Unit VIII Externalities Chapter 17 Externalities Chapter 17.
Scale and Scope Externalities in Growth of IT Industries ... · Scale and Scope Externalities in...
Transcript of Scale and Scope Externalities in Growth of IT Industries ... · Scale and Scope Externalities in...
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Scale and Scope Externalities in Growth of IT Industries in India: An Agglomeration Perspective
Robert J. Kauffman Director, MIS Research Center and Professor of Information and Decision Sciences
Ajay Kumar Doctoral Program
MIS Research Center, Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota Minneapolis, MN 55455
Last revised: January 17, 2007
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Abstract Externalities occur among agglomerated firms. Scale externalities occur between firms in an
industry with similar activities. Scope externalities occur when heterogeneous activities are placed in proximity. Combined scale-and-scope externalities exist when the scale of one industry is beneficial to the growth of another collocated industry. We use the agglomeration perspective to explain the growth of IT industries in India. We study growth patterns of four IT industries: computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, semiconductor and other electronic components manufacturing, software and IT-enabled services. Our analysis suggests the existence of scale, scope and combined scale-and-scope externalities in IT industry growth. We also find that the growth of IT industries has had a significant positive effect on national development.
Keywords: Agglomeration, collocation, economic analysis, scale/scope economies, India, IT industry, knowledge spillovers. __________________________________________________________________________________
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1. INTRODUCTION
Information technology (IT) is viewed as a fast-growing strategic sector with capabilities to
transform a developing country into a modernized global economy ([Hanna, 1994). The literature has
mostly focused on the use of IT for development, but India presents an example where production of
ITs has driven the economic development of the country. The growth of the IT industries in India has
been the subject of active research and scholars often tend to associate it with the engineering
education in India. We look at growth through the lens of agglomeration and provide a new
perspective on IT industrial growth. We highlight the effects of agglomeration and identify growth
patterns in IT industries, which suggest beneficial effects of collocation. Further, using the framework
proposed by Sein and Harindranath (2004), we relate the growth in IT industries to second and third-
order effects on national development. Second-order effects arise from increased scale of production,
while the third-order effects emerge from new technology-related businesses and societal change due
to IT industrial growth. Our results have policy implications for countries intending to use IT
industrial growth as an engine for broader development.
IT industrial growth, the world over, has been characterized by the agglomeration of a
heterogeneous mix of IT industries (e.g., semiconductors, computer hardware, software, IT services
and others). Silicon Valley, Route 128 in Massachusetts, and Austin, Texas in the U.S., Kista Park in
Finland, Stockholm in Sweden, Taiwan, Singapore are examples of such clusters. In India, the growth
of IT industries has been clustered around cities (e.g., Bangalore, Hyderabad, Mumbai, Delhi and
others) and each city has a heterogeneous mix of IT industries. This raises a question: Why do
information-intensive industries, including software and data processing, which do most of their
business over networks, cluster (Cairncross, 2001; Clemons et al., 1993) ? This points to positive
externalities between collocated industries.
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Externalities occur among firms located in close proximity (Henderson, 1986; Marshall, 1920).
Externalities may occur within or across industries, leading to endogenous growth (Aghion and
Howitt, 1997). Marshall, Arrow and Romer posit that externalities occur within industries as MAR
externalities (Arrow, 1962; Marshall, 1920; Romer, 1987). They suggest regional specialization as a
source of agglomeration. Jacobs (1969) says externalities occur between industries as Jacobs
externalities (Glaeser et al., 1992). MAR externalities represent economies of scale: specializing in
one activity has advantages. Jacobs externalities come from economies of scope: it pays to have
diversity and variety (Harhoff, 1999). Audretsch (1995) showed that an industry’s grow th is linked to
underlying technological conditions. Growth rates incorporate the externality effects of innovation
and can be used to study the externality effects of local industry (Glaeser et al., 1992; Feldman,
1999).
Scope externalities have been examined in the context of urbanization and overall diversity. For
instance, Glaeser et al. (1992) and Henderson et al. (1995) estimate scope externalities for city
industries in terms of variety of industries in the city. Kauffman and Kumar (2006) study the nature
and existence of externalities across collocated IT industries in the United States: computer and
peripheral equipment manufacturing, semiconductors manufacturing, software and data processing
and find existence of both scale and scope externalities. They also find that these externalities are
different for different industries. They also discuss existence of combined scale-and-scope
externalities between collocated IT industries, where the scale of one IT industry influences the
growth of another. This effect is different from Jacobs scope externalities which arise due to the
diversity of collocated industries. Instead, combined scale-and-scope effects refer to the impact of one
industry on another, regardless of the presence of other collocated industries.
We examine externalities between collocated IT industries in India and how they explain industry
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growth. Does collocation of different IT industries influence growth? What roles do scale, scope and
combined scale-and-scope externalities play? We study four IT industries: computer and peripheral
equipment manufacturing, semiconductor and other electronic components manufacturing, software,
and IT-enabled services (ITES). ITES includes computer processing and data services, from entry to
processing of reports from data provided by clients, call centers, transcription services, process
outsourcing etc.
In §2, we provide an overview of our theoretical perspective and prior research. In §3, we analyze
growth of IT industries in India and relate it to our agglomeration perspective. In §4 we look at
different explanations for the results and why there are contradictions. §5 concludes.
2. THEORY: IT FIRM COLLOCATION
2.1. Evolution of IT Industry Structure
The computer manufacturing industry underwent a change from the vertical industry structure of
the 1970s and 1980s to a horizontal industry structure in the 1990s. The vertically integrated structure
saw players like IBM and Digital Equipment Corporation dominating the international market. These
computer firms provided the whole spectrum of computing services. In India also, prior to the
economic reforms, the IT industry was largely vertically integrated. The initial computer
manufacturers in the public sector, Electronics Corporation of India Ltd. (ECIL), and Computer
Maintenance Corporation (CMC), were vertically integrated. But this gave way to horizontal structure
with specialized industries for computer manufacturing, software development and services, IT-
enabled services etc. Today, most companies operate in one of these layers (Breshnahan, 1998). Each
of these is now recognized as a distinct industry, having distinct processes and involving use of
different knowledge. The historical evolution of these industries from one vertically-integrated
industry suggests innovation and growth synergies between them.
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2.2. Location Proximity and Externalities
Ellison and Glaeser (1997) compare the degree of geographic concentration across industries in the
U.S. and found that almost all, including electronics, have been somewhat localized. Lall et al. (2003)
find similar results for eight different industries in India. Prior research has also supported the
existence of scale externalities (Arthur, 1989; Beardsell and Henderson, 1999; Henderson et al., 1995)
as well as scope externalities (Glaeser et al., 1992; Henderson et al., 1995; McDougall, 2005) as
different means to understand industry growth.
Studies and real-world observations suggest the presence of economies of scale (or MAR
externalities) in IT industries. The dominant players within each are indicative of scale-size effects:
Intel, AMD and Motorola within semiconductors; Compaq, Dell and IBM in computer
manufacturing; and Microsoft and Apple in operating systems. Similar domination is visible in the
Indian IT industry. In 2003, the top five software firms in India accounted for 32% of industry
revenues (Khanna and Palepu, 2004). Arthur (1989) also found evidence for agglomeration effects in
the computer chip industry. Rosenkopf and Almeida (2003) demonstrated the localization of
knowledge in semiconductors. Beardsell and Henderson (1999) reported on significant own-industry
externalities for single-plant firms but also found that corporate plants for computers are more self-
reliant and less influenced by externalities.
Scope economies (Jacobs externalities) may influence IT industry growth too. Glaeser et al. (1992)
compared six two-digit industries in the U.S. and found that diversity helps employment growth.
Chen (2002), who studied city-industry externalities in Taiwan, reported similar results. Van Oort
and Atzema (2004) looked at factors that determined new IT firm formation in the Holland and found
significant heterogeneity for localized firm formation.
These studies show that externalities vary across industries. Some show greater benefits, others
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less. Different IT industries use different kinds of knowledge for their processes and innovations,
differ on product characteristics, and cater to different customers. So IT industries should experience
different externalities. This suggests that collocated IT industries experience scale (scope)
externalities between their firms which facilitate their growth. Also the extent of scale (scope)
externalities for different IT industries is different.
2.3. Combined Scale-and-Scope Externalities between IT Industries
To recognize the scale-and-scope externalities between different IT industries, recall the vertical
disintegration of computer manufacturing industry into computer manufacturing, semiconductors
manufacturing, software and IT-enabled services, w ith each of these industries becom ing a ―general
specialty‖ (Breshnahan and Gambardella, 1998). Even though the IT industries are now specialized,
they continue to have linkages. The semiconductor industry continues to have backward linkages and
forward linkages with computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, and the software industry.
Innovation in the semiconductor industry led to exponential growth in the memory capacities of
chips. This had a direct impact on the number of lines of code which a chip could contain. With
increased semiconductor capacities, the software complexity and performance abilities increased
(Schaller, 1997). Innovation in semiconductors also made computers more powerful, able to process
more information faster. Edquist (2005) associated increases in labor productivity in semiconductors
and microprocessors to growth in the radio, television and communication equipment industry in
Sweden.
Overall, the semiconductor industry has become more vertically-specialized between design and
marketing firms, and their manufacturing counterparts. This vertical separation led many firms to
specialize in design of integrated circuits used in fabrication of semiconductors and other electronic
components (Macher et al., 2002). Chip design has become increasingly similar to software design
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(DeMicheli and Gupta, 1997). Hardware circuits are described using modeling or programming
languages, and they are validated and implemented by executing software programs, which are
som etim es conceived for the specific circuit design. T he integrated circuits represent ―systems on
silicon‖ w hich exhibit a sizable am ount of em bedded softw are, and provide flexibility for product
evolution and differentiation. Thus the design of semiconductors requires designers to be
knowledgeable in the hardware and software domains to make good design tradeoffs. These synergies
also suggest externalities between these industries.
Marshall (1920) posited three sources of externalities between collocated firms: shared inputs,
labor pooling and knowledge spillovers. Adoption behavior is affected by industry features (Forman
et al., 2005). Externalities flows are also affected by industry features like trade, human resource
profile etc. Knowledge spillovers take place through trade (Almeida and Kogut, 1999; Autant-
Barnard, 2001; Feldman, 1999), and since semiconductors are inputs to computer and peripheral
equipment, the trade between semiconductor manufacturers and computer and peripheral equipment
manufacturers provides opportunities for knowledge spillovers. Besides, spillovers also take place
through movement of employees, especially engineers and scientists (Almeida and Kogut, 1999;
Autant-Barnard, 2001; Zucker and Darby, 1996). Engineers and scientists are among the most mobile
segments of the workforce (Angel, 1989; Mincer, 1978). Mobility of engineers and scientists
between these industries results in externalities through labor pooling and knowledge spillovers.
The underlying rationale for combined scale-and-scope effects from one IT industry to another is
that these industries have evolved from a single vertically-integrated industry and have synergies with
each other. This influence is heightened when the assets are collocated and experience local
externalities.
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The combined scale-and-scope effects are shown as in Figure 1 (See Figure 1). Kauffman and
Kumar (2006) empirically show combined scale-and-scope effects between the computer and
peripheral equipment manufacturing and semiconductor manufacturing industries in the U.S. They
also find evidence for beneficial effect of software industry on semiconductor manufacturing and data
processing.
2.4 Role of IT industries in National Development
Many developing countries recognize the potential of IT industries in national development and
have therefore focused on their promotion (Kraemer and Dedrick, 2001; Sein and Harindranath,
2004). The strategic importance of IT producing sector extends to the developed world also
(Haltiwanger and Jarmin, 2000). DeVol (1999) posits that in similar metropolitan areas in the U.S.,
growth in the high-tech industry explains nearly 70% of the variation in relative economic growth.
Fig. 1. Combined Scale-and-Scope Effects in IT Cluster Growth
Sein and Harindranath (2004) propose a three-tier framework to understand the role of IT in
national development. The first-order or primary effect relates to new technology replacing the old.
The second-order or secondary effect refers to the intensification of the phenomenon affected by the
Scope effect
Combined Scale-and-scope effect
Scale effect
Scale of relevant IT industry
Scale of beneficiary IT industry
Scope (diversity) of other
industries
Beneficiary IT industry
Beneficiary IT industries include: Computer and peripheral equipment
manufacturing Semiconductors and other electronic
components manufacturing Software publishing Data processing
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technology. The third-order or tertiary effect arises when the technology leads to some new
technology-related businesses and structural changes in the society. In the context of production of
ITs, the first- order effect relates to production of IT goods and services. This effect is first-order
because at this stage the IT industries act as a substitute for capital and labor used by other industrial
sectors and thereby substitutes old technology with new technology products. The second-order
effects arise when the IT industries grow faster than other industrial sectors increasing the size of IT
production in the total economic kitty of a country. The third-order effects arise when growth in IT
industries results in emergence and growth of other industries, improvements in employment and
quality of life, etc.
A link of the scale, scope and scale-and-scope externalities with the second and third-order effects
of IT industries on development may suggest that both scale externalities and scope externalities
result in increases in size of the reference industry and therefore have second-order effect. On the
other hand, scale-and-scope externalities which induce the growth of another industry have the third-
order effect.
In this section we provided a theoretical basis for the existence of externalities between collocated
industries and briefly described the Sein and Harindranath (2004) framework for relating the growth
of IT industries to national development. We next discuss the growth of IT industries in India to
examine the role of externalities.
3. EXTERNALITIES IN IT GROWTH
3.1 Growth of IT Industries in India
India witnessed remarkable growth in its IT sector in the last two decades. The common belief is
that India’s IT industry focused on exports, but we note that the industry has seen high growth in the
domestic sector. (See Table 1.) We next provide a historical perspective of the sector, since the recent
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growth is related to the past events.
Table 1. The Growth of the IT Industry in India
YEAR
(19XX,
20XX)
ITES
TOTAL
ITES EX-
PORTS
ITES
DOM-
ESTIC
SW
TOTAL
SW EX-
PORTS
SW
DOM-ESTIC
HW
DOM-
ESTIC
96-97 NA NA NA 1.9 1.1 0.8 NA 97-98 5.0 NA NA 2.9 1.8 1.1 NA 98-99 6.0 NA NA 4.0 2.6 1.4 NA 99-00 8.4 4.0 4.4 5.3 3.4 1.9 2.4 00-01 12.4 6.2 6.2 7.8 5.3 2.5 3.4 01-02 13.7 7.6 6.1 8.7 6.2 2.5 3.2 02-03 16.1 9.9 6.3 9.9 7.1 2.8 3.6 03-04 21.5 13.3 8.2 12.8 9.2 3.6 4.8 04-05 28.2 17.9 10.3 16.5 12.2 4.3 6.0 Source: NASSCOM. All figures in US$ billions. NA= not available
Historical Perspective. Prior to 1985, India’s IT sector was highly regulated. Institutional factors
(e.g., compulsory licensing, tariffs, purchase preferences, and public sector-led manufacturing
strategies) marked the industry. State-level electronic development corporations were set up and
incentives were instituted for lagging districts to achieve dispersed regional growth in the sector. To
create greater employment, the government reserved 50% of the manufacturing capacity for small-
scale enterprises. The 1969 Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Act specified firm size
ceilings. This prevented firms from achieving scale economies. Apart from the public sector, only a
few international (IBM, DEC, Honeywell and ICL) and domestic companies (NELCO, Hinditron and
Tata Infotech) existed in the private sector. They were in computer and other electronic hardware
assembly. In 1977, the 1973 Foreign Exchange Regulation Act was implemented, forbidding foreign
firms from holding more than 40% equity. This led to IB M ’s exit from India (Das, 2004). However,
the restrictive policies of India’s government started to ease in 1984 and 1985. The IT sector
gradually opened, leading to freer and faster growth.
IT industry growth has concentrated around city centers (Heeks, 1996). Haug (1991) says that
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availability of good IT infrastructure, manpower and quality of life are important reasons for
clustering. One government initiative taken in the post-reform period also contributed to the
formation of clusters. This was the setting up of ―IT parks.‖ Initially these parks were set up by a
government agency, Software Technology Parks (India) Ltd. They provided necessary infrastructure
facilities for the IT industries which became immensely successful. Their success prompted several
state governments and private firms to set up similar parks. The IT park model has contributed to the
formation of IT industry clusters in India. Apart from firms located inside the parks, surrounding
areas also were location targets for a number of firms. The Indian cities which first emerged as hosts
to clusters of IT industries had their IT park facilities set up early in the post-reform period.
Another significant explanation for regional IT industry concentration is path dependence.
Clustering is most prominent in cities which had IT industries in the pre-reform era. The main public
and private sector units in the mid-1980s, indicated in Tables 2 and 3 show the domination of cities
such as Bangalore, Mumbai, Hyderabad and Delhi. Bangalore had major public sector units,
including Bharat Electronics Ltd. (BEL), Indian Telephone Industries Ltd. (ITI), Hindustan
Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL), the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), the National Center for
Software Technology (NCST) and private sector units, such as Texas Instruments (TI), Wipro, PSI
Data Systems, DEC, HP, etc. Mumbai had more private sector units, with various Tata companies
(later merged to form Tata Consultancy Services, TCS), Citicorp Overseas Solutions, Hinditron, Patni
Computer Systems, Datamatics, and Burroughs. Hyderabad had two major public sector units, ECIL
and CMC, and a few private sector units like Satyam. The National Capital Region of Delhi had
public sector units, with BEL, CMC, National Informatics Center (NIC), Telecommunication
Consultants of India Ltd. (TCIL), Center for Development of Telematics (C-DOT) and private sector
units Hindustan Computer Ltd. (HCL), DCM-Data Products, etc. Heeks (1996) says proximity to a
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prior employer and residence are important reasons for intense software industry clustering in these
cities. From the agglomeration perspective, the presence of these companies provided scale benefits
for subsequent growth of industry around these centers. Scale effects in the growth of IT industries in
India seem to present overall.
3.2 Scale and Scope Effects for Indian IT Industries
Removal of restrictions led to growth. The late 1980s saw growth in computer manufacturing in
India while the PC market witnessed price wars and new product launches.
Table 2. Public IT Sector Units in India, 1980s
PUBLIC SECTOR YEAR LOCATIONS ACTIVITIES Indian Telephone Industries Ltd. (ITI) 1950 Bangalore Manufacture telecom
equipment NA Other Bharat Electronics Ltd. (BEL) 1954 Bangalore Design, develop,
manufacture sophisticated electronic components
1974 Ghaziabad 1979 Pune 1986 Hyderabad
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL) 1964 Bangalore Design, develop, mfg., repair aircraft Electronics Corp. of India Ltd. (ECIL) 1967 Hyderabad Design, develop, mfg. computer, control, comm. sys.
Indian Space Research Org. (ISRO) 1972 Bangalore Develop satellites, launch vehicles, etc. 1972 Other
Processor System India Pvt. Ltd. 1973 Bangalore Technology R&D Central Electronics Ltd. (CEL) 1974 Ghaziabad (NCR) Manufacture solar
cells/modules Computer Maintenance Corp (CMC) 1975 Hyderabad Maintain IBM, foreign computers NA Delhi
Natl. Ctr. for Software Technology 1975 Bangalore Software development Natl. Informatics Center 1977 Delhi and state capitals Network, software
solution support Telecomm Consultants India (TCIL) 1978 Delhi Telecomm consulting, engineering Semiconductor Complex Ltd. (SCL) 1983 Chandigarh Design, mfg. VLSI systems, subsystems Center for Development of Telematics
(C-DOT) 1984 Delhi Design, develop
telecom products, services
NA Bangalore, Kolkata Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd. (VSNL) 1986 Mumbai International telecom
services Ctr. for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC)
1988 Pune Design, develop, deploy advanced IT solution
NA Bangalore, Noida, Delhi, Chennai, Chandigarh, Hy-derabad, Kolkata, Trivandrum
Source: Company, government and other Web sites; NASSCOM and other publications. NA = not available
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The semiconductor industry did not grow though and most semiconductors and other electronic
components were imported. The software industry also started to grow with many product launches,
some of which (like Tally for accounting software) survive.
The 1986 Rangarajan Committee Report, which recommended computerization of the banking
industry on UNIX systems, provided further impetus for the growth of computer manufacturing and
software (Dataquest, 2002b). However, in this initial period of growth, the impacts of IT industries
were typically second-order, which resulted in increased scale of production of IT industries in India
(Sein and Harindranath, 2004). T he early years’ policy to protect the com puter m anufacturing
industry had a serendipitously beneficial effect for growth. It forced Indian computer manufacturing
firms to shift focus from mainframes, which were technologically challenging to manufacture, to
producing PCs. This led to a generation of software engineers with great experience in programming
PCs, on operating systems like MS-DOS and UNIX, an operating system for non-IBM-compatible PC
with Intel and Motorola chips. The computerization of the banking industry was also based on
UNIX-based systems. Three Indian companies, HCL and DCM Data Products in Delhi and Wipro
Information Technologies Ltd. in Bangalore perhaps became first in the world to build 386 systems
on UNIX. When the computer policy was liberalized post-1984, learning in the domestic industry
provided a competitive edge for Indian software engineers (Heeks, 1996, pp. 214-6]. At that time,
mainframes also gave way to PC technology, supporting the growth of the global software industry.
Engineers in computer manufacturing could easily adapt to the requirements which the export-driven
software service industry would put on them. This reflects the scale-and-scope effects between the
computer manufacturing and software industry early in the post-reform period.
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Table 3. Private IT Sector Units in India, 1980s
PRIVATE SECTOR YEAR LOCATION ACTIVITIES Nelco (Tata Group) 1940 Mumbai Electronic hardware Hinditron Computers 1966 Mumbai Computer hardware Tata Consultancy 1968 Mumbai PSI Data Systems Pvt. Ltd. (Aditya Birla Gr.)
1976 Bangalore Computer hardware
Tata Infotech Ltd. 1977 Mumbai Harware, integration DCM Data Products 1972 Delhi IT services Datamatics 1975 Mumbai Software solutions Hindustan Comp Ltd 1976 Delhi Computer mfg. Tata Burroughs Ltd 1978 Mumbai Computer hardware Patni Comp Sys Ltd 1978 Mumbai IT services, solutions Systime 1979 Mumbai ITES Wipro Systems Ltd 1980 Bangalore IT, software services Infosys Tech Ltd 1981 Bangalore Software, solutions NIIT Ltd 1981 Delhi,
Mumbai, Chennai
IT education, training
Adv Micro Dev Ltd 1982 Bangalore Software, health IT Citicorp Overseas Software Ltd.
1985 Mumbai Software exports
Texas Instruments Ltd. (TI)
1985 Bangalore Semiconductor, elect. components R&D
Peutronics 1986 Bangalore Software ICIM (Intl Comp) NA Pune Computer mfg. DEC India Ltd NA Bangalore IT services Honeywell CII NA Bangalore Computer mfg. Satyam Comp. Serv 1987 Hyderabad ITES Mahindra British Telecom 1988 Pune Develop software Hewlett-Packard India Software Op Pvt Ltd
1989 Bangalore Software solutions
Tata Elexi Ltd 1989 Bangalore Software solutions Source: Company, gov’t and other Web sites, NASSCOM and other publications and studies. NA = not available
U.S. demand for programmers began to spill over to India in the late 1980s and this led to the spurt
in the growth of the software industry. The export-oriented software industry was initially for low-end
software services. This phase is identified w ith ―body-shopping‖ (Desai, 2003). Body-shopping is
positioning a programmer or other software personnel on the site of the customer for their software
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needs. But an externality of a different form would help the industry to leapfrog to the next level of
delivery. Texas Instruments (TI) set up a development center in Bangalore in 1985 and a satellite link
to headquarters in Dallas, Texas. TI was the first private company to be permitted international
connectivity, which was then the monopoly of the government, operated by Videsh Sanchar Nigam
Ltd. (VSNL). Since TI did not need it, it sold bandwidth to local industry. This revealed the benefits
that connectivity could bring. In 1989, VSNL commissioned a high-bandwidth link to the U.S.
(Dataquest, 2002b). Then in 1993, the first earth stations were commissioned for Bangalore and
Hyderabad. A s India’s connectivity improved in the early 1990s, software services could be provided
from India itself, without foreign personnel having to physically go there. This led to large-scale
growth in software services. It also marks the evolution of IT industries in India, where their scale
grew to a level where it impacted complementary sectors of economy (e.g., telecom and HR
development, etc.). This represents the third-order impacts of IT industries on development (Sein and
Harindranath, 2004). The connectivity also opened up opportunities for data processing and the ITES
industry. ITES grew in India as the software service industry showed that services could be provided
from offshore locations. The ability of ITES to grow from software was partially because the software
industry in India, unlike that in Israel, was developed around software services and not around
software products (Athreye, 2005). ITES growth from the software industry points to scale-and-scope
effects between these industries.
Huge export demand for software services and ITES led many companies (e.g., Wipro, PSI Data
systems, HCL) previously in computer manufacturing to diversify into software services and ITES.
Digital Equipment India Ltd., a subsidiary of Digital Equipment Corporation, also switched to
developing software for its own systems. This diversification from hardware to software and ITES
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shows the scale-and-scope effects between computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, and
the software and ITES industries.
Growth of the ITES industry also led to entry by smaller players into the industry. In the 1990s,
some smaller Indian firms in Bangalore and other IT cluster cities tried to start in the software
industry through data entry and transcribing activities (Latheef, 1997). With passage of time, foreign
software vendors, including IBM, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP, moved from using units in India to
crank out code to helping to design and develop commercial software (McDougall, 2005; Zhao,
2006). The software industry climbed the value chain, and part of this was aided by the presence of
scale economies in the ITES industry, another reflection of scale-and-scope effects between ITES and
software industries.
A more recent trend has been the growth of the semiconductor and other electronic components
industry, which had been lagging compared to growth of other IT industries. This industry has shown
signs of growth, especially around Bangalore and Hyderabad. Motorola set up a design center in
Bangalore and Hyderabad. Intel India Development Center, set up in Bangalore, has more than 3000
employees, and is in the process of designing new chipsets for small form-factor notebook and low
cost notebook (Indo Asian News Service, 2006). A US$3 billion semiconductor complex by AMD-
SemIndia consortium now is being set up in Hyderabad. We argue that the growth of the
semiconductor and other electronic components industry has been induced by the growth of the
software industry due to synergies between the software industry and the design and planning aspects
of semiconductors (De Micheli and Gupta, 1997). Heeks (1998) recognizes that growth in the
software industry can lead to induced growth in services and hardware industry. The scale-and-scope
effects between different IT industries are examples of the third-order impacts of IT industries on
national development in the framework proposed by Sein and Harindranath (2004).
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3.3 Scale-and-Scope Effects: City-Level Analyses
Having outlined the overall synergies, we next examine how the scale, scope and the combined
scale-and-scope effects translated into industrial growth at the city level. We focus on IT industry
growth patterns in two cities: Bangalore and Hyderabad. These cities themselves are evidence of
economies of scale in IT industries, or else such large-scale IT clusters would not be possible. More
evidence of scale effects is that many foreign companies, which started with small operations in these
IT clusters, have expanded over time. A similar trend is visible for domestic companies as well. Still
we will emphasize how one IT industry has facilitated growth in another IT industry in these cities.
Bangalore. According to a cliché, Bangalore is the ―Silicon Valley of India.‖ In the m id -1980s,
Bangalore was home to several electronic hardware and computer manufacturing firms. (See Tables 2
and 3.) The Bangalore-based public sector firm, BEL, led the development of semiconductor and
electronics hardware technology in the early 1960s and 1970s. More significantly, BEL provided the
first training ground for engineers in IT. BEL’s Bangalore location, thus, had to do with the city’s
eventual success in the IT sector (Dataquest, 2002a). ITI, ISRO, HAL were other major public sector
units, employing thousands and manufacturing electronic hardware. In addition, major private sector
computer and peripheral equipment manufacturers were also located in Bangalore. The pool of
knowledge resources and social capital existing in Bangalore in the mid-1980s helped in the growth
of the software and ITES industries in the 1990s. This reflects a scale-and-scope effect from the pre-
existing hardware and computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing industry to growth of the
software and ITES industries.
Major computer and peripheral equipment manufacturers in Bangalore, including Wipro, PSI Data
Systems, and multinationals, DEC and Honeywell, diversified into the software services and ITES
industries. Motorola, which manufactured electronic components for pagers, diversified into software
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development in its research center in Bangalore (Latheef, 1997). Many top software companies in the
world set up wholly-owned subsidiaries or joint ventures with Indian companies in Bangalore
(including IBM, Oracle, Novell, Fujitsu, NEC, HP and Sun Microsystems). Many other
multinationals (e.g., Siemens, Deutsche Bank, Motorola, Citicorp, and VeriFone) set up software
development centers in Bangalore for their entire systems. CISCO also set up a software solutions
center for enterprise network management products. And Dell set up a development center in
Bangalore for development and management of applications used in its operations. Bangalore also
became headquarters to a large number of Indian software companies. Wipro and Infosys are
specifically notable. By 1995, 56 of the top 200 software companies were located in Bangalore
(NASSCOM, 1995). Likewise, other companies entered the ITES industry. In the ITES industry,
Bangalore specialized in call center, transcription, and back-office operations services. The city also
had a reasonable number of companies in database management, development, data processing,
management and engineering, design, and geographical information system (GIS) services. (See
Table 4.)
Another scale-and-scope effect w itnessed in the grow th of B angalore’s IT industry is the im pact of
the ITES and software industries on computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing. With the
growth of ITES and software in the 1990s, the scale of these industries induced growth in the
com puter and electronics hardw are. T he ―S im puter,‖ a com puter for R s10,000 (~ U S $230) w as
launched by Pico Peta Simputer Pvt. Ltd. and Encore Software Ltd. in 2001. And then PARAM
Padma, a supercomputer with the computing power of one teraflop, was launched in 2003 by CDAC.
In 2003, IBM launched its low-end e-server in Bangalore. The export level from the electronic
hardware industry in the Electronic Hardware Park there is a good indicator for growth in computer
and peripheral equipment. (See Table 5.)
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Table 4. Export of Software and ITES, Bangalore
YEAR # FIRMS EXPORTS US$ MILLIONS
EXPORT GROWTH
1991-92 13 2.17 NA 1992-93 29 7.10 227% 1993-94 53 29.57 316% 1994-95 79 63.76 116% 1995-96 125 136.29 114% 1996-97 163 272.22 100% 1997-98 207 432.57 59% 1998-99 267 752.59 74% 1999-00 782 1010.33 34% 2000-01 928 1598.93 58% 2001-02 1038 2029.30 27% 2002-03 1154 2570.24 27% 2003-04 NA 3975.66(a) NA 2004-05 NA 6366.78(a) NA Source: Department of IT and Biotechnology, Govt. of Karnataka and IndiaInfo.com (May 11, 2005). Exchange rate as of January 1 each year. (a) Includes exports from other cities of Karnataka. NA = not available.
Bangalore has become a design hub in the Asia-Pacific region for Intel and Motorola in
semiconductors and electronic components. In 2001, Intel set up an R&D center with 1,200
employees and expanded to 3,000 employees in 2003. It provides R&D for very large scale
integration (VLSI) and microprocessors, and e-business solutions. The presence of firms like BEL
and TI, which arrived in Bangalore in 1985, also provided scale effects to the growth of this industry.
Also, semiconductor and electronic component design has similarities to software industry activities.
So semiconductor growth in Bangalore can be attributed to scale-and-scope effects from the software
industry’s scale.
Hyderabad. Referred to as ―C yberabad,‖ the IT cluster here traces its history to the base built by
two national-level public sector undertakings, ECIL and CMC. ECIL was the major computer and
peripheral equipment manufacturer in the pre-reform period responsible for government and public
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sector installations in the 1970s. ECIL nurtured the best engineering talent in the country when the IT
industry was in its infancy (Dataquest, 2002a). CMC was responsible for maintaining 800-odd IBM
installations when IBM left the country in 1978, and other computers made by foreign suppliers. It
developed expertise on 40 foreign platforms and in hardware and software maintenance (Dataquest,
2002c).
Table 5. E-Hardware Park Exports, Bangalore
YEAR EXPORTS US$ MILLIONS
EXPORT GROWTH
1999-00 45.05 NA 2000-01 78.55 74% 2001-02 173.63 121% 2002-03 292.16 68%
Source: Department of IT and Biotechnology, Government of Karnataka. Based on exchange rate as on January 1 each year.
The growth of IT industries in Hyderabad is similar to Bangalore. Hyderabad witnessed growth in
software services and ITES in the 1990s, after an earth station was commissioned. Satyam Computer
Services Ltd. set up in 1987, and was a forerunner of major IT firms in Hyderabad. Others soon
followed. The city now boasts a software industry with major players, including Satyam Computer
Services, Infosys, Microsoft, Oracle, Wipro, iGate, Deloitte, HSBC, IBM, Baan, TCS, Amazon,
Google, Accenture, Cisco, IBM India Ltd., LG Soft India, Novell, Nokia, and Netscape
Communications. The ITES industry followed software services. Apart from software services, other
companies which set up ITES units include Dell and General Electric. The growth of the software
services and ITES industries in Hyderabad can be inferred from the growth of exports in these
industries. (See Table 6.) As in Bangalore, the software industry in Hyderabad has also shown that it
is climbing up the value chain.
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Growth in the R&D and software industries has led to growth of the semiconductor industry in the
city. Motorola was first to expand from Bangalore to Hyderabad. Establishment and growth of a large
number of embedded systems and VLSI design companies occurred in the past two years also (Jafri,
2004). In February 2006, plans for Fab City, a silicon chip facility, were finalized there with a US$3
billion investment by the AMD-SemIndia consortium. Fab City will have multiple units making
silicon wafers, solar power and liquid crystal displays (LCD), and thin film transistor (TFT) chips.
Intel Technologies will partner with others in the Fab City project.
Growth patterns in Hyderabad show scale-and-scope effects like B angalore’s. S uch effects m oved
from the pre-reform computer and peripheral equipment industry to software services initially, in
software services to ITES in the 1990s, and now from software to semiconductor manufacturing.
A lthough our analysis doesn’t provide a basis to generalize from , it supports the idea that one IT
industry’s scale m ay benefit a collocated IT industry.
Table 6. Software & ITES Industry Exports, Hyderabad
YEAR TOTAL SOFTWARE AND ITES EXPORTS
ITES EXPORTS
SOFTWARE EXPORT
2002-03 763.4 293.7 469.7 2003-04 1100.0 513.8 586.2 2004-05 1907.7 NA NA Source: Indiainfo.com, May 11, 2005. All figures in US$ millions. Conversion via January 1 exchange rate. NA = not available
4. DISCUSSION
Porter, stressing the importance of collocation, posits that even as old reasons for clustering (e.g.,
proximity to markets, labor, or capital) have diminished in importance with the growth in
globalization, new influences of clusters on competition have become key in a knowledge-based
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economy (Porter, 2000). Tan and Leewongcharoen (2005) also point out the importance of
geographical location in the development of IT industries in developing countries. As an industry
becomes leaner and more flexible, lateral inter-firm relationships take higher policy priority. Our
analysis of the growth of IT industries also points towards benefits of locating in clusters. Similar
growth patterns for IT industries in Bangalore and Hyderabad support existence of agglomeration
externalities.
In India, the software service industry influenced growth of the ITES industry, and both software
and ITES induced growth in semiconductors. The software services industry in India also benefited
from the scale of computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing. The software industry in U.S.
did not show similar results (Kauffman and Kumar, 2006). One reason could be because in India
software services are a dominant component of the industry, whereas in the U.S. software
development is the principal part. Another possible reason is the exogenous effect of outsourcing.
Although outsourcing has caused diminution in software growth in the U.S., it has enhanced the
growth of software industry in India (Dutta and Roy, 2005). In addition, there may be country
specific differences which may account for the differences in knowledge externalities (Appleyard,
1996).
Some scholars question whether knowledge spillovers have relevance to Indian IT industry growth
(D ’C osta, 2002a; 2002b) and argue that growth is totally export-driven. We argue that local
externalities cannot be ignored. Multinational firms are increasingly conducting R&D related
activities in India (Zhao, 2006). Todo and Miyamoto (2006) study the knowledge spillovers due to
foreign direct investment (FDI) to domestic firms in less developed countries and finds that local
R&D by foreign-owned firms in the host country enhances knowledge spillovers from R&D. Bwalya
(2006) shows that there are significant inter-industry knowledge spillovers in Zambia occurring
Page | 23
through linkages due to FDI. Patibandla and Petersen (2000) showed knowledge spillovers between
collocated foreign and Indian firms. Leading software vendors like Adobe. are releasing products in
the U .S w ith labels ―M ade in India‖ indicative of brand value associated w ith such labeling (S axena,
2006). A study by Indian government agency, National Institute of Science, Technology and
Development Studies (NISTADS) shows that between 1990 and 2002, most patents registered in US
from a foreign country were from India— 266. These patents primarily belonged to the
pharmaceutical, electronics and other hi-tech sectors. While more than half of these patents were
owned by foreign companies operating in India, remaining were by Indian organizations (Chauhan,
2006). as Part of these spillovers may be due to weak intellectual property protection and partly due
to labor pooling between different IT industries. Lal (1996) reports that the electronics industry in
India was R&D intensive, indicating that firms attached importance to innovation for growth.
International trade involves competition among nations, so innovation is needed for the Indian IT
industries to grow. By climbing the value chain, the Indian software industry has shown its success
with innovation. So knowledge spillovers in collocated industries are likely to be present.
Additionally, the impact of knowledge spillovers is only one of the reasons for local externalities
(1920) and externalities could arise due to other factors such as input sharing or labor pooling as well.
The study has implications for economic development, especially in developing countries. We
show that collocation of IT industries supports accelerated growth. A policy implication is that
support for the ―IT park‖ model should also encourage proximate collocation. In addition, since there
are scale-and-scope effects between different IT industries, governments should consider placing
electronic hardware IT parks close to software parks.
There are indirect policy implications that result from the second and third-order effects of IT
industry growth on national development (Sein and Harindranath, 2004) . IT industry does not merely
Page | 24
augment GDP. Kraemer and Dedrick (2001) refer to effects of IT industrial growth on
complementary sectors, including manpower, R&D and infrastructure, for eleven Asia-Pacific
countries. In India, we discern evidence of both second and third-order effects of IT industries.
Consider the second-order effects first. The increased-scale export-oriented IT industries brought in
foreign exchange, crucial in 1980s India. The country also experienced third-order effects as growth
in IT industries boosted employment opportunities, which in turn had multiplier effects on overall
economic growth. Another complementary effect was the growth of IT education to cater to the
increase in demand for IT manpower. Growth also led to better telecom infrastructure and overall
infrastructure (roads, housing, etc.) in cities with concentrations of IT industries.
IT industrial growth also has other third-order effects (Sein and Harindranath, 2004). We have
discussed how scale-and-scope effects between different IT industries led to ITES growth in the early
1990s and, more recently, to semiconductor growth. Furthermore, the growth of IT exports facilitated
globalization of the economy, which boosted other sectors (e.g., tourism, financial services and
manufacturing). Venture capital and stock markets became stronger and FDI inflows increased.
Outsourcing had spillover effects on clinical trials and biotech industries. The second and third-order
effects that we have mentioned above are not comprehensive, but corroborative of the growth of IT
industries. They have multi-dimensional effects on the development of a developing country.
Our qualitative analysis of the growth of Indian IT industries shows that combined scale-and-scope
effects have played a role in India’s IT industrial growth. These effects also show some degree of
robustness across two different developmental contexts: India and the U.S., as described in Kauffman
and Kumar (2006). This raises opportunities to explore the reasons why synergies exist between
different industries which result in combined scale-and-scope effects.
5. CONCLUSIONS
Page | 25
Our agglomeration perspective based on scale, scope and combined scale-and-scope externalities,
provides a new understanding of growth patterns for IT industries in India. Previous research has not
provided a suitable lens on this interesting research phenomenon. We report qualitative evidence of
combined scale-and-scope effects in collocated IT industries in India. We find that the ITES industry
gained from the scale effects of software and computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing, and
the semiconductor industry gained from the scale of the software and ITES industries.
Our research also explains how externalities (scale, scope and combined scale-and-scope) lead to
second and third-order effects in national development. This underlines the need for greater focus on
planning and promotion of the IT-producing sector. Scale and scope economies can also have
implications for firm performance (Macher, 2006), so this work provides firms with guidance about
selecting locations for new IT firms. The study also has important implications for the regional
planners and technology research park developers.
The study makes contributions to the IS literature for developing countries (Walsham and Sahay,
2006). Hanna (1994) argues that IT is a strategic sector with capabilities to transform a developing
country into a modernized global economy. Haltiwanger and Jarmin (2000) also say that although e-
commerce and IT-related production is credited with one-third of economic growth, yet the economic
literature offers very little coverage at the macroeconomic level. Kauffman and Walden (2001) also
have argued that there is need for better understanding of IT-related industry growth and
performance. This study addresses this issue.
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Acknowledgments. We benefited from input offered by the co-chairs of the IT and International Development Mini-Track at HICSS 2007, Sajda Qureshi, Maung Sein and Peter Wolcott, several
Page | 30
anonymous reviewers, and participants in our research presentations in Applied Economics and the Carlson School of Management of the University of Minnesota. Rob Kauffman thanks the MIS Research Center at the University of Minnesota, and its Assistant Director, Donna Sarppo, for partial support.