RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule...
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Transcript of RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule...
![Page 1: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
RVCOGAdvisory Committee Meeting
Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location FactorsAnd Analysis of RPS Growth Areas
February 28, 2006
![Page 2: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
RPS Assigned Basecase Assumptions
• URA Population based on RPS projections
• Base year population from July 2005 PSU
• Use the proposed mix of uses (Same Densities)
• Use the needs identified – Commercial, Industrial, Residential
• Use standardized buildable lands constraints
• Use Urban Reserve Rule priority of lands
![Page 3: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Population Modeling
• New 2005 PSU Estimates have only minor differences from 2000 base year estimate.
• Document modeling differences between Base Case population forecast, and population forecasts for other modeling (Housing Needs, Economic Opportunities Analysis, TPAU)
![Page 4: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Issues nearly resolved
• Consistent spatial and numerical data
• Consistent area-wide methodology and GIS data
• Fixed set of proposed growth areas
• Consistent buildable lands criteria
• Base Case Urban Reserve
![Page 5: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Base Case Approach
• Use GIS Analysis to rank all lands
• Develop “base case” urban reserves from ranked land
• Compare with RPS areas and forecast need
• Identify Conflicts
![Page 6: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Base Map
![Page 7: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Distance from Roads
¼ Mile Increments
Closer to Roads = Higher Priority
Farther out from Roads = Lower Priority Code Description Value
1 Within 1/ 2 Mile "10"2 Within 3/ 4 Miles "9"3 Within 1 Mile "8"4 Within 1 1/ 4 Mile "7"5 Within 1 1/ 2 Mile "6"6 Within 1 3/ 4 Mile "5"7 Within 2 Miles "4"8 Within 2 1/ 4 Miles "2"9 Within 2 1/ 2 "1"
10- 11 Greater than 2 1/ 2 Miles "0"
![Page 8: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Distance from UGB
¼ Mile Increments
Closer to UGB = Higher Priority
Farther out from UGB = Lower Priority Code Description Value
0 Within 1/ 4 Mile "10"1 Within 1/ 2 Mile "9"2 Within 3/ 4 Miles "8"3 Within 1 Mile "7"4 Within 1 1/ 4 Mile "6"5 Within 1 1/ 2 Mile "5"6 Within 1 3/ 4 Mile "4"7 Within 2 Miles "2"8 Within 2 1/ 4 Miles "1"9 Within 2 1/ 2 "0"
10 -19 Greater than 2 1/ 2 Miles "0"
![Page 9: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
EFU & Exception Lands
Exception Lands = Most desirable
EFU = Low priority for inclusion
Code Description Value 1 EFU Lands "1"
99 Exception Lands "10"999 Exceltion Lands (Urban Residential) "10"
![Page 10: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Slopes
Lower % Grade = More Desirable
Higher the % Grade = Less Desirable
Code Description Value5 0-5% Grade "10"
10 6-10% Grade "7"15 11-15% Grade "5"20 16-20% Grade "2"25 21-25% Grade "0"26 26% Grade or higher "0"
![Page 11: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Soils
Richer the Soil = Less desirable
Poorer the Soil = More desirable
Code Description Value0 No Value "1"1 Class 1 "1"3 Class 3 "3"4 Class 4 "4"6 Class 6 "8"7 Class 7 "9"8 Class 8 "10"
![Page 12: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Overlay all factors
![Page 13: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Combine all data and rank by total score.
The higher the value the more desirable for inclusion into urban reserves
![Page 14: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Convert to parcels and rank by total score to delineate new urban reserve areas
![Page 15: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Analysis of RPS and Base Case Growth Areas
• Standardized Buildable Lands Assumptions Applied - Removals– Floodway– Wetlands with 25’ Buffer– Streams – buffered 50’ and 25’ depending on class– Open Space Shapefile (Provided)– Public Lands Shapefile (Provided)– Exception land reduced 20% in capacity to account for existing
homes– TAC Recommendation: Developed sites than 1 du/ac - eliminate
• Compared buildable lands with defined land needs
![Page 16: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Base Case – 1636 acres
RPS – 2382 acres
Overlap – 921 acres
Central PointArea
Comparison
Current UGB (Acres) 2875Residential Capacity inside UGB (population) 2791Base Pop 2005 from PSU 15640Pop 2x Allocation 31665Population "New Residents" 21335Forecast in Excess of UGB Capacity 18544Gross Res Density of Growth Areas (supplied by RPS members) 6Res Land Need (acres) 1236Land Expected for Jobs 390Total Land Need for Jobs and Housing 1626Gross Area in RPS Growth Areas 2382
Legend
Base Case
RPS Growth Areas
Overlap
![Page 17: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Central Point
Location of RLRC Lands
![Page 18: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Central Point
Parcels coded byRank
Green - yellow =Values - 25-50 More desirable
Orange to red =Values - 0-24Less desirable
![Page 19: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Eagle Point
Area ComparisonBase Case – 873 acres
RPS – 1350 acres
Overlap – 319 acres
Current UGB (Acres) 1946Residential Capacity inside UGB (population) 6488Base Pop 2005 from PSU 7586Pop 2x Allocation 20744Population "New Residents" 13362Forecast in Excess of UGB Capacity 6874Gross Res Density of Growth Areas (supplied by RPS members) 6.5Res Land Need (acres) 375Land Expected for Jobs 491Total Land Need for Jobs and Housing 866Gross Area in RPS Growth Areas 1350
Legend
Base Case
RPS Growth Areas
Overlap
![Page 20: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Eagle Point
Location of RLRC Lands
![Page 21: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Eagle Point
Parcels coded byRank
Green - yellow =Values - 25-50 More desirable
Orange to red =Values - 0-24Less desirable
![Page 22: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Jacksonville
Area ComparisonBase Case – 594 acres
RPS – 518 acres
Overlap – 368 acres
Legend
Base Case
RPS Growth Areas
Overlap
Current UGB (Acres) 1219Residential Capacity inside UGB (population) 642Base Pop 2005 from PSU 2488Pop 2x Allocation 4208Population "New Residents" 2013Forecast in Excess of UGB Capacity 1371Gross Res Density of Growth Areas (supplied by RPS members) 1.2Res Land Need (acres) 539Land Expected for Jobs 55Total Land Need for Jobs and Housing 594Gross Area in RPS Growth Areas 518
The 470 acres of land to the south of Jacksonville has not been included in RPS growth area capacity. This issue will be resolved when further analysis on the amount of buidlable acreage can be determined.
![Page 23: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Jacksonville
Location of RLRC Lands
![Page 24: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Jacksonville
Parcels coded byRank
Green - yellow =Values - 25-50 More desirable
Orange to red =Values - 0-24Less desirable
![Page 25: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Medford
Area ComparisonBase Case – 2833 acres
RPS – 4579 acres
Overlap – 1645 acres
Current UGB (Acres) 18071Residential Capacity inside UGB (population) 51629Base Pop 2005 from PSU 70855Pop 2x Allocation 111068Population "New Residents" 90425Forecast in Excess of UGB Capacity 38796Gross Res Density of Growth Areas (supplied by RPS members) 8Res Land Need (acres) 2108Land Expected for Jobs 723Total Land Need for Jobs and Housing 2831Gross Area in RPS Growth Areas 4579
Legend
Base Case
RPS Growth Areas
Overlap
![Page 26: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Medford
Location of RLRC Lands
![Page 27: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Medford
Parcels coded byRank
Green - yellow =Values - 25-50 More desirable
Orange to red =Values - 0-24Less desirable
![Page 28: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
PhoenixArea
Comparison
Base Case – 575
RPS – 600
Overlap – 59
Current UGB (Acres) 1091Residential Capacity inside UGB (population) 2547Base Pop 2005 from PSU 4662Pop 2x Allocation 8129Population "New Residents" 4520Forecast in Excess of UGB Capacity 1973Gross Res Density of Growth Areas (supplied by RPS members) 6Res Land Need (acres) 143Land Expected for Jobs 423Total Land Need for Jobs and Housing 566Gross Area in RPS Growth Areas 600
At the request of Jackson County, Phoenix has agreed to include 266 acres of highly urbanizedrural land (labeled PH-3) between Medford and Phoenix as part of its proposed urban reserve. Because this area is fully built out, there is no assigned residential capacity. Legend
Base Case
RPS Growth Areas
Overlap
PH-3
![Page 29: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Phoenix
Location of RLRC Lands
![Page 30: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Phoenix
Parcels coded byRank Green - yellow =Values - 25-50 More desirable
Orange to red =Values - 0-24Less desirable
![Page 31: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Talent
Area Comparison
Base Case – 149 acres
RPS – 233 acres
Overlap – 115 acres
Current UGB (Acres) 1121Residential Capacity inside UGB (population) 2840Base Pop 2005 from PSU 6255Pop 2x Allocation 12517Population "New Residents" 4557Forecast in Excess of UGB Capacity 1717Gross Res Density of Growth Areas (supplied by RPS members) 5.5Res Land Need (acres) 140Land Expected for Jobs 5Total Land Need for Jobs and Housing 145Gross Area in RPS Growth Areas 233
Legend
Base Case
RPS Growth Areas
Overlap
![Page 32: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Talent
Location of RLRC Lands
![Page 33: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Talent
Parcels coded byRank
Green - yellow =Values - 25-50 More desirable
Orange to red =Values - 0-24Less desirable
![Page 34: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Base Case Urban Reserve Areas
![Page 35: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
RPS proposed Reserve Areas
![Page 36: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Issues nearly resolved
• Consistent spatial and numerical data
• Consistent area-wide methodology and GIS data
• Fixed set of proposed growth areas
• Consistent buildable lands criteria
• Base Case Urban Reserve
![Page 37: RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062520/5697bf9d1a28abf838c93c43/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Remaining Issues
• Document population modeling differences
• Review capacity estimates for RPA areas• Finalize Land Need calculation
• Document criteria for RPS urban reserves
• Match need and area in RPS urban reserves comparing proposed, base case, and other modeling efforts