Russian Military Expenditures in the War on Terror

Denis VolkovDenis Volkov

Saratov State University, 2005

Why should we investigate

We, the multinational people of Russian Federation… bear responsibility to our state before present and next generations

Constitution of Russian Federation

Source: http://rusarmy.com/avia/su_25.htm

Reasons for the research

Responsibility;

Comprehensive and excessive state secret;

The necessity to evaluate to make electoral decisions.

Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/2561873.stm

Sources of the research

Budget acts of Russian Federation, 2001-2005

Annual President Address to Parliament, 2000-2004

Public speeches of Minister of Defense and Minister of Finance, 2004

the National Security Concept, 1997

RIA news, 2005

Source:http://old.fontanka.ru/politic.thtml?

mday=30&mon=12&year=2002&id=94116055http://www.rosconcert.com/common/arc/story.php?

id_cr=19&id=30398

Goals of the research

Dynamic of Russian military Dynamic of Russian military strategy;strategy;

Military budget analysisMilitary budget analysis How Military budget increase affects How Military budget increase affects

national counterterrorist politics;national counterterrorist politics; How can we improve national How can we improve national

counterterrorist politicscounterterrorist politicsSource: http://rusarmy.com/vmf/tpk_pr_10412_10410.htm

Official approach to the problem

Highly professional resources are required to fight international terror within this country.

Alexander Kudrin,

September 15th 2004

Source: http://birobidjan.rfn.ru/cnews.html?id=1178&cid=4

Budget Analysis

  Budget(bn rub)

NationalDefense(bn. rub)

% Budget

% PreviousYear

NationalSecurity (bn. rub)

Total(bn. rub)

% Budget

%Previous Year

2001 1 193,5 214,7 17,9 No data

131,6 346,3 29 No data

2002 1 947,4 284,1 14,5 32,3 173,9 458 23,5 32,2

2003 2 345,60 344,5 14,7 21,3 244,8 589,3 25,6 28,7

2004 2 400,70 411,5 17,4 28,1 310,5 722 30 22,5

2005 3 047,90 529,1 17,3 28,5 491 1020,1 33,4 41,2

Dynamic of military budget growth, rub

Source: http://rusarmy.com/avia/su_30.htm

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005t

To

tal

(bn

ru

b)

Dynamic of military budget growth% previos budget

Source: http://rusarmy.com/avia/su_27.htm

20

30

40

50

2002 2003 2004 2005t

%

Expenditures on the National Defense program rose by 28.5%;

17.3% of the whole budget; National Defense + National Security

rose by 41.2% National Defense + National Security

bobbled the same index of the year 2004;

2005 budget – turning point in National Defense and Security budgeting

Budget analysis

Official perception of the terrorist threat

Documents analysis Putin’s annual addresses to the

Parliament 2000-2004 National Security Strategy

Real steps analysis RIA news agency survey of the

2004

Source: http://www.dni.ru/news/russia/2002/3/20/7524.html

Putin’s annual addresses to the Parliament, 2002

“After 9/11…many people understood that the Cold war is over… there are new threats now; there is another war – the war on international terror.”

Vladimir Putin*

Source:http://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcfour/documentaries/profile/putin.shtml

*Source:

Official announcements of the last quarter of the 2004

1. Oct 20th – new testing of the “Topol-M” 2. Nov 4th – new testing of antiaircraft 3. Nov 29th – testing antimissile missile. 4. Nov 30th – Russian army will be supplied

with 18 new T-90 Tanks in the 2005. 5. Dec 10th –test launch of the “Topol-M”. 6. Dec 17th –the program “Russian strategic

interests” should be increased 7. Dec 20th –Two SS-18 Satan IBMs were

launched. 8. Dec 24th – in the 2005 Russia will increase

the number of its ballistic missiles both nuclear and conventional.

Contradictions

Between the National Security Concept

And the President’s annual addresses

Source: http://rusarmy.com/brone/otrk_9k79_tochka.htm

What are the contradictions? President’s annual addresses:

terrorism is the main foreign threat to Russian Federation

National Security Concept: terrorism gets lost among many other threats

Question: What is a priority? Finding: Budget and activity

confusion

Towards new National Security Concept

New National Security Concept should clearly recognize terrorism as the main threat of modern Russia and put it in front of the other problems

Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/2848583.stm

Conclusions

2005 unique military budget

Contradictions in services’ activities

More money is not enough

New National Security Concept

Source:http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/2737617.stm

THANK YOU!

Source: http://music.dtn.ru/photo/putin/photos/putin04.htm