Scientific Seminar On Natural Disasters: Bridging Science ... · Workingtogethertoassessrisk...
Transcript of Scientific Seminar On Natural Disasters: Bridging Science ... · Workingtogethertoassessrisk...
Shaping a global collabora.ve effort
Nicole Keller, GEM Founda3on
Leveraging science for the benefit of society
‣ Why GEM? ‣ What is GEM about? ‣ What can be expected? ‣ How are we building a global collabora.ve effort? ‣ Where are we now? ‣ Challenges ‣ Lessons
Why GEM?
‣ ‘advanced’ tools and resources for quan.fying seismic hazard and risk as cri.cal input to risk management are inaccessible to many
‣ worldwide we face similar issues, but use different approaches, tools and plaIorms to deal with it, and therefore cannot really share data and improve risk assessment together
≠
‣ there is a wide body of knowledge and science but it is not connected nor leveraged to the max
disaster response
disaster risk management
before during aKer
risk financing – urban planning – risk awareness – advancing risk assessment (science)
Working together to assess risk
Global Framework (tools, data, methods)
Local -‐ na.onal, regional -‐ programmes & collabora.ons (data, methods)
Organisa.ons and individuals (data, results)
OpenQuake Calculate, Share, Explore
A holis.c approach: ‘total risk’
What can you expect from the plaIorm?
‣ Maps and indices for informed decision-‐making
‣ Data, use, share and overlay
‣ Con.nuous upda.ng: tools to upload new scien.fic discoveries
‣ Tools for crowdsourcing
‣ Tools for in the field
Such as ….
Develop/look at outcomes for decision-‐making: retrofit cost-‐benefit map
Use, share, collaborate on data
State-‐of-‐the-‐art calcula.on and modelling of hazard and risk
Capturing NEW data: con.nuous upda.ng
Handheld and crowdsourcing devices for inventory of buildings – for risk assessment or to process damage data aKer an earthquake
Use and improve the science
!
‣ Guidelines ‣ Methodology
Reports/papers
How (we hope) GEM is different?
‣ Risk assessment based on (the latest) science
‣ Empowering organisa.ons and individuals at various levels:
shared risk management
‣ A framework and plaIorm for collabora.on, sharing data and
knowledge and hereby joint learning – worldwide
‣ Open-‐source (soKware) tools, transparency in methods and
process and independent outcomes
Public-‐Private Partnership Stakeholders in charge and providing funding
Building a global collabora.ve effort
10+ private organisa.ons
15+ public agencies
8+ interna.onal bodies
Governing Board mee;ng twice a year
Execu;ve Secretariat (20)
Growing partnership
“Making mi.ga.on measurable and hence applicable” “Sharing knowledge and experiences” “Empowering (experts in) developing countries with tools and resources” “Networking and joint projects”
GEM Founda+on
Building a global collabora.ve effort
10+ private organisa.ons
15+ public agencies
8+ interna.onal bodies
(1) global data, methods,
guidelines and tools
(2) linking up with and facilita3ng
regional Ini3a3ves
(3) open-‐source plaKorm and
(soLware) tools
(4) knowledge sharing and technology transfer
1: Global guidelines, data and tools
global exposure database
global consequences
database
global instrumental Earthquake catalogue
global historical earthquake catalogue
inventory data capture
tools
ground mo.on
predic.on equa.ons
global ac.ve faults database
global strain rate model
global physical
vulnerability methods
global building taxonomy
global socio-‐economic vulnerability
▶ Experts defining global best prac.ce, which tested & reviewed ▶ Each project mul.ple organisa.ons + experts ▶ 250 experts from more than 65 organisa.ons
…and (poten.ally) mul.-‐hazard
Example of a project: the Global Exposure Database
" mul.-‐scale " mul.-‐stakeholder " mul.-‐disciplinary " mul.-‐use " (poten.ally) mul.-‐hazard
Database of (the distribu.on of) buildings, building types and costs of buildings, and popula.on worldwide
2: Regional Collabora.on
SHARE, NERA, Syner-‐G EMME EMCA
regional workshops
An exci.ng example from the Americas: self-‐ini.ated collabora.ve project to harmonize hazard: tackling border issues that are key to joint risk assessment and thinking about cross-‐border risk management and response and relief
3: (open-‐source) tools and resources
" First release end 2014 " Expert suite & Essen.als suite
" User Network to collaborate
& share
OpenQuake plaKorm
Resources " infographs " reports
" publica.ons " videos
Ecuador’s new na.onal hazard map Produced by the country’s experts with the OpenQuake Engine
4: Knowledge sharing and technology transfer
‣ Training and facilita.ng use of tools ‣ Interna.onal mee.ngs ‣ Sharing science and outcomes: www.nexus.globalquakemodel.org
Where are we now?
‣ We built the founda.ons of a collabora.ve effort
‣ Open-‐source calcula.on soKware developed in the open, already used for na.onal and regional assessment, being tested by hundreds of users worldwide (private)
‣ Global projects delivering and looking for feedback and contribu.ons from individuals / organisa.ons worldwide
‣ Regional collabora.on and ‘capacity building’ ongoing in all regions
‣ Researched needs of DRR prac..oners
Challenges
‣ Fiong in, yet managing expecta.ons
‣ Expanding the public-‐private partnership to sustain the effort going forward
‣ Doing things bopom-‐up, facilita.ng collabora.on but moving forward ‒ Coordina.on and facilita.ng collabora.on between organisa.ons within
projects, collabora.on between the disciplines (geosciences, engineering, social sciences) is hard work
‒ No one size fits all, at various scales, various modes of collabora.on needed ‒ And therefore doing it right costs .me, effort… & money
‣ Making sure the tools & resources respond to the needs of our stakeholders [so we truly link science and prac.ce]
‣ Risk communica.on, disclaimers and explaining uncertainty
Georges Mavonga Tuluka, Seismologist in Goma, Democra.c Republic of Congo:
“It is great to finally be able to use a sophis.cated soKware for free. In Africa we do not have many resources and even though the tools are s.ll under
development, they are exactly what I need for hazard assessment in my area. I look forward to collaborate further with GEM within the scope of the regional
programme for sub-‐Saharan Africa”.
Lessons
‣ Science is key to advanced quan3fica3on of risk as input for planning and risk management according to the different stakeholders – corporate, na.onal and interna.onal
‣ ‘Science’ is not a homogenous group – there are different disciplines involved and scien.sts worldwide have different tools and resources available, geong them to collaborate and share is essen.al and needs to be invested in
‣ Only by working on a global level can you set standards that can provide a framework for others to operate in
‣ Open, open-‐source and transparency are key, as well as sharing (knowledge, data)
‣ We need to harmonize terminology (impact vs risk, assessment vs modelling)
‣ It is not about crea.ng tools/resources only for one group, we must jointly work on all actors in society being able to assess, understand and take ownership of risk
‣ Combining public and private needs and experiences creates added value for both, and also ownership for the issues
‣ The ‘GEM model’ of a collabora.ve effort, driven by science but run by stakeholders, can be replicated and even scaled up to a global mul.-‐hazard modelling effort
More informa.on
Get in touch..
www.globalquakemodel.org