Sesa Goa-Dempo Merger

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    RESEARCH

    COMPANY DETAILS

    SHARE HOLDING

    FINANCIALS HIGHLIGHTS

    ANALYST

    BSE Code

    Promoter

    FY09' [Consolidated]

    Kinshuk Acharya

    [Rs. Crs.]

    [email protected]

    Share Capital

    092315 49900 / 91-33-3918 0387

    Debt

    Net Sales

    PAT

    EPS (Rs.)

    FII

    Financial Institutions

    Others

    NSE Symbol

    Bloomberg Code

    Market Cap (Rs. Crs)

    Free Float (%)

    52-wk H/L (Rs.)

    Avg. Daily Volume

    Face Value

    Beta

    500295

    51.18

    78.72

    NIL

    4808

    1950

    24.68

    19.72

    5.14

    23.96

    SESAGOA

    SESA IN

    15122

    48.82

    202/60

    7645455

    Re. 1

    0.95

    SESA GOA LTD. & DEMPO

    CMP

    12 JUNE, 2009

    : Rs. 202.00

    : Rs. 250.00TARGETHOLD

    MERGER REPORT

    Sesa Goa Ltd.,

    Dempo - Operational Overview

    Valuation & Recommendation

    Concall Highlights

    a majority-owned subsidiary of Vedanta Resources plc

    (Vedanta), the London-based FTSE 100 metal and mining group and

    India's largest Iron ore exporter has acquired all the outstanding common

    shares of V S Dempo & Co. Private Limited (VSD), which in turn, also

    holds 100% equity shares of Dempo Mining Corporation Private Limited and

    50% equity shares of Goa Maritime Private Limited for a total consideration

    of Rs. 1,750 crores (equivalent to US$368 million), on a debt-free and cash-

    free basis, and includes net working capital of Rs. 145 crores (equivalent to

    US$31 million). The deal has been totally funded by Sesa Goa's internal

    accrual, which incidentally has been holding a cash balance of Rs. 4143

    crores as on 31st March 2009.

    This acquisition has enabled Sesa Goa to get access to Dempo's mineable

    reserves and resources estimated at 70 million tons of iron ore in Goa

    which the latter owns or has the mineable rights. VSD's Goa mining assets

    includes processing plants, barges, jetties, transhippers and loading

    capacities at Mormugoa port.

    Dempo produced 3.94 million tons of iron ore and sold 4.36 million tons in

    the year ended 31 March 2009 with un-audited revenue and EBITDA in

    FY2009 of approximately Rs. 976 crores (equivalent to US$213 million) and

    Rs. 417 crores (equivalent to US$91 million) respectively.

    In the post Dempo acquisition scenario, at the current market price of Rs.

    202 the stock is trading at a forward PE of 4 and 2.62 based on FY10E and

    FY11E EPS of Rs.50 and Rs.77 respectively. Thus in the light of the present

    developments we revise our view on the stock and recommend HOLD

    with a price target of Rs. 250 in the medium term.

    However the immediate risk to our recommendation can come from the

    government, if it imposes export duty on iron ore.

    Dempo, the largest exporter of iron ore from Goa has iron ore mines in

    Goa. In addition to that, the company has entered in an MoU withMaharashtra and Jharkhand government for mine development. However,

    EUREKA RESEARCH www.eurekasecurities.com

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    the acquisition excludes the Maharashtra MoU that the company has.

    The company has 2 major mines from which 90% of its production comes from,however, one of the mines that the company operates, share common boundary with

    Sesa Goa's mines. This would bring about huge synergies in operation for Sesa Goa

    Dempo has a minable reserve of 70 million tons out of which production last year has

    been 3.94 million tons and sale of 4.36 million tons. Sesa Goa management indicated

    that for the current fiscal the company would maintain sale of 4 million tons as well.

    Sesa Goa achieved a sales figure of 15 million tons in FY09 and the company has

    guided a 20-25% growth in its sales volume, thus on a conservative basis the sales

    target for FY10 for Sesa Goa would be 18 million tons and adding another 4 million

    tons, the total sales volume for Sesa Goa is likely to be 22 million tons. Sesa Goamanagement has indicated that the company is targeting to augment its production

    to 50 million tons over the period of next 2-3 years

    Of the 4.36 million tons sold by Dempo in FY09, the product mix consisted of 92% of

    fines and 8% lump. Next year the product mix is likely to remain the same

    The company sold 1 million tons of iron ore in FY09 to Nippon Steel of Japan and rest

    of the iron ore were sold in China. In China also the sales mix that the company was

    able to achieve was 60% on spot basis and 40% in long term contract to two Chinese

    traders

    The cost of operation of the company is higher than that of Sesa Goa. The company

    has a work force of 1400 employees out of which a small portion are on temporary

    basis. Thus, for Sesa Goa there is a huge opportunity for cost rationalization which

    can be implemented in the company

    Dempo's production cost is in the region of $20/ton

    Blended cutoff Fe content of iron ore produced by Dempo from its different fields is

    55%

    Since V S Dempo & Co. Private Limited owns 50% equity shares of Goa Maritime

    Private Limited, this would result in huge synergistic benefits to Sesa Goa on logistics

    front as the asset for the company includes barges, jetties, transhippers and loading

    capacities at Mormugoa port. The company owns 2 transhippers which are capable

    of handling load of 5 million tons, however, currently the shippers are handling about

    2.5 million tons. Presently, sesa Goa's ship loading are done by outside facilities, now

    these transshippers could be put to optimal use enabling Sesa to optimize its logistic

    cost significantly going forward

    Dempo Mine has 60% reserves, 40% Resource.

    EUREKA RESEARCH 2

    SESA GOA LTD. & DEMPO

    MERGER REPORT

    12 JUNE 2009

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    Processing plants at Dempo have capacity of 6 million tone.

    Sesa Goa to make a 1.9% preferential allotment to take the management holding inDempo to 55% subject to approval of shareholders.

    SESA GOA LTD. & DEMPO

    MERGER REPORT

    12 JUNE 2009

    EUREKA RESEARCH 3

    Registered Office :

    Corporate Office :

    Mumbai Office :

    7 Lyons Range, 2nd Floor, Room No. 1, Kolkata - 700001

    B3/4, Gillander House, 8 N S Road, 3rd Floor, Kolkata - 700001Phone : 91-33-2210 7500 / 01 / 02, Fax: 91-33-2210 5184

    e: [email protected]

    909 Raheja Chamber, 213 Nariman Point, Mumbai-400021Phone : 91-22-2202 5941 / 5942e: [email protected]

    DISCLAIMER : The information in this report has been obtained from sources, which Eureka Research believes to be reliable, butwe do not hold ourselves responsible for its completeness in accuracy. All estimates and opinions in this report constitute ourjudgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Eureka Research will not be responsible for the consequenceof reliance upon our opinion or statement contained herein or for any omission. Any feedback can be mailed to the following ID.

    Analyst : Kinshuk Acharya

    Email : [email protected]

    Phone : 092315 49900 / 91-33-3918 0387

    Period FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E

    Gross Sales

    Excise Duty

    Net Sales

    Other Income

    Total Income

    Total ExpenditurePBIDT

    Interest

    PBDt

    Depreciation

    Tax

    Profit After Tax

    EPS

    PE Ratio

    12101

    195

    11906

    190

    12096

    44857611

    2

    7609

    68

    1484

    6057

    76.9

    2.624.01

    50.3

    8067

    130

    7937

    190

    8127

    31364991

    0.9

    4990

    60

    970

    3960

    5338.3

    50

    5288.3

    190.53

    5516.2

    2128.73387.5

    0.8

    3386.7

    54.13

    655.87

    2337.8

    24.7

    8.18

    3471.15

    55.93

    3415.22

    69.44

    3508.44

    1499.442009

    0.03

    2008.97

    48.97

    653.82

    1306.18

    P & L Ratios FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11ETotal Expenditure to Sales

    Depreciation to Sales

    PBDITA Margin

    PBT Margin

    PAT Margin

    37.7%

    0.6%

    63.9%

    63.3%

    50.9%

    39.5%

    0.8%

    62.9%

    62.1%

    49.9%

    40.3%

    1.0%

    64.1%

    63.0%

    44.2%

    43.9%

    1.4%

    58.8%

    57.4%

    38.2%

    Revised Financials in Rs. Cr.

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