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    CHAPTER ONE

    1.0 INTRODUCTION

    Statistics serves as a great measure in determining theaverage performance of every business organization.

    With the help of statistical models applied, number of

    goods/services produced is measured to assess their

    profitability ratio, productivity and the growth of a

    business. Statistical models are used both at the micro

    (small scale business) and macro (public enterprises,

    private limited liability companies, etc) business

    enterprise level. The statistical models are primarily

    application of readily formulated statistical formula

    designed for solving problem systems and relating

    correlative patterns for solution and decision theory

    derivation. Statistical models help to forecast and predict

    events in the business economy environment.

    Service Delivery is measured based on the following;

    Tangibility physical facilities, equipment, and appearance

    of employees.

    Reliability ability to perform the required service

    dependably and accurately.

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    Responsiveness willingness to help customers and

    provide prompt service.

    Assurance knowledge and courtesy of employees and

    their ability to

    inspire trust and confidence.

    Empathy caring and individual attention provided by the

    staff.

    On the other hand, the concept of satisfaction is more

    inclusive than the concept of quality service. Customer

    satisfaction is influenced by five variables, namely:

    service quality, product quality, price, situation and

    personality.

    Statistics refer to the collection, arrangement and

    representation of numerical (mathematical) data. This

    data can be the result of data analysis from various fields.

    Almost each and every area of business and industry

    uses statistical reporting to understanding business data

    for decision making purposes. The organization of datainto a common format provides a benchmark for

    historical performance and future benchmarking. The

    standardization of data also serves as a common point of

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    reference so that interested parties can deduce

    meaningful relationships from the data.

    Statistics provide the necessary data in a meaningful way

    to support strategic decision making. Without the use of

    statistics, businesses could not calculate returns on

    investment and business decision making would become

    a hit and miss affair. Industry and business in general

    each have different data and information requirements.

    Business statistics can literally be formulated and shaped

    according to individual requirements. Ultimately, the data

    must be designed to provide meaningful and useful

    results. This assists companies and individuals to make

    more informed decision that affect business outcomes

    and provide a way for ongoing performancemeasurement. For business decision making, it is very

    important to understand the composition and breakdown

    of business activity. For this, industry statistics provide

    data in a meaningful format. Industry statistics define

    each and every aspect of a particular industry and assist

    business operators to extract and manipulate data to

    assist strategic decision making.

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    Generally, industry or business organization statistics

    include hard data such as production volumes, sales

    revenues, employment statistics, accounting records, and

    anything to do with industry demographics and industry

    trends for service delivery performance. If you are

    starting a business or already own one, it is very

    importance to have a way to benchmark progress and

    assess critical data. The use of industry statistics provides

    a consistent framework of reference that allows business

    owners to draw meaningful conclusions from data that

    has a consistent reporting format. (Agranoff, Robert and

    Michael McGuire, 2003). Small Business Statistics

    Irrespective of whether a company is small or large,

    business statistics provide key performance indicators to

    support primary decision making.

    Every company wants to reduce costs, increase market

    share, maximize return on investment, penetrate new

    markets and improve the return on investment for labour

    and capital. Standardized business statistics are used to

    measure a companys progress on key business activities.

    Month to month analysis and quarterly review periods

    provide the ideal opportunity for key business managers

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    to reflect and analyze data to determine whether

    performance is in line with original forecasts. Questions

    over sales growth, advertising initiatives and campaign

    results provide insight into how successful a company has

    been in aligning its business objectives with overall

    company goals and objectives. Adjustment or new

    strategy formulation ultimately results to drive the

    business in the intended business direction.

    Modern Business Statistics are used extensively in the

    internet marketing space. Traffic analysis, advertising

    campaign analysis, organic search traffic and pay per

    click campaign provide important insight into consumer

    behavior which is used to formulate future strategy for an

    organization. Without the use of online bench marketingtools to gather critical business statistics intelligence,

    companies would face high degrees of difficulty for

    determining advertising direction, marketing spend and

    overall online business direction.

    A statistical model according to Kaw (2008), is a set of

    mathematical equations which describe the behavior of

    an object of study in terms of random variables and their

    associated probability distributions. If the model has only

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    one equation it is called a single-equation model,

    whereas if it has more than one equation, it is known as a

    multiple-equation model.

    In mathematical terms, a statistical model is frequently

    thought of as a pair (Y, P) where Y is the set of possible

    observations and P the set of possibility distributions on

    Y. It is assumed that there is a distinct element of P which

    generates the observed data. Statistical inference

    enables us to make statements about which element(s) of

    this set are likely to be the true one. Through statistical

    models the business organization performance is being

    sustained and measured in its outcome and as well faults

    or break/interruption in production can be easily dictated

    and weighed.

    According to the endogenous variables and the number

    of equations, models can be classified as complete

    models and incomplete models. Some other statistical

    models are the general linear model, the generalized

    linear model, the multilevel model, and the structural

    equation model. (Tofallis, C. 2008).

    1.1 OBJECTIVES OF THE RESEARCH

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    The study is carried out to achieve the following

    objectives:

    Test to see the rate of sales and employment rate. Test to see the significance of the sold products

    Correlation study of the sales and the employment

    rate

    Trend on the sales of the products

    1.2 SCOPE OF THE PROBLEM

    The study considered Unilever Nigeria Plc. Unilever

    Nigeria Plc, was incorporated as Lever Brothers (West

    Africa) Ltd on 11th April, 1923 by Lord Leverhulme, but

    the companys antecedents have to be traced back to his

    existing trading interests in Nigeria and West Africa

    generally, and to the fact that he had since the 19th

    century been greatly involved with the soap business in

    Britain. Located at No 1 Billings Way Oregun, Ikeja,

    Nigeria, Unilever Nigeria Plc started as a soap

    manufacturing company, and is today one of the oldest

    surviving manufacturing organizations in Nigeria.

    After series of mergers/acquisitions, the company

    diversified into manufacturing and marketing of foods,

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    non-soapy detergents and personal care products. These

    mergers/acquisitions brought in Lipton Nigeria Ltd in

    1985, Cheesebrough Ponds Industries Ltd in 1988. The

    company changed its name to Unilever Nigeria Plc in

    2001.

    Unilever Nigeria Plc was considered the case study of this

    research work because their brands are household

    favorites and the company is so deeply committed to

    meet the everyday needs of people everywhere inNigeria. Also, they have been a socially responsible and

    responsive organization that takes strategic actions for

    the improvement of the communities and environments

    in which it operates. The company has made provision for

    assistance in fields of health, education/children welfare

    and potable water/hygiene as part of its social

    responsibility programme in the Nigerian

    communities. The food and nutrition department of the

    company was chosen because of the fast rising growth of

    the need of their brands ranging from blue band to lipton

    tea, royco cube to knorr seasoning cube, the need growsexceedingly.

    1.3 LITERATURE REVIEW

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    Materson (1981) concluded that customer service

    delivery and customer loyalty goes hand in hand-when a

    service is delivered exceptionally it then follows that the

    customer will be satisfied and will be loyal to the services

    rendered. According to him, customer service deliverance

    taps into business, marketing, and psychological research

    and practices to provide a satisfied customer. Customer

    service delivery also provides a framework for customer

    service as a process and an outcome. Customer

    expectations, loyalty satisfaction, product versus service

    delivery, measurement, brand equity, regional and

    cultural differences, and organizational impact are the

    factors revolving in the carrying out of a good business

    and hence will gain the loyalty of customers.

    According to Kelvin (1982), service quality is generally

    viewed as the output of the service delivery system,

    especially in the case of pure service systems. Moreover,

    service quality is linked to consumer satisfaction.

    Although there is no consensus in the research

    community about the direction of causality relatingquality and satisfaction, the common assumption is that

    service quality leads to satisfied customers. He cited an

    example of customers leaving a restaurant or hotel and

    asked if they were satisfied with the service they

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    received. If they answer "no," then we tend to assume

    service was poor. Direct service providers, such as

    waitresses, also note that at times the best service efforts

    are criticized because the customer's perceptions of the

    service are clouded by being in a bad mood or having a

    disagreement with someone just before arriving at the

    restaurant. These service providers recognize that in

    practice the influence of service quality on customer

    satisfaction is affected by other factors, one of which is

    the customers themselves.

    Russell and Kabanuk (1983) summarize two studies

    conducted to improve the emergency service delivery in

    St. Albert, a small city near Edmonton, Alberta. The first

    study dealt with selecting the location of a new fire

    station. The goals of the study included an assessment of

    the performance of the current system, an identification

    of the areas) with poor coverage, a selection of a site

    among a set of given candidate locations, and an

    assessment of the improvement in the system

    performance upon the addition of the new fire station. Ageographical information system was used for storing and

    displaying the spatial data, computing service areas for

    given travel times, and for communicating the results of

    the study. The second study considered an evaluation of

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    the resources available for emergency service. A

    probabilistic model was used to evaluate labor costs for

    different platoon sizes and a simulation model was used

    to evaluate the adequacy of the current staff and fleet

    sizes. They both concluded that there may be

    deterioration in the quality of the service in the near

    future for the following reasons:

    1. The city's population is growing and (perhaps more

    importantly) aging. This increases the call rate.

    2. Recent changes to the health care system resulted in

    patients being discharged earlier from hospitals and

    persons with a higher level of acuity being taken care

    of at home or in non-hospital care environments. This

    results in increased call rates for ambulances.

    3. The city is planning an expansion. Three new

    developments have been approved. This increases

    the total area that has to be covered (as well as the

    population).

    4. The current Firefighter/EMS staff is aging which

    decreases the amount of time they are available

    (vacation entitlement and sick leave usage increase

    with length of service and age respectively), and age

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    may increase risk of injury. In addition, as the current

    staff retires, there will be significant loss of

    experience.

    Nowell (1987) in his publication on improved service

    delivery stated that proper service delivery helps

    companies deal more effectively with an open,

    collaborative and complex service creation environment

    by facilitating the development and deployment of new

    services from both internal and third-party sources. Healso said that proper service delivery provides the

    infrastructure and common business functions that can

    drive high performance by helping providers create,

    deliver and manage a wide range of products and

    services for consumers and enterprises more quickly, and

    at lower cost and risk.

    Vaux and Vismann (2005) concluded that delivery of

    services such as health and education can play an

    important role in the context of conflict. The distribution

    of resources and their accessibility to different groups can

    address existing social inequalities. On the other hand, it

    can heighten them. Equity and inclusiveness are critical

    to ensuring that service delivery promotes sustainable

    peace. They are also indicators of sustainable peace.

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    However, because peace-building has rarely been an

    explicit objective of interventions, it is difficult to gauge

    the effectiveness and impact of service delivery in this

    regard.

    There are a number of issues that can help maximize the

    capacity of service delivery to promote sustainable

    peace. These include the need for strategic analysis and

    an integrated approach, supporting equitable distribution

    of, and access to, resources. Also important are:

    legitimacy, representing the poor, empowering women

    and harnessing non-state actors within a regulatory

    framework.

    According to them, service delivery does the following:

    1. touch on issues of legitimacy.

    2. strengthens the representation of poor people

    through user groups, parents associations and civil

    society organizations.

    3. engagement of the poor in decision-making takes

    time, particularly when people are most concerned

    with meeting their immediate needs.

    4. This is particularly true for women, who usually

    have responsibility for child-

    care and the strongest interest in delivery of

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    services, but who may be under-represented in user

    groups.

    5.Choices between state and non-state actors need to

    reflect the interests of poor people.6.Systems of public accountability are required and,

    where service delivery is privatized, the state will

    need to ensure socially responsible regulation.

    Then with regards to conflict, service delivery can

    1. Promote sustainable peacebuilding, interventionsneed to be developed through ongoing strategic

    analysis of the causes of conflict and the role of

    different actors in conflict and development.

    2. Enable the identification of indicators to gauge more

    accurately the positive and negative impact of the

    support provided.

    3. Prompt early government prioritization of policy

    reform and allocation of resources for service

    delivery are critical to development actors.

    4. Reform of services as countries emerge from conflict

    provides important opportunities for ensuring the

    representation of poor people in the formation of

    service delivery policy.

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    5.Through reform provide opportunities for

    strengthening local ownership of these services

    through ongoing monitoring.

    Parmita and Zhao (2005) in their publication on service

    delivery noted that one of the key challenges of the

    Internet as a service delivery channel is how they

    manage service quality, which holds a significant

    importance to customer satisfaction. The purpose of this

    research was to gain a better understanding of theservice quality dimensions that affect customer

    satisfaction in the Internet banking sector from a

    consumer perspective. Based on a detailed literature

    review, a frame of reference was developed. Five service

    quality dimensions were selected to be tested in the

    Internet banking sector in order to explore the

    relationship between service quality and customer

    satisfaction. A qualitative research approach was used to

    get a better understanding of this issue. However, a small

    quantitative survey was also conducted to support the

    results obtained from the qualitative study. The empiricaldata were gathered through in-depth interviews with four

    people by using a semi-structured questionnaire and a

    survey were conducted with 25 people. Data presentation

    and analysis were done in accordance with the research

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    questions and the frame of reference. Finally, in the last

    chapter findings and conclusions were drawn by

    answering the research questions. Nine service quality

    dimensions in Internet banking were identified in this

    study (i.e., efficiency, reliability, responsiveness,

    fulfillment, privacy, communication, personalization,

    technology update, and logistic/technical support). The

    quality performance of all the nine dimensions was shown

    to have a strong impact on customer satisfaction.

    Efficiency, reliability, responsiveness, fulfillment, privacy

    was found to be the core service quality dimensions in

    Internet banking. Finally, technology update and logistical

    or technical support was two new dimensions found in

    this study.

    Karen (2007) reported that the results of a review of the

    Chinese- and Englishlanguage literatures on service

    delivery in China, asking how well China's health-care

    providers perform and what determines their

    performance. Although data and methodological

    limitations suggest caution in drawing conclusions, acritical reading of the available evidence suggests that

    current health service delivery in China leaves room for

    improvement, in terms of quality, responsiveness to

    patients, efficiency, cost escalation, and equity. The

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    literature suggests that these problems will not be solved

    by simply shifting ownership to the private sector or by

    simply encouraging providerspublic and privateto

    compete with one another for individual patients. By

    contrast, substantial improvements could be (and in

    some places have already been) made by changing the

    way providers are paidshifting away from feeforservice

    and the distorted price schedule. Other elements of

    active purchasing by insurers could further improve

    outcomes. Rigorous evaluations, based on richer micro-

    level data, could considerably strengthen the evidence

    base for service delivery policy in China

    Onil (2008) using the method of environmental scan of

    peer-reviewed and grey literature was use to select

    exemplars of innovation. A case series of organizations

    was purposively sampled to maximize variation. He

    examined these cases using content analysis and

    constant comparison to characterize their strategies,

    focusing on business processes.

    In his conclusion, he stated that private sector

    organizations demonstrate a range of innovations in

    health service delivery that have the potential to better

    serve the Poors health needs and be replicated.

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    However, more rigorous evaluations are needed to

    investigate the impact and quality of health services

    provided and determine the effectiveness of particular

    strategies.

    Robert (2009)saw delivery as"D" is for Dedicated. The

    moment a customer needs help, the dedicated customer

    service representative swings into action. "E" is for

    Empowered. The empowered customer service

    representative is given what he needs to be able toprovide outstanding customer service. "L" is for Linked.

    The members of a customer care team must work

    together and share information. "I" is for Informed. In the

    past the customer service department was often

    neglected by management. Representatives, seen as

    workers at the bottom of the totem pole, went untrained

    and uninformed. Workers of a company should be

    informed in all aspects of the company and its products

    and services. "V" is for Valued. Before customer service

    representatives can value their work and your customers,

    you must show them that you value them. "E" is forExperienced. An experienced customer service

    representative learns to be knowledgeable but not overly

    technical with customers. "R" is for Representative. The

    customer service representative should always act in the

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    best interests of the company. "Y" is for "Your

    Responsibility." The customer service representative

    accepts responsibility for his role as a front-line

    representative for the company. He knows that to a

    customer, he is the company.

    According to Jones and Paul (2009) Statistics are used by

    all industries and businesses as a standardized unity of

    measurement for presenting data in a useful and

    meaningful format. Statistics can be used to measure

    historical performance and to forecast future targets. For

    business managers and leaders, statistics provide insight

    into how business units are performing relative to an

    organizations goals and objectives. Statistics also

    forecast future trends and are in all areas of humanthought an endeavor for planning purposes. Statistics are

    used in all areas of trade and commerce. Governments

    frequently undertake studies for the purposes of

    formulating policy and business use data to identify what

    is currently working and what is not. Business initiatives

    are altered to improve organizational performance based

    on feedback from statistical studies. Advertising

    companies use statistics to assess target markets and

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    formulate campaigns. Marketers use statistics to identify

    opportunities for business development.

    CHAPTER TWO

    2.0 COLLECTION OF DATA

    2.1 METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION

    The method of data collection used for this research work

    is the method of Registration. It is an unpublished data

    because it took a lot of time, effort, money and the

    required level of confidentiality is very high.

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    2

    2.2 DATA PRESENTATION

    The data collected is the most sensitive data of the

    Department of Sales considering its statistical usage is

    considered. It comprises of the sum total of the sale of

    each brand (Blue band, Lipton, Knorr and Royco) for the

    last ten (10) consecutive years and the number of

    employed staff in the factory department as well.

    Aggregate of Quantity of product sold in carton/month

    Years Blue

    Band

    Lipton Knorr Royco

    2000 140016 141040 144042 145093

    2001 139709 140004 150011 1473722002 141083 142381 145273 1463652003 142205 143605 146202 1448282004 144018 145679 147213 1463692005 140099 144873 147346 1478682006 143259 143382 147458 1494532007 143910 144691 146444 1463132008 143400 145022 146523 1460012009 144458 146343 148019 147072

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    2

    Years 200

    0

    200

    1

    200

    2

    200

    3

    200

    4

    200

    5

    200

    6

    200

    7

    200

    8

    200

    9Number of

    Staff

    30 32 32 34 38 43 51 43 40 47

    2.3 THE PRODUCTS

    2.3.1 Blue Band

    BlueBand GoodStart margarine is one of the brands under

    the group name - Family Brand in Unilever. Unilever was

    the first company to commercially produce margarine in

    1878, through its founding Dutch company, Margarine

    Unie, as an affordable alternative to butter. Unilever is

    the worlds leading margarine manufacturer. Our

    products contain high-quality vegetable oils that are a

    good source of essential fats and vitamins (A, D, E) whichwe all need to develop and maintain a healthy body and

    enjoy a lifestyle full of vitality. Consuming fat does not

    necessarily make you fat. If you cut out all the fat in your

    diet, your body will derive energy from carbohydrates or

    proteins instead. So, without eating fat, you could still be

    obese and moreover, you would be depriving your body

    of essential fatty acid which your body cannot produce on

    its own and the protein it needs t build body cells. As long

    as the energy you consume is equal to the energy you

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    expend, you will not become fat! 15 30 minutes of

    physical activity a day is recommended to keep fit and

    health and to prevent obesity heart disease and diabetes.

    2.3.2 Knorr Cube

    Knorr believes that every meal is an opportunity for

    family bonding and everyday meals can be just as

    magical as special occasions. Food is not just fuel, it

    really is the glue of life. This conviction lies at the heart of

    Knorr's successit is Unilever's no. 1 brand. A passion for

    good food goes right back to Knorr's earliest days. The

    business was formed in 1838, when founder Carl Heinrich

    Knorr pioneered experiments in drying seasonings and

    vegetables to preserve their flavour and nutritional value.

    Since then Knorr has become an international brandoffering a wide range of bouillons, soups, seasonings,

    sauces, soupy snacks, dressings and frozen and ready

    made meals. Knorr products owe their tastes and flavours

    to the culinary skills of its chefs. Knorr embodies a truly

    global cuisine, which began when the globe-trotting sons

    of its founder started importing new ideas from overseas.

    The tradition stands today and Knorr's drive for

    innovation still centres around its original factory in

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    Heilbronn where international teams of chefs contribute

    to product innovation.

    2.3.3 Lipton Tea

    Lipton is one of the world's great refreshment brands,

    making a big splash in the global beverages market

    with tea that is a healthy and refreshing alternative to

    soft drinks. Lipton is painting the world yellow with a

    marketing campaign that represents all that Lipton

    stands for - brightness, vitality and fun with natural

    goodness. Born in 1850, Thomas Johnstone Lipton was a

    pioneering entrepreneur who, by 1880s, had opened

    grocery shops all over the UK. He had a vision of making

    tea accessible to all at acceptable prices, with

    guaranteed quality. In the 1890s, his Lipton teas enjoyedgreat success in the UK and the US. Lipton first came

    to Nigeria in 1959 under the Van Den Bergh Foods

    company. In 1972 however, Unilever acquired the world

    wide Lipton Tea Business. Lipton became

    Unilever Nigerias brand in 1985. The tea blend is

    imported from Kenya and packed into teabags in the

    factory at Agbara in Ogun State in the Western part

    of Nigeria.

    2.3.4 Royco

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    Royco believes that everyone should be able to prepare

    and enjoy good food, every single day of the week. Good

    food has the magic of touching all our senses, with

    exciting aroma, good taste and actually putting smiles on

    our faces. A touch of Royco to your meals will definitely

    transform every meal moment and make it very special.

    You will not know, until you have experienced the New

    Royco Goat Meat Flavour. In our quest to provide our

    cherished consumers with the best bouillon product, the

    new Royco Goat Meat Flavor that is perfect with

    vegetable soup was developed. This new product is:

    1.) Tastier than ever.

    2.) Crumbles smoothly.

    3.) Full of flavor and less salty.

    The aroma of Royco easily whittles away the miles and

    years, so that no matter where you are in the office, at

    school, on a business trip, on vacation in a faraway land

    you become instantly reunited with the people and

    memories you cherish the most. Food is a key ingredient

    in the make-up of the home. While it unites the members

    of a home, it can also differentiate one home from

    another. In other words, food also gives each home its

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    identity! Only Royco gives that familiar taste of home

    cooking.

    http://www.unilevernigeria.com/brands

    CHAPTER THREE

    3.0 DATA ANALYSIS

    The rate of service delivery can be measured with the

    rate of sales of the product and the number of staff or the

    numerical staff strength of the Department of Food and

    Nutrition Unilever Nigeria Plc. A steady growth in the rate

    of sales and employment depicts good or quality service

    delivery, hence, the otherwise.

    3.1 Test for Normality

    X fi Ui = Xi A

    C

    fiui fiui2 fiui

    3 fiui4

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    2

    0 142547.

    75

    -4.5 -641464.88

    2886591.94

    -12989663.72

    58453486.73

    1 144274 -3.5 -504959 1767356.5 -6185747.75 21650117.13

    2 143775.

    5

    -2.5 -359438.75

    898596.88 -2246492.19 5616230.47

    3 144210 -1.5 -216315 324472.5 -486708.75 730063.134 145819.

    75

    -0.5 -72909.88 36454.94 -2278.43 569.61

    5 145046.

    5

    0.5 72523.25 36261.63 18130.81 9065.41

    6 145888 1.5 218832 328248 492372 7385587 145339.

    5

    2.5 363348.75 908371.88 2270929.69 5677324.22

    8 145236.

    5

    3.5 508327.75 1779147.13

    6227014.94 21794552.28

    9 146473 4.5 659128.5 2966078.25

    13347352.13 60063084.56

    M11 = C

    1

    n

    i i

    i

    f u=

    1

    n

    i

    i

    f=

    = 1 (27072.74)1448610.5

    = 0.0187

    M21 = C

    1

    n

    i i

    i

    f u=

    2

    1

    n

    i

    i

    f=

    = 1 (11931579.65)1448610.5

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    2

    = 8.2366

    M31 = C

    1

    n

    i i

    i

    f u=

    3

    1

    n

    i

    i

    f=

    = 1 (444908.73)1448610.5

    = 0.3071

    M41 = C

    1

    n

    i i

    i

    f u=

    4

    1

    n

    i

    i

    f=

    = 1 (174733051.5)1448610.5

    = 120.6211

    M2 = M21 (M1

    1)2

    = 8.2366 (0.0187)

    2

    = 8.2363

    M4 = M41 4M1

    1 M31 + 6(M1

    1)2 (M21 ) 3(M1

    1)4

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    2

    = 120.6211 4(0.0187)( 0.3071) +

    6(0.0187)2(8.2366) 3(0.0187)4

    = 120.6211 0.023 + 0.0173 0

    = 120.6154

    4 = M4(M2)

    2

    4 = 120.6154(8.2363)2 = 1.778

    The lower and upper class limits in the table for departure

    from normality are 2.83 and 3.18. Hence, 4 = 1.778 does

    not lie within the limit, we conclude that the data are not

    normally distributed.

    Since our data does not follow the normal distribution, we

    resort to the non-parametric test to achieve our aims.

    3.2.1 Test on the rate of sales

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    3

    Years (Xi) Yj - Yi Avg. Sales Yi

    i j

    ve