Searching a compromise between ecological quality targets ... · River restoration of the instream...
Transcript of Searching a compromise between ecological quality targets ... · River restoration of the instream...
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Searching a compromise between ecological quality targets, social and
ecosystem costs for Heavily Modified Water Bodies (HMWBs): the
Lambro-Seveso-Olona system case study
Arianna Azzellino
2 BACKGROUND
Changes in the UE (Water Framework Directive 2000/60CE), and national legislation which moved toward a watershed-based approach.
Environmental Quality Standard criterion versus the previous concept of the Standard Limit
Need to consider the changes of polluting loads (either point or non point sources) along the stream networks.
Need for developing decision-support tools on the field of the resource planning
C mg/l
Cb
Criteria/standard
Impaired reach
P1 P2 P3
2
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KEY ISSUES ADDRESSED
Which is the effect for the whole watershed of a restoration strategy?
What are the most significant pollution sources?
When the full restoration cannot be achieved, how it could be defined an alternative restoration goal?
How to select among competitive restoration strategies?
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KEY ISSUES ADDRESSED
Which is the effect for the whole watershed of a restoration strategy?
Not simulated
Class I Class II
Class III
Quality Classification
Monitoring stations Industrial discharges
Urban WWT plants Hydrography
County boundaries
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5 Restoration Strategy Scenario
Plant Efficiency Upgrade: What will be the effect on the river of the upgrade of these WWT plants?
6 Model Structure
For every computational unit the mass balance of input and output flows and pollutants is considered
Qual2K Computational unit
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7 Restoration Scenario
BOD5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
VALD
IDENTR
O
SONDALO
VIL
LA D
I TIR
ANO
CAIO
LO
ARDENNO
GERA L
ARIO
km
mg
/l
ottimo buono
Serie4Scenario medio annuo
N-NH4
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
VALD
IDENTR
O
SONDALO
VIL
LA D
I TIR
ANO
CAIO
LO
ARDENNO
GERA L
ARIO
km
mg
/l
ottimo
buono
Serie4Scenario medio annuo
N-NO3
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
VALD
IDENTR
O
SONDALO
VIL
LA D
I TIR
ANO
CAIO
LO
ARDENNO
GERA L
ARIO
km
mg
/l
ottimo buono
Serie4Scenario medio annuo
P tot
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
VALD
IDENTR
O
SO
NDALO
VIL
LA D
I TIR
ANO
CAIO
LOARDENNO
GERA L
ARIO
km
mg
/l
ottimo
buono
Serie1Scenario medio annuo
Class I Class II
Restoration Scenario
Class I Class II
Restoration Scenario
Class I Class II Restoration Scenario
Class I Class II Restoration Scenario
Improvement Improvement
Improvement Improvement
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KEY ISSUES ADDRESSED
When the full restoration cannot be achieved, how it could be defined an alternative restoration goal?
How to select among competitive restoration strategies?
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9 Study Area
Lombardy
Although representing only 6% of Po river
drainage area, the contribution of in terms
of pollutant load is significant and has
been largely documented in literature.
The Lambro-Seveso-Olona system is
part of the Po river district and it
constitutes the most polluted tributary
of the Po river.
10 The Lambro-Seveso-Olona system
Watershed of 2700 Km2,
Population Density: Average: 1600 Inhab./Km2; Max: 7000 Inhab./Km2 (Milan); among the highest in Italy and Europe
Industrial district: chemical, textile, paper, pulp and food industries
Half of the streamflow constituted by WWTP effluents
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11 The “Urban Stream Syndrome”
Walsh et al., 2005
1 3
2
Synergistic action of multiple stressors
(among others…)
1. Different kinds of pollution
2. Increased hydraulic flashiness
3. Habitat destruction
Limits to the development of Biological Communities
12 The Lambro-Seveso-Olona system
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13 The LIMeco Index
New quality standards for macropollutants have recently been set by the Italian
legislation as support for the good ecological status (i.e. LIMeco index according
the legislative decree n.152, 2006).
The achievement of water quality objectives according to the LIMeco index are
challenging for many Italian rivers. In a previous study It has been shown that
the Lambro-Seveso-Olona will never comply with these LIMeco standards.
Thresholds
LIMeco high good moderate poor bad LIMeco
100-DOsat 0 0 0 0 > 80 high 0.66
N-NH4 (mg/l) < 0.03 6 0. 2 0.24 > 0.24 good 0.5
N-NO3 (mg/l) < 0.6 1.2 .4 .8 > 4.8 moderate 0.33
Total-P (ug/l) < 50 200 200 400 > 400 poor 0.17
bad < 0.17
Score 1 0.5 0.25 0.125 0
14 Aims of the study and Scenario Analysis
To evaluate the restoration possibilities of L-S-O
1. To provide appropriate indexes of Effectiveness
2. To evaluate restoration scenarios through a Cost-Effectiveness
approach
LIMeco classification
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sc 2009 Sc Dir 271/91 Sc MBR Sc RO
% o
f ri
ver
len
gth
bad
poor
good
high
Azzellino et al. 2013, Water Science and Techonology
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15 Methods
• The QUAL2K model (Chapra et al., 2008) was employed in the Scenario
Analysis
• Measurements of different water quality parameters at 44 sampling
monitoring sites (source: ARPA Lombardia) were used to implement the
water quality simulations.
The QUAL2K model showed overall a
discrete model accuracy (i.e. errors of about
± 20-30%) for the median annual scenario.
The median was assumed as reference for
the scenarios and it was preferred to the
average to avoid any skewness effect
present in the water quality measurements.
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Restoration Scenarios
• Five simulated scenarios:
1. Dir 271/91 the upgrading of the existing WWTPs up to the requirements of the
Directive 271/91EC;
2. MBR the full replacement of the actual technology with a secondary
membrane treatment stage (MBR) in all the existing WWTPs larger than 50,000
PE.
3. RO the upgrade of the actual technology with a tertiary Reverse Osmosis
treatment (RO) operating at a 50/50 blend in all the existing WWTPs larger than
50,000 PE.
4. PostDen the upgrade of the conventional activated sludge treatment scheme
with an additional post-denitrification treatment in all the existing WWTPs larger
than 50,000 PE.
5. O3/GAC the upgrade of the conventional activated sludge treatment scheme
with a ozonation treatment with a subsequent granular activated carbon (GAC)
filtration in all the existing WWTPs larger than 50,000 PE
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17 Restoration Scenarios: model assumptions
Effluent concentrations assumed in the wastewater treatment plants as
function of the plant size (expressed as People Equivalent, PE) in the
considered scenarios.
mg/l Dir 271/91CE MBR RO PostDen GAC/O3
PE
<100,000
PE
>100,000
PE
>50,000
PE
>50,000
PE
>50,000
PE
<100,000
PE
>100,000
BOD 10 10 4 4 10 5 5
COD 60 60 15 30 60 40 40
N-org 0.75 0.5 0 0 0 0.75 0.5
N-NH4 2.25 1.5 1 1 2 2.25 1.5
N-NO3 12 8 9 4 4 12 8
Total-P 2 1 0.5 0.5 2* 2 1
Micropollutant
removal efficacy - 0.5 0.3 - 1
*PE<100,000 2 mg/l, for others 1 mg/l
River restoration of the instream morphology and riparian vegetation was
was also taken into account in combination with the tecnological scenarios.
18 GEP Index
Li is the reach length;
(COD)Ti 1 for COD 35 mg/l with 100-DOsat r ≤ 20%
or 15 mg/l if not
0 otherwise;
(N-NH4)Ti 1 for N-NH4 1 mg/l
0 otherwise;
(Total-P)Ti 1 for Total-P 0.5 mg/l.
0 otherwise;
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Total-P mg/l
ST
AR
IC
Mi
GEP: Good Ecological Potential
GEP (km) = Li [ (COD)Ti; (N-NH4)Ti; (Total-P)Ti] / 3
Eco
l. M
etr
ic
Environmental gradient
Good Ecological
Potential
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19 New criteria needed to measure the GEP
LIMeco index is not sensitive enough to detect improvements in these
effluent-dominated streams. Other indexes should be used to assess the
“good ecological potential” of the Lambro-Seveso-Olona system.
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.700
0 5 10 15 20 25
BOD mg/l
ST
AR
IC
Mii
95°Quantile Regression OLS regression
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
COD mg/l
ST
AR
IC
Mi
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
N-NH4 mg/l
ST
AR
IC
Mi
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
N-NO3 mg/l
ST
AR
IC
Mi
20 New criteria needed to measure the GEP
STAR ICMi (Erba et al., 2009),
which is a biological index broadly
used in Europe to enforce the
WFD, Quantile regression was
used to correlate the
STAR_ICMi 95° percentile
values to the corresponding
chemical ranges
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Total-P mg/l
ST
AR
IC
Mi
BOD5 4.0 mg/L COD 15.0 mg/L N-NH4 1.0 mg/L N-NO3 3.0 mg/L TP 0.5 mg/L
Bio
logic
al m
etr
ic
Environmental gradient
Good Ecological
Potential
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21 Scenario Dir. 271/91
Lambro Settentrionale
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Olona - Lambro Meridionale
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiumeRiver km River km
Northern Lambro Olona- Southern Lambro
GEP: Good Ecological Potential
GEP (km) = Li [(BOD)Ti; (COD)Ti; (N-NH4)Ti; (N-NO3)Ti; (Total-P)Ti] / 5
Li is the reach length;
(BOD)Ti binary variable for BOD 4 mg/l;
(COD)Ti binary variable for COD 15 mg/l;
(N-NH4)Ti binary variable for N-NH4 1 mg/l.
(N-NO3)Ti binary variable for N-NO3 3 mg/l.
(Total-P)Ti binary variable for Total-P 0.5 mg/l.
22 MBR Scenario WWTPs > 50,000 PE
Lambro Settentrionale
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Sc271/91
ScMBR
Olona - Lambro Meridionale
0 10 20 30 40 50
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Sc271/91
ScMBR
River km
Olona Southern Lambro
Northern Lambro
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23 Scenario MBR 8 WWTPs > 50,000 PE
Lambro Settentrionale
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Sc271/91
ScMBR
Olona - Lambro Meridionale
0 10 20 30 40 50
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Sc271/91
ScMBR
River km
Olona Southern Lambro
Northern Lambro
Only the WWTPs
Influencing at least 80 km
of river stretches
24 Scenario RO (50% blending)
WWTPs > 50,000 PE
Lambro Settentrionale
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Sc271/91
ScRO
Olona - Lambro Meridionale
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
GEP
BOD5 (4)
COD (15)
N-NH4 (1000)
N-NO3 (3000)
P tot (500)
km fiume
Sc271/91
ScRO
River km
Northern Lambro
Olona - Southern Lambro
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25 Hybrid scenarios
Additionally, hybrid scenarios were developed assuming to improve the
conventional treatment only for some plants located in critical positions
along the river stretches and combining different technologies.
MBR LMBR L--OO MBR LMBR L--SS--OOMBR LMBR L--SS--OO
+ GACO3+ GACO3
MBR LMBR L--OO MBR LMBR L--SS--OOMBR LMBR L--SS--OO
+ GACO3+ GACO3
MBR LMBR L--OO MBR LMBR L--SS--OOMBR LMBR L--SS--OO
+ GACO3+ GACO3
26 Effectiveness
Scenario effectiveness was defined by nine indicators, specifically
designed to quantify the improvement of water quality and of the river
ecological status due to the different alternatives.
Effectiveness
Indexes Description
1. COD river load COD cumulated river load in the river unit
2. Total-N river load Total-N cumulated river load in the river unit
3. Total-P river load Total-P cumulated river load in the river unit
4. DistanceLIMeco Distance from the LIMeco target for the good quality status
5. GEP3 Good Ecological Potential according COD, N-NH4 and Total-P
6. STAR ICMi STAR_ICMi index (Erba et al., 2009)
7. Morphological Index Morphological index after Siligardi et al., 2007
8. Vegetation Index Vegetation Index after Siligardi et al., 2007
9. Micropollutant Index Micropollutants removal efficacy (see Table 2)
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27 Cost-Evaluation
Sipala S., Mancini G., Vagliasindi F.G.A. 2003. Development of a web-based tool for the calculation of costs of different wastewater treatment and reuse scenarios. Water Science and Technology: Water Supply 3(4), 89–96.
DeCarolis, J., Adham, S., Grounds, J., Pearce, B., Wasserman, J., 2004. Cost Analysis of MBR Systems for Water Reclamation. Proceedings of WEFTEC 2004, New Orleans, 2e6 October.
Coté, P., Masini, M., Mourato, D., 2004. Comparison of membrane options for water reuse and reclamation. Desalination 167, 1-11.
Abegglen C., Siegrist H. 2012: Mikroverunreinigungen aus kommunalem Abwasser. Verfahren zur weitergehenden Elimination auf Kläranlagen. Bundesamt für Umwelt, Bern, Umwelt-Wissen Nr. 1214: 210 S
Finally, a cost of 95,000 euro km-1 and of 85,000 euro km-1 respectively was assumed for the instream morphology and riparian vegetation restoration. A O&M cost of 5,000 euro/km was also assumed for riparian vegetation.
Upgrades were
evaluated as 50%
of the new plant cost
28 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
The analysis was performed through the mDSS software (Mulino Decision
Support System, Giupponi, 2007).
1. An evaluation matrix was created, normalizing each indicator according to a
certain value function;
2. Indicators are weighted in order to reflect their relative importance in the
computation of the cumulative performance;
3. The cumulative performance, aggregating every single performance on each
specific indicator, is computed by means of a selected decision algorithm.
n
j
ijjiSAW uwa1
Simple Additive Weighting (SAW)
that is the sum of products of the normalized performance
uij in each j-criterion of each i- alternative scenario/measure,
multiplied by the weight given to each j- criterion.
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29 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
n
j
ijjiSAW uwa1
Water
chemistry
Ecological
Integrity
Morphology
Vegetation
Pollutant loads
COD-Not-Ptot
GEP
STAR ICMi
DistanceLIMeco
Costs
Micropollutants
20%
8%
12%
10%
Investiment O&M
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Dir.271/91 Dir.271/91R PostDen O3/GAC MBR RO
Pollutant loads DistanceLIMeco GEP3
STAR ICMi Instream Morphology Ripatian Vegetation
MicroPollutant Cost_investment Cost_O&M
25% 25%
30 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
n
j
ijjiSAW uwa1
Water
chemistry
Ecological
Integrity
Morphology
Vegetation
Pollutant loads
COD-Not-Ptot
GEP
STAR ICMi
DistanceLIMeco
Costs
Micropollutants
20%
8%
12%
10%
Investiment O&M
25% 25%
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31 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:
final set of scenarios
The restoration of the instream morphology and the riparian vegetation was assumed
in all the reach units with GEP3 > 0.7.
Scenarios Description
Dir.271/91R
upgrade up to the requirements of the Directive 271/91EC
+ instream morphology and riparian vegetation restoration
MBR L-O
secondary MBR in the WWTPs which influence for more tham half of total river length in the Olona and Lambro rivers
MBR L-S-O
secondary MBR in the WWTPs which influence for more tham half
of total river length in the Olona, Seveso and Lambro rivers
MBRR L-O
secondary MBR in the WWTPs which influence for more tham half
of total river length in the Olona and Lambro rivers + instream morphology and riparian vegetation restoration
MBRR L-S-O
secondary MBR in the WWTPs which influence for more tham half of total river length in the Olona, Seveso and Lambro rivers
+ instream morphology and riparian vegetation restoration
O3/GAC
ozonation treatment combined with GAC filtration
In all the WWTPs larger than 50,000 PE
O3/GAC-MBR
secondary MBR in the WWTPs which influence for more than half of L-S-O total length and O3/GAC in WWTPs larger than 700,000 PE
O3/GAC-MBRR
secondary MBR in the WWTPs which influence for more than half of L-S-O total length and O3/GAC in WWTPs larger than 700,000 PE
+ instream morphology and riparian vegetation restoration
32 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis:
final set of scenarios
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Scores
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
MBRR L-S-O
MBRR L-O
MBR L-S-O
Dir. 271/91
MBR L-O
O3/GAC-MBRR L-S-O
O3/GAC-MBR L-S-O
O3/GAC
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33 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
• All the scenarios imply a significant increase of the current expenditure
• The increase is far beyond the threshold of 20% that some authors
(Larans, 2006) indicated as a preliminary assessment for disproportionate
costs
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Sc RO
Sc O3/G
AC
Sc MBR
Sc MBR
L-S-O
Sc O3/G
AC M
BR L-S-O
Sc MBR
L-O
Sc PostDen
Sc Dir 271/91
km
of
river
len
gth
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
% p
lan
ned
in
vestm
ents
GEP (km) total length L-S-O
whole Lombardy Expenditure L-S-O Expenditure
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Thanks for
the attention