Seismic Hazard and Vulnerability in the Built Environment ... · As a result unless precautions are...
Transcript of Seismic Hazard and Vulnerability in the Built Environment ... · As a result unless precautions are...
1
Seismic Hazard and Vulnerability in the Built Environment of Chennai City, India
G.P Ganapathy
Centre for Disaster Mitigation and Management, VIT University, Vellore 632014, India
seismogans @yahoo.com
A. S Rajawat
Space Application Centre, ISRO, Ahmedabad 380015, India
S.K Sekar
Centre for Disaster Mitigation and Management, VIT University, Vellore 632014, India
Abstract
Seismic vulnerability in urban areas is the biggest and most rapidly growing problem in developing
countries. India has highly populous cities and majority of the construction in Indian cities are not
earthquake resistant. Chennai city is one of the well urbanized and densely populated areas of India,
where the majority of buildings are reinforced concrete cement structures containing three to four
stories. Also the city is listed under GOI-UNDP Earthquake Vulnerability Reduction Programme as
one among the 38 urban centres which have more than half million population in India. The Bureau
of Indian Standard categorized the city under Seismic zone III (prone to moderate seismic hazard -
can expect earthquake magnitude upto 6.9 in this zone). Geologically major part of the city is
covered by Recent alluvium to a maximum thickness of 28m and these alluvial deposits can amplify
in multi-fold during earthquakes. The damage caused by the past earthquakes in the country
reiterates the scale of vulnerability of built environment. Such being the case, safety of the city is
extremely important to safeguard the built environment and infrastructures from the earthquakes.
The present paper aims to study and understand the vulnerability of the Chennai city‘s built
environment and infrastructure due to earthquakes. The seismic hazard of the city is assessed by
integrating geological and geotechnical parameters in GIS platform. A pilot seismic vulnerability
study is carried out in the densely populated built areas of the city. A first level rapid visual
screening study of buildings is carried out for part of the area. The vulnerability on infrastructure
viz., road, railway line, bridges, underground pipelines are mapped using GIS techniques. The
seismic vulnerability of part of the city is quantified by integrating the seismic hazard over the built
environment and infrastructure details. The out come of study will be helpful in all cases where the
vulnerability is assessed to be high, detailed investigations may be required for seismic evaluation of
buildings & infrastructures for retrofitting and further building usage purposes.
Keywords: Geotechnical, Seismic Hazard, Vulnerability, Built Environment, Chennai City.
2
1. Introduction
Sustainable urban development is one of the most pressing challenges facing the human community
in the 21st century. The world‘s urban areas are now home to nearly half of humankind (UNCHS,
2001). From the last 50 years, urban areas, particularly in developing countries have experienced
unprecedented growth. Urban areas today account for 35% of the total population of 3515 million. By
2025 the majority of the regions of world population will live in urban areas. In India the degree of
urbanization is at 27.8% in 2001 and it is anticipated that 50% of population would end in urban
areas by 2021 (Ved Mittal, 2009). Post disaster studies, especially after the Bhuj earthquake, have
given the engineering community both architects and structural engineers number of important
lessons to be adequately addressed so as to mitigate the effect of such hazards in future (Shailesh
Kumar Agrawal and Prasad, J.K, 2009). Chennai city has experienced three earthquakes of
magnitudes greater than or equal to 5.0 in 1807, 1816 and 1823 (Ganapathy 2005). Also part of
Chennai falls in seismically moderate to high hazard prone areas (Ganapathy 2011). Urban areas
likes Chennai city therefore require special consideration during the evaluation of seismic hazard and
vulnerability. As a result, even relatively moderate earthquake events can be the source of huge
socio-economic disasters. Assessing the seismic hazard and vulnerability is an important tool to
reduce the earthquake risk. In this regard a study on quantification of seismic hazard vulnerability of
the built environment, critical facilities, and lifeline utilities of Chennai city.
2. Description of the Study Area
Chennai formerly known as Madras is the capital city of the Indian state Tamil Nadu covering an area
of 174sq.km. The district is bounded by north latitudes 120 59‘ 10‖ to 13
0 08‘ 50‖ and east longitudes
800 12‘ 10‖ to 80
0 18‘ 30‖ (Figure 1). It has the second largest beach in the world stretching more
than 12km length. The population of the city was 4.343 million in 2001 and projected to 5.343
million in 2011 Census of India (Census, 2001). Chennai being the fifth most populous city in India,
it is also the world's 36th largest metropolitan area. The Archaean crystalline rocks, Gondwana &
Tertiary sediments and Recent alluvium are the three group of geological formations found in
Chennai. Most of the geological formations are concealed since they are overlain by the alluvial
materials excepting for a few exposures of crystalline rocks of Charnockites in south-western part of
Chennai (CGWB Report, 1993). Ground shaking is more severe on sites underlain by thick deposits
of saturated sediments rather than those located on bedrock. As a result unless precautions are taken,
the greatest loss from ground shaking where the structures are built on thick relatively soft, saturated
sediments (UNDRO - 1, 1978). Chennai city is in such condition, about 80% of the city located in
the recent alluvial material and buildings constructed in these areas would be highly vulnerable to
earthquakes.
3
Figure 1. Location map of Chennai city
3. Approach
To understand the Seismic Hazard and Vulnerability of Chennai City a pilot study is carried out on a
regional scale of 1:12,500. The seismic hazard of the city is assessed by Analytical Hierarchy
Process (AHP) technique developed by Saaty in 1980. The thematic layers viz., Peak Ground
Acceleration (PGA), soil, geology, groundwater fluctuation and depth to bedrock are prepared in a
GIS platform. A pair wise comparison matrix was prepared for these five thematic layers. Following
the AHP, the thematic maps are assigned weights on a scale of 1–5 depending on their contribution to
seismic hazard. The higher weight is assigned to the theme that contributes more to the hazard. The
obtained values are then incorporated in Arc-GIS Spatial Analyst tool for the integration of all the
thematic maps to obtain the seismic hazard microzonation map of Chennai city. The UNION and
overlay operation carried out to integrate these five thematic layers.
To understand the vulnerability of the built environment and infrastructure, a spatial/non-spatial
database on the built environment, critical facilities, transportation and lifeline utilities was created
for the Chennai city. These elements at earthquake risk were studied for different level of
vulnerability in the seismic hazard zone. The steps involved in the vulnerability assessment are
identification of high risk areas by integrating the seismic hazard map over the vulnerability map and
the focus the vulnerability assessment on areas and or structures located in the high risk areas. The
quantification of seismic vulnerability of Chennai city is assessed by integrating seismic hazard map
over the built environment and critical facilities, transportation and lifeline utilities, in a GIS
platform.
4
4. Seismic Hazard and Vulnerability of Chennai City
4.1 Seismic Hazard of Chennai City
The city has been classified under Zone III (moderate seismic hazard) as per seismic hazard map of
India published by Bureau of Indian Standard (BIS, 2002). A first level seismic microzonation map
of Chennai city has been produced with a GIS platform using the themes, viz, Peak Ground
Acceleration (PGA), Shear wave velocity at 3m, Geology, Ground water fluctuation and bed rock
depth. Chennai has been broadly classified into three zones, as high, moderate and low in terms of
seismic hazard in an event of future earthquakes (Figure 2).
Figure 2. Seismic hazard of Chennai city
The part of Chennai falls in seismically moderate to high hazard prone areas. The resultant map
depicts that the high hazard areas are distributed in patches around Adyar River and few patches
distributed below Cooum River in the south western part of the city. The areas in the southern part of
Chennai represent lacustrine deposits are underlined by marine black clay as evident in Taramani
areas. The maximum depth to basement is 14m. The central part of the city has mainly fluvial origin
of flood plain deposits as evidence from the flowing Adyar and Cooum rivers. The upstream portion
5
of Adyar and Cooum rivers had a moderate slope and in the down stream, the rivers are very gentle to
flat in coastal areas. These areas in the northern part of the city represent black clay and alluvium of
marine origin with maximum depth to basement of 30m and patches of these areas show high hazard.
The western and northwestern part of Chennai falls under moderate hazard. These areas represent the
shale and clay of the Gondwana age and are also correlated with lake fill deposits. The remaining
areas are prone to low seismic hazard. It can be concluded that half of the Chennai city is prone to
moderate to high hazard.
4.2 Vulnerability of Chennai City
Establishing the degree of vulnerability of buildings and lifeline utilities, one can obtain an estimate
of risk. Vulnerability analysis is, therefore, an intrinsic aspect of disaster mitigation and one of the
linkages in the assessment process (UNDRO-2, 1991). The Chennai city‘s vulnerability is assessed
in three categories viz., built environment, critical facilities (essential and high potential loss), and
transportation & lifeline utilities.
4.2.1 Built Environment
Once the seismic hazard has been quantified, the next step is to create a spatial representation of the
study areas structural, demographic, and economic inventory. Large scale base maps were prepared
using satellite images in GIS platform. The creation of building database for the present study will be
based on visual interpretation of satellite imageries/aerial photos and field inventories. A spatial data
base on landuse, road, railway, bridges, water ways and built environment were created in a GIS
platform using the collected maps from various authenticated agencies viz. Census of India, Chennai
Metropolitan Development Authority (CMDA), and Corporation of Chennai.
In the Second Master Plan published by Chennai Metropolitan Development Authority (CMDA
2008), the landuse of Chennai in the year 2006, the residential areas covered by 54.25 %,
institutional areas 18.48%, commercial areas 7.09%, industrial areas 5.17%, open space 2.09%,
agriculture and non-urban areas 0.57 & 0.47, and the areas including vacant, forest, hills, low-lying
areas and water bodies etc, are 11.89%.
Chennai (Madras) in 1600 was formed of scattered settlements separated by long distances. The
population, which was 19,000 in 1646, expanded to 40,000 in 1669. The surroundings of the Fort
area covering nearly 69 kms and containing within it 16 hamlets were constituted as the City of
Madras in 1798. Later on the city extended over an area of about 70 sq.kms and had a population of
5.40 lakhs in 1901. The population of the City increased to 8.6 lakhs by 1941. The city occupied an
area of about 80 sq.km and its boundaries have been extended in 1923. The thirty years between
1941 and 1971 saw tremendous growth in population and economic activity in and around the City.
The population first passed the million marks around 1943 and then doubled itself in a short span of
about twenty years to cross, the two million mark. In 1950 the boundary of the City was extended to
cover 129sq.km. The west of Nungambakkam was covered by the Nungambakkam Tank and this
long tank extended in the form of a crescent for nearly 6 kms covered the west of Nungambakkam,
and was disappeared after 1950‘s covered by settlements. The present Chennai is 174 sq.km areas
6
with a population of 43.43 lakhs and projected to 53.53 Lakhs in the year 2011 as per Census of
India. The population density of the city is 25000/sq.km approximately. The details of urbanisation
from the year 1633 to 2006 are presented in the Figure 3.
Figure 3. Map showing the spatial growth of urbanisation in Chennai from 1633 to 2006.
Census 2001, reveals the different wall material of the constructed buildings are Brick 65.03%,
Concrete 21.78 stone walls 5.16% and rest of the buildings walls constructed by Wood, Mud,
Unburnt brick etc. In the city 75% of the houses are with roof made up of brick, stone, concrete and
other materials of pucca nature. About 15% are with semi-pucca roofing materials such as tiles, slate,
G.I. metal sheets and asbestos cement sheets, and about 10% are with ‗Katcha‘ materials such as
thatched, bamboo etc. Totally 75, 498 slums in the city. Among these 30,922 slums distributed along
7
the river margin, 5,288 in feeder canals, 22,769 in road margin, and 16,519 distributed in seashore
areas. Three major watercourses in the Chennai City viz, Cooum River, Buckingham canal, Adyar
River which are encroached by 30922 slums viz., 8,432, 15,733, and 6,757 respectively.
4.2.2 Critical Facilities
The classification given in HAZUS-MH, 2010 is used for the present study on critical facility
analysis, Transportation and Utility lifeline structures. The critical facilities are classified in to two
categories viz, essential facilities (hospitals, medical clinics, schools/educational institutions, fire
stations, police stations and emergency operations facilities) and high potential loss facilities (dams,
levees, military installations, nuclear power plants and hazardous material sites). The details of
critical facilities are presented in the Figure 4.
Figure 4. Spatial distribution of critical facilities in Chennai
8
Chennai is well known for educational institutions totally 1585 institutions (schools, colleges,
technical educations, medical education, veterinary college, Law College) and most of these
institutions were spread spatially in the southern side of the city. Out of 1585 institutions, 485 are in
Government and Government aided and other 1100 are private category (Census 2001). Chennai has
totally 323 hospitals which includes 28 Government Hospitals and 42 private hospitals and had a
capacity of 12,522 beds and 8411 beds respectively. Apart from this totally 25 fire stations, 96 police
stations, and 10 information & publicity bureaus are available in the Chennai city (Yellow Pages,
2011).
4.2.3 Transportation and Lifeline Utilities
The lifeline inventory is divided between transportation and utility lifeline systems in the Hazus
Methodology. The transportation systems include highways, railways, bus, ports, ferry and airports
and utility systems that include potable water, wastewater, natural gas, crude & refined oil, electric
power and communications. The transportation details and Lifeline utilities are given in Figure 5
Figure 5. Spatial distribution of transport network and lifeline utilities in Chennai
9
The Chennai city‘s road network is mainly dominated by radial pattern and it converging towards
George Town and is the main Central Business District (CBD) of the Chennai Metropolitan
Authority (CMA). The city‘s road network is categorised as national highways (3 Nos) and a number
of radial roads which connects CMA. The railway network of Chennai carry‘s by 3 corridors in
northeast southwest direction as well as in east to west direction and almost covers the total city. The
Phase 1 & Phase 2 of MRTS traversing a length of more than 15 km covering the residential and IT
corridor on the south eastern side of the city in addition to those 3 corridors.
Chennai city‘s sewerage system was designed in 1910 for an estimated 1961 population of 6.6 lakhs
at the rate of 114 lpcd, as a separate system. The system then allowed for admission of storm water
from house courtyards and roofs through gullies. The city was divided as north, west and south
(independent) drainage areas. In the present Chennai City Corporation area of 174sq.km the
sewerage system now covers 99% of the city area. There are 5,15,560 sewer connections as on date to
serve the population of Chennai City through a network of 2,663 kms of sewer and 180 sewage
pumping stations. The city has one Airport and sea port. The total quantity of exports handled by
sea port remains larger when compared to imports. Chennai has a major harbour, which consist of
209 acres. Apart from these 9 electricity offices, 17 fuel stations, 97 gas appliances/agencies, 47
telecommunication services and 106 water suppliers are in the Chennai city (Yellow Pages, 2011).
5. Discussions
The Chennai city has been classified into three broad zones, viz, High, Moderate and Low Seismic
Hazard. The High seismic Hazard concentrated in a few places in the western central part of the city.
The moderate hazard areas are oriented in NW-SE direction in the Western part. The southern and
eastern part will have low seismic hazard. Out of 174 sq.km area 107.68 sq.km area covered by
residential and commercial buildings. Most of the residential and commercial areas fall under
moderate to high seismic hazard areas. The urbanization in the city starts from north and spreads in a
radial pattern. The areas around Saidapet, Kodambakkam and Anna Nagar are densely populated as
well as these areas built over the recent alluvial materials, which have the capacity of the soil
amplification 2 to 3 times more than the normal soils. These areas are falls in high seismic hazard
zone and mostly residential. T.Nagar is one of the centres of attraction in Chennai for shopping and
mixed residential areas, where most of building have spatial irregularity. These are highly vulnerable
during earthquakes. This area also falls under moderate to high seismic areas. Nearly 77% of the
buildings are accessible through tar roads, and only 14% are approachable through mud roads. 18%
of the buildings comprise flats and 41% are independent buildings. Since the city is old one, totally
147 heritage buildings are spreader mostly in the north Chennai, where we have moderate seismic
hazard. The north Chennai is densely populated compare to other areas and most of buildings in
these areas were constructed in 17th Century. 53% of the buildings are within 20 years of age. 14%
are between 20 to 40 years of age. The bureau of Indian Standard revised Chennai city from Zone II
to Zone III. Since 77% of the buildings were constructed before the year 2002 and this building can‘t
meet seismic design code for Zone III for the city. Even though these areas are moderate seismic
hazard, due to dense population and old buildings nature, the vulnerability is very high compared to
other areas. The probability of damage to these structures can be depending on their impact on the
10
earthquake strength of the building by simple Rapid Visual Screening Techniques (Ravi Sinha and
Alok Goyal, 2001).
The critical facilities like hospitals and educational institutions are situated in densely populated
areas falls under moderate seismic hazard and these areas are more vulnerable in terms of population
density. However the city doesn‘t have much high potential loss facilities like dams, levees, military
installations, nuclear power plants and hazardous material sites within the city limit. The length of
roads in the city viz, cements concrete, bituminous and Water bound macadam are 83kms, 3,656kms,
and 11kms respectively. Since the sewage system designed before the 2002, it should be checked
thoroughly for leakage coz, earthquake is related to ground shaking phenomenon and the sewerage
system of Chennai covers 99% of city‘s total area, it would be highly vulnerable during earthquakes.
About 195 parks with extent varying from 150sq.m to 35,000sq.m and totalling to more than
6,00,000sq.m. Playgrounds maintained by Chennai Municipal Corporation is concerned, is more than
200 nos., with a total extent exceeding 5,00,000sq.m. These areas should avoid for future
development and can be used for emergency shelters.
6. Conclusions
Seismic risk macro-zoning is useful principally for regional policy-making and planning purposes.
Seismic risk micro-zoning is likely to emerge as an important land-use planning tool for local
planning and development in areas of high seismic risk (UNDRO-3, 1978). Since the present seismic
hazard map for Chennai is GIS based one it can be used as first level regional studies. Further the
map can be refined with more geophysical and geotechnical informations for future detailed site
specific studies. Vulnerability analysis in disaster prone areas is not only fundamental to formulation
of building codes, as widely accepted, but is even more important for the general process of physical
planning, and land use planning in particular, especially with regard to locational decisions for new
development. The vulnerability of the buildings, critical facilities, lifeline strictures should be
studied thoroughly for further planning purposes. The present vulnerability study is based in spatial
distribution and relative risk based. However the likely damage to structures should be categorised in
different grades depending on their impact on the seismic strength of the building. This kind of
studies will be useful to identify the need for retrofitting. Also thorough study and regular health
check up should be recommended for the vulnerable buildings in the high seismic hazard areas of the
city.
Land use zoning ordinances for disaster prevention may control types of development (residential,
open space, commercial, industrial or other), density of development and type of construction
(UNDRO, 1978). Such as the case the land-use zoning for disaster prevention in earthquake-prone
areas of Chennai requires the designation of zonal significance. The characteristics of each zone, the
basis for land—use controls, zoning ordinances, building codes, and building or location permits
should be clearly demarcate in the city developmental.
11
Acknowledgements
The present study is the part of ISRO Ongoing project-ISRO/RES/4/548/09-10. The authors thankful
to SAC, ISRO for funding under RESPOND programme. The authors are grateful to the Officials of
Census of India, Madras Metropolitan Authority (MMDA), Corporation of Chennai, Metro Water,
Central Ground Water Board and Geological Survey of India, Chennai for providing the data and
necessary information without which this work would not have been possible. The first and third
author acknowledges all the facilities provided by Mr. G. Viswanathan, Chancellor, VIT University,
Vellore, India.
References
1. BIS: 1893 Part-1 (2002) ―Indian Standard, Criteria for Earthquake Resistant Design of
Structures‖, Part 1-General Provisions and Buildings (fifth revision), ICS 91.120.25, Bureau of
Indian Standards, New Delhi, Edition 6.1 (2005 – 01), p.40.
2. CGWB Report (1993) ―Groundwater Resources and Development Prospects in Madras District,
Tamil Nadu‖, Internal Report, Central Ground Water Board, Southern Region, Hyderabad, p. 165
(Unpublished).
3. Census (2001) ―District Census Handbook‖, Part A&B, Chennai District, Town Directory,
Primary Census Abstract, Census of India, Series-04, Chennai. p.241.
4. CMDA (2008) ―Second Master Plan for Chennai Metropolitan Area, 2026‖, Chennai
Metropolitan Authority, Vol. I, II &III.p.303, September 2008.
5. Ganapathy G.P (2011) ―First Level Seismic Microzonation Map of Chennai city – a GIS
Approach‖, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., Vol. 11, pp. 549–559.
6. Ganapathy, G. P (2005) ―Seismic Hazard Assessment for Tamil Nadu State and A Specific Study
on Local Ground Motion Response for Part of Chennai City, India‖, Anna University, Ph.D.
thesis, 2005, p.167 (Unpublished)..
7. Google Earth (2008), http:// www. google.com/earth [accessed on 04.01.2011]
8. Hazus-MH (2010) ―Multi Hazard Loss Estimation Methodology‖, Hazus MH-MR5, Version
10.0.0, Input of Homeland Securities Loss Estimation Methodology for Multi Hazard, FEMA,
December 2010.
9. Ravi Sinha and Alok Goyal (2001) ―A National Policy for Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of
Buildings and Procedure for Rapid Visual Screening of Buildings for Potential Seismic
Vulnerability‖, Special Report, IIT Bombay, pp. 1-12.
10. Saaty, T. L. (1980) ―The Analytical Hierarchy Process‖, McGraw Hill, New York, p.350.
12
11. Shailesh Kumar. Agrawal, Prasad.J.K (2009) ―Requirements of Building Materials for
Earthquake Resistant Building, Planning Urban Future‖, Proceedings of the World Habitat Day,
5th October, 2009, pp.46-55
12. UNCHS (2001) ―State of the World's Cities 2001‖, United Nations Centre for Human
Settlements, (UNCHS), UN-Habitat, HS/619/01E, ISBN 92-1-131476-3, p.125
13. UNDRO-1(1978) ―Disaster Prevention and Mitigation- A Compendium of Current Knowledge‖,
Vol. 9, Legal Aspects- Disaster Legislation, Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Co-
ordinator, Geneva, p. 69.
14. UNDRO-2 (1991) ―Mitigating Natural Disasters-Phenamena, Effects and Options, A Manual for
Policy Makers and Planners‖, A publication within the framework of the International Decade
for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR) 1990 – 1999, Office of the United Nations Disaster
Relief Co-ordinator, Geneva, p.164.
15. UNDRO-3 (1978) ―Disaster Prevention and Mitigation- A Compendium of Current Knowledge‖,
Vol. 5, Land Use Aspects, Office of the United Nations Disaster Relief Co-ordinator, Geneva, p.
69.
16. Ved Mittal (2009) ―Intelligent Cities: Planning for Urban Future‖, Proceedings of the World
Habitat Day, 5th October, 2009, pp.20-23
17. Yellow Pages (2011),
http://yellowpages.webindia123.com/dpy/Masras%2c+Tamil+Nadu/Chennai [accessed on
04.04.2011]