Rosengård: days of the future pastMoving scenarios

ADefining and identifying the status quo of Rosengård

BExploring the driving factors in Rosengård’s reality

CA time perspective

DA response to the future: strategy and action

AIdentifying the driving forces and uncertainties

B + CUnderstanding the relationship between the main factors identified in Step 1.Understanding these factors in the

light of a timescale.

ASWOT analysis of Rosengård

DDefining a response to the status quo and the proposed scenario. Six key

terms are proposed as an answer to what the future appears to have in mind for

Rosengård.

An overview

Weaknesses and threats

Rosengård is a potentially volatile community when it comes to its social standing: it is overcrowded, neglected and isolated.

The absence of a sense of ownership is also a problem: most people only rent their apartments and thus have little attach-ment to a community they regard as temporary.

Finally, since it is populated by a vast majority of migrants, it is very susceptible to foreign circumstances, so its social make-up will continue to be overwhelmingly migrant, and under the risk of further social isolation.

Strengths and opportunities

Mostly associated with the young human capital of Rosengård.

Youngsters can be shaped and educated, and have a good outlook when it comes to the possibility of learning the Swedish lan-guage and acquiring a formal education.

Also, there is cheap labour force in the community, which may supply hands to the projected increase in agriculture due to climate change.

SWOTRosengård today

A

Sub-issues tangle with each other trans-category.

The driving forces

ClimateGlobal warming is expected to continue. Its consequenc-es are location-specific: Swedish winters are already milder and agricultural pro-duction and coverage could benefit from this.

However, due to its so-cial make-up, Rosengård is highly vulnerable to foreign events, so droughts, fam-ine or food-related wars in warmer latitudes are ex-pected to translate to more newcomers to Scandinavia.

EconomyRosengård is a community with lower scholarity levels and high unemployment. With Malmö’s economy continuous-ly diversifying, Rosengård demands more investment in both the economic context, and its educational reality.

The creation of micro-busi-nesses based on knowledge and technology address both situations and could be a valid answer to the chal-lenges of the future,

SocialSweden will continue receiv-ing migrants. While Aus-tralia or Canada welcome educated migrants Sweden re-mains accesible to all. How-ever, Rosengård may only see a slight population increase and due to lack of phsyical space and public services, it is not expected to exceed 24.000 residents.

Can more migrants mean cheap labour to the agricultural future and support to the Swedish pension system?

Land useRosengård meant the end of high rise housing blocks in Sweden. However, it is ex-pected that public housing development will continue elsewhere in Malmö.

How will this affect the social landscape of Rosen-gård? Will its population decrease, remain stable or increase?

B

Today, only about 1 in 10 residents of Rosengård is not of foreign extraction.It is expected that White Flight, which emphasizes segregation of the community, will continue in Rosengård. The population will continue increasing at a moderate rate, fueled by middle Eastern and African migrants.

The development landscape of Malmö as a whole will continue its diversifying process, switching from industry to a knowledge-based society.

These situations call for more intense social integration and educational efforts. Climate-related consequences are expected to take a longer time to be felt.

Time perspective

19615.250 inhabitants

197123.112 inhabitants

199117.190 inhabitants

200821.904 inhabitants

201422.224 inhabitants

Source: Malmö Stad

White people leave Rosengård; population continues to grow

C

Ownership / Micro business / bartering

What?Today, residents don’t own their homes and will move out as soon as possible. Can they own other aspects of life in Rosengård?

Why?To enhance the sense of belonging and affection towards the commu-nity, as well as to involve residents in development iniatives.

How?Small commercial initiatives provide an alternative. Neighborhood businesses and public services often a different approach to owner-ship: to take care of something that is somehow benefitial to the community. Additionally, it can be a source of income. Micro busi-nesses need less than 5 employees and the nearly 22.000 people of Rosengård (11.000 young!) conform a defined market to start.

Bartering provides an additional perspective: it eliminates the need for money. When you are new in a country, you may not have cash but you have skills which you can trade for products or ser-vices. When you combine bartering with creating a sense of owner-ship, the result is an increase sense of communal ownership. With a future where agriculture and food-production appear relevant to Skåne’s landscape, small scale vegetable production, trading and commercialization appears as an important alternative to address these issues.

6 step-responseNeighborhood commerce: an alternative approach to ownership. Part 1

D

6 step-response Urban sports / self expression /access to education and technology

What?Life in Rosengård is like living in a diagram where the functions are disconnected between themselves and from the rest of the city. Apartment blocks erase all sign of in-dividuality, and the original architectural programme for this Million Programme project is very stiff when it comes to these issues. The point: to take activities that are popular among young people and make them a spatial prior-ity.

Why?Because it is a way to add value to Rosengård’s inhabit-ants. Many people play football, but nowadays activities like brake dancing or skateboarding are growing strong among young people.

How?By offering young people the chance to be visible and identifiable in the community, in new ways. Urban sports, the internet (Facebook, Wikipedia, etc.) or urban art are potential branding and knowledge generators.

There are over 10.000 young persons in Rosengård, some of them don’t work or go to school. To give young people some tools today is to avoid problems tomorrow.

Part 2

Skateboarding - Grafitti - Murals - Brake dancing - Nintendo Wii - WiFi park - Parcour - BMX - Rollerblading - Interactive wall

D

One future, two outcomes.People will continue arriving in Rosengård. The City of Malmö foresees it, and the cir-cumstances examined before appear to back this prediction. How will the community, the city and the country deal with this

impending future?