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Transcript of Scn cvd-network-meeting-jan-2015
Improving health outcomes across England by providing improvement and change expertise
SCN CVD Network Meeting
Friday 16 January 2015
Chair Huon Gray
National Clinical Director Cardiac
October 2014
Contents (40 pages)
October 2014
Contents (40 pages)
October 2014
Contents (40 pages)
October 2014
Contents (40 pages)
October 2014
NHS Improving Quality
Hilary Walker
Head of Living Longer Lives
Friday 16th January 2015
Summary (1)
• Local leadership & ‘structured partnership’
Summary (1)
• Local leadership & ‘structured partnership’
• Single leadership group
Summary (1)
• Local leadership & ‘structured partnership’
• Single leadership group
• Stable mandate + Mental Health (Parity of Esteem) prioritised
• Emphasis on workforce (LETBs and HEE)
• Prevention (National Prevention Board chaired by PHE)1. CCG & LG levels of ambition
2. National action (alcohol, fast food, tobacco and others)
3. National diabetes prevention programme
• NHS programmes to help people stay in work (including healthier NHS workforce)
Summary (2)
• Empowering patients (digital health records, access to GP records,
personal budgets, learning disabilities, choice, Public & Patient Involvement)
• Engaging communities (volunteering, charities, NHSE to reflect diversity)
• New models of care (national New Models of Care Board)– Multi-specialty community providers (MCPs)
– Integrated primary & acute care systems (PACS)
– Viable smaller hospitals
– Enhanced care in Care Homes
– Expressions of early interest by end January 2015
– Health & Care Garden City (Ebbsfleet and Bicester)
– Innovative technologies & working (AHSN & others partnering), CtE
– Emphasis on Urgent & Emergency, Maternity, Specialised, Cancer
– New National Cancer Strategy
Summary (3)
• New deal for primary care (workforce & infrastructure)
• Strong clinical leadership
• Improving quality & outcomes (National Quality Board)
• National Information Board – Transparency, paperless NHS
– Electronic prescriptions
– Discharge summaries, e-referrals
– Interoperable digital records
• Patient safety– Sepsis and AKI as priorities (CQUINs)
– Antibiotic resistance (CCG quality premium)
– Implement at least 5 of the 10 clinical standards for 7 day services
– Diagnostics, pathology & functional genomics
Summary (4)
• Increasing productivity & efficiency– Narrowing the gap between least and most efficient
– Technology
– Better staff retention
• NHS finances– 10% reduction in NHSE & CCG admin costs
– Accurate demand & capacity plans by providers and commissioners
– Tariffs (inflation +3.0%, tariff cost uplift +1.93%, provider efficiency expectation -3.8% so net decrease in tariff of 1.9%)• Marginal rate above baseline = 50% of tariff
• Up to 2.5% of provider income to come from national CQUINs– Existing (Dementia & Delirium, physical health in SMI)
– New (AKI, Sepsis, Urgent & Emergency care)
Improvement Programmes
Domain 1: Living Longer LivesHilary Walker
Domain 2: Long Term ConditionsJane Whittome
Domain 3: 7day ServicesAnn Driver
Domain 4: Experience of CareJane Whittome
Domain 5: Patient SafetyFiona Thow
Living Longer Lives
• Cardiovascular Disease
• Engaging Primary Care
• Raising Awareness
NHS Health Check
• NHS IQ have facilitated the spread of innovative approaches to engaging ‘seldom seen, seldom heard’ groups through our case study and webinar series.
• The work identifies examples of innovative practice, develops and publishes corresponding case studies and then holds webinars to support other Local Authorities in applying the learning to their own local situation
• This approach will be showcased as a Poster at this year’s International Clinical Microsystems Festival in Sweden (24th-26th Feb 2015)
• NHS IQ have worked with Public Health England to develop a self-assessment tool aligned to graded levels of support to aid Local Authorities in implementing the NHS Health Check Programme in their area.
GRASP update
• 2,723 practices have uploaded GRASP-AF data
• 101 practices have uploaded GRASP-COPD data
• 59 practices have uploaded GRASP-HF data
• 157 CCGs have uploaded data on at least one of the GRASP tools in at least one practice
GRASP roll out strategy
• A move to the promotion of audited care rather than a particular audit tool
• We are gathering intelligence on alternative audit tools in use
• We would like to identify those CCGs where no audit tools are in use and promote the use of GRASP in these CCGs
• If you have any information on the use of alternatives, or plans to use GRASP in your SCN or CCG then please contact Ian Robson or your regional LLL team contact
Date of next meeting
Friday 17th April in London
Focus on rehabilitation
The Commissioning Landscape And Cardiovascular Disease Services
Personal Perspectives
Mark Scott
City and Hackney CCG
23
Summary Of Presentation
• Current Commissioning Landscape
• Developments In City And Hackney
– One Clinical Commissioning Group
– Impact On Commissioning Cardiovascular Diseases
• Discussion Points
– Implications For Strategic Clinical Networks
24
My Background
25
• Initially In Acute Trusts And Clinical Network– Moved to commissioning
• Worked for London CCGs– North West London and North East London
– Currently City and Hackney CCG
– Programme Director Integrated And Urgent Care
• Many English CCGs– Personal perspectives from one CCG
New Commissioning Landscape
• NHS England
- National
- Regional (Strategic Clinical Networks)
- Local
• Clinical Commissioning Groups
– Commissioning Support
• Public Health
26
Clinical GP-Led Commissioning
27
1991 to 1997
1994 to1997
2005 to 2011
2011 to present
GP Fundholding
Total Purchasing
Pilot
Practice based commissioning
CCGs and GP Commissioning
28
2011/12 Changes To The System
Current Structures In Health
• GP Commissioning
• Commissioning support market
• Central commissioning primary care
• Central commissioning specialist services
29
Health And Local Authority Issues
• Public Health
– moved to local authorities
• Better Care Fund
– Small proportion of services jointly commissioned through BCF
30
City And Hackney CCG
Where Is At Now?
31
Clinical Commissioning Started 2007
32
2005 to 2011
2011 to present
Practice Based Commissioning
CCGs and GP Commissioning
Practice Based Commissioning Focus on pathways
33
• Focus on pathways
• Linking secondary care and primary care
• GP Education
• Benchmarking performance data
• Demand management
East London Integrated Care
Success in improving quality and reducing costs
Historical Performance For CVD Outcomes Prior To PBC
• One of worst performing areas for CVD outcomes
• Poorly performing on intermediate outcomes– Blood pressure control
– Glycaemic control
– Cholesterol
• High premature mortality and high referral rates
34
City And Hackney Vs Other CCGs
• Rank Achievement For All 211 CCGs
• 50 Long Term Conditions QOF Indicators– City and Hackney – Top for 10 indicators– In the top 10 for 12 indicators– In top quartile for 14 indicators
• Low Referral Rates– 2.3% reduction in referral rates (09/10 - 10/11)– Challenge benchmarking CVD since changes in local
clinical networks
35
Quality And Outcomes Framework Data For 2013/14
36
Long Term Conditions Locally Enhanced ServiceImplemented March 2013
Percent Patients Treated Increased Patient Numbers
1
10
100
1000
BP ≤ 150/90 Cholesterol ≤ 5
CHD annualreview
Ad
dit
ion
al P
atie
nts
37
0%
30%
60%
90%
65+ pulserhythm
recorded
Cholesterol<5
BP <150/90
Pe
rce
nt
Pat
ien
ts
2013 2014
Variations In GP Practice PerformanceComparing Measuring Cholesterol and BP
38
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10 20 30 40 50
Ch
ole
ste
rol M
eas
ure
s
BP Measures
GP Practices successful in one indication are successful in all
Increased Role Of Private Sector?
39
• Tendering contracts
– CVD contracts frequently re-commissioned
– Circle, Serco, Virgin situation
• Local experience
– Focus on collaboration and integration
Current Key Organizational Issues
40
• Primary Care Co-commissioning
– Conflicts of interest
• Commissioning Of More Specialized Services
– Capacity within CCGs
– Organizational memory
– Collaboration across CCGs
– Links with acute clinicians and clinical networks
41
Fine, Problem Or Bigger Problem
CCG 2
CCG 1
Finances Impacting Performance
42
• A&E Performance
• Delayed transfer of care
• Cancer waiting times
• 18 week waiting times
• Cardiovascular specific waiting times
Key Factors And Quality Gap
43
1. Funding
2. Reconfiguration and service change
3. Integrated health and social care economy
These three factors key to creating culture of clinically-led quality improvement
A&E Performance and Emergency Activity
44
Overall Performance
1. 2013: 96.0%
2. 2014: 95.8%
Activity Reductions comparing Q1 and
Q2 14/15 with 13/14 periods
A&E Activity Reductions
1. Activity Down: 4.9%
2. Costs Down: 8.5%
Emergency admission Reductions
1. Activity Down: 5.4%
2. Costs Down: 0.93%
Percent Seen Within 4 Hours
Target
07/03/13
15/06/13
23/09/13
01/01/14
11/04/14
20/07/14
28/10/14
91% 93% 95% 97% 99%
Beyond May 2015
45
Five Year Forward View
New Models of Care
• Multi-specialty community providers
• Integrated primary and acute care systems
What could this mean for the role of commissioners and quality improvement?
46
Example from New Zealand
Alliance ContractingNew Zealand Example
• Moved From Competition To Collaboration
– Networks and partnerships as guiding principles for health care delivery
• Removes Health Care Institutional Divides
– Sector-led governance arrangements
– Facilitate ‘whole of system’ approaches to care design and delivery
• Promoted clinical governance and leadership
47
Alliance Membership
Leadership And Chair• Independent chair
• Leadership skill based– Health professional and
managerial
• Capacity to:– lead/influence/understand
perspectives of professional colleagues
• General Practice, nursing, hospital specialty
Members • DHB and PHO CEOs and
managers
• GPs, specialists, nurses, allied professionals
• Ambulance and aged care residential services
• Måori/Pacific leaders
• Patients/community representatives
48
49
Alliance Southleadership
team
Comparison Of Contracts
Traditional Contract Alliance Contract
50
Healthcare Alliances
• Shared goals/objectives
• Clinically led– Whole of system approach
• Decisions based on:– Best for patient
– Best for system
• Pooled budgets
• Allocation of services
• High degree of trust– Competition undermines
alliances
• Joint accountability for results
• Innovation and flexibility– Promotes transformational
change
– Replaces business as usual amongst providers
51
One Hackney Alliance
HOMERTON ELFT CHUHSE CHUSE+LBH
PROVIDERTAVISTOCK
& PORTMANVOLUNTARY
SECTOR
One Hackney Challenge
•Providers set up services, with payment linked to outcome targets they set and agree with commissioners
•An £800k performance fund which will be paid to the One Hackney provider community if agreed metrics are achieved by 31 March 2015
•A further £800k performance fund linked to achievement of metrics during 2015/16
One Hackney Performance Metrics – Payment Basis
l
METRIC MEASURE/PAYMENT BASELINE TARGETMarch 2015
TARGETSeptember 2015
TARGETMarch 2016
1 Increase effectiveness of reablement/rehabilitation
12 month period to target month.Payment based on % achieved.
Payment baseline 90.4% (12 month period)
90.5% still at home 91 days after discharge 1 additional patient still at home90.5% - 100% paid
90.7% still at home 91 days after discharge8 additional patients still at home90.6% - 50% paid90.7% - 100% paid
91.2% still at home 91 days after discharge13 additional patients still at home90.9% - 50% paid91.2% - 100% paid
2 Increase proportion of people dying outside hospital
43% deaths outside hospital(2010-2012)(461 deaths outside hospital out of 1082 total deaths [EOLC Profiles])
Payment baseline 43% (12 month period)
43% deaths outside hospital (464 deaths outside hospital out of 1085 total deaths)
3 more deaths outside hospital43% - 100% paid
44% deaths outside hospital (480 deaths
outside hospital out of 1088 total deaths)
19 more deaths outside hospital43% - 50% paid44% - 100% paid
46% deaths outside hospital (503 deaths
outside hospital out of 1091 total deaths)
42 more deaths outside hospital45% - 50% paid46% - 100% paid
3 Emergency admissions forover 75s to reduce to the London average(all emergency admissions excl maternity, sickle dental and MH)
38 admissions per 1,000 population over 75 per month (Apr 2011 – Jan 2014)335 admissions per month [HES] for 8855 population [ONS 2013]
Payment baseline 335Performance to be based on 12 month average
Reduce admissions by 5 per month to 330 admissions
335 - 50% paid330 – 100% paid
Reduce admissions by 15 per month to 320 admissions
Payment scale:335 (no payment) –320 (100% paid)
Reduce admissions by 30 per month to 305 admissions
Payment scale:335 (no payment) –305 (100% paid)
One Hackney Performance Metrics – Payment Basis
l
METRIC MEASURE/PAYMENT BASELINE TARGETMarch 2015
TARGETSeptember 2015
TARGETMarch 2016
4 Emergency admissions all ages to remain lower than London average(all emergency admissions excl maternity, sickle dental and MH)
6.1 admissions per 1,000 population per month (Apr 2011 – Jan 2014)1735 admissions per month [HES] for 282,000 population [ONS 2013]
Payment baseline – London average
No increase in admission rate compared with London totalBelow London 12 month average – 100% paid
No increase in admission rate compared with London totalBelow London 12 month average –100% paid
No increase in admission rate compared with London totalBelow London 12 month average – 100% paid
5 Reduce emergency bed days 3000 bed days per month for over 75s(Apr 2012 – March 2013)
Payment baseline 3000 bed days per month for over 75sPerformance based on 12 month average
Reduce bed days by 15 to 2,985 per month in over 75s
3000 - 50% paid2985 – 100% paid
Reduce bed days by 75 to 2,925 per month in over 75sPayment scale:3000 (no payment) –2925 (100% paid)
Reduce bed days by 150 to 2,850 per month in over 75sPayment scale:3000 (no payment) –2850 (100% paid)
6 Reduce excess bed day costs £220k per month (Apr 2012 – March 2013)
Payment baseline £220k per monthPerformance based on 12 month average
Reduction of £5k per month to £215k
£220k - 50% paid£215k – 100% paid
Reduction of £20k per month to £200kPayment scale:220k (no payment) –£200k (100% paid)
Reduction of £40k per month to £180kPayment scale:220k (no payment) –£180k (100% paid)
7 Reduce % of admissions readmitted within 30 days
19% of admissions readmitted within 30 days (Apr 2012 – November 2013)Payment baseline 19% (rounded)Performance based on 12 month period
19%
19% or below - 100% paid
17%
Payment scale:19% (no payment) –17% (100% paid)
15%
Payment scale:19% (no payment) –15% (100% paid)
NB. One Hackney informed that baseline values being verified for more recent performance to ensure that targets still relevant.
Conclusions
• Clinical commissioning effective in City and Hackney – improving quality/reducing costs
• Step-change in improvements in cardiovascular outcomes
• Current trends reducing A&E attendances and emergency admissions
• Alliance approach key to quality improvement for integrated services
• Collaboration or competition - key dividing line
56
Improving health outcomes across England by providing improvement and change expertise
Lessons from Ants for Networkers
Muir Gray CBE
Better Value Healthcare
The future is not like the Isle of Man, a destination awaiting our arrival, it is like the Forth Bridge, something we have to imagine, design, plan and construct
We have had two healthcare revolutions, with
amazing impact
• Antibiotics• MRI • CT• Ultrasound• Stents• Hip and knee replacement• Chemotherapy• Radiotherapy• Randomised controlled
trials• Systematic reviews• Richard Doll in Gower street
The First The Second
However, all health services, everywhere, still face 5 major problems one of which is unwarranted variation which reveals the other four
• FAILURE TO PREVENT DISEASE &DISABILITY eg stroke and vascular dementia from AF
• WASTE OF RESOURCES through low value activity • HARM, from overuse even when quality is high• INEQUITY, from underuse by groups in high need
And new, additional, challenges are developing
• RISING EXPECTATIONS• INCREASING NEED• FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS• CLIMATE CHANGE Variation in utilization of health
care services that cannot be explained by variation in patient illness or patient preferences.Jack Wennberg
After 67 years we cannot answer key questions such as
1.Is the service for people with seizures & epilepsy in Manchester of higher value than the service in Liverpool?2. Who is responsible for service for all the women with pelvic pain in Birmingham3.How many liver disease service s are there in England and how many should there be?4.Which service for people at the end of life in London provides the best value?5. Is the service for people with seizures & epilepsy in asthma of higher than the service in Somerset ?
If we could manage AF as well as they do in Bradford there would be 5000
less strokes a year” 1.Is the service for people with atrial fibrillation in Manchester better than the service in Liverpool?3.How many atrial fibrillation services are there in England and how many should there be?4.Which service for frail elderly people wih atrial fibrillation in the London provides the best value?1.Is the service for people with atrial fibrillation in Nottingham better than the service in Sheffield ?5.Which service for people with atrial fibrillation improved most in the last year ?
The Healthcare Archipelago
GENERAL MENTAL PRACTICE HEALTH
COMMUNITY HOSPITALSERVICES SERVICES
PUBLICHEALTHSERVICES
JURISDICTIONS INSTITUTIONS
PROFESSIONS
REGULATORS AND INSPECTORS
Complexity is the dynamic state between order and chaos Kieran Sweeney, Complexity in Primary care
Chaos…..….Complexity……...Order Services for homeless people
Screening for cervical caImmunisation
Services for people With physical and mental Co-morbidity
People with atrial fibrillationPeople with hip pain
People who are elderly and frail
People with pelvic painPeople with dizziness
People with multiple morbiditiywho are alert and online
More of the same is not the answer , not even better quality, safer, greener
cheaper of the same
we need to design, plan and build a new paradigm
The Aim is triple value & greater equity
• Allocative, determined by how the assets are distributed to different sub groups in the population
– Between programme
– Between system
– Within system
• Technical, determined by how well resources are used for all the people in need in the population
• Personalised value, determined by how well the decisions relate to the values of each individual
CVD
Respiratory
Gastro-intestinal
MentalHealth
Between ProgrammeMarginal Analysis and reallocation is a commissioner responsibility with public involvement
CVD
Respiratory
Gastro-intestinal
Between ProgrammeMarginal Analysis and reallocation is a commissioner responsibility with public involvement
CVD
Respiratory
Gastro-intestinal
MentalHealth
Many people have more than one problem ; GP’s are skilled in managing complexity
CVD
Respiratory
Gastro-instestinal
RhythmFailure
Coronary
Within Programme,Between SystemMarginal analysis is a clinician responsibility
Cancers
Respiratory
Gastro-instestinal
Apnoea
COPD (Chronic
Obstructive Pulmonary
Disease)
Asthma
Triple DrugTherapy
Rehabilitation
O2
Stop Smoking Imaging
2. Carry out Within SystemMarginal Analysis
Technical Value (Efficiency) = Outcomes / Costs
Outcome= Benefit (EBM +Quality) – Harm (Safety )Costs (Money + time + Carbon)
Added value from doing things right (quality improvement)
Higher Value
HigherValue
High Value
Lower Value
Lower Value
THE INSTITUTIONAL APPROACH
Hellish Decisions in Healthcare
After a certain level of investment, health gain
may start to decline Benefits
Investment of resources
Harms
Benefits - harm
Point of optimality
1. Reduce lower or negative value activities
4 Increase High Value Innovation by
Disinvestment from Lower Value Interventions and ensure that any
innovation without strong evidence of high value is introduced using the IDEAL
method to ensure evaluation
ESR
Population healthcare focuses primarily on populations defined by a common need which may be a symptom such as breathlessness, a
condition such as arthritis or a common characteristic such as frailty in old age, not on institutions , or specialties or technologies. Its aim is to maximise value and equity for those populations and the individuals within them
It will be delivered not only by commissioners but also by clinicians practising population
medicine
BetterValueHealthcare
PrimarySecondaryAcuteCommunityManagerOutpatientHubandSpoke
Introduce new language A SYSTEM is a set of activities with a common set of objectives and outcomes; and an annual report. Systems can focus on symptoms, conditions or subgroups of the population
(delivered as a service the configuration of which may vary from one population to another )
A NETWORK is a set of individuals and organisations that deliver the system’s objectives(a team is a set of individuals or departments within one organisation)
A PATHWAY is the route patients usually follow through the network
A PROGRAMME is a set of systems with ha common knowledge base and a common budget
STEWARDSHIP to hold something in trust for another
Ban old language
The Healthcare Archipelago
GENERAL MENTAL PRACTICE HEALTH
COMMUNITY HOSPITALSERVICES SERVICES
PUBLICHEALTHSERVICES
SELF CARE
INFORMAL CARE
GENERALIST
SPECIALIST
SUPER SPECIALIST
This is an example of a national service set upas a system
BetterValueHealthcare
Hierarchy Network
Dr Jones is a respiratory physician in the Derby Hospital Trust and last year she saw 346 people with COPD and providedevidence based, patient centred care, and to improve effectiveness, productivity and safety
Dr Jones estimated that there are 1000 people with COPD in South Derbyshire and a population based audit showed that there were 100 people who were not referred who would benefit from the knowledge of her team
Dr Jones is given 1 day a week for Population Respiratory Health and the co-ordinator of the South Derbyshire COPD Network and Service has responsibility, authority and resources for
Working with Public Health to reduce smoking Network developmentQuality of patient informationProfessional development of generalists, and
pharmacists Production of the Annual Report of the service
She is keen to improve her performance from being 27th out of the 106 COPD services, and of greater importance, 6th out of the 23 services in the prosperous counties
Three levels of command
STRATEGIC
OPERATIONAL
TACTICAL
Single national
specification
1XX networks,
1,000,000 consultations
and self care
YEAR 1 1. prepare system specification through knowledge harvestingYEAR 2 2.Recruit the first cohort of population based services
3.Support the preparation of the first annual reports of the First Cohort Services
4.Facilitate sharing and learning, involving patient organisationsYEAR 3 5.Recruit the Second Cohort of populations
6.Support the preparation of the annual reports of the First and Second Cohort services
7.Facilitate sharing, learning & improvement involving patient organisationsYEAR 4 8.Recruit the third and final Cohort of populationsYEAR5 9.Support the preparation of the National Annual Report
10.Facilitate sharing and learning, involving patient organisations
BetterValueHealthcare
BetterValueHealthcare
BetterValueHealthcare
We are now in the thirdhealthcare revolution
• Antibiotics• MRI • CT• Ultrasound• Stents• Hip and knee
replacement• Chemotherapy• Radiotherapy• RCTs• Systematic
reviews
The First The Second the Third
Citizens
Knowledge SmartPhone
NHS Confed/ AoMRCAoMRC
Future Focused Finance
Dalton Oldham
RCGP Kings Fund
Five Year Forward View + Personalised Care 2020
BetterValueHealthcare
Map of Medicine - COPD
Work like an ant colony; Neither markets
nor bureaucracies can solve the challenges
of complexity
BetterValueHealthcare
Map of Medicine - COPD
Work like an ant colony ; Proverbs 6;6
go to the ant, O sluggaard
study her ways and learn wisdom ,
for though she has no chief,
no officer or ruler
,she secures herfoo in the summer,
she gathers her provisions in the harvest
Improving health outcomes across England by providing improvement and change expertise
Huon Gray
CVD Update
16 January 2015
BHF Heart Stats (2012) http://www.bhf.org.uk/publications/view-publication.aspx?ps=1002097
CVD Mortality in England (all <75 yrs)
Source: www.statistics.gov.uk/ statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=6725
Causes of Death (England, <75 yrs)
(Source: ‘Living Well for Longer’ [ONS data], 2013)
Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet 2013;381:997-1020
DALYs Attributable to top 20 (of 67) Risk Factors (UK)
CVD Risk: Future trend Obesity
England – Impact of Rising Trend in Obesity - Predicted Increase in Cardiovascular Disease Prevalence over & above Impact of Ageing
Diabetes Coronary Heart Disease Hypertension Stroke
2010 2% 1% 1% 1%
2020 15% 8% 5% 5%
2030 38% 20% 13% 11%
2040 68% 33% 23% 18%
2050 98% 44% 34% 23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Pre
dic
ted
% In
crea
se in
Dis
eas
e P
reva
len
ce
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Source: National Heart Forum. A Prediction of Obesity Trends for Adults & their Associated Diseases (NHF. February 2010)
CVD Risk: Ageing Population
England – Population Projections (Principal) –% Growth to 2012, 2017 & 2022
1% 1%2%
7%
3%
6%
2%
5%
2%
6%
20%
10%
22%
6%
10%
4%
7%
21%
31%
44%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0-19 20-44 45-64 65-74 75-84 85 plus All Ages
Proj
ecte
d %
Incr
ease
in P
opul
atio
n
2010-2012 % Increase
2010-2017 % Increase
2010-2022 % Increase
Source: ONS Population Projections. 2010-Based
65-74 to growBy 20% 2010-2017
85 plus to growBy 44% 2010-2022
Long Term Conditions: Heart Failure Prevalence
Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women
0-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 plus
England 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.9% 0.4% 3.1% 1.6% 13.7% 12.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Pre
vale
nce
of H
ea
rt F
ailu
re (
%)
England – Heart Failure – Prevalence (%) by Age & Sex - 2009General Practice Research Database 2010
Source: General Practice Research Database 2010, reported in British Heart FoundationCoronary Heart Disease Statistics . 2010 Edition
Long Term Conditions: Heart Failure - Future Prevalence
2012 2017 2022
45 Plus
Women 371,156 398,461 453,129
Men 344,728 387,815 450,342
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
Est
ima
ted
Pre
vale
nt
Ca
ses
of H
ea
rt F
ailu
re
Women
Men
England – Heart Failure – Prevalence Cases – Projected Numbers to 2022 – Based on General Practice Research Database 2010
Source: General Practice Research Database 2010, reported in British Heart Foundation Coronary Heart Disease Statistics . 2010 EditionHeart Failure rates by Age/Sex applied to ONS Population Projections.
Up 10%Over 2012
Up 26%Over 2012715,884
786,276
903,470
CVDOS Recommended Actions (10)
• Seeing CVD as one condition (‘family of diseases’)
• Integration of services
• Risk factors, NHS Health Check
• Case finding in 10 care
• Better management in, and support for, 10 Care
• Inherited cardiac conditions (incl. FH)
• Improve survival from OHCA (CPR, AEDs, First Responders,
Education, Registry)
• Raising awareness
• 24 x 7 CV Services
• Care planning (phys & psych support, self care, EOL care)
• Information (CVIN, Service Level Markers, Clinical Audit)
• Researchhttps://www.gov.uk/government/publications/improving-cardiovascular-disease-outcomes-strategy
Stroke Update
Tony Rudd
16th January 2015
Areas for presentation
• Acute organisational audit
• Clinical audit data
• CCG audit
• Telemedicine commissioning guidance
• Stroke service toolkit
• Single level markers
Stroke News
• Publication of SSNAP organisational audit and June – Sept clinical data
• MR CLEAN trial of intra-arterial treatments
• MHRA review of alteplase
SSNAP organisational dataThrombolysis Provision
Source: SSNAP Organisational Audit, October 2014
1%
1%
0%
0%
8%
8%
83%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
No provision at all
No onsite service and less than 24/7 service providedincluding local arrangements
Less than 24/7 service provided overall including localarrangements
Less than 24/7 service provided on-site, with no localarrangements
No on-site service but a 24/7 service provided involving localarrangements
Less than 24/7 service provided on-site but a 24/7 serviceprovided overall involving local arrangements
24/7 service provided on-site
SSNAP organisational data Decision making for thrombolysis – Normal
HoursNational My Site
Consultant physician in person 99% Yes/No
Consultant physician via telemedicine 8% Yes/No
Consultant physician via telephone 17% Yes/No
Registrar 11% Yes/No
Lower grade doctor 2% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 8 0% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 7 2% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 6 4% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 5 0% Yes/No
Consultant as most senior 99% Yes/ No
Decision making for thrombolysis – Out of Hours
National My Site
Consultant physician in person 50% Yes/No
Consultant physician via telemedicine 61% Yes/No
Consultant physician via telephone 32% Yes/No
Registrar 10% Yes/No
Lower grade doctor 0% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 8 0% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 7 1% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 6 2% Yes/No
Stroke nurse band 5 0% Yes/No
Consultant as most senior 94% Yes/ No
SSNAP organisational data Interventional Neuroradiology results
*on site or by referral to another site
Interventional Neuroradiology All sites (167) My Site
% of sites currently using intra-arterial treatment (e.g. thrombectomy) to treat patients with acute stroke*
54%
SSNAP organisational data Nursing levels
Registered nurses usually on duty at 10am
National – total stroke units
My Site
Median per 10 beds Per 10 beds
Weekdays 1.9
Saturdays 1.8
Sundays/Bank Holidays 1.8
Registered nurses usually on duty at 10pm
National – total stroke units
My Site
Median per 10 beds Per 10 beds
Weekdays 1.3
Saturdays 1.3
Sundays/Bank Holidays 1.3
SSNAP organisational data 6 or 7 day therapy working
34% of sites have 6 or 7 day working for at least two of: physiotherapy, occupational therapy, and speech and language therapy.
Source: SSNAP Organisational Audit, October 2014
35%
44%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Occupational therapy Physiotherapy Speech and Language therapy
SSNAP organisational data Prevention of venous thromboembolism
First line treatment for preventing venous
thromboembolism
National My site
Short or long compression stockings 1% (1)
Intermittent pneumatic compression device 42% (77)
Low molecular weight heparin 35% (64)
None of the above 22% (41)
London and East Midlands
East of England and West Midlands
North West
North of England/Yorkshire/Humber
South East Coast
South West/Thames Valley/Wessex
But don’t get too depressed......
Wales and N Ireland
Clinical AuditThrombolysis: Changes over time
D3 LevelNumber of teams achieving each level
Oct – Dec 2013 Jan – Mar 2014 Apr – Jun 2014 Jul – Sep 2014
A 10 teams (6%) 12 teams (8%) 9 teams (6%) 18 teams (12%)
B 20 teams (13%) 26 teams (16%) 31 teams (20%) 26 teams (17%)
C 35 teams (22%) 39 teams (25%) 40 teams (25%) 33 teams (22%)
D 49 teams (31%) 42 teams (27%) 42 teams (27%) 44 teams (29%)
E 46 teams (29%) 39 teams (25%) 35 teams (22%) 31 teams (20%)
Clinical AuditSpeech and Language therpay: Changes over
time
D7
Level
Number of teams achieving each level
Oct – Dec 2013 Jan-Mar 2014 Apr – Jun 2014 Jul – Sep 2014
A 5 teams (3%) 1 teams (1%) 11 teams (5%) 21 teams (10%)
B 16 teams (9%) 15 teams (8%) 19 teams (9%) 26 teams (13%)
C 34 teams (19%) 35 teams (18%) 48 teams (24%) 40 teams (20%)
D 19 teams (10%) 26 teams (13%) 24 teams (12%) 22 teams (11%)
E 109 teams (60%) 120 teams (61% 101 teams (50%) 93 teams (46%)
CCG audit
• >99% participation of CCGs in England– Services Commissioned
• Stroke specific services and generic• Who they are commissioning• Location of services
– CCG organisation• Clinical lead• Do they require participation in SSNAP• Any joint commissioning• Consortium commissioning
• Provisional reports for validation Jan, Final report February and public report march
• Start provider data collection March
Key Elements of a stroke service+ Includes stroke performance standards, repatriation pathways,
workforce guidelines, competency framework, education & training and telemedicine
Commissioning Assurance Framework+ Includes agreement templates such as collaborative working,
confidentiality and conflict of interest
Assessing Need + Includes Health Impact and equality impact assessments, as well as
cost benefit analysis
Programme Governance+ Includes pre-consultation and high level projects plans, engagement
template and Terms of Reference
Option Appraisal Process• Includes factors to consider for rural and urban areas
Stroke Reconfiguration Toolkit Contents
Travel and Activity Modelling – How to guide for the data modelling
+ Health datasets which can be used:
+ how to source these
+ how to use these
+ linking datasets to understand patient pathways
+ Understanding and forecasting changes
+ Modelling drive time & activity volumes
Toolkit Contents Continued
Financial Modelling
+ Template providing financial analysis & costing for stroke service reconfiguration
+ Includes provider and commissioner finance templates, with guidance around use
+ Detail around payment-by-results framework and best practice
+ Overall process map to guide project delivery
Toolkit Contents Continued
Via Stroke SCN per area+ Propose initial contact with Clinical and Managerial Leads to discuss
toolkit
+ Then host local workshops with SCNs and their contacts
Via CCGs+ Target Identified CCGs with Stroke as a priority in their area plans
+ Teleconference or local meetings
+ Add to Learning Environment
Proposed Dissemination
Action Date
Final Draft completion January 2015
BSCS Communications department to complete document layout and compilation
Mid - February 2015
Contact clinical and managerial; leads per SCN area to introduce toolkit and host meetings/workshops
January – March 2015
Contact CCGS to introduce toolkit – avoiding duplication February – March 2015
Upload document to Learning Environment February – March2015
Complete Dissemination March 2015
Planned Timescales
TelemedicineTelemedicine National My Site
Use of Telemedicine 70% Yes/No
If YES:
• Remote viewing for brain imaging is used 97% Yes/No/NA
• Video enabled clinical assessment is used 71% Yes/No/NA
• Telemedicine rota in operation with other hospitals 60% Yes/No/NA
Types of patients assessed by telemedicine National My Site
Only patients potentially eligible for thrombolysis 68%
Some patients (regardless of eligibility for thrombolysis)
21%
All patients (who require assessment during times when telemedicine is in use)
10%
Telemedicine Commissioning guide to be sent to all SCNs
National Action Plan commitment
“Overarching clinical indicators - For ten new clinical areas (including cancer, children’s services, mental health and stroke), data will be made available to tell the public how well services are performing and meeting their needs; the first of these will be available by summer 2014 with more available over the following 12 months. Once it is available, we will be able to use the care.datainformation service outlined above to support the development of this information.”
Service Level Markers: What is being asked?
Phase 1a
• Cancer
• Stroke
• cardiac
What areas have been considered?
Phase 1b
• Learning disabilities
• Mental Health
• Children
Phase 2
• Diabetes ?
• Maternity ?
• Respiratory ?
• Kidney ?
• Liver
• Other ?
Stroke Service Level Marker
• Using SSNAP performance
• Team centred data not patient level
• Adjusted for data quality and ascertainment
• Aim to deliver by March 2015
• Likely to be highly publicised
NCD Update(Renal)
Richard Fluck
Date: 15th January 2015
Think Kidneyswww.thinkkidneys.nhs.uk
System levers
• Forward view: into action 2015/16NHS England is proposing to introduce new national CQUIN indicators to tackle sepsis and acute kidney injury; and a new quality premium indicator to tackle resistance to antibiotics.
04/02/2015
Safety collaboratives: AHSN/SCNSign up for safetyHealth Foundation
‘AKI warning score’
Patient management
system
Alert Response
Local systems
Message
Master patient index
Other data systems
AKI Registry
RegionalNational
Research
QI
Measurement
Engaged,
informed
individuals
& carers
Commissioning
Organisational
& clinical processes
Person-
centred,
coordinated
care
Health & care
professionals
committed to
partnership
working
Plan
Study
Do
Act
CKD Identify patient-reported
outcomes measures
(PROMs)
Baseline data and
analysis
Multiprofessional
steering committee
Interventions to
increase PAM
Advice from
stakeholder groups
Joint work with
voluntary sector
organisations
Advice from
stakeholders
Test at CCG level
PROMs and patient/
carer stories influence
CCGBoards
Commissioning tools
and resources for
CCGs
Opportunities for
innovative
commissioning
Test and measure
PAM
PROM reporting
Use of RPV
Improved quality
reduces demand for
urgent and
unplanned care
Five Year Forward View: Patient Participation
‘Valuing Individuals – Transforming Participation in CKD’An Introduction for interested CCGs
The NHS Five Year Forward View sets out how the health service needs to change,arguing for a more engaged relationship with patients.
The UK Renal Registry working with NHS England, the NCD for renal and the renalpatient community have recently held a series of teleconference calls with CCGswho’ve expressed an interest in getting involved in this work.
Please find the questions the programme will answer through this process:• Routine collection of patient measures across a ‘joined up’ pathway of
care – PAM (Patient Activation Measure) and PROM (Patient ReportedOutcome Measure) is possible.
• Increasing patient activation in CKD is associated with better clinical and person centred outcomes. (Linking PAM to PROM)
• Person centred interventions can be put in place to increase patient activation.
Co-Design event for this programme will be held on the 3rd February 2015 in Birmingham
Please also find the criteria each CCG needs to meet to be involved:
• Broad commitment to the programme vision - increasing patient activation and support for self management
• Has or expects to have Renal Unit/satellite unit engagement – (units will need to commit to using the PAM other tools and relevant interventions) The UKRR may be able to help with engagement
• Has a long term commitment to move this work forward beyond the 2 years of the programme/aligns with other strategic priorities.
• When responding, it would be helpful to indicate what you as a CCG hope to achieve from this work. We can then build this aspect into the measurement work stream and evaluation.
There is significant support and expertise available via the programme and work streams: Measurement, Intervention and Commissioning. For further information please contact: Sue Shaw - [email protected]@renal.registry.nhs.uk or [email protected]
• Convene group to discuss and lead implementation of CG182– NCD Renal
– NCD Pathology
– Clinical Lead, CG 182
– Primary care GP
– CKD expert
– Patient
– Pathology expert
Five Year Forward View CKD: Prevention
11. NHS England has recommended to the Prescribed Services Advisory Group that the following services currently commissioned by NHS England should in future be commissioned by CCGs:
renal dialysis (excluding encapsulating sclerosing peritonitis surgery)
surgery for morbid obesity
Level 1Centralised – full national control of budgets and contracting
• e.g. highly specialised services that are low incidence and high cost
Level 2NHS England + CCG co-commissioning
• e.g. neonatal intensive care; many specialised surgeries
Level 3CCGs collaborating, potentially employing a ‘lead commissioner’
• e.g. renal dialysis
Level 4Full local commissioning
• e.g. chemotherapy
Commissioning of Renal Dialysis is changingConsultation finished – decision awaited
A new CRG structure is required for this model
Level 2
Level 3
Possible role for a new ‘Renal Disease CRG’ assurance Advise on renal dialysis at a national level via:
Exemplar service specifications
National service specifications that will have:• Core elements common across
CCGs to ensure that services
are of high quality in all regions
• Other elements optional to allow
CCGs freedom to do alterations
to meet the local population
needs
The CRG will add valuable specialist input to the local expertise of the CCG consortia:
• CRG to provide strategic planning advice to CCGs
Coordination and liaison with other bodiesQuality improvement
By Utilising data collection and reporting:
• Define quality indicators that can be used to monitor provider performance
• Collect national data on these indicators for comparison
• Publish public “State of the Nation” reports at national, regional and CCG level
• Inform and advice CCG consortia regarding low performing providers
Via financial levers and service improvement
Renal Dialysis is only one part of the renal pathway.• ESRF has many causes and
treatments
• Different parts of the pathway are
commissioned in different levels
• Extremely important to
collaborate with Renal
Transplantation CRG and NHS
Blood and Transplant
• Many bodies have an
interest/responsibility for parts of
the pathway
• Coordination is necessary to
ensure best possible outcomes
The Renal Disease
CRG would be able
to coordinate all
relevant bodies on
renal disease
National Diabetes Prevention Programme
Joanna Clarke, Medical Directorate,NHS England
16 January 2015
“We also need to make different investment decisions - for example, it makes little sense that the NHS is now spending more on bariatric surgery for obesity than on a national roll-out of intensive lifestyle intervention programmes that were first shown to cut obesity and prevent diabetes over a decade ago. Our ambition is to change this over the next five years so that we become the first country to implement at scale a national evidence-based diabetes prevention programme modelled on proven UK and international models, and linked where appropriate to the new Health Check. NHS England and Public Health England will establish a preventative services programme that will then expand evidence-based action to other conditions.”
Five Year Forward View
“We are today inviting those local areas that have made greatest strides in developing preventative diabetes programmes to register their interest at [email protected] by the end of January 2015 in joining with us as partners to co-design a new national programme led by Public Health England, NHS England and Diabetes UK. By March 2015 we will publish our agreed approach, and a nationwide implementation plan from 2016/17 onwards. A national Prevention Board, chaired by PHE and bringing together NHS, local government and other stakeholders will oversee delivery of these commitments.”
FYFV into action
• That those who are at high risk of developing diabetes are referred onto intensive lifestyle management programmes which will support them to lose weight, improve their diet, and be more physically active, and so, in line with the evidence base, reduce their risk of developing Type 2 diabetes.
• That these referrals could be made by GPs, via a personalised care and support plan, through the NHS Health Check programme, or through other routes (e.g. Diabetes UK risk assessments, or through assessments in the workplace).
• That these programmes are supported by marketing campaigns on obesity and Type 2 diabetes prevention, commissioned by Public Health England and local authorities.
Proposition
• The burden of obesity and Type 2 diabetes on the NHS is growing. The FYFV clearly makes the case for shifting the NHS’ focus from treating obesity to reducing it and preventing the development of Type 2 diabetes.
• It is now well established that Type 2 diabetes can be prevented or delayed in high-risk adults. At least 5 major randomised controlled trials, conducted in China, Finland, USA, Japan and India, have documented 30-60% reductions in Type 2 diabetes incidence in adults at high risk of developing diabetes through intensive lifestyle change programme interventions.
• The clinical case for is therefore well established, but has not been trialled at scale in England.
Rationale
• More people at high risk of developing diabetes will receive lifestyle interventions to support them to lower their risk; and
• The incidence of Type 2 diabetes will reduce over the longer term; and
• The incidence of heart, stroke, kidney, eye and foot problems (and mortality) related to diabetes will reduce over the longer term.
Key success measures:• [5-7%] weight reduction in participants of the programme• Risk reduction in participants of the programme• Reduction in the incidence of Type 2 diabetes and associated
diseases (heart attacks, strokes, etc)
Benefits
• Review the national and international evidence on diabetes prevention.
• Seek to identify existing good practice service delivery models, including previous roll out of similar national programmes, and assess approaches to targeting and tailoring of programmes to both increase effectiveness and ensure that take-up does not widen inequalities.
• Work up two or three prototypes for local delivery of referral systems and intensive lifestyle management programmes, based on the evidence and NICE guidance on clinical pathways, with ‘real world translation’, collaboratively with local commissioners, clinicians, and patients. These would be implementation prototypes rather than testing proof of concept (which has been established in international RCTs). These prototypes would conform to core criteria to be defined centrally, to ensure consistency with the clinical evidence base.
Approach (1)
• Develop information systems (including on GP systems) to record those at high risk and track referrals to intensive lifestyle management programmes (including those referred through the NHS Health Check programme), in the context of the prototype development work. GP support for the programme is key, and we will need to work with the GP community to ensure they are bought into the programme from the beginning.
• Establish a robust evaluation framework for the delivery prototypes, to be embedded from the start, to measure local incidence of Type 2 diabetes, and whether it is positively affected by the presence of a diabetes prevention service. This would be based around an operational research approach to evaluation.
• Assess benefits of linking evaluation metrics to payment mechanisms.
Approach (2)
• Test prototypes for local delivery, with a view to a phased roll-out in a staged approach across the country.
• Develop national health marketing strategies on Type 2 diabetes and obesity prevention to support and encourage local delivery of programmes.
• Develop a cohort of local clinical champions and support the development of local collaboratives/communities of interest to enable dissemination of learning and to coordinate local efforts.
Approach (3)
• International evidence review initiated
• First Prevention Programme Board Jan 20th
• Meetings of interested commissioners / providers and stakeholders in February to kickstart thinking on delivery models?
• First cohort of people going through the programme in 2015/16?
Timing
• Prevention Programme Board to sign off high-level approach
• Workstreams initiated in next few weeks
• By end of March, publish agreed approach
Next steps
Partnership working is delivering a regional FH service for the North East and North Cumbria - How might this provide a template for similar initiatives?
Dr Séamus O’Neill , Chief Executive, AHSN
Alison Featherstone, CVD Network Manager
Clinical Network & AHSN
164
North East, North Cumbria, and the Hambleton & Richmondshire districts of
North Yorks
Greater Manchester, Lancashire and south
Cumbria
Cheshire & Mersey
West Midlands
East Midlands
South West
Thames Valley
East of England
Wessex
Yorkshire & The Humber
South East Coast
London
Scale of our problem
• 3.1 million people
• 5,000 people living with FH mutations
• Only 15% known
• Perhaps 50 preventable cardiac deaths per year
– Small numbers per CCG
North East FH Service and History
• Adult specialist lipid clinics well established in 6 Trusts - Durham, Gateshead, Hartlepool, Newcastle, Northumbria, Sunderland
• Adult FH patients also seen in outpatients in Carlisle, Middlesbrough
• Paediatric Lipid clinics in 2 Trusts contributing to RCP Paediatric FH Register
• Regional expertise in FH Diagnosis and Cascade Testing - National Pilot ‘05 – ‘08
• Regional Genetic Service agree to continue support for FH mutation testing
• Specialist Lipid Clinics Network created ‘08 - NICE CG71 compliant FH pathway agreed
• NECVN Lipid Specialists Advisory Group (LSAG) established 2009
• NECVN proposal to implement NICE CG71 rejected by commissioners ‘09, ‘10
• FATS Primary Care Guidelines for Identification of FH (Agreed but not fully implemented)
• NECVN Standards for identification of FH in Acute Cardiology patients (launched ‘09)
FH: can we deliver the new NICE Quality Standard?
Hilton Newcastle Gateshead HotelBottle Bank, Gateshead,
Newcastle upon Tyne NE8 2AR
Northern Lipid Forumin association with
FH Services in the North East – Gap Analysis
• No centralised disease register for Adult FH probands and families in North East
• No Specialist nurses in Adult or Paediatric FH Clinics
• No regional infrastructure for FH Family cascade testing available to support Clinics
• No access to DNA mutation testing for new FH probands
• No clinical management database software (e.g. PASS) available to FH Clinics
• Adult specialist lipid clinics capacity shortfall, particularly in the south of the Region
• Paediatric Lipid clinics not available in south of the Region
• FATS/NECVN Primary Care FH Guidelines not fully implemented in south of Region
• No access to LDL Apheresis
FH: can we deliver the new NICE Quality Standard?
Plan1. Discussions with CCG2. Discussions with AHSN3. Continue bid to BHF4. Regional Approach
Northern Lipid Forumin association with
Northern CCG Forum
• GP Champion
• 13 CCGs– One of the SCN CCG’s is not part of the forum
• Long history of collaboration across the area– E.g. Clinical Innovation Teams
• Selling Idea To The CCGs– Prevention
– Innovation
– Implementing best practice
– Finance – collectively shares the investment
AHSN remit
• Adoption and dissemination of best practice at scale and pace
• Regional integration of a fragmented system
• Forum for collaboration across provider, commissioner academic and commercial organisations
• Working in partnership
AHSN pump-priming
• Project call December 2013
• Strategic priorities included integrated care
• Proposal submitted as partnership between CCGs, Newgene Ltd and Newcastle Hospitals
• £120k awarded (the maximum available)
• Supporting a local SME; partnership with SCN; addressing CCG priority; delivering a quantifiable return on investment
Resource• British Heart Foundation (approx. £160k)
– Nursing team for running regional FH cascade testing service
• AHSN (£120k)– Next generation chip and sequence genetics
• AstraZeneca (in-kind)– PASS software licence
• Northern Forum CCGs– Year 1 £134,122 Year 2 £294,277 Year 3
£368,520
• SCN (in-kind)– Admin support– Access to clinical networks
Current Status
• Steering Group
• Interviewed and recruited to nursing posts
– But still have vacancy interviews 27th Jan
• Regional MDT is in place – virtual
– Currently managed by SCN until admin in place
• Numbers tested have been small
– Nurses not in place
• Developing education for primary care
The Challenges
• Keeping the coalition together
• Dealing with bureaucracy – appointments of BHF-funded nurses
• Rolling out across other regions
– Any volunteers?
The partners
Contact Details
Any queries to:
Rachel TomlinNetwork Delivery Lead
Northern England Strategic Clinical Networks
NHS England
Tel no: 01138 251629 Mobile: 07980729760Email: [email protected]
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