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Transcript of Security, Opportunity, Responsibility Presentation by Al From Democratic Leadership Councils...
Security, Opportunity, Responsibility
Presentation by Al FromDemocratic Leadership Council’s
National Conversation
New York City July 29, 2002
www.ndol.org
A New Democrat Formula for 2002 and 2004
Security, Opportunity, Responsibility
A New Democrat Formula for 2002 and 2004• We need to constantly modernize our policy ideas to keep pace with the needs of a changing electorate
• Republican policies have put our country on the wrong track
• Democrats need to look ahead not back in 2002 and 2004
A Changing America
A Different America
• More Affluent• More Educated• More Suburban• More Diverse• More Wired• More Two Parent
Working Families
• More Non-Factory Jobs
• More Job Churning• More Aged• More Boomers• More Moderates
and Independents
How Our Country Changed in the Past Two Decades
18
46
27
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Working Class Middle Class Upper Mid Class
An Affluent ElectorateCharacteristics of 2000 Voters
42
32
6470
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
College Grad Some College Use Internet Own Stock
A Sophisticated Electorate
Characteristics of 2000 Voters
The New Electorate
PERIOD DOMINANT VOTERS
Industrial Era Working Class----------------------------------------------------Information Age Rising Learning Class-----------------------------------------------------
The New Democrat Approach
The New Democrat Approach
New Democrats are the modernizers of the Democratic Party
We further our party’s enduring values with new and innovative ideas
The Traditions We Honor
• Jefferson’s belief in individual libertyand the capacity for self government
• Jackson’s credo of equal opportunityfor all, special privileges for none
• Roosevelt’s thirst for innovation
• Kennedy’s summons to civic duty
• Clinton’s insistence upon new meansto achieve progressive ideals
Core Principles
TheNew Democrat
Philosophy
Opportunity & Growth Global Outlook
Empowering Government
Mutual ResponsibilityTraditional Values
Progressives, Not Populists Nor Corporatists
“We believe in free enterprise to stimulate economic innovation and growth and in public activism to ensure that everyone can share in America’s prosperity.”
-- Hyde Park Declaration
America on the Wrong Track
The Record of George Bush’s Watch
The Job Machine StallsTotal Employment in the U.S.
109502121095
132382 130740
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
1993 1997 2001 2002
Total Jobs (in thousands)
Annual Number of New Private Sector Jobs
2.65
-1.49-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Clinton Bush
(New Jobs in Millions)
Unemployment Soars
7.3
5.6 5.3
4.3 4.2
5.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 Today
Unemployment Rate
A Shaky Economy
The Decline in the Dow
3301
6648
10787
8264
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Dec-92 Dec-96 Dec-00 Today
Dow Jones Industrial Average
From Deficit to Surplus to Deficit
-290
236
127
-165
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
1992 2000 2001 2002 P
Surplus Deficit
(In Billions of Dollars
Rising Crime
-5.4-6.8
-0.2
2
-6.4-6.7
-0.10.3
-7.1
-8.5
0
3.1
-10.4
-8.4
-0.4
3.9
-5.3
-10
-2.4
2.6
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
Overall Violent Murder Robbery Burglary
1998 1999 2000 2001
On Their Watch
Employment
Stock Prices
Unemployment
Budget Deficits
Crime
Economic Conditions
1
18
47
32
4
51
36
7
19
66
12
2 2
47
36
13
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1992 1996 2000 2002
Excellent Good Not Good Poor
Voters Perceptions of the Economy
Right/Wrong Track
39
55 53
43
59
37
65
31
4046
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Right Wrong
High Numbers Depend on Support from Democrats and Independents
Bush’s Soft Approval Ratings
We Can’t Go Back
Why Democrats Must Follow the New Democrat Course
Trust In Government
61
3629
70
33
67
44
56 5545
38
61
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1968 1992 1996 2000 10/30/2001 2002
Most/All Seldom/Never
Size of Government
52
41
53
43
52
43
53
42
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1996 2000 10/30/2001 2002
Bigger Smaller
The Return of the “Mommy” and “Daddy” Parties
Republican Democratic Contested
National Security Social Security Deficit
Terrorism Medicare Education
Economy Energy
Moral Values Prescription Drugs
Crime Health Care
Welfare Environment
Preference for Party Control
4440
3840 39
42
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
President Congress Governor
Republican
Democrat
The Swing States
Swing States GOP Base
Demo Base
The Road Ahead
The Winning Coalition
A New Democrat Majority for the 21st Century
The Democratic Base and Beyond Men and Women Multi-Racial and Multi-Ethnic Urban and Suburban Moderates as well as Liberals Working Class and “Rising Learning Class”
The Challenge Ahead
Cross the national and domestic defense threshold.
Close the Culture Gap.Avoid Reverting to pre-Clinton
perceptions of party.Bridge Racial Divisions Win critical independent and swing
voters.
What Democrats Must Do to Win
A Winning New Democrat Message
Support a Strong National and Domestic Defense
Promote Growth and Opportunity, Not Redistribution
Save Capitalism from its Excesses Promote an Ethic of Mutual ResponsibilityEmphasize New Democrat Positions on
Cultural Issues Like Crime and Welfare Stand for Big Ideas, Not Big GovernmentSupport Family Friendly Policies that Help
Parents Raise KidsAvoid Polarizing Cultural Issues
The Formula in Brief
• Security
• Opportunity
• Responsibility
Leadershipin the National Interest
