SALT Company Presentation - Scorpio Bulkers€¦ · statement, the preliminary prospectus...
Transcript of SALT Company Presentation - Scorpio Bulkers€¦ · statement, the preliminary prospectus...
SALT Company PresentationNovember 2018
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This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements reflect Scorpio Tanker Inc.’s (“Scorpio’s”) current views with respect to future
events and financial performance. The words “believe,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “plan,” “potential,” “may,” “should,”
“expect” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon
various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of
historical operating trends, data contained in Scorpio’s records and other data available from third parties. Although Scorpio believes that these
assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies
which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond Scorpio’s control, Scorpio cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these
expectations, beliefs, projections or future financial performance.
Risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the failure of counterparties to fully perform their contracts with Scorpio, the strength of
world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand
in the tanker vessel markets, changes in Scorpio’s operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the fuel
efficiency of our vessels, the market for Scorpio's vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, charter counterparty performance, ability to
obtain financing and comply with covenants in such financing arrangements, changes in governmental and environmental rules and
regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities including those that may limit the commercial useful lives of tankers, potential liability from
pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents or
political events, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports Scorpio files with, or furnishes to, the Securities and
Exchange Commission, or the Commission, and the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE. Scorpio undertakes no obligation to update or revise
any forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of Scorpio's future performance, and actual results and
future developments may vary materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
Scorpio has filed a registration statement (including a base prospectus) and has or expects to file a preliminary prospectus supplement with the
Commission for the offering to which this communication relates. Before you invest, you should read the prospectus in that registration
statement, the preliminary prospectus supplement and other documents Scorpio files with, or furnishes to, the SEC for more complete
information about Scorpio and this offering. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov.
Disclaimer and Forward-looking Statements
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This presentation describes time charter equivalent revenue, or TCE revenue, which is not a measure prepared in accordance with IFRS (i.e. a
"Non-IFRS" measure). TCE revenue is presented here because we believe that it provide investors with a means of evaluating and
understanding how the Company's management evaluates the Company's operating performance. This Non-IFRS measure should not be
considered in isolation from, as substitute for, or superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.
The Company believes that the presentation of TCE revenue is useful to investors because it facilitates the comparability and the evaluation of
companies in the Company’s industry. In addition, the Company believes that TCE revenue is useful in evaluating its operating performance
compared to that of other companies in the Company’s industry. The Company’s definition of TCE revenue may not be the same as reported
by other companies in the shipping industry or other industries. For a reconciliation of TCE revenue to revenue, please see the Appendix of
this presentation.
Unless otherwise indicated, information contained in this presentation concerning Scorpio’s industry and the market in which it operates,
including its general expectations about its industry, market position, market opportunity and market size, is based on data from various
sources including internal data and estimates as well as third party sources widely available to the public such as independent industry
publications, government publications, reports by market research firms or other published independent sources. Internal data and estimates
are based upon this information as well as information obtained from trade and business organizations and other contacts in the markets in
which Scorpio operates and management’s understanding of industry conditions. This information, data and estimates involve a number of
assumptions and limitations, are subject to risks and uncertainties, and are subject to change based on various factors, including those
discussed above. You are cautioned not to give undue weight to such information, data and estimates. While Scorpio believes the market and
industry information included in this presentation to be generally reliable, it has not independently verified any third-party information or verified
that more recent information is not available.
Disclaimer and Forward-looking Statements (Cont’d)
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Company Overview
Scorpio Bulkers Inc. (“Scorpio” or the “Company”) owns
or finance leases 56 mid-size dry bulk ‘Eco’ vessels with
an average age of 2.8 years and time charters in one
vessel
The Company is headquartered in Monaco, and
incorporated in the Marshall Islands, making it exempt
from U.S. income tax. It has NYSE-compliant governance
and transparency for foreign private issuers and is listed
under the ticker “SALT”
• Scorpio’s strategy is to:
✓ Capture rising freight rates by employing
vessels in the spot market through the Scorpio
Ultramax and Scorpio Kamsarmax pools
✓ Operate vessels efficiently and minimize costs
✓ Maintain a strong balance sheet through
conservative leverage
✓ Take advantage of market dislocation to
opportunistically grow fleet
Key Facts Fleet Profile
Low Average Age vs. Worldwide Fleet
37
19
1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Ultramax Kamsarmax
Owned TC/BB Chartered-In
3.02.5
8.79.2
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Handymax/Ultramax Panamax/Kamsarmax
Scorpio Bulkers Active Fleet
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Q3-18 Corporate & Financial Highlights
Q3-2018
Financial Results
• GAAP Net Loss of $0.4 million / Loss per Share of $0.01 (includes $0.03 write off of deferred
financing costs)
• EBITDA of $28.8 million and cash flow from operations of $18.6 million
TCE
• Ultramax TCE of $11,342 per day in Q3 2018
• Ultramax TCE of $13,388 per day booked to date in Q4 2018
• Kamsarmax TCE of $13,649 per day in Q3 2018
• Kamsarmax TCE of $14,382 per day booked to date in Q4 2018
Time Charter Coverage• Entered into Time Charters for 11 vessels at rates of $14,500-$16,500 per day that end in 1H
2019
Liquidity • Liquidity position as of October 19, 2018 is $58.0 million in cash
Investment in Scorpio
Tankers Inc.
• Invested $100 million in a related party, Scorpio Tankers Inc. for approximately 54.1 million
shares, or 10.9% of Scorpio Tankers’ issued and outstanding shares
Stock Buyback Program
• From July 1, 2018 to October 12, 2018, approximately 1.8 million shares were purchased by
the Company under its share buyback program at a cost of $6.80 per share or $11.9 million in
aggregate
• The Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase plan for the repurchase of up to
$50.0m of our common stock, replacing the existing authorization
Dividend• The Company’s Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.02 per share on October 19,
2018
Fleet Development
• Agreed letters of intent to cover the purchase and installation of exhaust gas cleaning systems
between Q2 2019 and Q3 2020 for a cost of between $1.5m - $2.2m per vessel
• Anticipated to be financed at 60-70%
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Company Highlights
Youngest ECO dry bulk
fleet ✓• High specification best-in-class fleet built at top tier yards with an
average age of 2.8 years, youngest fleet among publicly listed peers
Attractive Mid Size Segment ✓• Mid size cargo segment provides access to all types of dry cargo
commodities and is strongly correlated to global GDP growth
Positive & Increasing
EBITDA ✓• $28.8 million in EBITDA in Q3-18, the ninth consecutive quarter of
positive EBITDA
Significant trading liquidity
and inside ownership ✓• One of the most liquid dry bulk stocks with around $3.2 million in
trading liquidity per day and insider ownership of 23%
Well prepared for BWT
system & IMO 2020
regulation ✓
• Fleet is already fully fitted with BWT systems, no capex required
• Scrubbers manage the downside risk of rising fuel prices and provide
upside potential through fuel savings
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Youngest & Largest Fleet in Mid Size Segment
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
6.1
10.3
10.6
8.2
11.9
8.9
8.6
2.8
29
32
32
39
49
47
72
56
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0
Golden Ocean
Genco
Diana
Safe Bulkers
Navios MH
Eagle Bulk
Star Bulk
Scorpio Bulkers
# of Owned Handymax/Panamax Vessels Average Age
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$3,462
$5,335
$7,083 $7,238
$8,230 $8,360
$8,949
$10,886
$9,757
$11,569$11,342
$13,388
$3,331
$5,263
$6,349
$7,401
$9,164 $9,273 $9,211
$12,605$12,881 $12,823
$13,649
$14,382
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18*
Ultramax Kamsarmax
Strengthening Market for Our Vessels
• The increase in reported TCE earnings over the last 2 plus years has defied traditional seasonality, and
in the face of record newbuild deliveries, shows the underlying strength of the market and supports the
continuation of the market recovery
February 10, 2016 BDI hits 40 year
low
* Projections based on 47% and 49% of the days for the Ultramax fleet and Kamsarmax fleet, respectively as of October 17, 2018.
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-$28.8
-$19.2-$16.2
-$14.1
-$9.9
-$6.2-$4.1
$6.0$2.9
$10.6 $9.4
-$35
-$30
-$25
-$20
-$15
-$10
-$5
$0
$5
$10
$15
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18
-$27.5
-$18.1
-$4.5-$2.1 -$1.7
$2.5$5.3
$13.5$11.1
$21.1$18.6
-$35
-$25
-$15
-$5
$5
$15
$25
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18
$17.0
$5.8$1.3 $0.9
$7.3$10.8 $12.4
$22.9$20.4
$28.1 $28.8
-$30
-$20
-$10
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18
$10.2
$17.4
$23.9$26.8
$34.7$37.7 $38.6
$51.1$54.3
$60.6$62.5
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18
Financial Performance Summary
Operating Cash Flow EBIT
Revenue EBITDA
Figures in $USD millions.
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Industry Regulations
IMO 2020 Ballast Water Treatment Systems
• The International Maritime Organization (IMO) will
require shipowners to reduce sulfur emissions from 3.5%
currently to 0.5% in January 2020.
How will Scorpio comply?
• The Company plans to install scrubbers on substantially
all of its owned and finance leased Kamsarmax and
Ultramax vessels between the second quarter of 2019
and the third quarter of 2020.
• The majority of scrubber installations will be coordinated
with scheduled dry docks, reducing the amount of off hire
• The Scrubbers and their installation will cost between
$1.5 - $2.2 million per vessel, and the Company
anticipates that between 60-70% of these costs will be
financed.
• The IMO will require all vessels trading internationally to a
install ballast water treatment system (BWTS) after
September 8, 2019 at their next special survey.
• BWT systems for small to mid size modern vessels cost at
least $450,000 per vessel based on $350,000 for
equipment and $100,000 for installation
• Retrofits on older, existing ships, can be more challenging
and expensive as they were designed without the space in
the engine room to fit BWTS (see how large these BWTS
are)
How will Scorpio comply?
All 56 of SALT’s vessels are fitted
with BWT systems
No $25.2 million in future capex
(56 vessels x $450,000)
Scrubbers manage the downside
risk of rising fuel prices and provide
upside potential through fuel savings
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Market Update
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Fleet Focused on Mid Size Asset Classes
Vessel Type DWT CargoesVessels
Owned
Handysize/Handymax < 50,000 Grain, minor bulks -
Supramax/Ultramax 50,000-64,000Iron ore, coal,
grain, minor bulks37
Panamax/Kamsarmax 65,000-100,000
Iron ore, coal,
grain, bauxite,
steel
19
Capesize >100,000 Iron ore, coal -
Major Bulks: Iron ore, coal, grain
Minor Bulks: Bauxite, steel, scrap, cement, salt, forest products, potash/fertilizer, coke, nickel ore, sugar.
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Cargo Carriage 2018 YTD
Kamsarmax Ultramax
Coal Products,
33%
Grain Products,
15%Minerals, 15%
Steel products,
11%
Ore, 7%
Fertiliser, 5% Others, 14%
Coal Products,
59%
Grain Products,
18%
Ore, 14%
Minerals, 7%Others, 1%
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Industry Highlights
✓ Ton mile demand driven by solid global GDP growth and industrial production
✓ Baltic supramax and panamax average earnings indices near their 10 year
average
✓ Strong spot rates and future expectations push assets values for young vessels
above newbuilds
✓ Growing dry bulk demand in major and minor bulks
✓ Limited fleet growth in mid size segments due to lowest newbuilding orders since
2007 (excluding 2016)
✓ Potential for accelerated scrapping given age profile and upcoming
environmental regulations
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Synchronized Global Industrial Production
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
Aug-13 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18
Atlantic Region Industrial Production Growth Pacific Region Industrial Production Growth
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Vessel Earnings Continue to Increase
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
Baltic Supramax Avg of 6 T/C Routes
Baltic Panamax Avg of 4 T/C Routes
$0
$4,000
$8,000
$12,000
$16,000
$20,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$/D
ay
Baltic Supramax Avg Earnings FY-16 FY-17 FY-18 10 Yr Avg
$0
$4,000
$8,000
$12,000
$16,000
$20,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$/d
ay
Baltic Panamax Average Earnings FY-16 FY-17 FY-18 10 Yr Avg
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Asset Values Continue to Recover, With Room to Grow
Figures in million US$, Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
Resale defined as to be delivered before year end of less than one year old.
$1 million increase in asset values equates to $0.74 in NAV per share
Current rates and future expectations push
values for young vessels above newbuilds
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
Nov-10 May-11 Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 May-15 Nov-15 May-16 Nov-16 May-17 Nov-17 May-18 Nov-18
Ultramax NB Kamsarmax NB Ultramax Resale Kamsarmax Resale
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Dry Bulk Demand Continues Steady Growth
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
2009-2018
Iron Ore Coal Grains Minor Bulks Total Dry Bulk
CAGR 5.9% 5.2% 5.8% 4.4% 5.1%
Mill
ion
To
nn
es
3,401
3,821
4,068
4,302
4,558
4,816 4,812 4,892
5,095 5,215
5,338
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (f) 2019 (f)
Iron Ore Coal Grain Minor Bulk
19
7.3%
2.0%
4.9%
1.5% 1.6% 0.0%3.1% 2.9% 3.2%
-0.5%
9.4%
5.2%
12.2%
5.3% 4.9%6.1%
1.3%2.5%
7.8%
11.3%
6.4%
2.9%
-6.5%
0.2%
5.3%4.0%
2.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e
Minor Bulks Grains Coal
Steady Growth in Our Primary Cargoes
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
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Limited Fleet Growth in Mid Size Segments
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
Ultramax scrapping assumptions: 2018 (0.8m dwt), 2019 (1.6m dwt), 2020 (3.5m dwt)
Kamsarmax scrapping assumption: 2018 (0.5m dwt), 2019 (1 m dwt), 2020 (5.7m dwt)
2.8%
2.8%1.2%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
-10
0
10
20
30
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e
(mill
ion
DW
T)
Demolition Delivery Net Fleet Growth
ForecastActual
21
302512
1,064778
921
157
267
369
677
706 432
221
569
881
1,741
1,4841,353
378
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2009 2010-2012 2013-2015 2016-2018 YTD
# o
f V
esse
ls
Newbuilding Orders in Three Year Periods
Historically Low Ordering
Newbuilding orders for ultramax
and kamsarmax vessels, aside
from 2016, are at their lowest
level since 2001
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
46 101 155 112 120
280
567
361
136
455
214109
504
278139
1985 53
28
91
14899 101
169
358
238
81
473
152
81
202
150
805
14175
74
192
303
211 221
449
925
599
217
928
366
190
706
428
219
24
226
128
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD
# o
f V
esse
ls
Newbuilding Orders Per Year: 2001-2018 YTDHandymax/Ultramax Panamax/Kamsarmax
22
Historically Low Scrapping
Scrapping 2018 YTD is at its lowest levels since 2007
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
2
1129
9
47
104
8072 71
96
67
14
2 17
32
9
76
127
74
69
96
117
49
2
4
28
61
18
123
231
154
141
167
213
116
16
0
50
100
150
200
250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
# o
f V
essels
Handymax Scrapping Panamax Scrapping
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Scrapping Expected to Increase
Newbuild Deliveries (2018-2020) vs. Vessels over 20 Years Old in 2020
• Potential acceleration in scrapping of older tonnage due to:
• Age: significant number of vessels 20 years and older in the mid size segment
• Environmental regulations: Increasing fuel costs of older less fuel efficient tonnage (IMO 2020)
and cap ex for BWT systems
There will be more potential scrapping candidates (20+ years) than newbuildings
delivered between 2018-2020
Source: Clarksons Research Services, November 2018
253300
-387
-298
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
Ultramax Kamsarmax
# o
f V
essels
NB Deliveries (2018-2020) 20 Years & Older in 2020
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Appendix
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Time Charter-Out Agreements
Vessel TypeEarliest Redelivery
DateRate/day
SBI Jaguar Ultramax April 2019 $16,000
SBI Ursa Ultramax June 2019 $15,000
SBI Tango Ultramax March 2019 $14,500
SBI Cougar Ultramax March 2019 $16,500
SBI Echo Ultramax February 2019 $15,000
SBI Thalia Ultramax April 2019 $16,500
SBI Lyra Ultramax April 2019 $16,500
SBI Bolero Kamsarmax May 2019 $14,500
SBI Macarena Kamsarmax February 2019 $16,000
SBI Samba Kamsarmax April 2019 $15,500
SBI Mazurka Kamsarmax May 2019 $16,000
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Fleet List
Owned & Finance Leased Vessels
# Name Year Yard Type # Name Year Yard Type
1 SBI Athena 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 29 SBI Aries 2015 Chengxi Ultramax
2 SBI Bravo 2015 Nacks Ultramax 30 SBI Gemini 2015 Chengxi Ultramax
3 SBI Antares 2015 Nacks Ultramax 31 SBI Taurus 2015 Chengxi Ultramax
4 SBI Leo 2015 Dacks Ultramax 32 SBI Pisces 2016 Chengxi Ultramax
5 SBI Echo 2015 Imabari Ultramax 33 SBI Virgo 2017 Chengxi Ultramax
6 SBI Lyra 2015 Dacks Ultramax 34 SBI Libra 2017 Chengxi Ultramax
7 SBI Subaru 2015 Dacks Ultramax 35 SBI Puma 2014 Chengxi Ultramax
8 SBI Tango 2015 Imabari Ultramax 36 SBI Jaguar 2014 Chengxi Ultramax
9 SBI Maia 2015 Nacks Ultramax 37 SBI Cougar 2015 Chengxi Ultramax
10 SBI Hydra 2015 Nacks Ultramax 38 SBI Samba 2015 Imabari Kamsarmax
11 SBI Pegasus 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 39 SBI Rumba 2015 Imabari Kamsarmax
12 SBI Ursa 2015 Dacks Ultramax 40 SBI Capoeira 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax
13 SBI Thalia 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 41 SBI Electra 2015 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax
14 SBI Cronos 2015 Imabari Ultramax 42 SBI Carioca 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax
15 SBI Orion 2015 Chengxi Ultramax 43 SBI Conga 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax
16 SBI Achilles 2016 Imabari Ultramax 44 SBI Flamenco 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax
17 SBI Hercules 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 45 SBI Bolero 2015 Hudong Kamsarmax
18 SBI Perseus 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 46 SBI Sousta 2016 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax
19 SBI Hermes 2016 Imabari Ultramax 47 SBI Rock 2016 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax
20 SBI Zeus 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 48 SBI Lambada 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax
21 SBI Hera 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 49 SBI Reggae 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax
22 SBI Hyperion 2016 Nacks Ultramax 50 SBI Zumba 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax
23 SBI Tethys 2016 Nacks Ultramax 51 SBI Macarena 2016 Hudong Kamsarmax
24 SBI Phoebe 2016 Chengxi Ultramax 52 SBI Parapara 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax
25 SBI Poseidon 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 53 SBI Mazurka 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax
26 SBI Apollo 2016 Mitsui Ultramax 54 SBI Swing 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax
27 SBI Samson 2017 Chengxi Ultramax 55 SBI Jive 2017 Hudong Kamsarmax
28 SBI Phoenix 2017 Chengxi Ultramax 56 SBI Lynx 2018 Yangzijiang Kamsarmax