Scientifically Informed Medical Practice and Learning
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Transcript of Scientifically Informed Medical Practice and Learning
PROCEP Teaching and Research CenterRio de Janeiro, Brazil
Scientifically Informed Medical Practice and LEarning (SIMPLE)
The Roadmap for Evidence Based Health Care
Suzana Alves da Silva, MD, PhD
1Wednesday, August 8, 12
“The integration of best research evidence with clinical expertise and patient values and circumstances”
David Sackett, 1992
Evidence-Based Medicine
2Wednesday, August 8, 12
2. Acquire
1. Ask
3. Appraise
4. Apply
EBM Skills Cycle
3Wednesday, August 8, 12
2. Acquire
1. Ask
3. Appraise
4. Apply
0. Problem Delineation
EBM Skills Cycle
3Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patients rarely knew to whom they had been talking, either by name or designation
Patients knew that something was going wrong but rarely knew what was going wrong. They only knew that it was not a heart attack
“But it is something, you know, there is something going on”
Johnson et al. Patients’ opinions of acute chest pain care: a qualitative evaluation of Chest Pain Units. J Adv Nurs 2008
Patient’s Opinion after a Chest Pain Unit Experience
Based on ESCAPE Trial, Goodacre et al. BMJ 2007.
4Wednesday, August 8, 12
• Low risk patient
• Follow the algorithm for low risk chest pain in the ER which includes repeated cardiac markers at 3 and 6 hours after admission + echocardiogram + non-invasive test for stratification before discharge
Chest Pain Unit
Johnson et al. Patients’ opinions of acute chest pain care: a qualitative evaluation of Chest Pain Units. J Adv Nurs 2008
5Wednesday, August 8, 12
+
• Low risk patient
• Follow the algorithm for low risk chest pain in the ER which includes repeated cardiac markers at 3 and 6 hours after admission + echocardiogram + non-invasive test for stratification before discharge
Chest Pain Unit
Johnson et al. Patients’ opinions of acute chest pain care: a qualitative evaluation of Chest Pain Units. J Adv Nurs 2008
5Wednesday, August 8, 12
• Low Patient Satisfaction• Overwhelming• $$$$$$
+
=
• Low risk patient
• Follow the algorithm for low risk chest pain in the ER which includes repeated cardiac markers at 3 and 6 hours after admission + echocardiogram + non-invasive test for stratification before discharge
Chest Pain Unit
Johnson et al. Patients’ opinions of acute chest pain care: a qualitative evaluation of Chest Pain Units. J Adv Nurs 2008
5Wednesday, August 8, 12
The SIMPLE Model
6Wednesday, August 8, 12
The SIMPLE Model
Values
Preferences
Priorities
6Wednesday, August 8, 12
The SIMPLE Model
6Wednesday, August 8, 12
The SIMPLE Model
Problem delineation
“The process of problematization implies a critical return to action. It
starts from action and returns to it”
Paulo Freire, 1972
6Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
7Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
7Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
7Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
7Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Share consideration of
the utilityalternatives
Estimate of impact on patient outcomes
Share consideration of
the performance
alternatives Estimate of effect
Share consideration of the probability
Estimate of likelihood of possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
8Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Share consideration of
the utilityalternatives
Estimate of impact on patient outcomes
Share consideration of
the performance
alternatives Estimate of effect
Share consideration of the probability
Estimate of likelihood of possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
8Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Share consideration of
the utilityalternatives
Estimate of impact on patient outcomes
Share consideration of
the performance
alternatives Estimate of effect
Share consideration of the probability
Estimate of likelihood of possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
8Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Utility
Performance
Probability
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
Share consideration of
the utilityalternatives
Estimate of impact on patient outcomes
Share consideration of
the performance
alternatives Estimate of effect
Share consideration of the probability
Estimate of likelihood of possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
8Wednesday, August 8, 12
Clinical Scenario
‘I woke up with palpitations and chest pressure this morning. I just want to get it checked out, that’s all.’
This is how a 31-year-old worker, who has come to the emergency department during lunch break, describes his problem. The patient has no significant past medical history but that his father died in his 50’s of a ‘massive heart attack’. The patient lives alone, has an unclear history of similar symptoms. He states that he occasionally takes benzodiazepine ‘for sleep’. However, he stresses that, for now, he just wants his chest symptoms ‘checked out. ’
EKG, vital signs and physical examination and first cardiac enzymes are normal.
9Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
If this patient in fact has ACS what will be the probability of being
sued as a result of a bad outcome?
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
If this patient in fact has ACS what will be the probability of being
sued as a result of a bad outcome?Prognosis likelihood
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
If this patient in fact has ACS what will be the probability of being
sued as a result of a bad outcome?Prognosis likelihood
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
Is it safe to perform an outpatient investigation in this low risk patient?
What is the impact on outcomes?
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
If this patient in fact has ACS what will be the probability of being
sued as a result of a bad outcome?Prognosis likelihood
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
Is it safe to perform an outpatient investigation in this low risk patient?
What is the impact on outcomes?Diagnosis utility
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
If this patient in fact has ACS what will be the probability of being
sued as a result of a bad outcome?Prognosis likelihood
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
Is it safe to perform an outpatient investigation in this low risk patient?
What is the impact on outcomes?Diagnosis utility
I would like to perform the tests later. Is that okay?
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
Patient Practitioner
Am I having a Heart Attack?Diagnosis likelihood
If I come back to work what is the probability of
something bad happening?Prognosis likelihood
Will the algorithm for low risk chest pain help me out excluding
ACS for this patient?Diagnosis performance
If this patient in fact has ACS what will be the probability of being
sued as a result of a bad outcome?Prognosis likelihood
Chest Pain UnitPriorities
Is it safe to perform an outpatient investigation in this low risk patient?
What is the impact on outcomes?Diagnosis utility
I would like to perform the tests later. Is that okay?
Diagnosis utility
10Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
UtilityDiagnostic Intervention
Utility of out patient
investigation within few days
To follow the algorithm for low risk chest pain in the ER
Estimate of impact on
cardiovascular events
PerformanceDiagnosis
Performance of negative cardiac
markers 6 hours after symptoms
Criterion Standard
Estimate of accuracy
Probability Differential Dx
Probability of ACS when chest pain is present
Estimate of likelihood of
possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
11Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
UtilityDiagnostic Intervention
Utility of out patient
investigation within few days
To follow the algorithm for low risk chest pain in the ER
Estimate of impact on
cardiovascular events
PerformanceDiagnosis
Performance of negative cardiac
markers 6 hours after symptoms
Criterion Standard
Estimate of accuracy
Probability Differential Dx
Probability of ACS when chest pain is present
Estimate of likelihood of
possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
11Wednesday, August 8, 12
P Problem
AAction
CChoices
TTargets
UtilityDiagnostic Intervention
Utility of out patient
investigation within few days
To follow the algorithm for low risk chest pain in the ER
Estimate of impact on
cardiovascular events
PerformanceDiagnosis
Performance of negative cardiac
markers 6 hours after symptoms
Criterion Standard
Estimate of accuracy
Probability Differential Dx
Probability of ACS when chest pain is present
Estimate of likelihood of
possible causes
Silva, Charon, Wyer. JECP 2010.
Pati
ent-
Prac
titi
oner
Rel
atio
nshi
p an
d Pr
acti
ce C
ircu
mst
ance
s
11Wednesday, August 8, 12
10%
1%
Pre-Test Probability of ACS
Probability of a Bad Outcome if the patient has ACS
Meyer et al. A Critical Pathway for Patients With Acute Chest Pain and Low Risk for Short-Term Adverse Cardiac Events: Role of Outpatient Stress Testing. Ann Emerg Med 2006.
Low Risk Chest PainSolving the issues of probability
Diagnosis
Prognosis
Goldman. PREDICTION OF THE NEED FOR INTENSIVE CARE IN PATIENTS WHO COME TO EMERGENCY DEPARTMENTS WITH ACUTE CHEST PAIN. NEJM 1996.
12Wednesday, August 8, 12
10%
1%
Pre-Test Probability of ACS
Probability of a Bad Outcome if the patient has ACS
1 out of1.000
Meyer et al. A Critical Pathway for Patients With Acute Chest Pain and Low Risk for Short-Term Adverse Cardiac Events: Role of Outpatient Stress Testing. Ann Emerg Med 2006.
Within 1 month
Will have a heart attack
Low Risk Chest PainSolving the issues of probability
Diagnosis
Prognosis
Goldman. PREDICTION OF THE NEED FOR INTENSIVE CARE IN PATIENTS WHO COME TO EMERGENCY DEPARTMENTS WITH ACUTE CHEST PAIN. NEJM 1996.
12Wednesday, August 8, 12
10%
1%
Pre-Test Probability of ACS
Probability of a Bad Outcome if the patient has ACS
1 out of1.000
Meyer et al. A Critical Pathway for Patients With Acute Chest Pain and Low Risk for Short-Term Adverse Cardiac Events: Role of Outpatient Stress Testing. Ann Emerg Med 2006.
Within 1 month
Will have a heart attack
100%
of p
atie
nts
> 4
0 y/
o3%
with
mul
tiple
ris
k fa
ctor
s
Low Risk Chest PainSolving the issues of probability
Diagnosis
Prognosis
Goldman. PREDICTION OF THE NEED FOR INTENSIVE CARE IN PATIENTS WHO COME TO EMERGENCY DEPARTMENTS WITH ACUTE CHEST PAIN. NEJM 1996.
12Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACT
13Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACTAction Domains
13Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACTAction Domains
Categories of Problems
13Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACT
THERAPY DIAGNOSIS PROGNOSIS HARM
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Action Domains
14Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACT
THERAPY DIAGNOSIS PROGNOSIS HARM
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Action Domains
14Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACT
THERAPY DIAGNOSIS PROGNOSIS HARM
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Action Domains
14Wednesday, August 8, 12
PACT
THERAPY DIAGNOSIS PROGNOSIS HARM
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Utility
Performance
Probability
Action Domains
14Wednesday, August 8, 12
The Anatomy of the Question
opulation
ntervention
omparison
utcome
15Wednesday, August 8, 12
Clinical ScenarioYou are seeing new patients in the “major care” area of the ED. You reassess a 45 yo male who had been held in the ED overnight while
being treated for renal colic, in the hope he could be discharged.
Unfortunately, this patient is not doing so well; he is extremely weak, nauseous and suffering extensive rigors. He has spiked a temp to 39.9
oC and his BP is 90/50, HR 135, and RR 22. His O2 saturation is 98% on room air.
You initiate a septic work-up and order aggressive hydration and broad-spectrum antibiotics. Based on tests you diagnose septic shock
secondary to UTI, complicated by an obstructing stone.
16Wednesday, August 8, 12
In patients with septic shock, does Early Goal Directed Therapy affect mortality?
Utility
Performance
Probability
17Wednesday, August 8, 12
18Wednesday, August 8, 12
TherapyUtility
TherapyProbability
P In patients with septic shock
IF a pt with septic shock IS submitted to EGDT
I Does EGDTDuring the hospitalization
phase
C Compared to the usual care
O Decrease mortality?What is the expected
mortality?
18Wednesday, August 8, 12
TherapyUtility
TherapyProbability
P In patients with septic shock
IF a pt with septic shock IS submitted to EGDT
I Does EGDTDuring the hospitalization
phase
C Compared to the usual care
O Decrease mortality?What is the expected
mortality?
18Wednesday, August 8, 12
TherapyUtility
TherapyProbability
P In patients with septic shock
IF a pt with septic shock IS submitted to EGDT
I Does EGDTDuring the hospitalization
phase
C Compared to the usual care
O Decrease mortality?What is the expected
mortality?
18Wednesday, August 8, 12
Acquiring the Best Available Evidence
19Wednesday, August 8, 12
Utility of a Therapeutic Intervention
Guidelines
Systematic Reviews
Randomized trials
20Wednesday, August 8, 12
Alan E. Jones, MD; Michael D. Brown, MD, MSc; Stephen Trzeciak, MD, MPH. Critical Care Medicine 2008
The effect of a quantitative resuscitation strategy on mortality in patients with sepsis: A meta-analysis*
21Wednesday, August 8, 12
Alan E. Jones, MD; Michael D. Brown, MD, MSc; Stephen Trzeciak, MD, MPH. Critical Care Medicine 2008
The effect of a quantitative resuscitation strategy on mortality in patients with sepsis: A meta-analysis*
21Wednesday, August 8, 12
Guidelines
Systematic Reviews
Observational Studies
Likelihood of outcome if submitted to therapy
22Wednesday, August 8, 12
In-Hospital mortality in SepsisPatients submitted to EGDT
Lagu et al. Incorporating initial treatments improves performance of a mortality prediction model for patients with sepsis. Pharmacoepidemiology and drug safety 2012; 21(S2): 44–52
23Wednesday, August 8, 12
Silva and Wyer, Where is the wisdom? II, JECP 2009
Clinical Research
Basic Science
Clinical ExpertiseEv
idenc
e Hier
archy
JAM
A 1992
Wis
dom
Oxford Classification
Guidelines
Integration of Knowledge
24Wednesday, August 8, 12
Silva and Wyer, Where is the wisdom? II, JECP 2009
Clinical Research
Basic Science
Clinical Expertise
Clinical Knowledge“Problematization” - Constructivism
Scientific KnowledgePos-Positivism - Pragmatism
InformationPositivism
Evide
nce H
ierarc
hy
JAM
A 1992
Epist
emolo
gical
Hierarc
hy
Comple
xity
Wis
dom
Oxford Classification
Guidelines
Integration of Knowledge
24Wednesday, August 8, 12
David Eddy. Evidence-Based Medicine: A Unified Approach. Health Affairs 2005.Wyer, Silva. Where is the Wisdom I. JECP 2009.Sival, Wyer. Where is the Wisdom II. JECP 2009.
TS Eliot. The Rock.Acknowledgement to Peter Wyer
“Where is the wisdom we have lost in knowledge? Where is the knowledge we have lost in
information?”
Where is the Wisdom?
25Wednesday, August 8, 12
26Wednesday, August 8, 12
Obrigada!
Gracias!
Thank You!
Danke!
Merci!
26Wednesday, August 8, 12
Randomized Controlled Trials
Observational Studies
All the rest In
form
atio
n Av
aila
ble
Research and Practice
Dec
ision
Mak
ing
Nee
ds < 20%
> 80%
David Eddy. Evidence-Based Medicine: A Unified Approach. Health Affairs 2005.
27Wednesday, August 8, 12