Scoggins Report - May 2013 Spec Market Scorecard
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The Scoggins Report by Jason Scoggins & Cindy Kaplan May 20, 2013 May 2013 Spec Market Scorecard Consider the following remarkable stats: There has been 24% less new material on the market so far this year than last (100 specs in 2013 vs 132 in 2012), yet there have been 10% more spec sales (44 this year vs 40 in 2012). Seems like good news, right? Well, yes, but as you’ll plainly see from the grids on the following pages, there’s a big, fat elephant in the room: With two exceptions ( Fox and Universal), the studios and their labels simply aren’t buying spec scripts or pitches at anywhere near the velocity of years past. The numbers are so striking that we created a new chart on page 4 of the Scorecard which shows what it looks like when the major studios cut their spending by roughly 45%. In short, the studios seem to have stopped aren’t acting like studios. Thank heaven the non-studio buyers have stepped into the gap -- the more spec script sales the better, obviously -- but we the repurcussions this trend will have if it continues through the end of the year are troubling. Think about it this way: Imagine the impact if Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft and Yahoo cut their collective R&D budget by 45%. Sure, they’d be way more profitable for a few quarters, but their ability to innovate for the long term would crumble. 2013 Overall Numbers Of 2013‘s 44 spec sales, 9 (20%) have been of scripts that originally went out prior to 2012. Here are the overall spec market numbers through May 17.. . Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec T otal New Specs 19 16 22 26 17 100 Spec Sales 8 8 10 13 5 44 2012 12 13 14 12 12 15 5 13 9 13 7 7 132 2011 * 3 13 15 9 7 12 10 5 7 20 8 10 132 2010 * 1 10 7 13 4 7 0 1 6 7 5 1 65 2009 3 12 10 9 10 6 5 3 4 5 4 1 72 * For 2010 and 2011, sales of scripts that originally went to market in years prior are not distributed monthly in the above table but have been added to the year-end totals. The Scoggins Report is brought to you by SpecScout.com -- The Spec Market, Quantified The Scoggins Report , by Jason Scoggins & Cindy Kaplan May 2013 Spec Market Scor ecard –May 20, 2013 Creative Commons Attribution 2012 Page 1 of 11
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The Scoggins Reportby Jason Scoggins & Cindy KaplanMay 20, 2013
May 2013Spec Market Scorecard
Consider the following remarkable stats: There has been 24% less new material onthe market so far this year than last (100 specs in 2013 vs 132 in 2012), yet therehave been 10% more spec sales (44 this year vs 40 in 2012).
Seems like good news, right? Well, yes, but as you’ll plainly see from the grids on thefollowing pages, there’s a big, fat elephant in the room: With two exceptions (Fox andUniversal), the studios and their labels simply aren’t buying spec scripts or pitches at
anywhere near the velocity of years past. The numbers are so striking that we created anew chart on page 4 of the Scorecard which shows what it looks like when themajor studios cut their spending by roughly 45%.
In short, the studios seem to have stopped aren’t acting like studios. Thank heaven thenon-studio buyers have stepped into the gap -- the more spec script sales the better,obviously -- but we the repurcussions this trend will have if it continues through the endof the year are troubling.
Think about it this way: Imagine the impact if Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google,Microsoft and Yahoo cut their collective R&D budget by 45%. Sure, they’d be way more
profitable for a few quarters, but their ability to innovate for the long term would crumble.
2013 Overall Numbers
Of 2013‘s 44 spec sales, 9 (20%) have been of scripts that originally went out priorto 2012. Here are the overall spec market numbers through May 17...
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
New Specs 19 16 22 26 17 100
Spec Sales 8 8 10 13 5 44
2012 12 13 14 12 12 15 5 13 9 13 7 7 132
2011 * 3 13 15 9 7 12 10 5 7 20 8 10 132
2010 * 1 10 7 13 4 7 0 1 6 7 5 1 65
2009 3 12 10 9 10 6 5 3 4 5 4 1 72
* For 2010 and 2011, sales of scripts that originally went to market in years prior are not distributed monthly in
the above table but have been added to the year-end totals.
The Scoggins Report is brought to you by
SpecScout.com -- The Spec Market, Quantified
The Scoggins Report , by Jason Scoggins & Cindy Kaplan May 2013 Spec Market Scor ecard –May 20, 2013Creative Commons Attribution 2012 Page 1 of 11
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...and here are the monthly spec sales numbers in graph form.
The following are combined total spec and pitch sales numbers through May 17, withyear over year monthly comparisons...
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 2012 2011
Specs 8 8 10 13 5 44 132 132
Pitches 3 10 8 10 4 35 81 106
Totals 11 18 18 23 9 79 213 238
2012 Total 20 20 22 26 16 22 13 16 13 19 10 15
2011 Total 7 21 28 16 15 28 20 9 12 30 16 24
...and here are those combined spec and pitch sales numbers in graph form as well.
0
5
10
15
20
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
510
15
20
25
30
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2013 2012 2011
The Scoggins Report is brought to you by
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Spec Sales By Genre
J F M A M J J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009
Action/Adventure 2 2 2 3 9 29 20 16 15
Comedy 1 1 1 3 28 28 17 23
Drama 1 1 2 4 10 14 7 7
Horror 1 1 2 1 5 13 8 0 0
Sci-fi 2 2 2 1 7 15 15 5 7
Thriller 2 2 4 4 3 15 36 37 17 21
Spec Sales By Buyer - Studios
J F M A M J J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009
CBS Films 1 1 0 3 0 2
Columbia 0 8 7 1 5
Dimension 1 1 1 1 0 1
Disney 1 1 2 2 2 2
DreamWorks 0 1 2 1 4
Fox 1 1 6 8 2 3
Fox 2000 1 1 1 1 2 0
Lionsgate* 2 1 3 4 2 1 3
MGM 1 1 0 0 0 1
New Line 0 1 4 0 0
New Regency 0 3 0 2 2
Paramount 1 1 11 5 4 5
Par. Insurge 1 1 2 0 0 0
Relativity 1 1 2 1 2 6 3
Universal 1 1 2 9 5 2 6
Warner Bros. 1 1 7 14 9 6
Totals 2 3 3 6 2 16 57 56 32 43 ! * 2011 and 2012 numbers for Lionsgate and Summit are combined.
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The following grid shows the combined pitch and spec purchase numbers for theStudio Buyers so far in 2013:
Pitches Specs 2013 2012 2011Columbia 1 1 16 16
Disney 1 1 2 12 11
Fox 5 1 6 12 16
Fox 2000 1 1 2 1 3
Lionsgate* 1 3 4 5 6
Paramount 1 1 2 20 17
Universal 9 2 11 20 19
Warner Bros. 1 1 2 18 30
* 2011 and 2012 numbers for Lionsgate and Summit are combined.
Here are the above numbers for the six major studios in chart form:
0
10
20
30
Columbia Disney Fox Paramount Universal Warner Bros.
2011 2012 2013
The Scoggins Report is brought to you by
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Spec Sales By Buyer - Other Buyers
J F M A M J J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009
1821 Pictures 1 1 0 0 0 0 1984 1 1 0 0 0 0
Aldamisa 1 1 2 1 0 0 0
Amazon 1 1 2 0 0 0
Atlas Independ. 1 1 1 0 0 0
Atmosphere 1 1 0 1 0 0
Big Beach 1 1 1 0 0 0
Boies/Shiller 1 1 0 0 0 0
Gold Circle 1 1 0 4 2 1
Incognito 1 1 0 0 0 0
Mammo Media 1 1 0 0 0 0 Nostromo Pics. 1 1 0 0 0 0
Preferred Cntnt. 1 1 0 0 0 0
QED 1 1 4 0 1 0
RadioactiveGiant 1 1 0 0 0 0
Sentinel 1 1 1 0 0 0
Sierra/Affinity 1 1 0 0 0 0
Skydance 1 1 1 1 0 0
Sollipsist 1 1 0 0 0 0
Start Mtn. Pics. 1 1 0 0 0 0
The Exchange 1 1 0 0 0 0
Thunder Road 1 1 1 0 0 0
Treehouse 1 1 0 0 0 0
Vendome 1 1 1 0 1 0
Voltage 1 1 1 3 4 3 0 0
Working Title 1 1 0 0 0 0
Totals 5 4 7 8 5 29 17 9 4 1
Here are the combined pitch and spec purchase numbers for Non-Studio Buyers thathave bought at least one of each so far in 2013.
Pitches Specs 2013 2012 2011
1984 1 1 2 2 1
QED 1 1 2 4 0
Treehouse 1 1 2 0 0
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Each of the following production companies has been attached to at least one spec saleso far this year. Names in bold are new or have set up an additional spec since thelast Scorecard.
Allison Shearmur ProductionsAnonymous ContentApocalyptic EntertainmentAtlas EntertainmentBenderspinkBluegrass FilmsBroken Road (2)ContentFilmCrave FilmsDe Line Pictures
Disruption Entertainment (2)Electric EntertainmentEnergy Entertainment (3)Friendly Films
Hutch Parker EntertainmentIndustry EntertainmentIntrigue EntertainmentJerry Bruckheimer FilmsJon Shestack ProductionsLe Grisbi ProductionsMadhouse EntertainmentMandeville FilmsMidnight KitchenPlatinum Dunes
Rosa EntertainmentSean Daniel CompanySilver Pictures/Zinc EntertainmentSunny Field Entertainment
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Spec Sales by Seller - Agencies
J F M A M J J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009
APA 2 1 3 10 8 4 2
CAA 1 1 1 3 16 26 11 14
Gersh 1 1 8 8 1 3
ICM 1 1 8 13 4 10
Kaplan Stahler 1 1 2 0 0 0 0
Original Artists 1 1 6 4 3 4
Paradigm 1 2 3 9 10 2 1
Resolution 1 1 0 0 0 0
UTA 2 2 3 2 9 24 17 7 10
Verve 1 1 2 5 4 1 0 WME 1 2 3 1 1 8 35 22 10 0
Totals 5 7 7 10 5 34 121 112 43 44
Here are the combined pitch and spec sales numbers for the agencies that have sold atleast one of each in 2013:
Pitches Specs Total 2012 2011
CAA 9 3 12 32 50
Gersh 3 1 4 11 14
ICM 3 1 4 15 27
Paradigm 3 3 6 15 14
UTA 4 9 13 34 30
WME 9 8 17 61 50
The following 39 agents have been involved with at least one spec sale so far this year.Names in bold are new or sold an additional spec since the last Scorecard.
Five:Mike Esola! ! ! (WME)
Two:Charlie Ferraro! ! (UTA)Daniel Cohan! ! (WME)David Boxerbaum! ! (Paradigm)David Park! ! ! (UTA)
Two (continued):Geoff Morley!! ! (UTA)Ida Ziniti! ! ! (Paradigm)Jason Burns! ! (UTA)Jon Huddle! ! ! (UTA)Marissa Devins! ! (UTA)Rob Herting!! ! (Verve)Shan Ray! ! ! (KSA)
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One:Aaron Hart! ! ! (Verve)Abram Nalibotsky! ! (Resolution)Adam Levine! ! (Verve)
Adam Perry!! !
(APA)Adriana Alberghetti! ! (WME)Billy Hawkins! ! (CAA)Carolyn Sivitz! ! (UTA)Chris Licata! ! ! (Paradigm)Chris Ridenhour! ! (APA)Dan Erlij! ! ! (UTA)David Saunders! ! (APA)Debbie Deuble-Hill! ! (APA)Greg McKnight ! ! (CAA)Harley Copen! ! (ICM)
Holly Jeter! ! ! (WME)James Kearney! ! (UTA)John Garvey! ! (CAA)
Josh Hornstock! !
(UTA)Julien Thuan!! ! (UTA)Matt Leipzig! ! ! (Original)Max Michael!! ! (UTA)Mickey Berman! ! (UTA)Ryan Saul! ! ! (APA)Sandra Lucchesi! ! (Gersh)Tim Phillips!! ! (UTA)Todd Feldman! ! (CAA)Will Lowery! ! ! (APA)
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Spec Sales by Seller - Management Companies
J F M A M J J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009
Anthem 1 1 0 0 0 0
Apostle 1 1 2 1 0 0 0
Benderspink 1 1 2 4 5 5 2 5
Caliber 1 1 3 2 2 0
Circle of Confusion 1 1 5 5 4 3
Energy 1 1 3 2 7 9 7 2 2
Fourth Floor 1 1 1 0 0 0
Hung Ent. 1 1 4 1 0 1
Industry 1 1 2 4 3 1 1
Jeff Ross Ent. 1 1 0 0 0 0 Kapital 1 1 0 0 1 0
Linda Seifert 1 1 0 0 0 0
Luber-Roklin 1 1 1 0 0 2
Madhouse 1 1 6 2 2 1
Manus Ent. 1 1 2 1 0 0 0
Mosaic 1 1 5 0 1 1
New Wave 1 1 1 3 8 7 0 0
Oasis Media Grp. 1 1 1 0 0 0
Principato Young 1 1 1 2 1 3
Prolific 1 1 3 0 0 0
Rosa Ent. 1 1 0 0 0 0
Think Tank 1 1 0 0 0 0
Wet Dog Ent. 1 1 0 0 0 0
Zero Gravity 1 1 2 1 1 1 0
Totals 5 6 9 14 5 39 59 35 17 19
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Here are the combined pitch and spec sales for management companies that have soldat least one of each in 2013.
Pitches Specs Total 2012 2011
Apostle 2 2 4 2 3
Benderspink 1 4 5 9 6
Caliber 2 1 3 7 2
Energy 2 7 9 15 7
Industry 1 2 3 5 3
Madhouse 1 1 2 6 2
Mosaic 2 1 3 10 5
New Wave 1 1 2 10 11
Principato Young 1 1 2 6 4
The following 29 managers have been involved with at least one spec sale so far in2013.
Seven:Brooklyn Weaver! ! (Energy)
Four:Jake Wagner! ! (Benderspink)
Three:Josh Adler! ! ! (New Wave)Mike Goldberg! ! (New Wave)
Two:George Heller! ! (Apostle)Jeff Belkin! ! ! (Zero Gravity)Marc Manus!! ! (Manus Ent.)
One:Aaron Kaplan! ! (Kapital)Adam Kolbrenner! ! (Madhouse)Ava Jamshidi! ! (Industry)Ben Rowe! ! ! (Oasis)
One (continued):Bryan Brucks! ! (Luber-Roklin)C. Campos-Greenberg! (Anthem)Dallas Sonnier! ! (Caliber)David Alpert! ! ! (Circle)David Lonner! ! (Oasis)DJ TalbotEvan Cavic! ! ! (PYE)Greg Shephard! ! (Circle)Jeff Ross! ! ! (Jeff Ross Ent.)Jeff Silver! ! ! (Fourth Floor)Jonathan Hung! ! (Hung)Langley Perer! ! (Mosaic)Linda SeifertMichael Botti!! ! (Industry)Sidney Sherman! ! (Rosa Ent.)Stephanie Davis! ! (Wet Dog)Tom Drumm!! ! (Think Tank)Will Rowbotham! ! (Prolific)
The Scoggins Report is brought to you by
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About The Scoggins Report:The Scoggins Report is a terribly unscientific analysis of the feature film developmentbusiness based on information assembled from a variety of public and non-public
sources. The numbers in the reports are by no means official statistics. Caveat emptor .
Check out the newsletter’s beautiful new home on SpecScout.com.
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