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Energiebraucht Impulse
Services in Future Energy SystemsServices in Future Energy SystemsServices in Future Energy SystemsServices in Future Energy Systems
PD Dr. Jörg JasperEnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AGKarlsruhe, September 26, 2013
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Reasons for new services in future energy systems
2
SupplySupplySupplySupplyDemandDemandDemandDemandp
rice
pri
cep
rice
pri
ce
PPPP
quantityquantityquantityquantity
Ca
pa
city
Ca
pa
city
Ca
pa
city
Ca
pa
city Technical Technical Technical Technical limitslimitslimitslimits ofofofof thethethethe gridgridgridgrid
timetimetimetime
WholesaleWholesaleWholesaleWholesale marketmarketmarketmarket andandandand gridgridgridgrid relatedrelatedrelatedrelated reasonsreasonsreasonsreasonsWholesaleWholesaleWholesaleWholesale marketmarketmarketmarket andandandand gridgridgridgrid relatedrelatedrelatedrelated reasonsreasonsreasonsreasons New New New New customercustomercustomercustomer preferencespreferencespreferencespreferencesNew New New New customercustomercustomercustomer preferencespreferencespreferencespreferences
Source: Qivicon
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Reason #1 for demand‘s future key role in electricitymarket: ElasticityThe wholesale market aspect
3
SupplySupplySupplySupplyDemandDemandDemandDemand
pricepricepriceprice
pppp
quantityquantityquantityquantity
› In electricity markets,
demand is more or less
inelastic…
› The same applies for
supply when it is close
to the capacity limit
› Under normal
conditions, this is not a
problem.
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Reason #1 for demand‘s future key role in electricitymarket: ElasticityThe wholesale market aspect
4
SupplySupplySupplySupply DemandDemandDemandDemand
pricepricepriceprice
pppp ????
quantityquantityquantityquantity
› … but what happens, if
demand exceeds
supply?
› Demand will be rationed
by system operators
(rolling blackouts)
› Customers‘ preferences
(different WTP) play no
role here!
› What could we do about
it?
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Reason #1 for demand‘s future key role in electricitymarket: ElasticityThe wholesale market aspect
5
SupplySupplySupplySupply
DemandDemandDemandDemand
pricepricepriceprice
quantityquantityquantityquantity
› Solution one: subsidize
new capacity (beyond
the quantitiy the market
would have brought
forward)
› Probably not efficient…
SupplySupplySupplySupply withwithwithwith
subsidysubsidysubsidysubsidy////
capacitycapacitycapacitycapacity paymentpaymentpaymentpaymentpppp
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Reason #1 for demand‘s future key role in electricitymarket: ElasticityThe wholesale market aspect
6
› … instead it might be
way more elegant to
make demand more
elastic (i.e. make it
respond to price signals
in real time!)
› This is where the
customer comes in!
SupplySupplySupplySupplyDemandDemandDemandDemand
pricepricepriceprice
PPPP
quantityquantityquantityquantity
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Reason #1 for demand‘s future key role in electricity market: ElasticityThe distribution system aspect
timetimetimetimeCa
pa
city
Ca
pa
city
Ca
pa
city
Ca
pa
city
Import of energy intointointointo local grid
Export of energy fromfromfromfrom local grid
Consumption ofenergy generatedelsewhere
consumption of energygenerated regionally
Technical Technical Technical Technical
limitslimitslimitslimits ofofofof
thethethethe gridgridgridgrid
There There There There areareareare twotwotwotwo alternatives alternatives alternatives alternatives
whenwhenwhenwhen theretheretherethere isisisis tootootootoo muchmuchmuchmuch
energyenergyenergyenergy in in in in thethethethe gridgridgridgrid::::
› Switch RES generation off
(high costs, as RES not
generated is also
remunerated in Germany)
› ShiftShiftShiftShift consumptionconsumptionconsumptionconsumption (e.g. (e.g. (e.g. (e.g.
power power power power totototo heatheatheatheat))))
7
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Must Run (15-25 GW)
Reason #1 for demand‘s future key role in electricitymarket: ElasticityThe whole picture
Maximum load
Minimal load
Normal load40 – 60 GW
Intermittent generation
Capacity
20 GW
40 GW
60 GW
80 GW
100 GW
120 GW
140 GW
2020
2030
Additional demand
* With 20 kW charging capacity, 10 % equivalent to 5 Mio. EVs
Too much generation!Grid capacity sufficient?
Sufficient generation?Sufficient grid capacities?
Smart MarketDemand reduction with
significant potential
8
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Reason #2 for demand‘s future key role in electricitymarket: new customer needs and prefereces
Different needs of customers in different ‚clusters‘
› Enjoy ‚smart energy world‘› Ecologic values; support
‚Energiewende‘› ‚safe autarky‘› Reduce costs/energy
efficiency
Pri
vate
› Comply with legal norms/standards
› Efficiency› Green image› Buy from a ‚one stop shop‘
Ind
ustry
Ind
ustry
Ind
ustry
Ind
ustry // //
SM
Es
SM
Es
SM
Es
SM
Es
› Offer new products andservices to own customerswithout signfificantinvestment
Mu
nic
ipa
lM
un
icip
al
Mu
nic
ipa
lM
un
icip
al
uti
liti
es
uti
liti
es
uti
liti
es
uti
liti
es
› Green image› ‚safe autarky‘› Make political agenda
become reality
Mu
nicip
ality
Mu
nicip
ality
Mu
nicip
ality
Mu
nicip
ality
yesterday today increasingly tomorrow
› Supply security› Fair prices (B2B)
› Fair prices + additional valuesof benefit
› Ecologic values/sustainability› Support ‚Energiewende‘› Being autonomous
› Use opportunities, reduce risk› Reduce complexity› Keep energy costs under
control
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MarketCustomer‘s role is going to change…
yesterday
„consumer“
today
„customer“
tomorrow
„prosumer“
› Know-howwith energy supplier
› Know-how distributed(supplier, customer, others)
› Integrated co-operation ofdiffferent marketparticipants
› Large power plants › 30 % decentral generation › Generation extremelyintermittent
› Generation followsconsumption
› Consumption supportsgeneration
› Consumption followsgeneration
› Electricity + gas › Electricity + gas + solutions
› Energy solutions
› Stable environment › Increasing complexity anddynamics
› High complexity anddynamics
time10
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The customer to become the key figure
11
RES generation
Storage
Prestige
Grid data
Delivery ofelectricity
Meteringdata
Convenience
Demand shift
Mobility
… but a ‚smart … but a ‚smart … but a ‚smart … but a ‚smart infrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructure‘ ‘ ‘ ‘ will will will will bebebebe requiredrequiredrequiredrequired! This ! This ! This ! This infrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructure isisisis nownownownow availableavailableavailableavailable....
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12
Smart Market
› Smart energy logistics (tariffs for load
shift)
Smart capacity markets
› To incentivise optimal use of capacity
Smart grid
› Active capacity and congestion
management
› New tariff system
Smarter metering services
› ‚Intelligent‘ metering systems
› New role of metering services
Smart operations
› Processes compatible with mass
markets
› Adjusted standards (data formats etc.)
Smarter regulatory framework
› E.g, grid regulation adjusted to smart
world
Customer
‚Smart‘ infrastructure is/will be availableElements of a ‚smart‘ infrastructure
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An example: EnBW‘s virtual power plant (VPP) will combine customers‘ flexibilities and bring them to themarket
13
DegreesDegreesDegreesDegrees ofofofoffreedomfreedomfreedomfreedom inininin
› Consumption
› Generation
› Framework
conditions
Energy market
Genera-tion
ControlControlControlControl
Con-sump-
tion
SellingSellingSellingSelling flexibilitiesflexibilitiesflexibilitiesflexibilities in in in in electricityelectricityelectricityelectricity marketmarketmarketmarket, , , , sharingsharingsharingsharing profitsprofitsprofitsprofits withwithwithwith customerscustomerscustomerscustomers....
DecentralDecentralDecentralDecentralgenerationgenerationgenerationgeneration
managementmanagementmanagementmanagement
Demand Demand Demand Demand ResponseResponseResponseResponse
SellingSellingSellingSelling RES RES RES RES directlydirectlydirectlydirectly intointointointo
marketmarketmarketmarket
Individual Individual Individual Individual flexibilitiesflexibilitiesflexibilitiesflexibilities
TTTTotalotalotalotalflexibilityflexibilityflexibilityflexibility
FlexibilityFlexibilityFlexibilityFlexibility In In In In thethethethemarketmarketmarketmarket
CCCCustomerustomerustomerustomerCustomer:Customer:Customer:Customer:
OptimizationOptimizationOptimizationOptimization
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Path towards introduction of the virtual power plant in the market
14
› 20 installations atcustomers
› Decision on IT-architecture & systems
› Concept for day-aheadcontrol
› Buildup entire system
› Approval & implementation ofalgorithms
› 150 installations atcustomers‘ homes
› Test (Simulation) in real time environment
› Creation of productconcept, rollout
› Operation with real market data
› Analysis
Phase 1Phase 1Phase 1Phase 1UUUUntil15 ntil15 ntil15 ntil15 OctOctOctOct. 2013. 2013. 2013. 2013
DesignDesignDesignDesign „„„„AlgorithmsAlgorithmsAlgorithmsAlgorithms““““ Aufbau GesamtsystemAufbau GesamtsystemAufbau GesamtsystemAufbau Gesamtsystem SMART MARKETSMART MARKETSMART MARKETSMART MARKET
Phase 2Phase 2Phase 2Phase 2UntilUntilUntilUntil end Q1/2014end Q1/2014end Q1/2014end Q1/2014
Phase 3Phase 3Phase 3Phase 3Until15. Until15. Until15. Until15. OctOctOctOct. 2014. 2014. 2014. 2014
Phase 4Phase 4Phase 4Phase 4UntilUntilUntilUntil end Q2/2015end Q2/2015end Q2/2015end Q2/2015
20 20
150 150
0
200
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4
NumberNumberNumberNumber testtesttesttest customerscustomerscustomerscustomers
› Data collection
› Finalization ofintelligent controlconcepts
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Decentral solutions – growing German marketSolutions by EnBW
Source: EnBW
EEEE----MobilityMobilityMobilityMobility
• Solutions Solutions Solutions Solutions forforforforchargingchargingchargingcharginginfrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructure
• MobilityMobilityMobilityMobility----managermanagermanagermanager////partnerpartnerpartnerpartner
DecentralDecentralDecentralDecentralenergyenergyenergyenergysystemssystemssystemssystems
• CoolingCoolingCoolingCooling• HeatingHeatingHeatingHeating• CHPCHPCHPCHP
B2C/B2B/B2GB2C/B2B/B2GB2C/B2B/B2GB2C/B2B/B2G
Energy Energy Energy Energy EfficiencyEfficiencyEfficiencyEfficiency
• Management Management Management Management ofofofof energyenergyenergyenergyefficiencyefficiencyefficiencyefficiencyB2B / B2CB2B / B2CB2B / B2CB2B / B2C
• ContractingContractingContractingContracting 1111
Smart Smart Smart Smart WorldsWorldsWorldsWorlds
• Smart HomeSmart HomeSmart HomeSmart Home• Smart Smart Smart Smart
IndustriesIndustriesIndustriesIndustries• VPPsVPPsVPPsVPPs• Smart MeterSmart MeterSmart MeterSmart Meter
DDDD
AAAA
BBBB
CCCC
EXAMPLES
15
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System System System System forforforfor futurefuturefuturefuture controlcontrolcontrolcontrol ofofofofresidentialresidentialresidentialresidential appliancesappliancesappliancesappliances
› Open System
› Producer independent
› Plug & Play
› No edificial changesrequired
› Several kinds ofapplications
EnBW co-founded the Qivicon Smart Home Alliance
16
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Smart Home 1.0 – user interface
17
› Market introduction with energy-
related issues like
› Light
› Heating
› Follow-ups
› Optimization of customer‘s own
energy consumption
› Alarm-clock-App
› etc.
› Philosophy:
› Makes energy use joyful,
interesting and more efficient
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EnBW illumination package
18
› Define light sceneries –spontaneously or progammed
› Create time schedules forillumination of householdappliances
› Remote switching ofappliances
› Simulate presence at homeand optimize security
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EnBW starter package heating
19
› Control air humidity
› Holiday function: dim heatingplus presetting function forhome return
› Remote swiching of heatingappliances
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Project LivingLab BWe mobile:Installation charging infrastructure in Stuttgart and region
Targets:
› development and profitable operation of a public charging infrastructure for EVs
› Reliable and unclomplicated charging athome
› Intelligent EV-fleet management
› Intelligent connection of vehicles andstandardisation of access
EnBW participating at 5 projects of „LivingLabBWe mobil“
Project duration: 03/2012 – 06/2015
Partners: 35 firms and institutions
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Research project iZEUS: Intelligent zero emission urban system
Targets: connect traffic and energy systems via trans-regional roaming and billing concepts, decentral energy- and charging management, development of prepaid solutions for publiccharging
Project duration: 1/2012 – 7/2014
Project partners: Daimler, Opel, ads-tec, Fraunhofer Gesellschaft, KIT, PTV, SAP und TWT (EnBW = leadingunderwriter)
Target group: municipal utilities, municipalities, private business
Karlsruhe
Stuttgart
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CompetitionTraditional value-added-chain completed by new elements. New competitors entering the market
Generation
Retail
Grids
Trading
Energy efficiency
Logistics
Smart Solutions
Power generatingfinal customers
Area networks
22
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What our competitors offer
Sources: websites and publications
GermanyGermanyGermanyGermany
EEEE----mobilitymobilitymobilitymobility› E-bikes› Car-Leasing (EV)› Car-Sharing (EV)› Charging infrastructure› Billing/roaming› OEM-Partnerships› Vehicle-to-Grid› Inductive charging
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› Efficiency consultancy› Energy pass› Thermography› Financing› Build up contact with craftsmen
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………… examples
Internat.Internat.Internat.Internat.
� Existing offers
4444
examplesexamplesexamplesexamples
23
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Example: NEXT Kraftwerke
› Next Kraftwerke GmbH is a spin-off of
Energiewirtschaftliches Institut at
Cologne University (EWI)
Source: http://www.next-kraftwerke.de/
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Concept of Deutsche Telekom for roaming and billingof EV-charging
1111
ChargingChargingChargingChargingplanningplanningplanningplanning
› Route optimization considering existing chargingstations and charging times
Energy Energy Energy Energy RoamingRoamingRoamingRoaming
› Authentification and authorization of user/EV
› Remote reading of charging energy consumption via Telekom Telekom Telekom Telekom SmartSmartSmartSmart----MeteringMeteringMeteringMetering ServiceServiceServiceService
› Realtime-clearing user-supplier via roaming-module
› Transaction data transmission
Mobile Mobile Mobile Mobile MeteringMeteringMeteringMetering › Mobile reading of battery status via Telekom SmartTelekom SmartTelekom SmartTelekom Smart----MeteringMeteringMeteringMetering
ServiceServiceServiceService
› Registration at charging station at destination
› Calculation of charging cycles by alignment with customer‘s datebook
Source: Deutsche Telekom NPE Bildungskonferenz
25
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LichtBlick‘s ZuhauseKraftwerk
TargetTargetTargetTarget
› Decentral energy generation (electricity, heat) for B2C from environmentally friendlysources
OfferOfferOfferOffer
› Gas Gas Gas Gas heatingheatingheatingheating forforforfor electricityelectricityelectricityelectricity andandandand heatheatheatheat gen., gen., gen., gen., basedbasedbasedbased on Volkswagen on Volkswagen on Volkswagen on Volkswagen engineengineengineengine
› Saves up to 20 per 20 per 20 per 20 per centcentcentcent ofofofof expensesexpensesexpensesexpenses forforforforheatingheatingheatingheating
› Customer also earns by feeding in electricityelectricityelectricityelectricityintointointointo thethethethe gridgridgridgrid (0.5 ct/kWh), excess heatproduction stored
› Property of Lichtblick, no gas purchse, O&M for customer
› Lichtblick pays monthly rent (EUR 5,-)
› Central Central Central Central controlcontrolcontrolcontrol via mobile via mobile via mobile via mobile networknetworknetworknetwork
StatusStatusStatusStatus
› First First First First MoverMoverMoverMover in segment (followed by GASAG)
› CEO Gero Lücking: „business model works “
› Mid to long term target:100.000 100.000 100.000 100.000 cutomerscutomerscutomerscutomers
› Apparent problems with implementation
› VW engines seem to reqiure moremaintenance than expected
› Craftsmen network apparently not optimal
Source: LichtBlick, Hamburger SAGA GWG
2222
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RheinEnergie‘s SmartCity-conzept3333
› SmartCity Cologne is platform for all individual projects in Cologne aiming at CO2-reduction and RES, smart technologies, E-mobility
› Project also Project also Project also Project also intendsintendsintendsintends totototo improveimproveimproveimprove qualityqualityqualityquality ofofofof lifelifelifelife
› In detail: Smart meters; smart street lamps, small decentral power plants, storage, and buildings that produce more energy than they consume
Cologne, Cologne, Cologne, Cologne, 02.11.1102.11.1102.11.1102.11.11RheinEnergieRheinEnergieRheinEnergieRheinEnergie andandandand thethethethe City City City City ofofofof Cologne will Cologne will Cologne will Cologne will cocococo----operateoperateoperateoperate in in in in technicaltechnicaltechnicaltechnical climateclimateclimateclimate protectionprotectionprotectionprotection
Quelle: Klimabündnis Köln, RheinEnergie27
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Florida Power & Lighting (FPL) reduced 938 MW peakloads by switching customers
Target Project Target Project Target Project Target Project „„„„OnCallOnCallOnCallOnCall““““
› Keeping grid stable by reducing peak load
› Reduction of energy consumption
ImplementationImplementationImplementationImplementation
› VolutaryVolutaryVolutaryVolutary programmeprogrammeprogrammeprogramme forforforfor directdirectdirectdirect loadloadloadload controlcontrolcontrolcontrol(DLC)
› """"greygreygreygrey boxesboxesboxesboxes"""" installed in customers‘ homesfor free to control certain appliances, like
› Air conditioning
› Central heating
› Swimming pool pumps
› Boilers
› Supplier entitled to swich costomer devicesduring short time intervals (ususally 3 - 4 times a year), in turn pays bonus tocustomers
› Customers save up to USD 137/yr.
EffectsEffectsEffectsEffects
› 2007 750.000 Customers750.000 Customers750.000 Customers750.000 Customers
› Demand Demand Demand Demand paekspaekspaekspaeks > 900 > 900 > 900 > 900 MW MW MW MW lowerlowerlowerlower thanthanthanthan beforebeforebeforebefore
› Used successfully after hurricane Katrina Katrina Katrina Katrina totototomakemakemakemake efficientefficientefficientefficient useuseuseuse ofofofof scarcescarcescarcescarce fuelsfuelsfuelsfuels
› Suitable fundament for smart gridimplementation
Source: website, Govt. of Oregon
4444
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To sum up…
› There are some good reasons for newenergy related services.
› First, there is a systemicsystemicsystemicsystemic needneedneedneed forforforfor moremoremoremoreflexibilityflexibilityflexibilityflexibility, especially due to higher RES penetration. Here new services cansubstantially enhance the efficiency ofthe entire system.
› Second, there isisisis newnewnewnew demanddemanddemanddemand forforforfor energyenergyenergyenergyrelatedrelatedrelatedrelated servicesservicesservicesservices from the customer‘sside. Perhaps, conspicuousconsumption and convenience will become much more important in thisfield than they are today.
› The infrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructure will will will will soonsoonsoonsoon bebebebe availableavailableavailableavailableto allow for all this.
› There areareareare lots lots lots lots ofofofof businessbusinessbusinessbusiness modelsmodelsmodelsmodels beingbeingbeingbeingdiscusseddiscusseddiscusseddiscussed, new ones constantly toemerge.
Source: EnBW
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Energiebraucht Impulse
ThankThankThankThank youyouyouyou!!!!
PD Dr. Jörg PD Dr. Jörg PD Dr. Jörg PD Dr. Jörg JasperJasperJasperJasper
Group Expert Energy Economics & Policy
Schiffbauerdamm 1
10117 Berlin
Tel.: +49 30 23455 254
Durlacher Allee 93
76131 Karlsruhe
Tel.: +49 721 63-14852