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    Sex-specific association of time-varying haemoglobin values

    with mortality in incident dialysis patients

    Gisela Sturm1, Claudia Lamina1, Emanuel Zitt2, Karl Lhotta2,3, Friederike Lins3,Otto

    Freisttter3

    , Ulrich Neyer2,3,*

    and Florian Kronenberg1,*

    1 Division of Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Medical Genetics, Molecular and Clinical Pharmacology,

    Innsbruck Medical University, Schpfstr. 41, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria 2Department of Nephrology and Dialysis,

    Academic Teaching Hospital Feldkirch, Carinagasse 47, 6800 Feldkirch, Austria 3 Vorarlberg Institute for Vascular

    Investigation and Treatment (VIVIT), Carinagasse 47, 6800 Feldkirch, Austria

    Florian Kronenberg; E-mail: [email protected]

    Abstract

    Background. Previous studies in dialysis patients showed anassociation between

    haemoglobin levels and all-cause mortality,however, without addressing sex

    differences.

    Methods. We followed up 235 incident dialysis patients of the region of Vorarlberg in

    a prospective cohort study applyinga time-dependent Cox regression analysis using

    all the measuredlaboratory values for up to more than 7 years. In total, 12242

    haemoglobin measurements with a median of 47 (range 3270)per patient were

    available to evaluate the impact of haemoglobinlevels and their variability on all-

    cause mortality in a sex-stratifiedanalysis. Non-linear P-splines were used to allow a

    flexiblemodelling of the association with mortality.

    Results. We observed an inverse relationship between the increasinghaemoglobin

    values and the decreasing risk of mortality. Thelinear component of the non-linear

    spline was highly significantfor both men (P = 0.00005) and women (P =

    0.0000000052). Thenon-linear component was also significant but less

    pronounced

    than the linear component. The inverse relationship was clear

    to seehaemoglobin levels of up to 1213 g/L in women,which reached a plateau for the

    higher values of haemoglobin.For men, an inverse trend was observed but clearly

    attenuatedwhen compared to women. After adjustment for additional parametersof

    inflammation and malnutrition as well as diabetes, the linearcomponent was more

    significant in women (P = 0.0018) than inmen (P = 0.023).

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    Conclusions. This study applied for the first time a time-dependentCox regression

    analysis over a long-term observation periodof several years using all available

    measurements. Besides themethodological advantages, our data indicate a sex-

    specificlinear as well as non-linear effect of haemoglobin levels onall-cause

    mortality, which was markedly more pronounced in women.

    Keywords: end-stage renal disease; haemoglobin; mortality; prospective

    observational study; time-dependent Cox regression