SEB Resultatpresentation Januari Mars 2008 Annika Falkengren, Ceo
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Transcript of SEB Resultatpresentation Januari Mars 2008 Annika Falkengren, Ceo
1
Results2008
Annika Falkengren
2
A challenging start of the year!Per centGDP 2008
USA Euro-zone Sweden
MSCI World index
Source: Consensus Economics
Itraxx 5-year senior finacials index spread development
Source: Datastream
jan mar maj jul sep nov jan2007 2008
1,50
2,00
2,50
3,00
3,50
1,00
MSCI World Index (EUR)
80
90
100
110
120
130
2006-12-31 2007-03-31 2007-06-30 2007-09-30 2007-12-31 2008-03-31
3
Highlights Q1 2008
More cautious customer sentiment
Growing net interest income despite higher funding costs
Fee income down– Retail and Private Banking– Capital markets
MtM valuation losses SEK 0.9bn
Cost control
Increased credit losses in Estonia
Operating profit SEK 2.4bn
3.7
4.64.2
2.4
3.8
Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08
Operating profitSEKbn
4.6
4
4.3 3.8
Q1-07 Q1-08
Net fee and commission
42%
Net interest income
40%
Net financial
income 8%
Net life insurance income 7%
0.7 0.7
Q1-07 Q1-08
3.8 4.2
Q1-07 Q1-08
-0.2
1.3
Q1-07 Q1-08
Business mix and income developmentSEKbn
5
532 541501
538 564
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08
Corporate lendingSEB Group
LithuaniaPrivate and Corporate lending
Continued stable volume growthSEKbn
1,6921,742
1,8041,746
46 50 54 59 60
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08
Residential mortgagesSweden
179 186 192 199 204
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08
Q1-07 Q1-08 Q1-07 Q1-08
Net fee and commissionsCustody and mutual funds Payments, cards, etc.
Net inflowsSwedish mutual funds Q1, SEKm
-4,445-6,312 -5,079
1,542
-3,091
Robur SHB Nordea SEB Others
66
3,767
4,223
3,8093,369
Q1 2007 Q1 2008
+12%
+13%Customer driven*
Total NII
* volumes and margins on lending and deposits
400600800
1,0001,200
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Lending to the publicSEKbn Q1 +8% yoy
Deposits from the publicSEKbn
400
500
600
700
800
Q12005
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Q1 +14% yoy
Net interest incomeGroup, SEKm
7
Income deceleration in some areas
Retail SwedenNo of securities transactions
Q1 2008 – Q1 2007 Q1 2008 – Q4 2007
-30% -34%
+ corp fin intäkter I marknaden?
6874 79 78 77
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08
Estonia and LatviaSEKbn
Q1 - 07 Q4 - 07 Q1 - 08
Trading and Capital Markets, Operating profit
OMX Stockholm Average turnover by valueSEKbn
0100200300
400500600
Jan-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08051015
202530
Monthly turnover Average daily turnover
FX Equities Capital Structured CPMMarkets sales etc.
8
Bond investment portfolio
Limited rating actions (10 of 740)
Mark- to-market prices applied
Reduction of income volatility
Q4 07 Q1 08
Held for trading (MTM over income)
Available for sale (MTM over equity)
SEK bn
46% 54%37%
63%
Q4 07 Q1 08-990-407
-1,397
-872-1,630-2,502
Income
Equity
Total
Portfolio valuations, SEKmStatus and actions
9
*
*
Cost development
Cost management program 2007 - 2009
SEK -625m SEK 1.5 – 2.0bn
2007 2009
Achieved Target
2008 2010
Flat costs on a comparable basis
4% total cost growth due to acquisitions, pensions and investments in IT
10
0,000,200,400,600,80
2006 2007 Q1 2008 *
Baltics SEB Group
Collective provisions drive net credit losses, %
Net credit lossesEstonia and Latvia entering next stage
Credit growth in EstoniaYear-on-year percentage changeRetail sales
0,0%1,0%2,0%3,0%4,0%5,0%6,0%
Jan-07
Mar-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Nov-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
Loan growth, % momMortgages, % growth mom
* annualised
-10
010
2030
40
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08
Estonia Latvia
11
0 1 000 2 000
Life
WealthManagement
Retail Banking
MerchantBanking
Q1 2008Q1 2007
Changevs. Q1 2007
-50% (-5%)
-11%
-17%
-20%
ROEQ1 2008
10.8% (20.4%)
15.3%
22.2%
17.3%
Operating profit per divisionQ1 2008 vs. Q1 2007SEKm Excl.
portfolio losses
GTS +1%TCM excl portfolios -12%Corp.Banking - 2%
Sweden -5%Estonia -96%Latvia +3%Lithuania +28%Germany -44%Cards +6%
-42% 9.6%
12
Key figuresChange
SEKmQ1 Q1 Q4 portfolios
2008 2007 2007 Q1 – Q1
Operating income 8,802 -14% -12% -5%Operating expenses -6,027 4% 2%Operating profit 2,410 -42% -47% -20%Net profit 1,848 -43% -51%
Return on Equity, % 9.6 19.0 20.2 13.2 Cost / income ratio 0.69 0.57 0.59 0.62 Credit loss level, % 0.13 0.10 0.13
RWA, Basel I, SEKbn 909 796 892Core capital ratio, Basel II 8.85 8.33 8.63
Excluding
13
The jury is still out…
● Continued financial turbulence?● Slowdown in real economy?● Falling capital expenditure? ● Hard landing in Baltic countries?
● Transparency renews trust?● Resilience among consumers?● Alignment of risk and pricing?● Acquisition opportunities?
14
62,772,4
2007 2008
Core capitalSEKbn
Hybridcapital
"Bookequity" 55.0 61.6
7.710.9
8.3% 8.9%Core
capital ratio
+9.7
Net liquidity position across maturities 31 March, SEKbn
Strong balance sheet
0
100
200
300
1 week
2 weeks
4 weeks
2 months
3 months
4 months
5 months
6 months
9 months
12 months
Mar Mar
15
Operational excellence (SEB Way)
Private Banking private clients StockholmNet New Money (SEKm)
38 % of all staff180 transformations100 navigators
SEB Way – since launch 2006
550
Q1 2007 Q1 2008
1 280+130%
550
16
Product innovation
IT
One IT Roadmap
Add-on acquisitions
Investments – the long-term view
Customer acquisition
17
The leading bank in Northern Europe
Customer satisfaction: No 1 in chosenmarkets
Sustainable profit growth
Highest Return on Equity
AA-rating
Long-term objectives
18