SEB Executive Summary 2008

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1 Executive summary Jan Erik Back CFO 1

Transcript of SEB Executive Summary 2008

Page 1: SEB Executive Summary 2008

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Executive summary

Jan Erik BackCFO

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Annual accounts 2008Higher operating income ● Strong net interest income● Lower commission income ● M-t-M valuation losses of SEK 1bn

Flat underlying costs● Redundancy costs SEK 1bn● Variable salaries -30%● Pension provisions SEK 0.7bn

Increased provisions for credit losses● Mainly driven by the Baltic development

012345

Q104

Q3 Q105

Q3 Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3

Operating profitExcluding one-offs and portfolio losses

Operating profit SEK bn

Operating incomeSEK bn

0

4

8

12

Q104

Q3 Q105

Q3 Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3

IncomeExcluding one-offs and portfolio losses

Q4

Q4

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Q4 Q32008 2007 2008 2008

Operating income 41,140 40,440 12,714 9,221Operating expenses -25,407 -23,194 -6,965 -5,970Operating profit 12,471 17,018 4,028 2,526Net profit 10,050 13,642 3,509 1,886

Return on Equity, % 13.1 19.3 17.6 10.0Cost / income ratio 0.62 0.57 0.55 0.65Credit loss level, % 0.30 0.11 0.63 0.27

Tier I capital ratio, % 10.1 9.9 10.1 9.9

Key figures

SEK m

*Without transition floors

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15,998

18,709

16,281

14,366

Jan-Dec 07 Jan-Dec 08

+17%

+13%

* volumes and margins on lending and deposits

Net interest income development 2008

Corporate lending, SEK bn

796481

8231,218

-6062,711Total NII growth

Lending marginLending volumeDeposit marginDeposit volumeFunding & other

464 458 462 487 532 501 538 564 579642 709

541

Q12006

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008

Q2 Q3 Q4

Customer driven*

Total NII

Continued growth of Net interest incomeGroup, SEK m

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Gross development Jan-Dec 2008 vs. Jan-Dec 2007, SEK m

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

Q1 2004 Q1 2006 Q1 20080

50

100

150

200

Assets under custodyTransactions/day

1,808

4,114

1,0041,290648

7,3097,165 7,5477,022

3,370

New issues &advisory

Secondarymarket &

derivatives

Custody &mutual funds

Payment,cards,

structuredlending,

deposits,guarantees

Other

Jan – Dec 07Jan – Dec 08

-29%

-18%

-2% +3%

3.9%

4.3%

5.2%

5.4%

9.2%

Source: The Nordic stock exchanges

Market shares Nordic stock exchangesTurnover 2008

Assets under custodySEK bn ‘000s

Fee and commission income holding up

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High activity in long-term savings

Other43%

Nordea9%

Swedbank15%

SEB15%

Skandia10%

Handelsbanken8%

Swedish mutual funds – Net inflows2008 Jan-Dec, SEK bn

Swedish savings marketQ3, market shares

SEB Savings barometer, Q3 2008

Private Banking – Net salesSEK bn

0

4

8

12

16

Q12005

Q2Q3Q4 Q12006

Q2Q3Q4 Q12007

Q2Q3Q4 Q12008

Q2Q3Q4

Life – Total salesSEK bn

0

2

4

6

Q12005

Q2 Q3Q4Q12006

Q2Q3 Q4Q12007

Q2Q3 Q4Q12008

Q2 Q3Q4

2.2

-13.5-18.6

6.5

SwedbankRobur

SHB Nordea SEB

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-2,000

-1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

FX Equities Capital Markets Other incl Treasury

Net financial income holding upFull-year breakdown over business areas, 2004 – 2008SEK m

Client-driven FX business●No.1 Nordic and No. 12 globally

●Underpinned by strong corporate relationships

●Highly efficient trading platform

MB investment portfolio ●SEK 133bn (31 Dec 2008)

●M-t-M losses SEK 187m in Q4●Structured credits 93 % AAA-rated

(31 Dec 2008)

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Increased productivity Example: Group OperationsTransactions, millions

Group Operations 2008 vs. 2007

Increased # transactions +1.5m

Transactions/FTE +11%

Cost/transaction -10%

SEB Way freed up time 2006-2008 (FTEs)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Q106

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q107

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q108

Q2 Q3 Q40%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Cumulative free-up FTEs (LHS)Freed-up FTEs (annualised run-rate) in % of total (RHS)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Q107

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q108

Q2 Q3 Q4

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Cost management program

*

*

SEK -1,029m SEK 1.5 – 2.0bn

2007 2009

Achieved Target

2008 2010

769

374 318246

Redundancies Pensions One ITRoadmap

Acquisitions

Costs on comparable basis +2%

SEK 23.3bn

Operating expenses

2007

Cost dynamics

SEK 25.4bn

Operating expenses

2008

Change vs. 2007SEK m

Cost management program 2007 – 2009

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Diversified credit portfolioCredit portfolio, SEK 1,934bn, 31 December 2008

Sweden50%

Lithuania 5%Latvia 3%

Estonia 3%

Germany25%

Property mgmt14%

Banks15%

Households25%Corporates

40%

Public administration

6%

Norway 6%

Other 5%

Denmark 2%Finland 2%

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Corporate portfolioCorporate credit exposure 2008Total exposure = SEK 782bn

Credit exposure 2006 – 2008SEK bn

Baltic companies

12%

Large companies

76 %

Other companies

6% Swedish SMEs

6%

5470

40 435883

40 38

497

103 95

44 44

278

352

"Nordic"Larger

Companies

GermanLarger

Companies

BalticCompanies

SwedishRetailClients

Othercompanies

Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08

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Private equity

Outstanding volumes – Private Equity

18.1 17.423.7

2006 2007 2008

Equity &mezzanine

Senior debt

20.218.6

25.2Currency effect SEK 2.5bn

SEK bn

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Asset quality Baltics

0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%

Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Impaired loans gross% of credit exposure excl. banks

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2007 2008

Specific Collective

Provisioning to build up reservesSEK m

Provisions for Net Credit Losses% of lending

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

2006 2007 2008

Germany BalticsNordics SEB Group

Estonia 1.17Latvia 1.43Lithuania 1.26Baltics 1.28

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SEBLending totalSEB Lending

SEB’s Baltic lending relative the market Per cent, Q2 2005 – Q4 2008

EURbn EURbnEstonia Latvia

Excluding Leasing portfolioSource: Central Banks and SEB

EURbnLithuania

0

10

20

30

40

Q205

Q4 Q206

Q4 Q207

Q4 Q208

Q40%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0

10

20

30

40

Q205

Q4 Q206

Q4 Q207

Q4 Q208

Q40%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0

10

20

30

40

Q2 -05

Q4 Q206

Q4 Q207

Q4 Q208

Q40%

10%

20%

30%

40%

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A diversified platformOperating profit before credit losses, Jan – Dec 2008

Geography – Adjusted for OtherDivisions – Adjusted for OtherSweden – adjusted for centralisation of CPM portfolio

4%

5%

9%

6%

6%

5%

56%

9%

35%

6%11%

48%

Retail Banking

Wealth Management

Life Merchant Banking

Germany Sweden

Lithuania

Latvia

Estonia

Norway

Finland

Denmark

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SEB – A relationship bank

Cash management globallyScandinavian currencies globallyNordic stock brokerNordic and Baltic investment bankCustody Nordics and BalticsNordic asset managementSMEs Sweden

Strong customer base Product excellence

700

400,000

5 million

1,800

Large companies

Financial institutions

SMEs

Private individuals

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