Green Economy

Transcript of SHORT VERSION: A New Green Economy

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

A New Green Economy

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

The power of our vision

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

The power of our vision

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

than the power of our fears

The power of our vision

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Smithore Dreamstime.com

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Burning fossil fuels anddestroying Earth’s forests

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Wake up everybody!400 ppm in February 2015

“Such CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have likely not been seen since at least the end of the

Oligocene, 23 million years ago.” – Scientific American

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

A: Burning Earth’s fossil fuels

B: Destroying Earth’s forests

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

GDP =GrossDepletion of the

Planet

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70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A

SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

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The Race to Zero Carbon

The Race to Zero Carbon

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is the Race to 100% Renewable

Energy

is the Race to 100% Renewable

Energy

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$10 SpecialPrice

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Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British Columbia

BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Our vision is a sustainable future in which

all of BC’s energy

is green and renewable.

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

We don’t need to vilify fossil fuels. We can praise them, and

then say “Enough!”

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

For 300,000 years, we harvested the Sun’s energy through firewood

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For 300 years, we have harvestedit from fossil fuels

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It was fossil fuelsthat launched the Industrial Age

and the modern world.

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It is fossil fuels that have made advanced engineering, solar PV and electric vehicles possible.

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

The Age of Fossil Fuels is the necessary

LAUNCH RAMPfor the Solar Age

30,000 yearsFirewood

300 yearsFossil Fuels

A billion yearsSolar Energy

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The Age of Firewood

The Age of Fossil Fuels

The Solar Age

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Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com

A billion years

The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.

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Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com

The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.

And with every passing year, solar technology will improve

and fall in price.

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

So what is our vision of a beautiful, desirable future?

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Sunmine, Kimberley, BC. 1.05 MW, 4,000 solar modules www.sunmine.ca

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SALT SPRING’S SOLAR PRIDE

84 PV panels, 21 kw system installed on Gulf Islands Secondary School, Salt Spring

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1977: $77

1997: $7

2013: $0.7

Price of Solar PVper Watt

A hundredfold fall in the price of solar PV

since 1977

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Mass production = falling prices

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comKagoshima Nanatsujima 70 MW Solar, Japan

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

More solar energy reaches Earth in an hour than humans use in a year.

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

10 kw system, $2.60 a watt

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Solar railwayParis to

Amsterdam

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Solar Stadium, Taiwan

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$100B invested in wind or solar will produce more energy than oil - Kepler Chevreux, French investment bank,

September 2014

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Bear Mountain Wind Farm, Tumbler Ridge, BC.

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The Proposed Site C Dam on the Peace River

Big hydro – or wind, solar and geothermal?

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

For local transportation, we can have

Transportation without Oil and the economy will keep going

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comMake walking fun and joyful

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Istanbul,Turkey

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Seoul, South Korea

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In Holland, cycling is the main mode of transport for 31% of the people

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com San Francisco Bike Lane

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Vancouver Bike Lane

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Electric Bikes

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comSolar electric bike, top speed 48 km/hr

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comSolar Bike Lane in Korea – 32 kilometres

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Better Local Transit

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OLEVOn-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea

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Cisco Systems

Four people in Ottawa

Five people in Kelowna

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More Safe Community Ride-Sharing

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See

More Car Sharing

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing

Vehicle owners can earn up to $300 a month

www.relayrides.com

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Sustainable urban design for walking, cycling and transit

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com More Electric Vehicles

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Top

Hiroko EV

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Top

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range

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Tesla Model X: 300-400 km range

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Hybrid Trucks

VIA Motors V-Trux

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More Hybrid Trucks

GM Silverado

GM Sierra

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Honda solar electric car charging

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No tax, saving $4,000.Annual driving fee 7 x cheaper than a regular car.No parking charges anywhere in Norway.

No ferry charges, no road tolls around Oslo.Allowed to drive in the bus lanes.Free municipal EV recharging.

Electricity $10 a week vs $55 for a regular car.Overall savings $369 a month.21 models to choose from.

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$5,000 for a new EV

+ $3,250 for a clunker trade-in

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The Falling Price of EV Lithium Batteries

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Falling prices for battery packs may cause a surge in electric car sales

TechExplore.com

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Siemens ZeroCat all-electric car ferry, Norway 120 cars +360 passengers

10 minutes recharge, 30-minute trip800 kw, 400 kw battery bank. 10 knots

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WE CAN ACHIEVE

90% HEAT ENERGY

REDUCTIONIN NEW HOMES

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Victoria, BC www.bernhardtpassive.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.comUp to $600 for low-income attic insulation

Rolling in the Pink

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Saving Energy – Happy to be a HERO

Up to $1,000 for basement insulation

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Solar Air Source Heat Pump

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GeothermalGround-sourceGeo-exchange

Heat Pump

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Solar, Wind, Wave100% RenewablesGreen BuildingsGreen CitiesCyclingElectric TransitElectric CarsCarsharingOrganic FarmingEcoForestry

Green ChemistryBiomimicrySmart TechEducationInnovationSoftwareRobotics3-D PrintingSoul & Eco-TourismHolistic Healthcare

Saying YES to a New Green Economy

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

September 2014

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Canada, population 35 million

500

6.6 73,000 26,000

Canada-wide

1.75

A very approximate sense of Canada’s gain

blog.floridaenergycenter.org

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Natural gas:5 jobs per $1 million

Solar: 14.5 jobs per

$1 million

Building Retrofits:17 jobs per $1 million

Mass Transit:22 jobs per $1 million

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Canada supports 18 million jobs

4.4% are via fossil fuels95% are not via fossil fuels

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Jobs related to fossil fuels

All other jobs

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The BEST future economy will be a green sustainable economy

with far less use of fossil fuels.

Leaving 80% of the fossil fuels in the ground will create

a better economy.

In a nutshell…

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

9.4m

2011

4.5m

NDP LIB

2.8m

OTHER1.6M

CON

5.8m

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A

SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Dream itWish itDo it

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

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Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

If you want to make a difference, now would be a great time to do so.

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

The visions we offer our

children shape the future.

It matters what those visions

are. Carl Sagan

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The whole future of the Earth seems to depend on the awakening of

our faith in the future.

- Pierre Teilhard de Chardin

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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey

Guy Dauncey 2015 Earthfuture.com

Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British Columbia

BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org

www.bcsea.org

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BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org

Why not join us, and become a Member? www.bcsea.org/join