Russia cast iron market

Barykovsky lane 4, building 2, office 201

Moscow, 119034

Phone number: +7 495 988 96 06

e-mail: [email protected] www.indexbox.ru

Demo-Version

Russia: Cast Iron

Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

February 2013

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/


from 22 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian cast iron market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report on the Russian cast iron market contains information on the following

commodity groups:

Pig iron;

Foundry pig.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian cast iron market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 162 pages, 37 Tables, and 47 Figures.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

• We offer unique and individualized customer service:

o Personal account on the website with a personal manager;

o Monitoring of the status of your order online;

o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions.

• We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested,

find out about these conditions from our specialists now!




Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian cast iron market and build a

forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of cast iron

4. Characteristics of raw materials’ base

5. Technology of production of cast iron

6. Characteristics of the Russian cast iron market

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian cast iron market in 2008 – 2012. Forecast for

2013 - 2017 (base scenario)

6.2. Structure of the cast iron market: production, exports, imports, consumption

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of cast iron

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of cast iron in 2007 -2012

7.2. Structure of the cast iron production by types in 2007 - 2012

7.3. Structure of the cast iron production by regions and Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation

7.3.1. Structure of the pig iron production by regions and Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation

7.3.2. Structure of the foundry pig production by regions and Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation

7.4. Production capacities and their level of loading

7.5. Level of concentration of production

7.6. Main manufacturers of cast iron and their corresponding shares

7.6.1. OJSC "Novolipetskiy Metallurgy Factory "

7.6.2. OJSC "Magnitogorsk Metallurgy Factory "

7.6.3. OJSC “Severstal”

7.6.4. OJSC "EVRAZ United West-Siberian Metallurgy Factory "

7.6.5. OJSC "EVRAZ Нижнетагильский металлургический комбинат"

7.6.6. OJSC "Chelyabinsk Metallurgy Factory"

7.6.7. OJSC "Ural Steel"

8. Characteristics of prices of cast iron

8.1. Cost structure of iron

8.2. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of pig iron

8.3. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig

9. Volume and dynamics of the foreign trade operations on the cast iron market in

2008 - 2012

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of cast iron

10.1. Structure of the exports by type of cast iron

10.2. Volume and dynamics of the exports of cast iron

10.3. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of cast iron

10.4. Manufacturing companies, supplying cast iron for exports

10.5. Sending regions of the Russian exports of cast iron

11. Factors, influencing the development of the cast iron market in Russia




11.1. Social economic situation in the Russian Federation in 2009 - 2012

11.2. Development of the metallurgical industry

12. Characteristics of the consumption of cast iron

12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of cast iron in 2008 – 2012. Forecast for

2013 - 2017

12.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of cast iron by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation

12.3. Balance between production and consumption of cast iron

13. Forecast for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017

13.1. Preconditions for the development of the Russian economy

13.2. Scenarios for development of the world economy

13.3. Scenarios for development of the cast iron market

List of the used sources of information

Appendix1. Large-scale tables

Appendix2. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix3. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

• OJSC "NLMK”

• OJSC "MMK"

• OJSC "SEVERSTAL"

• OJSC "EVRAZ ZSMK "

• OJSC "EVRAZ NTMK "

• OJSC "CHMK"

• OJSC "TULACHERMET"

• OJSC "URAL STEEL"




List of tables

Table 1. Key indicators on the cast iron market in 2010 - 2012

Table 2. Chemical composition of pig iron by GOST 805-95

Table 3. Chemical composition of foundry pig by brands by GOST 4832-95

Table 4. Chemical composition of foundry pig – brands: PF1, PF2, PF3 by GOST 805-95

Table 5. Chemical composition of foundry pig – brands PVK1, PVK2, PVK3 by GOST 805-95

Table 6. Classification of cast iron by OKVED

Table 7. Classification of cast iron by TN VED

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until

2017, in thousands of tons

Table 9. Production of cast iron в 2007 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 10. Volume of production of cast iron by types in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 11. Volume of production of pig iron by Federal Districts and regions of the Russian

Federation in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 12. Volume of production of foundry pig by Federal Districts and regions of the

Russian Federation in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 13. Average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast iron by Federal

Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of tons

Table 14. Usage of the average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast

iron in 2005 - 2011 by regions of the Russian Federation, in %

Table 15. Commissioning of production capacities for the manufacturing of cast iron in 2005

- 2009, in thousands of tons

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010 - 2011,

in thousands of tons

Table 17. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of foundry pig in Russia in 2010, in

thousands of tons

Table 18. Average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation in January

2009 - November2012 (without VAT)

Table 19. Average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian Federation in January

2009- November2012 (without VAT)

Table 20. Structure and volume of the foreign trade operations on the cast iron market in

2012

Table 21. Volume of the exports of cast iron by types in 2012

Table 22. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in

thousands of tons

Table 23. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in

millions of USD

Table 24. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in


Table 25. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in

2012, in millions of USD

Table 26. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in

thousands of tons

Table 27. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in




thousands of USD

Table 28. Volume of consumption of cast iron by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation

in 2008 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 29. Forecast for the balance between production and consumption on the cast iron

market in 2012 - 2017, in thousands of tons

Table 30. Forecast for the production, consumption, exports, and imports of cast iron and

other ferro alloys in the metallurgy industry

Table 31. Revenues (net) from the sale of goods and services (excluding VAT, excise duties

and other similar necessary expenses) for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys,

by size of the organization, in thousands of RUR

Table 32. Revenues (net) from the sale of goods and services (excluding VAT, excise duties

and other similar necessary expenses) for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys,

by regions of the Russian Federation, in thousands of RUR

Table 33. Commercial expenses for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by size

of the organization, in thousands of RUR

Table 34. Management expenses for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by

size of the organization, in thousands of RUR

Table 35. Cost of goods sold for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by size of

the organization, in thousands of RUR

Table 36. Profit (net) from sales from the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by

size of the organization, in thousands of RUR

Table 37. Average number of employees for the production of cast iron and other ferro

alloys by regions of the Russian Federation, in people




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for 2013 -

2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)

Fig. 2. Volume of supply on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for 2013 -

2017, in billions of RUR (base scenario)

Fig. 3. Dynamics and structure of the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until


Fig. 4. Production of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 5. Production of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in %, to the analogical period of the previous

year

Fig. 6. Production of cast iron in 2007 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 7. Structure of production of pig iron by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2010 - 2012, in physical terms

Fig. 8. Structure of production of foundry pig by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation

in 2010 - 2012, in physical terms

Fig. 9. Average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast iron by Federal

Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 10. Dynamics of the average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast

iron in Russia in 2002 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 11. Structure of production of pig iron by largest manufacturers in 2010 - 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 12. Structure of production of foundry pig by largest manufacturers in 2011, in physical

terms

Fig. 13. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “NLMK” in 2005 -


Fig. 14. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “MMK” in 2005 -


Fig. 15. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “Severstal” in 2005 -


Fig. 16. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “EVRAZ ZSMK” in

2005 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 17. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “EVRAZ NTMK” in


Fig. 18. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “Chelyabinsk

Metallurgy Factory” in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Fig. 19. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the companyOJSC “Ural Steel” in 2005 -


Fig. 20. Cost structure of the production of cast iron, in %

Fig. 21. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation in

January - December 2011

Fig. 22. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation in

January - November2012

Fig. 23. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation




in January 2011 - November2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the previous

year

Fig. 24. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron by Federal Districts, in

November 2012

Fig. 25. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian Federation

in January - December 2011

Fig. 26. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian Federation

in January - November2012

Fig. 27. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian

Federation in January 2011 – November 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of

the previous year

Fig. 28. Annual dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in the Russian Federation in


Fig. 29. Dynamics of the Russian imports of cast iron in 2008 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 30. Volume of the foreign trade operations on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 31. Structure of the exports of cast iron by types in 2012

Fig. 32. Dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons

Fig. 33. Dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in millions of USD

Fig. 34. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in

physical terms

Fig. 35. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in value

terms

Fig. 36. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in 2012,

in physical terms

Fig. 37. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in 2012,

in value terms

Fig. 38. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in physical

terms

Fig. 39. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in value

terms

Fig. 40. Quarterly dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2007 – 3rd quarter of 2012 in 2008

prices, in trillions of RUR

Fig. 41. Dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2005 – 3rd quarter 2012, in 2008 prices, in

billions of RUR

Fig. 42. Dynamics of consumption of cast iron in the Russian Federation in 2008 - 2017, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 43. Structure of steel production by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2010

-2012, in physical terms

Fig. 44. Balance between production and consumption of cast iron in 2008 - 2017

Fig. 45. Base scenario for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 46. Conservative scenario for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017,

in thousands of tons




Fig. 47. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017, in

thousands of tons




Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian cast iron market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the cast iron market was …%.

The volume of production of cast iron in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the

volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all cast iron manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012

belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of cast iron in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and

to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




6. Characteristics of the Russian cast

iron market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian cast iron market in

2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian cast iron market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the cast iron market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the cast iron market in Russia: production,

exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of cast iron in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the total

market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of

production In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of exports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of cast iron in Russia in

2007 - 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of cast iron production in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6 Cast iron production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




7.6 The main manufacturers of cast iron and their corresponding

market shares

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of cast iron,

in tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of cast iron 10.2. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of cast

iron

…

The volume of Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of cast

iron was exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 20. Structure and volume of the foreign trade operations on the cast

iron market in 2012

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 32. Dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in thousands

of tons

…




About IndexBox

"IndexBox" is one of the leading companies in the sphere of marketing consulting. We carry

out pieces of marketing research and consult on questions about strategic marketing.

• The "IndexBox" team has been working together for more than 7 years.

• The average experience of "IndexBox" specialists in the marketing sphere is 10

years.

• “IndexBox" employs 15 specialists in its research analytical department.

• The gathering of the researched information is controlled by 8 employees, all with

vast experience in field work. And who oversee more than 150 experienced

interviewers.

• Over 10 years, we have completed more than sixteen hundred projects, most of

which are focused on the consumer and industrial markets. The geography of the

research includes not only the territory of Russia, but also foreign markets.

• In total, more than 80,000 respondents have taken part in our research studies.

• Not only does "IndexBox" have a wide partner network in the regions of the

Russian Federation, the CIS, and the Baltic countries, but also has countless foreign

partners, including the largest research companies in the USA, the UK, France,

India, and China.

Our clients are big Russian and foreign companies:




Marketing research

Our specialization - the study of consumer and industrial markets, segments of B2C and

B2B. Among the methods used: desk research, consumer surveys, expert surveys,

competitive analysis, sales audit, a wide range of qualitative market research products and

services. Our competitive advantage is the formation of special research techniques to the

tasks of each project. System planning and operational monitoring of the industry, created a

company that allows professionals to operate in IndexBox their work relevant and accurate

information.

Business Planning

We are professionally engaged in developing business plans, feasibility studies, investment

memoranda, conduct financial analysis of enterprises and prepare analysis for transactions

M & A. Business plans developed by IndexBox, contain a complete financial model for the

further implementation of the project, all calculations are based on marketing information,

which is permanently collected and analyzed for over 7 years. Documents comply with the

standards of Russian and foreign banks, the projects have market feasibility and realistic

projections, and we provide assistance in finding an investor and financing, legal support.

Strategic Marketing

We develop strategic development for brands, products, separate business units and

industry. Generally, programs include product, pricing, marketing and communication

strategy. Projects in the field of strategic marketing are relevant to large enterprises,

financial and investment companies that are planning to expand its interests as well as

small companies that are thinking about business development.

Development

Consulting in development - is to develop the best options for use of the area. To do this,

our marketing agency, conducts research real estate market, analyzes the possible

construction, and estimates the market feasibility and economic benefits of investing in real

estate. Marketing agency IndexBox offers a range of professional services for the study of

the real estate market and the development of individual marketing concept of the facility.


Russia cast iron market

Documents

Transcript of Russia cast iron market