Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, [email protected]. A....

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Russia and Global Food Security By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, [email protected]

Transcript of Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, [email protected]. A....

Page 1: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Russia and Global Food Security

By Dr. Alina Savelyeva,

[email protected]

Page 2: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs

Page 3: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Definition

Global food problem means an unprecedented rise of world food price in the late XX – early XXI century, which make poor people in most countries starve.

Page 4: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

“In spite of the fact, that the food production rises, there are more starving people in the world now than ever. There is food on the shelves but people are priced out of the market”

Josette Sheeran,

Vice Chairman of

the World Economic Forum

Page 5: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Two radical changes of the XXI century:

the perception of poverty and starvation has been aggravated;

there are several signs, which can tell us, that the local food crises will become more frequent.

Page 6: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Food price index, 2000=100

Source: UNCTAD

Page 7: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Trade balance in cereals

Page 8: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Trade balance in meat

Page 9: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Agflation

Page 10: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

The main exogenous factors of the global food problem

increase in the world population high level of the power consumption in

agriculture rising demand for the biofuels transformation of the common consumption limited natural resources, climate change deficit of clean water

Page 11: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

FAO´s definition of the food security

“The food security exists when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life”

Page 12: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Food availability: The availability of sufficient amount of food of appropriate quality

Food access: Access by individuals to adequate resources (entitlements) for acquiring appropriate foods for a nutritious diet.

Utilization: Utilization of food through adequate diet, clean water, sanitation and health care to reach a state of nutritional well-being where all physiological needs are met.

Stability: To be food secure, a population, household or individual must have access to adequate food at all times.

For aspects of food security

Page 13: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

National food security

Two points of view:

Only domestic products(self-sufficiency)

Domestic products + imported products = the satisfaction of the requirements of each person at any time

Page 14: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Two levels of food security

The food security of the state: the quantity of food

The food security of the population: the quality of food and its correspondence to the requirements of people

Page 15: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented
Page 16: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

The global food problem

Unqualified and violent use of the natural resourcesIncreased demand for the livestock

Rising food consumption per capita

constant

increase in a food price

etc.

Page 17: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

to invest in the development of agriculture and agricultural science (selection, biotechnology etc) to turn agriculture from capital intensive to the science intensive branch to make the new «Green Revolution»to focus on small farms;to improve access to social protection;to consider the International Energy Agency for food.

To moderate the global food problem we need:

Page 18: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Biofuels2013:

9% cereals and oil-yield crops,

20% sugar cane

2020: 13% cereals,16% oil-yield crops, 35% Sugar cane

Page 19: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Food security = % self-sufficiency +

% imported foodstuffs

In Russia:

64% produced domestically

36% imported

Page 20: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Russia’s comparative advantages

3,3% of world farm lands + 9% of world arable lands + 20% of world water resources + Positive impact of climate change

=

the world’s highest potential for agricultural development

Page 21: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Meat consumption in China

Page 22: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Precision agriculture

The farmers investigate carefully all the physical, chemical, geographical etc. qualities of arable land before making a decision, which particular plant will give the richest harvest on this peace of cropland

Page 23: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

N.I. Vavilov – great Russian geneticist

Page 24: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Discussion

GMO???

Page 25: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Discussion

Eco???

Page 26: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Discussion

How to solve the global food problem???

Page 27: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Discussion

Vegetarians?

Page 28: Russia and Global Food Security · 2014. 7. 10. · By Dr. Alina Savelyeva, Asavelyeva@hse.ru. A. Maslow’s pyramid of needs . Definition Global food problem means an unprecedented

Thank you for your attention!