SessionII_M_Tyagi

download SessionII_M_Tyagi

of 11

Transcript of SessionII_M_Tyagi

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    1/11

    A PRESENTATION BY SNR.TECH-TEX CONSULTANT ,MUNISH TYAGI,Email: [email protected] , phone: 098 1125 3332

    ASSOCHAM Symposium19 March,2010

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    2/11

    Overview of Techical Textiles vis a vis India

    Worldwide,Tech. Textiles are the fastest growing segment of Textile sector.Inthe developed countries, the share of such textile products has now reached60% of all textiles.The Key demand drivers are the growth in GDP and thegrowth in infrastructure and overall quality of living. However,despite astrong Fiber base, India has remained a laggard and slow mover in the fieldof non woven and technical textiles,s reflected in poor per capitaconsumption of only 0.2 Kg versus 3 Kg for the developed countries.Two keygrey areas have been the doubts on the types of technology to adopt andfor what saleable products;and overall unerstanding of right business model.Future stars on the horizon of Tech textiles are countries like China andIndia,esp.over the present decade when GDP is est. to average 9-10%p.a.In India, the present market size for Tech Tex is aprox Rs 45000 crore.Due to the GDP factor, it is certainly expected to clock 65000 to 70000Cr,by 2015.As per a Study by ICRA,the Tech tex sector in India willexperience a growth of 11-12% pa. for 2010-2020 decade vis a vis growthof only 6-7% in the developed countries.With the above positive drivers,and projectors for growth and adequatesupport provided by the Govt. in terms of TUF scheme and capital subsidybenefits to Tech Tex projects, it is the high time for the industry toleverage upon these benefits alongwith advantages of adequate Fiber base.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    3/11

    Drivers for Market demand for Tech. textiles

    MARKET DIRECTIONS Going by the past trends for growth in nonwovens and tech - textiles in developed countries likeUSA,Europe, Japan [ and presently for China],the Key drivers for Tech. Tex demand are/will be:

    GDP growth rate of the country .[as per an empirical formula, the growth in tech textilecan be approx. to 1.25 times the projected GDP .

    Disposable income of the Middle class,and esp. The young working couples. This will esp.Drive the demand for the Disposable type non woven products like wipes,pads,hygieneand healthcare products.

    Investment in large infrastructure projects for construction of railways, highways,airports, ports and dams and for coastal works and ,new type ` green` buildings.

    Support and facilitation by the Govt, by way of ongoing schemes to spur Investment.

    Overall, it is estimated that the Disposable type nonwovens and geo textile productswill be the market preferred technical textiles in India over the present 2010-2020Decade.Before,any meaningful and fast track investments are made into Tech.tex sector; itwill be critical to understand `what is the right technology for what saleable products

    In this Presentation, I have tried to address the major area of doubt w.r.t Viability of investmentconsidering that Tech tex projects are high technology and high capex projects.In further slides,I

    would like to guide the worthy audience thru`a profitable business model of a Rs100 crore Tech texproject,based on 2 non woven lines,for disposable and geo tex products,for upto 45 Metric ton/day.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    4/11

    Techical textiles- major Types

    It is most essential to understand the basic process of manufacturing beforeundertaking the project investment in Tech tex domain. The production of nonwoven products can be placed into 3 Core methods,as below: WEB FORMATION FROM FIBER TO FABRIC,usingCarding or Airlaid or Wet laid processes,WEB FORMATION FROM POLYMER TO FABRIC,via Spun laid or Melt blown processes whichdeploy 100% synth. Fibers ;PP or PES as polymer

    DIFFERENT BONDING METHODS, create final

    nonwoven fabric via Thermal bonding,Chemicalbonding,hydro entangling and,Needle punching.

    Non woven production allows the mix and matching of diff. Types of processes to create diverse Techtex products of diff. GSM,strength &end uses.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    5/11

    Technical textiles- Key assumptions for business model

    PRODUCTS AND CAPACITY PLAN: The project under ref. is for setting up a Newgreenfield Unit having 1 Line for Disposable nonwoven products from Airlayline and,1 Line for heavier Geotextiles from geotex/Needle punching line.

    The key assumptions for planning a practical and Viable project for above ,are:

    The unit is based on Imported plant from Europe,under 5% concessional import duty.The Unit will be working for 360 days x 3shifts per year.However, the % capacityutilisation will be 65% in 1 st year and, at 75% Optimum from 3 rd year onwards.The project would be financed with Debt-Equity ratio of 3 to 1,as per TUFguidelines;and will be eligible for Interest rebate of 5% under TUF scheme.As suchthe Net effective term loan interest rate would be bank PLR less 5%.

    Also,the Unit will be eligible for 10% capital subsidy on Plant & mcy for tech texprocesses. This will help bring down promoters own capital.The project will be based on prime input and raw material,of 100% Polyester fiber.The project would have Power consumption of abt 2.5MW,sourced from SEB grid.PRODUCT AND CAPACITY PLAN, PORPOSED FOR THE INTEGRATED UNIT IS AS:A] GEO TEXTILE PRODUCTS,Needle punched 22 Ton/dayB] AIRLAY WEB PRODUCTS, 24 TOTAL OUTPUT AT 100% CAPACITY, IS 360X 46 TON/YEAR, WHICH EQUALS. 46 Ex-Mill SALE PRICES ASSUMED ARE Rs 110/Kg for Type A,and at Rs 150/kg for Type B,which leadsto an Yearly Sale turnover of Rs 160 crore , at Optimum 75% capacity for the new greenfield Unit.UNLIKE NORMAL TEXTILE UNIT A TECHTEX PROJECT HAS BETTER T/OVER TO CAPEX RATIO,1.5 to 1

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    6/11

    BREAK UP OF TOTAL PROJECT COST

    BASIS:INSTALLED CAPACITY OF 46 TON/DAY,BASED ON 2 NO. NONWOVEN LINES.Components i.e. the different project cost heads are proposed as below:

    Infrastructure inputs- Land , 5 acres plot, costing Rs 1.25 crore.

    Buildings- 80,000 sq Ft, construction Rs 4.50

    Plant and machinery- Imported Nonwoven lines+5%Duty, Rs 60.0 Indeg. Plant and Misc. Assets,like Utility equipments, Rs 10.5

    Duties,taxes,Engg. ,and Knowhow cost. Rs 2.85

    Pre operative expenses,incl. Interest during project. Rs 7.0 Provision for contingencies and escalation during project. Rs 5.0

    Margin for Working capital] for Year 2 at 70% capacity] Rs 10.5 TOTAL PROJECT COST: Rs 101 croreThe overall Investment for the new Techtex project works out to a cost effective

    Rs 2.2 Cr/TPD,based on state of the art technology,and Imported plant being 60% of Total.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    7/11

    MEANS OF FINANCING -proposed

    It is proposed to finance the project, under the favourable Debt-Equity ratio of 3 to 1,under the ongoing TUF scheme . For Technical textile projects, there is alsoprovision for special Capital subsidy of 10% on the value of tech tex plant & machinery.

    The break up of project financing is , therefore, proposed as below::

    DEBT, by way of bank term loan, at Rs 75 crore.

    A rebate of 5% on the bank Term loan will be available under the TUF scheme.

    EQUITY PART, AT 25% OF PROJECT COST, WORKS OUT TO Rs 26 crore.

    However, with capital Subsidy of abt Rs 5 cr.,the promoter share to be Rs 21 cr .

    When the interest rebate of 5% ,under the TUF scheme, is applied the cashprofit of the project further improves. Also, the project is able to deliver a payback of 1+ 5 years; and a healthy Return on equity at 40% on the new profit.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    8/11

    Raw materials aspects & Costing

    Prime RM is, 100% Polyester fiber, assumed at Rs 72/Kg.

    R M/fiber consumption includes a 15% process loss from feeding to packed fabric.

    Main raw materials

    For output of 46 Ton/day, the project would require 53 ton/day of Fiber The Yearly value of raw material works out to Rs 103 crore;and whichis abt 63% of the sales turnover at optimum capacity in 3 rd Year.

    Indirect materials, i.e for Packing and consumable materials

    Besides, PSF, the project would require Packing and finishing materials,Of approx. value 2.1% of the Sale.The total cost of such Indirect material is est.at Rs 3.3 crore,at Opt. capacity.

    Total RM quantity and Cost; and RM to Sale ratio.

    Total cost of all materials works out to 65% of sales,at Opt. capacity.This leads to a healthy Gross margin[ or G P ] of 21% for the project.G P to sale ratio is essentially called PBIDT ;and indicator of comparative Financial healthof Units of same capacity and same product lines.

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.nvpinternational.com/global_export.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.nvpinternational.com/&usg=__cxEIBwvGgTvrD50D1gRuJrFH1r4=&h=600&w=720&sz=37&hl=en&start=8&um=1&tbnid=dOtBBVk-KP9FLM:&tbnh=117&tbnw=140&prev=/images?q=global+export&ndsp=18&hl=en&sa=N&um=1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.nvpinternational.com/global_export.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.nvpinternational.com/&usg=__cxEIBwvGgTvrD50D1gRuJrFH1r4=&h=600&w=720&sz=37&hl=en&start=8&um=1&tbnid=dOtBBVk-KP9FLM:&tbnh=117&tbnw=140&prev=/images?q=global+export&ndsp=18&hl=en&sa=N&um=1
  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    9/11

    Summary of production and, manufacturing costs

    A Summary of all major manufacturing costs is provided ,as below, for the Optimumplant capacity at 75%. A reasonable RM to sale ratio of % leads to healthy GrossProfit to Sale ratio of 21%.

    A] Raw materials cost:

    Rs 106 crore, for diretc + indirect materialsAnd Rs 3.5 crore for inward and outward freight costs.

    B] Utility cost

    Covers the power and fuel expenses at the Opt. capacity.1. Power cost ,at Rs 6 crore p.a

    2. Steam cost,at Rs 2 crore p.aC] Manpower cost,incl. Salaries :1.Total Manpower requirement for production will be 140 no/day2.The yearly manpower cost ,incl. admn. Staff and benfits, works out to Rs 2.10 crore

    D] Manufacturing overheads incl. repair,insurance etc1. The cost of various Factory overheads is est.at rs 2 crore,including maintenance etc.

    E] TOTAL PRODUCTION COST [ i.e Cost before Sale], works out to Rs 125 crore,andwhich leads to the Gross Profit margin of 21% after allowing 3% sale expenses.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    10/11

    Summary of profit projections & viability over 5-years.

    Key financial and Viability indicators of the project,at Opt. 75%capacity inYear 3 are;

    Gross Profit, that is PBIDT.The project has a gross profit to sale ratio of 21%,and leads to

    1. Cash Profit-PBDT-before Depreciation- of 15.5%,2. Net Profit,after tax,of 7%.

    Selling cost, at 3 % of SaleSale turnover,Rs 162 crore,in Opt. Year 3

    KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS:

    PROJECT WILL HAVE PAYBACK PERIOD OF 1+5 YEARS,incl. 1 Year Gestation on Term Loan1. For the Lenders, the project will service T-Loans,with healthyDSCR of 1.762. The break even Point, will be at 55-56%, in Optimum working Year 3.3. The project will lead to IRR of 15%; and a Return on equity of 40% on net profit.

    > Under the prevailing cost of all inputs,and market value of output, the project isprofitable and viable with healthy and robust financial ratios.However, like all textile unitsthe Tech tex project is also v. sensitive to change sin raw materials and selling prices.

    >>It is,therefore, imperative to constantly monitor the RM and sale prices ,to retain GP profits.

  • 7/31/2019 SessionII_M_Tyagi

    11/11

    Recommendations ,road map -and Thanking you .

    FOR PROJECT INVESTORSTech tex is still a nascent and emerging field,and Needs careful assessment of `most relevant`

    technology mix and saleable products with focus on industry to industry marketing strategy.Project promoters need to clearly understand the grey areas in the marketing of tech textiles,as also theimpact of cheaper imports form China in near future,esp. in Disposable nonwoven products.Technical textile are `Functional` products for specific performance end use and,need to beengineered with right mix of technology, and Fibers to service the very specific end uses.

    FOR POLICY MAKERS & FACILITATORSWith its performing GDP ,averaging 8-9% till 2015,the demand for Tech tex products isest. to clock 11-12 % p.a growth. Thus, it is essential for the Govt/ policy makers toprovide the stimulus to this capital intensive sector by way of continuation of TUFsscheme beyond 2012 alongwith the special Subsidy of 10% to defray the initial highinvestment cost of Imported plant and controlled technology.Growth of technical textile sector is also dependant on the investment in Infrastructure;and where the Govt. has a role to play by constant capex into country`s infrastructure..