Shifting Power: A New Information Infrastructure Bonnie Lawlor ICSTI January 15, 2004.
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Transcript of Shifting Power: A New Information Infrastructure Bonnie Lawlor ICSTI January 15, 2004.
Shifting Power: A New Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInformation Infrastructure
Bonnie LawlorBonnie Lawlor
ICSTIICSTI
January 15, 2004January 15, 2004
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
The Information EnvironmentThe Information Environment
Where we are nowWhere we are now
How we got hereHow we got here
Challenges/Opportunities for the Challenges/Opportunities for the FutureFuture
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureGoogle Statistics:Google Statistics:
Index 3.3 billion Web pagesIndex 3.3 billion Web pages 10,000 computers10,000 computers 200 million searches daily (75% of web 200 million searches daily (75% of web
searches)searches) 88 languages, 6 years old88 languages, 6 years old
1 billion estimated revenues in 2003*1 billion estimated revenues in 2003*4 billion dollars to be raised via IPO in 2004*4 billion dollars to be raised via IPO in 2004*
Objective:Objective: Organize the World’s Information Organize the World’s Information
U.S.A TodayU.S.A Today, August 26, 2003, page 1D, August 26, 2003, page 1D*Bloomberg.com, January 5, 2004.*Bloomberg.com, January 5, 2004.
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
““For the Next Generation of online users, For the Next Generation of online users, established firms may have lost mindshare”… established firms may have lost mindshare”…
Stephen Arnold, Stephen Arnold, President, President, Arnold Information Technology Arnold Information Technology
(12/2000)(12/2000)
““The enemy is Google, the lazy student and time The enemy is Google, the lazy student and time the constrained worker”…. the constrained worker”….
Derk Haank, CEO Derk Haank, CEO Elsevier Elsevier (2/2003)(2/2003)
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureTECHNOLOGY:TECHNOLOGY:
Online: <1M searches Online: <1M searches ~60M~60M19721972 19921992
PC’s:PC’s: 2.1M2.1M unitsunits 589M589M19811981 20012001
Web:Web: 130 hosts130 hosts 171.6M171.6M19931993 20032003
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureSocietal Acceptance of Information Societal Acceptance of Information
Technology:Technology:
U.S HouseholdsU.S Households 8 - 10%8 - 10% 70%70%With PC’s With PC’s 19841984 20032003
Today:Today: 22% have more than 1 PC22% have more than 1 PC7-10% are networked7-10% are networked>50% have Internet Access>50% have Internet Access68% children use it for school68% children use it for school
64% adults use it for Information64% adults use it for Information32% children (6-8yrs) have or 32% children (6-8yrs) have or plan to build a personal web plan to build a personal web
sitesite
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Economic FactorsEconomic Factors::
Increase in Journal PricesIncrease in Journal Prices 11.3% annually 1963 – 1990; 9% currently11.3% annually 1963 – 1990; 9% currently
Increase in Number of JournalsIncrease in Number of Journals 140% increase since 1972140% increase since 1972
Decline in Library Purchasing PowerDecline in Library Purchasing Power
40% of ARL libraries will cancel “Big Deal” Contracts in 03/0440% of ARL libraries will cancel “Big Deal” Contracts in 03/04
UK investigating price/accessibility of scientific journalsUK investigating price/accessibility of scientific journals
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Political/Policy Issues:Political/Policy Issues:
• Public Awareness/Acceptance of Public Awareness/Acceptance of Copyright Copyright
• Lack of Global Information PoliciesLack of Global Information Policies
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Convergence of Factors:Convergence of Factors:
Technology Technology Society Society EconomicsEconomics PolicyPolicy
20032003
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureU. S. Student Behavior (2002):U. S. Student Behavior (2002):79%:79%: Use the web for all/most assignmentsUse the web for all/most assignments
50%:50%: Use the library portalUse the library portal
66%: Believe they are best able to judge the 66%: Believe they are best able to judge the quality of web informationquality of web information
4%: 4%: Believe the quality of web information is Believe the quality of web information is poorpoor
88%: Believe that they will not use a fee-88%: Believe that they will not use a fee- based web servicebased web service
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureU.K. Student Behavior (2001):U.K. Student Behavior (2001):
72%: Web is the information source of first 72%: Web is the information source of first choice choice
45%: Google is the search engine of choice45%: Google is the search engine of choice
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Medical Student Behavior (2000):Medical Student Behavior (2000):
6%: Never used Medline6%: Never used Medline
29%: Never used MD Consult29%: Never used MD Consult
73%: Never used CINAHL or Current 73%: Never used CINAHL or Current ContentsContents
74%: Never used PsycInfo74%: Never used PsycInfo
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureWeb Information vs. Traditional Sources:Web Information vs. Traditional Sources:
. Discipline Dependent. Discipline Dependent
MEDLINE vs. InspecMEDLINE vs. Inspec
• Value determined by the User, not the Value determined by the User, not the Information ProviderInformation Provider
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Open Access Publishing:Open Access Publishing:• BioMed CentralBioMed Central
• PubMed CentralPubMed Central
• Public Library of SciencePublic Library of Science
• arXive.org e-Print ArchivearXive.org e-Print Archive
• Institutional, Discipline-specific & Individual Institutional, Discipline-specific & Individual RepositoriesRepositories
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureElectronic JournalsElectronic Journals
1991:1991: 7 peer-reviewed journals7 peer-reviewed journals
2003:2003: 5,000 electronic journals with no print 5,000 electronic journals with no print counterpartcounterpart
34,27 journals in print & electronic 34,27 journals in print & electronic formform
(44% are “scholarly”)(44% are “scholarly”)
Ulrich’s, Private Communication, May 2003Ulrich’s, Private Communication, May 2003
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Market PerspectiveMarket Perspective::
• Decline in use of Library and Traditional A&I servicesDecline in use of Library and Traditional A&I services
• Demand for more content – not more technologyDemand for more content – not more technology
• Request more collaboration among information providersRequest more collaboration among information providers
• Information Linking – media independentInformation Linking – media independent
• New business models based upon user needsNew business models based upon user needs
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Ideal Information SystemIdeal Information System
• Easy to Access and UseEasy to Access and Use• Available 24 HoursAvailable 24 Hours• Offer Broad Spectrum of ResourcesOffer Broad Spectrum of Resources• ReliableReliable• PleasurablePleasurable• Reasonably PricedReasonably Priced
• User Perception:User Perception: The web fulfills the above The web fulfills the above criteria; A&I services do notcriteria; A&I services do not
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureChallenges:Challenges:
• VisibilityVisibility
• ContentContent
• Access & Retrieval MethodsAccess & Retrieval Methods
• Business ModelsBusiness Models
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
Visibility:Visibility:
• Collaboration with Librarians and Library Collaboration with Librarians and Library web sitesweb sites
• Emphasis on Services (free and fee-based)Emphasis on Services (free and fee-based)
• Presence on the WebPresence on the Web
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureContent:Content:
• MultimediaMultimedia
• Relevant Web-based informationRelevant Web-based information
• Open Access Scholarly JournalsOpen Access Scholarly Journals
• LinkingLinking
• Legacy data – new uses (micro-content/mining)Legacy data – new uses (micro-content/mining)
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureInformation Access & Delivery:Information Access & Delivery:
• Voice RecognitionVoice Recognition
• Data VisualizationData Visualization
• Tools for Data Mining/EvaluationTools for Data Mining/Evaluation
• Adaption to New Information “Appliances”Adaption to New Information “Appliances”
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureBusiness Models:Business Models:
• iTunesiTunes
• British LibraryBritish Library
• Open Access PublishingOpen Access Publishing
• ??????????
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure
2004 NFAIS Annual Conference2004 NFAIS Annual Conference
The Battle for Mindshare: Information The Battle for Mindshare: Information Access & Retrieval in the Year 2010Access & Retrieval in the Year 2010
Date: Date: February 22 – 24, 2004February 22 – 24, 2004
Location:Location: Ritz Carlton, Philadelphia Ritz Carlton, Philadelphia
Information:Information: http://www.nfais.orghttp://www.nfais.org
Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureNew PublicationNew Publication
The 2003 OCLC Environmental Scan*The 2003 OCLC Environmental Scan*100 Interviews100 Interviews29 countries29 countriesEnvironmental issuesEnvironmental issuesTechnology driversTechnology drivers
http://www.oclc.org/membership/escan/default.htmhttp://www.oclc.org/membership/escan/default.htm