Sheep and Goat Outlook JJ Jones Oklahoma State Extension.
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Transcript of Sheep and Goat Outlook JJ Jones Oklahoma State Extension.
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Sheep and Goat Outlook
JJ JonesOklahoma State Extension
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Sheep and Goat Inventory2008 2009 % Change
Sheep
All Sheep and Lambs
7,270,000 7,050,000 -3.02%
Breeding Ewes 4,440,000 4,280,000 -3.60%
Goats
Angora 205,000 185,000 -9.76%
Dairy 323,000 335,000 3.72%
Meat 2,590,000 2,550,000 -1.54%
Total 3,118,000 3,070,000 -1.54%
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2009 Meat Goat Inventory
(1000 Head)
U.S. Total: 2,550,000 Head
> 750,000100,000 – 750,000
50,000 – 99,999
20,000 – 49,999
< 20,000
980
133115
86
86.5
65 80.3
7995 62
55.6
55
50
47
42
38
34
33.5
3127
27
27
27
26
24.523.5
20
20
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U.S. Total Change: - 1.54%
IncreasedStayed the Same
Decreased
16.3
4.8
6.7 10.7
11.2
7.8
17.3
4.4
8.0
16.7
4.7
1.64.0
4.2
0.3 0.7
-10.0
-0.6
-2.0-2.1
-6.1
-12.9
-5.6-7.7
-12.5
-16.7
N England -13.6
-4.5
-5.0
-10.0
-16.7
-7.1
-12.8-13.9
-8.1
-4.6
2009 % Change Meat Goats(1000 Head)
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2008 Inspected Slaughter
1.New Jersey240,91235.9%
4. Texas41,2336.1%
3. Pennsylvania41,8816.2%
9. New York26,3393.9%
10. Tennessee26,1723.9%
2. DE/MD52,8157.9%
5. Illinois40,9686.1%
6. California36,1355.4%
7. Georgia32,1414.8%
8. Florida26,6664.0%
U.S. Total: 670,709 head+ 4.9%
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Goat Meat Imports
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40-60 Lbs Kid PricesSan, Angelo, Texas
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60-80 Lbs Kid PricesSan Angelo, TX
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80 – 100 Lbs Kid PricesSan Angelo, TX
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40-60 Lbs Kid PricesPerkins, OK
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60-80 Lbs Kid PricesPerkins, OK
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80 – 100 Lbs Kid PricesPerkins, OK
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40-60 Lbs Kid PricesNew Holland, PA
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60-80 Lbs Kid PricesNew Holland, PA
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80 – 100 Lbs Kid PricesNew Holland, PA
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TOTAL SHEEP & LAMB POPULATIONJuly 1, U.S., Annual
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Mil. Head
Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS 08/03/09
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BREEDING EWES 1 YEAR & OLDERJuly 1, U.S., Annual
3.0
3.3
3.5
3.8
4.0
4.3
4.5
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Mil. Head
Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS 08/03/09
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LAMBS BORN PERBREEDING EWE 1 YEAR & OLDER
July 1, U.S.
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
Head
S-N-0608/03/09
Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS
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BREEDING EWES - ONE YEAR & OLDER JANUARY 1, 2009
(1000 Head)
Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS
New England States
S-N-1103/06/09
120 to 520 (10)48 to 120 (9)34 to 48 (9)14 to 34 (11)
75
290165
148
35 34
120
47
47
83
58
180
4644
32
83
40
55
77
46
121
64
205
520
22048
35
23
26054
Other States 73
U.S. Total 3404
17
MD 14
20
25
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Livestock Marketing Information Center
FEEDER LAMB PRICES3-Market Average; CO, TX & SD; Weekly
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
JAN APR JUL OCT
$ Per Cwt.
Avg.2003-07
2008
2009
S-P-0609/28/09
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Livestock Marketing Information Center
NATIONAL LAMB CUTOUT VALUEGross Carcass FOB, 5 Day Rolling Avg
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
JAN APR JUL OCT
$ Per Cwt.
Avg.2003-07
2008
2009
S-P-1809/28/09
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Livestock Marketing Information Center
U S WOOL PRODUCTIONClean Basis, Annual
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
Mil. Pounds
S-W-0109/10/09
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Livestock Marketing Information Center
U S WOOL ENDING STOCKSClean Basis, Annual
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
Mil. Pounds
S-W-0509/10/09
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Livestock Marketing Information Center
AVERAGE WOOL PRICEU.S., Grease, Annual
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
Cents / Pound
W-P-1409/10/09
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Conclusion
• Sheep numbers continue to decline• Goat numbers are down, but I
wouldn’t say they are declining.• Goat prices have been good in ‘09
and should remain strong in ’10.