SCRF 23 Annual Meeting May 5 2010 - Stanford Earth

54
SCRF 23 rd Annual Meeting May 56 2010 Stanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting Stanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting Annual Meeting 2010

Transcript of SCRF 23 Annual Meeting May 5 2010 - Stanford Earth

Page 1: SCRF 23 Annual Meeting May 5 2010 - Stanford Earth

SCRF 23rd Annual Meeting May 5‐6 2010

Stanford Center for Reservoir ForecastingStanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting

Annual Meeting 2010

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Research and Results: Highlights

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Research and Results: Highlights

Five Themes

Ferguson

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ONE

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1.Modeling Uncertainty and Inverse Problems

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1.Challenges

Very high dimensions

Non‐linear

Non‐unique

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1.Reformulation of non‐linear inverse problems in metric space

Kwangwon Park et al.

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1.Modeling Uncertainty and Inverse Problems

Distance‐based methods

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1.Modeling Uncertainty using distance based methods

Celine Scheidt et al.

Construct fine scale modelsUsing coarse scalesimulations

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1.Modeling Uncertainty using distance based methods

Addy Satija

Structural uncertainty 

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1.Challenges

Very high dimensions

Non‐linear

Non‐unique

ApproachesMcMC samplingOptimization

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1.Iterative Spatial Resampling

Applied to History Matching

Gregoire Mariethoz et al.

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1.Iterative Spatial Resampling

Conditioning to soft data

Matz Haugen et al.

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1.Challenges

Very high dimensions

Non‐linear

Non‐unique

ApproachesDimension reduction and choice of base

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1.Geological Bases and Uncertainty

Fernandez‐Martinez et al.

Basis vectors

original reconstruction

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1.Challenges

Very high dimensions

Non‐linear

Non‐unique

ApproachesData Integration

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1.

Data Integration Cheolkyun JeongAmit Suman

CoreWell logsSeismic data

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1.Modeling Uncertainty and Inverse Problems

‐ Sensitivity

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1.Uncertainty in Basin and Petroleum System Modeling

‐ SensitivityBin Jia

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TWO

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2.Particle Swarm Optimization

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2.Particle Swarm Optimization

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2.Particle Swarm Optimization

Spring‐mass system

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2.Particle Swarm OptimizationStochastic differential equationParticle trajectory = stochastic processes

Analysis of stability

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2.Particle Swarm OptimizationThough stochastic PSO is not heuristic

Design of algorithm

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2.PSO: Advances and Applications in Seismic History Matching

Fernandez‐Martinez et al.

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2.Integration of production and time lapse Seismic data: Norne field

Amit Suman et al.

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THREE

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3.Hybrid Geomodeling

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3.Hybrid Geomodeling

Holly Michael et al. 2008/2009

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3.Hybrid Geomodeling

Leiva, 2009

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3.Hybrid Geomodeling

‐ conditioningAntoine Bertoncello et al.

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3.Hybrid Geomodeling

‐ Sensitivity analysis using distances

Antoine Bertoncello et al.

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3.Hybrid Geomodeling

Cellular Automata flow models

Siyao Xu

Salles et al. 2008 (CSIRO/IFP)

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FOUR

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4.Software

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4.Metrel

Petrel plug‐in for modeling uncertainty in metric space

Kwangwon Park et al.

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4.• New features in SGeMS

RegionsPartition a grid into active and inactive cells 

Commands to add, delete and merge regions

Rahul Gupta et al.

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4.• New features in SGeMS

Ease of Use• Quick access to common operations

• Data Transforms 

• Access to user defined python scripts

Rahul Gupta et al.

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4.Tetris Alex Boucher et al.

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4.Tetris Alex Boucher et al.

Next generation training image generator for SGeMS

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4.Tetris Alex Boucher et al.

Recursive Composition Technique

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4.DISPAT Mehrdad Honarkhah

Distance based pattern simulation

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FIVE

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5.Value of Information

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5.Spatial modeling and VOI

‐ data reliability and workflow

Trainor‐Guitton et al.

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5.Value of Information

‐ History matching

Bratvold and Mukerji

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5.6

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00.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

Fore

cast

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rms

History Matching, rms

Bratvold

Success of history matching (Bos, 2002)

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5.6

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00.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

Fore

cast

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rms

Stop?

History Matching, rms

Bratvold

Success of history matching (Bos, 2002)

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5.Value of Information

‐ Decision driven history matching

Bratvold

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Guest SpeakersProf. Reidar Bratvold

University of Stavanger

Prof. Sanjay Srinivasan

University of Texas, Austin

Dr. Faruk O. Alpak, Shell

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Research and Results: Highlights

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Research Report

Digital annual report with papers

Presentations: http://scrf.stanford.edu

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SCRF 23rd Annual Meeting May 5‐6 2010

Stanford Center for Reservoir ForecastingStanford Center for Reservoir Forecasting

Annual Meeting 2010