Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been...
Transcript of Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been...
![Page 1: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Shipping update,
Telephone conference December 16, 2011
![Page 2: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Opening remarks,
Leif Teksum – Group executive vice president, Large Corporates and International
Review of the Shipping, Offshore and Logistics portfolio as part of DNB’s overall
credit portfolio,
Trygve Young, Chief Risk Officer.
Review of the different shipping segments, DNB’s strategy and exposure,
Harald Serck-Hanssen, Executive vice president, Global Head of the Shipping, Offshore and
Logistics division
Agenda
2
![Page 3: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Credit policy based on future cash flow
"The customer's debt service capacity is the key element when
considering whether to approve a credit.
If the customer has not proven satisfactory debt service capacity,
credit should normally not be extended, even if the collateral is
adequate."
3
![Page 4: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
EaD Shipping and DNB Group
1 7151 605
1 663 1 661 1 694
1 928 1 894
152 110 117 107 110 127 117
9 %
7 % 7 %6 % 7 % 7 % 6 %
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
0812 0912 1012 1103 1106 1109 1110
billio
n kro
ner
Shipping DNB Group Shipping in % of Group
7 7
![Page 5: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
EL Shipping and DNB Group
3 953
4 762
3 9563 751 3 778
4 009 3 919
467692
491374 392 476 429
12 %
15 %
12 %
10 % 10 %
12 %11 %
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
0812 0912 1012 1103 1106 1109 1110
millio
n kro
ner
Shipping DNB Group Shipping in % of Group
![Page 6: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
Key figures by segment
million kroner
EDF
weighted
Grade
weighted
Sev %
Weighted EL EL % RAC RAC% EaD Drawn
Aviation 2.48 % 7.4 26 % 4 0.63 % 36 6.3 % 576 295
Cruise 0.36 % 3.4 22 % 5 0.08 % 103 1.5 % 6 660 4 844
Logistics 1.48 % 6.3 35 % 57 0.52 % 405 3.7 % 11 073 8 417
Offshore 0.92 % 5.3 20 % 89 0.19 % 1 541 3.2 % 48 203 32 419
Other non-shipping 0.57 % 4.2 17 % 6 0.10 % 179 2.8 % 6 522 2 674
Shipping 1.45 % 6.2 25 % 423 0.37 % 5 765 5.0 % 115 271 86 190
1110 1.25 % 6.0 25 % 584 0.31 % 8 030 4.3 % 188 306 134 839
1109 1.21 % 5.9 25 % 631 0.30 % 9 481 4.6 % 207 611 142 506
1106 1.23 % 5.9 25 % 536 0.30 % 7 353 4.1 % 177 708 127 252
1103 1.20 % 5.8 25 % 552 0.30 % 8 138 4.4 % 182 887 129 941
1012 1.35 % 6.1 26 % 677 0.35 % 9 032 4.7 % 193 030 152 980
0912 1.62 % 6.4 33 % 977 0.53 % 11 205 6.1 % 182 798
![Page 7: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
Development in net write-downs: International Shipping and in % of the group
220
3 509
7 709
2 998
2 519
3
520 281 140 0 % 0 %
7 %
9 %
6 %
0 %
1 %
2 %
3 %
4 %
5 %
6 %
7 %
8 %
9 %
10 %
-
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(Jan-Sep)
mill
ion
kro
ne
r
International shipping Total Shipping in % of DNB-group
![Page 8: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Norway is a major shipping nation with a unique maritime cluster
Shipowners
Finance
Ship-brokers
Legal
services
Education Insurance
R&D
Yards
etc
Class
We are in the maritime sector by choice, not by
accident: Norway is and has been a leading
maritime nation for generations. It is a world
leader in many sectors with a well functioning
and professional maritime cluster: Shipowners,
brokers, insurance, legal, classification
societies, yards, finance, R & D, education.
OSE is an important exchange for shipping and
offshore listings.
Based on our Norwegian background, we have
gradually expanded our client base abroad.
8
![Page 9: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Shipping consists of many segments, with different drivers. Our largest
segment is offshore, where market conditions are positive
Bulk Carrier/Dry Cargo
UltraLargeOreCarrier,
Cape Size, Panamax,
Handymax, Handysize
Crude Oil/Product
ULCC , VLCC, Suezmax,
Aframax, Panamax,
Product (LR1/LR2/MR)
Chemical Tankers
Container Vessel
Post Panamax,
Panamax, Sub
Panamax, Handy
Feedermax, Feeder
Liquid Natural
Gas (LNG)
Drilling Rigs
Semis, jack-
ups and
drillships
Reefer vessel
Refrigerated cargo
RoRo / PCTC /
PCC
Cruise /
Passenger vessel
9
![Page 10: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
We strive to have a well diversified portfolio with a good credit quality
10
The division’s (SOL) portfolio segmentation* The PD distribution of the SOL division*
*EaD, Exposure at default, as of 3q 2011
![Page 11: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers
and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio
EaD
NOK
bill.
The shipping exposure has been reduced since
2008, especially within Dry Bulk.
The portfolio is around 7% of the
bank’s total portfolio vs. 10% in 2008
%
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
0812 0912 1012 1103 1106 1109 1110billion kroner
Shipping DNB Group Shipping in % of Group
11
Including Dry Bulk
and Tankers
![Page 12: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
We are long term and relationship driven
Client
Collateral
Cash flow
Covenants
• Our core clients are typically leading integrated
shipping companies
• We prioritize clients where we have a good and
close dialogue and who use a broad range of DNB
products
• We have a global approach
• We aim to keep a good credit quality, our credit
guidelines being based upon the “4 Cs”:
12
![Page 13: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Dry bulk (USD/day)
Spot rates for dry-bulk capesize vessels last 10
years vs DNB's assumptions
Tankers (USD/day)
Spot rates for VLCC tanker vessels last 10 years vs
DNB 's assumptions
We have a conservative view when assessing risk
Sources: Fearnleys, Clarksons
13
![Page 14: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14
The PD developments in dry bulk, tankers and containers Sept 2010 – Oct 2011
• Dry Bulk
• Tankers
• Containers.
EaD
EaD
EaD
![Page 15: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
Shipping vs. DNB group: Non-performing commitments and Write-downs
0 %
1 %
2 %
3 %
4 %
5 %
6 %
7 %
8 %
9 %
10 %
-
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(Jan-Sep)
mill
ion
kro
ne
rInternational shipping Total Shipping in % of DNB-group
Write-downs 2007 – 2011, shipping vs. total DNB Non-performing and net doubtful commitments, total
DNB pr. 3q 2011: NOK 7.618 mill., excl DNB Nord
![Page 16: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
The Shipping Division has managed to minimize write-downs
Actual write-downs 2009, 2010 vs. DNB’s own
expectations, communicated externally
Actual write-downs past 10 years
16
![Page 17: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
DNB maintains its position as a leading shipping, offshore and logistics bank,
delivering strong results each year
The Shipping division’s financial
performance, 2007 -2010
Top maritime bookrunners according to Deallogic
NOK mill.
17
![Page 18: Shipping update, Telephone conference December 16, 2011€¦ · The shipping portfolio has been reduced since 2008, both in absolute numbers and as a share of DNB’s total portfolio](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042316/5f0471fe7e708231d40e00b9/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
The shipping companies and the banks usually find ways to solve
challenging situations. In very few cases, the bank becomes a shipowner
18
• Providing additional guarantees or
security
• Raising additional capital
• Reducing or stopping dividends
• Cancelling or postponing newbuildings
• Scrapping vessels
• Selling assets
• Cutting costs
• Modifying, postponing or waiving
covenants
• Moratorium, stretching the repayment
schedule
• "Bridge loans" - solving temporary
liquidity challenges
• Restructuring – in several ways
Bank Contribution Shipowner Contribution