Secondary benefits

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Transcript of Secondary benefits

Page 1: Secondary benefits
Page 2: Secondary benefits

𝐡=𝛼 𝐴+πœ’ 𝐺

Two criterion emissions, G and A, measured as emission reductions.Benefits, B, of emission reduction:

Emission controls, R and S, affect both:𝐺=πœ‹ 𝑆+𝜌 𝑅 , πœŒβ‰«πœ‹π΄=πœŽπ‘†+𝜏 𝑅 ,πœŽβ‰«πœCosts, C, of emission reduction:

𝐢=0.5πœ…π‘†2+0.5πœ†π‘…2

Rework benefits:𝐡=𝛼 (𝜎 𝑆+𝜏 𝑅 )+πœ’ (πœ‹π‘†+𝜌 𝑅 )=𝑆 (π›ΌπœŽ+πœ’πœ‹ )+𝑅 (π›Όπœ+πœ’πœŒ )

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Benefits, B, of emission reduction:

Costs, C, of emission reduction:𝐢=0.5 πœ…π‘†2+0.5 πœ†π‘…2

𝐡=𝛼 (𝜎 𝑆+𝜏 𝑅 )+πœ’ (πœ‹π‘†+𝜌 𝑅 )=𝑆 (π›ΌπœŽ+πœ’πœ‹ )+𝑅 (π›Όπœ+πœ’πœŒ )

Optimal control for R:

πœ•π΅πœ•π‘…=π›Όπœ+πœ’πœŒ=πœ†π‘…=

πœ•πΆπœ•π‘… ⇒𝑅 β€²=π›Όπœ+πœ’πœŒ

πœ†

The secondary benefit, >0, increases the optimal rate of abatement.

πœ•π΅πœ•π‘†=π›ΌπœŽ+πœ’πœ‹=πœ… 𝑅=

πœ•πΆπœ•π‘† ⇒𝑆 β€²=π›ΌπœŽ+πœ’πœ‹

πœ…

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𝐡=π›Όβˆš 𝐴+πœ’ 𝐺

Now make the secondary benefits less than linear.Benefits, B, of emission reduction:

Emission controls, R and S, affect both:

Costs, C, of emission reduction:

𝐢=0.5πœ…π‘†2+0.5πœ†π‘…2

Rework benefits:𝐡=π›Όβˆš (πœŽπ‘†+𝜏 𝑅 )+πœ’ (πœ‹ 𝑆+𝜌 𝑅 )

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Benefits, B, of emission reduction:

Costs, C, of emission reduction:𝐢=0.5 πœ…π‘†2+0.5 πœ†π‘…2

Optimal control for R:

The secondary benefit, >0, increases the optimal rate of abatement R, butthat increase falls with abatement of the other criterion emission S.

𝐡=π›Όβˆš (πœŽπ‘†+𝜏 𝑅 )+πœ’ (πœ‹ 𝑆+𝜌 𝑅 )

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Optimal control:

𝑅 β€²= π›Όπœ2 πœ†βˆš (πœŽπ‘† β€²+𝜏 𝑅 β€² ) +

πœ’πœŒπœ†

Without the primary benefit, =0, the optimal rate of abatement R is small, and abatement of the other criterion emission S increases.

𝑆 β€²= π›ΌπœŽ2πœ…βˆš (πœŽπ‘† β€²+𝜏 𝑅 β€² ) +

πœ’πœ‹πœ…

If climate change is a hoax, =0:

𝑅= { } over {2 √ left ( π›Όπœ πœ† 𝜎 𝑆 +𝜏 𝑅 right )} β‰ͺ 𝑅𝑆= { } over {2 √ left ( π›ΌπœŽ πœ… 𝜎 𝑆 +𝜏 𝑅 right )} < 𝑆

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𝐡=𝛼 ln 𝐴+πœ’πΊ

Now make the secondary benefits less than linear.Benefits, B, of emission reduction:

Emission controls, R and S, affect both:

Costs, C, of emission reduction:

𝐢=0.5πœ…π‘†2+0.5πœ†π‘…2

Rework benefits:𝐡=𝛼 ln (πœŽπ‘†+𝜏 𝑅)+πœ’ (πœ‹ 𝑆+𝜌 𝑅 )

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Benefits, B, of emission reduction:

Costs, C, of emission reduction:𝐢=0.5 πœ…π‘†2+0.5 πœ†π‘…2

Optimal control for R:

𝐡=𝛼 ln (πœŽπ‘†+𝜏 𝑅 )+πœ’ (πœ‹ 𝑆+𝜌 𝑅 )

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Optimal control for R:

𝑅 β€²=πœπœ’πœŒβˆ’πœŽπ‘† πœ†βˆ’βˆš(πœŽπ‘†πœ†βˆ’πœπœ’πœŒ )2+4 πœπœ†(π›Όπœ+πœŽπœ’πœŒπ‘†)βˆ’2 (π›Όπœ+πœŽπœ’πœŒ 𝑆)

The secondary benefit, >0, increases the optimal rate of abatement R, butthat increase falls with abatement of the other criterion emission S. ???

𝑅′=βˆ’πœŽπ‘† πœ†βˆ’βˆš (πœŽπ‘† πœ† )2

βˆ’2 (πœŽπœ’πœŒπ‘† )= πœ†πœ’πœŒ

No secondary benefit, 0

No abatement of the other criterion emission S

𝑅′=πœπœ’πœŒβˆ’βˆš (πœπœ’πœŒ )2+4𝜏2 πœ†π›Ό

βˆ’2π›Όπœ =πœ’πœŒβˆ’βˆš (πœ’πœŒ )2+4 πœ†π›Ό

βˆ’2𝛼

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Secondary benefitsβ€’ If greenhouse gas emission reduction helps solving other

problems (air pollution, energy security), then we should do more of itβ€’ However, greenhouse gas emission reduction would be a clumsy

way to solve other problems and other problems do not justify a lot of greenhouse gas emission reductionβ€’ Other problems justify a lot of other problem solving.