Session 3.4 - BP Case Study - Khatira Iskender

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    Business and Poverty LeadershipProgramme:BP Experience in EITI: Azerbaijan Case Study

    Khatira Iskender, Corporate Responsibility Policy AdvisorUniversity of Cambridge

    15 November, 2006

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    Outline of presentation

    Role of Good Governance

    Importance of Good Governance to BPbusiness

    Relevance of Transparency

    Dimensions of Transparency

    EITI to date: Azerbaijan Case Study

    Lessons learned and challenges

    Looking ahead

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    Role of Good Governance

    Over the lifetime of a typical major oil or gas project the share of revenuesthat goes to the government works out at around 80% of the total value of resources

    When governance is good, these can generate large revenues to fostereconomic growth and reduce poverty. Good Governance has multiplefeatures:

    Clear and stable laws and regulations Rule of Law High level of capacity and skills in government Fiscal monetary and budget discipline Open dialog between government and civil society Healthy business environment Transparency

    When governance is weak, they may instead cause serious challenges andrisks. These challenges and risks are multi dimensional:

    More poverty, corruption, and conflict the so called resource curse Inflation and currency overvaluation

    Damage to competitive industries and employment To seize the opportunity, the government has to transform state-held oil and

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    Importance of Good Governance to BPbusiness:

    Companies such as BP have a legitimate and genuine desire tosee these revenues managed well in a transparent manner,because:

    Substantial and growing proportion of our activity is based incountries whose economies are heavily, and in some casesoverwhelmingly, dependent on oil and gas revenues;

    In the absence of good revenue management and transparency theimpact of the resource curse imposes costs on our business;

    Transparency and good governance reflect BPs values:

    w the government manages resource revenues isrictly none of our business.

    But it is in our interests that they seize the opportunities and avoid the risks.

    BP is committed to the principle of transparency, in the belief that improving accountability in the societieswhere we operate strengthens governance and reduces corruption, conflict, and poverty. This is good for society, and good for business. It reflects responsible business.

    BP believes that transparency of industry payments to government is only one part of promoting good governance, and should be viewed primarily as a means to ensure sound revenue management and consequent

    poverty reduction. Revenue outflows are as important as revenue inflows, to achieve this purpose.

    BP strongly supports individual company disclosure in those countries identified by the EITI, where revenuemanagement is a critical development issue and our presence has a major impact.

    BP will work in partnership with our host governments, industry partners and civil society towards mutually acceptable mechanisms for reporting.

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    Relevance of transparency

    Transparency is one of the fundamental building blocks of Good Governance

    Transparency:

    Increases accountability and reduces the risk of wasteand corruption

    Fosters democratic debate

    Improves macroeconomic management

    Enhances access to finance

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    Dimensions of transparency

    Transparency has many dimensions

    Revenues

    Expenditures

    Policies Laws and regulations

    Administration

    Applies to all sectors

    EITI focuses on EI resource revenue transparency as amanageable and meaningful starting point

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    EITI to date

    Launched by PM Blair Johannesburg 2002

    Escalating engagement of stakeholders

    Emerging consensus on principles, objectives and criteria

    Accelerating in-country uptake Global traction

    Accelerating TA support (EITI Trust Fund)

    Support of Norwegian and German governments for futuremanagement of EITI

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    Stakeholder engagement

    Implementing governments: 20-plus in Africa, LatinAmerica, Asia

    Donor governments: UK, Norway, Germany, Netherlands, US, France

    Industry: BP, ExxonMobil, Chevron Texaco, Shell, Total,Statoil, Norsk Hydro OGP, API

    NGOs: CRS, HRW, Publish What You Pay, Global Witness,Open Society, National NGOs

    Lenders and Investors: F&C Management Group

    IFIs: World Bank, IMF, EBRD

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    EITI: BP role and contribution

    Early and active support of EITI and Secretariat

    Focus point of contact to the government, oil companiesand NGOs for the negotiations and implementation of EITIin Azerbaijan

    Capacity building support to civil society Putting transparency in larger governance context

    Country programmes

    Member of EITI International Advisory Group (IAG)

    The group has been working throughout 2006 to makerecommendations on three main areas:

    incentives for stakeholders to encourageimplementation

    methods of validation and

    the future governance of EITI Close coordination with a multi-stakeholder rou

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    BP operated activities in Azerbaijan

    0 300 km200100

    Caspian Sea

    Turkey

    Iran

    IraqSyria

    Russia

    Georgia

    Baku

    Ceyhan

    Erzurum

    Kazakhsta n

    Black Sea

    Tbilisi

    M e d .

    S e a

    Azerbaijan

    T ur kme ni stan

    ACG OilProduction &Development

    Alov Exploration

    InamExploration

    Shah DenizGas

    Development

    Block 3534

    Exploration

    Sangachal

    TerminalSouthCaucasusPipeline Gas

    WERPipeline

    BTC Pipeline Oil

    NERPipeline

    Supsa

    Grozny

    Novorossiysk

    1998 - 2022 Gross Production

    050

    100150200250300350400

    1 99 8 2 002 20 06 2 01 0 20 14 2 01 8 20 22

    m b d

    1998 - 2022 Gross Production

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022

    m b d

    0 300 km200100

    Caspian Sea

    Turkey

    Iran

    IraqSyria

    Russia

    Georgia

    Baku

    Ceyhan

    Erzurum

    Kazakhsta n

    Black Sea

    Tbilisi

    M e d .

    S e a

    Azerbaijan

    T ur kme ni stan

    ACG OilProduction &Development

    Alov Exploration

    InamExploration

    Shah DenizGas

    Development

    Block 3534

    Exploration

    Sangachal

    TerminalSouthCaucasusPipeline Gas

    WERPipeline

    BTC Pipeline Oil

    NERPipeline

    Supsa

    Grozny

    Novorossiysk

    1998 - 2022 Gross Production

    050

    100150200250300350400

    1 99 8 2 002 20 06 2 01 0 20 14 2 01 8 20 22

    m b d

    1998 - 2022 Gross Production

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022

    m b d

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    Azerbaijan Oil and Gas Revenues

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    18000

    2 0 0 4

    2 0 0 6

    2 0 0 8

    2 0 1 0

    2 0 1 2

    2 0 1 4

    2 0 1 6

    2 0 1 8

    2 0 2 0

    2 0 2 2

    2 0 2 4

    2 0 2 6

    2 0 2 8

    2 0 3 0

    $ m

    i l l i o n

    $50/bbl$40/bbl

    $30/bbl

    AzerbaijanGDP 2004

    Forecast State Revenues from ACG, BTC and SD Stage 1/SCP

    ~$106bn at $30/bbl ~$160bn at $40/bbl ~$210bn at $50/bbl.including profit oil, tax, bonuses

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    EITI in Azerbaijan: history and milestones

    Commitment to EITI in early 2003 The Azerbaijan National Committee on EITI led by the State Oil Fund

    established in November 2003 NGO Coalition for EITI established mid-2004 MoU signed between government, companies and NGO Coalition and

    reporting process established in November 2004 International audit firm selected in December 2004 First EITI report published in March 2005 Launched EITI web site in 2005 Nominated member of IAG in 2005 Piloted the draft Validation process in February 2006 Hosted the forth IAG meeting in Baku in April 2006 NGO Coalition hosted the Baku International Conference on EITI in April

    2006 Shared experience and lessons learned with Kazakhstan, Georgia and

    others in 2006 Nominated member of EITI Board in 2006

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    Looking ahead

    Preparations for preparations for fifth report havecommenced

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    EITI Azerbaijan

    Incentives and drivers Financing for BTC and SCP projects

    Effort by government to improve reputation on corruption

    Championed at top level: President, Executive Director of State Oil Fund

    Competent civil society institution

    Outputs

    MoU between all parties

    Regular reports that compare aggregated figures for companies and government bypayment type, e.g. royalties, taxes, production share

    Investigation and explanation of discrepancies by audit company

    Increased public debate on use of oil revenues

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    EITI Azerbaijan: Lessons learned andChallenges

    State oil company figures included but not audited Aggregated or disaggregated data?

    Massive increase in oil revenues in 2005 and 2006. GDPgrowth 27% on 2005, but.

    Managing public expectations will be difficult Need to increase public debate on revenues outside of

    Baku

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    Thank you!!Comments? Questions?

    Please see the websites: www.bp.com/caspian

    for BP Azerbaijan sustainability reports

    www.oilfund.az/search.php?get=EITIfor EITI Azerbaijan reports

    www.eititransparency

    for EITI country updates and forward plans

    Khatira M Iskender, BP [email protected]

    :

    http://www.bp.com/caspianhttp://www.oilfund.az/search.php?get=EITIhttp://www.eititransparency/http://www.eititransparency/http://www.oilfund.az/search.php?get=EITIhttp://www.bp.com/caspian