Shale vs Conventional IRR F&D COMP

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    The Barnett ShaleAnd Other Shale Dreams

    Nissa Darbonne,

    Executive Editor,

    Oil and Gas Investor,

    May 17, 2006

    IHS Energy User Forum

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    Economics of Some Barnett Shale Asset Acquisitions, 2003-06*

    Date Buyer Seller Purchase Price($MM)

    ProvedReserv

    es

    (Bcfe)

    Production(MMcfe/d)

    $/Mcfe $MMcfe/d % Gas

    6-Apr Devon Energy

    Corp.

    Chief Oil &

    Gas

    $2,200 617 55 $3.57 $40,000 100%

    5-Aug Undisclosed Undisclosed $250.00 40.4 14 $6.19 $17,857 100%

    5-Mar Dune Energy

    Inc.

    Voyager

    Partner

    s Ltd.

    $68.30 27 8.5 $2.53 $8,042 NA

    5-Jan XTO Energy

    Inc.

    Antero

    Resour

    ces

    $685.00 440 60 $1.56 $11,417 100%

    4-Nov Chesapeake

    Energy

    Hallwood

    Energy

    $277.00 135 25 $2.05 $11,080 100%

    4-Feb XTO Energy

    Inc.

    Undisclosed $200.00 154 25 $1.30 $7,999 99%

    3-Feb Progress FuelsCorp. RepublicEnergy

    et al.

    $148.00 195 30.1 $0.76 $4,911 100%

    Max $685.00 440 60 $6.19 $17,857 100%

    Min $68.30 27 8.5 $0.76 $4,911 99%

    * As of mid-May 2006.

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    Publicly Held Barnett Players*

    Company Barnett Production (MMcf/d)

    Devon Energy Corp. (excluding Chief) 600

    Devon Energy Corp. (including Chief) 655

    XTO Energy Inc. 103

    ConocoPhillips (Burlington Resources) 80

    EnCana Corp. 70

    EOG Resources Inc. 70

    Chesapeake Energy Corp. 50

    Others: Denbury Resources Inc., Quicksilver Resources Inc., Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc., Infinity Energy Resources Inc., Parallel

    Petroleum Corp., Westside Energy Corp.

    Source: Pickering Energy Partners Inc., Houston *As of mid-Oct 2005, except Devon figures, which are as of April 2006.

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    Comparative Barnett Economics*

    Core Vertical Tier 1 Horizontal Tier II Horizontal

    Peak Monthly

    Production

    (Mcf/d)

    650 1,520 900

    Year 1 Decline 61% 53% 53%

    EUR (MMcf) 733 2,356 1,395

    Well Cost ($MM) $1.00 $2.00 $1.50

    F&D Cost ($/Mcfe) $1.71 $1.06 $1.34

    Rate of Return/Gas Price

    @ $5 12% 73% 38%

    @ $6 39% 113% 70%

    @ $7 65% 153% 101%* For good wells. Source: Pickering Energy Partners Inc., Houston, mid-October 2005

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    EOG Resources Inc. Barnett Shale Economic Model*

    Johnson County Other Counties(Mix)

    Direct Well Cost $1.8MM $1.1MM

    Potential Locations 750 2,000

    Net Reserves/Well 2.0 Bcf 0.8-1.4 Bcf

    Net Bcf Potential 1.1-1.8 Tcf 1.6-2.8 Tcf

    AFIT ROR % >100% >70%

    Direct Finding Cost($/Mcfe)

    $0.90 $0.79-$1.38

    * Based on original 1,000-foot spacing; Oct. 26, 2005, 3-year strip

    and $5 flat thereafter; $0.55/MMBtu differential from Henry Hub.Source: EOG Resources Inc.

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    Conventional Play Mean Expected Case Parameters and IRRs

    Conventional Plays Conventional Shelf Deep Shelf Open

    Water

    Platform Open Water Platform

    F&D Cost ($Mcf) $3.17 $2.74 $2.95 $2.79

    Reserves (Bcf/well 5.7 5.7 18 18

    Initial Rate (MMcf/d) 4 4 15 15

    Project IRR Sensitivity to Nymex @

    $4.50/Mcf 6% 12% 9% 13%

    $6.50 29% 40% 42% 48%

    $8.50 55% 72% 80% 90%

    Sources: Simmons & Co. International as per company reports, PetroDataSource, April 24, 2006

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    Shale Play Mean Expected Case Parameters and IRRs

    Shale Plays Barnett/FortWorth Basin

    Fayetteville Woodford

    F&D Cost ($Mcf) $1.20 $1.63 $1.78

    Reserves (Bcf/well) 2.3 1.3 2.9

    Initial Rate (MMcf/d) 2.5 1.4 2.5

    Project IRR Sensitivity to Nymex @

    $4.50/Mcf 14% 7% 6%

    $6.50 31% 16% 15%

    $8.50 55% 28% 26%Sources: Simmons & Co. International as per company reports, PetroDataSource, April 24, 2006

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    The Barnett ShaleAnd Other Shale Dreams

    Nissa Darbonne,

    Executive Editor,

    Oil and Gas Investor,

    May 17, 2006

    IHS Energy User Forum