Section 3.3
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Transcript of Section 3.3
Section 3.3 ObjectivesSection 3.3 Objectives
Determine if two events are mutually exclusive
Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events
Larson/Farber 4th ed2
Mutually Exclusive EventsMutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusiveTwo events A and B cannot occur at the same time
Larson/Farber 4th ed 3
AB A B
A and B are mutually exclusive
A and B are not mutually exclusive
Example: Mutually Exclusive Example: Mutually Exclusive EventsEvents
Decide if the events are mutually exclusive.Event A: Roll a 3 on a die.Event B: Roll a 4 on a die.
Larson/Farber 4th ed 4
Solution:Mutually exclusive (The first event has one outcome, a 3. The second event also has one outcome, a 4. These outcomes cannot occur at the same time.)
Example: Mutually Exclusive Example: Mutually Exclusive EventsEvents
Decide if the events are mutually exclusive.Event A: Randomly select a male student.Event B: Randomly select a nursing major.
Larson/Farber 4th ed 5
Solution:Not mutually exclusive (The student can be a male nursing major.)
The Addition RuleThe Addition RuleAddition rule for the probability of A or B
The probability that events A or B will occur is◦P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)
For mutually exclusive events A and B, the rule can be simplified to◦P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)◦Can be extended to any number of
mutually exclusive events
Larson/Farber 4th ed 6
Example: Using the Example: Using the Addition Rule Addition Rule
You select a card from a standard deck. Find the probability that the card is a 4 or an ace.
Larson/Farber 4th ed 7
Solution:The events are mutually exclusive (if the card is a 4, it cannot be an ace)
(4 ) (4) ( )
4 4
52 528
0.15452
P or ace P P ace
4♣4♥
4♦4♠
A♣A♥
A♦A♠
44 other cards
Deck of 52 Cards
Example: Using the Example: Using the Addition Rule Addition Rule
You roll a die. Find the probability of rolling a number less than 3 or rolling an odd number.
Larson/Farber 4th ed 8
Solution:The events are not mutually exclusive (1 is an outcome of both events)
Odd
53 1
2
4 6
Less than three
Roll a Die
Solution: Using the Solution: Using the Addition Rule Addition Rule
Larson/Farber 4th ed 9
( 3 )
( 3) ( ) ( 3 )
2 3 1 40.667
6 6 6 6
P less than or odd
P less than P odd P less than and odd
Odd
53 1
2
4 6
Less than three
Roll a Die
Example: Using the Example: Using the Addition RuleAddition Rule
The frequency distribution shows the volume of sales (in dollars) and the number of months a sales representative reached each sales level during the past three years. If this sales pattern continues, what is the probability that the sales representative will sell between $75,000 and $124,999 next month?
Larson/Farber 4th ed 10
Sales volume ($)
Months
0–24,999 3
25,000–49,999
5
50,000–74,999
6
75,000–99,999
7
100,000–124,999
9
125,000–149,999
2
150,000–174,999
3
175,000–199,999
1
Solution: Using the Solution: Using the Addition RuleAddition Rule
A = monthly sales between $75,000 and $99,999
B = monthly sales between $100,000 and $124,999
A and B are mutually exclusive
Larson/Farber 4th ed 11
Sales volume ($)
Months
0–24,999 3
25,000–49,999
5
50,000–74,999
6
75,000–99,999
7
100,000–124,999
9
125,000–149,999
2
150,000–174,999
3
175,000–199,999
1
( ) ( ) ( )
7 9
36 3616
0.44436
P A or B P A P B
Example: Using the Example: Using the Addition RuleAddition Rule
A blood bank catalogs the types of blood given by donors during the last five days. A donor is selected at random. Find the probability the donor has type O or type A blood.
Larson/Farber 4th ed 12
Type O Type A Type B Type AB
Total
Rh-Positive
156 139 37 12 344
Rh-Negative
28 25 8 4 65
Total 184 164 45 16 409
Solution: Using the Solution: Using the Addition RuleAddition Rule
Larson/Farber 4th ed 13
The events are mutually exclusive (a donor cannot have type O blood and type A blood)Type O Type A Type B Type
ABTotal
Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344
Rh-Negative
28 25 8 4 65
Total 184 164 45 16 409( ) ( ) ( )
184 164
409 409348
0.851409
P type O or type A P type O P type A
Example: Using the Example: Using the Addition RuleAddition Rule
Find the probability the donor has type B or is Rh-negative.
Larson/Farber 4th ed 14
Solution:
The events are not mutually exclusive (a donor can have type B blood and be Rh-negative)
Type O Type A Type B Type AB
Total
Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344
Rh-Negative
28 25 8 4 65
Total 184 164 45 16 409
Solution: Using the Solution: Using the Addition RuleAddition Rule
Larson/Farber 4th ed 15
Type O Type A Type B Type AB
Total
Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344
Rh-Negative
28 25 8 4 65
Total 184 164 45 16 409( )
( ) ( ) ( )
45 65 8 1020.249
409 409 409 409
P type B or Rh neg
P type B P Rh neg P type B and Rh neg