RSC - FX Trading And STEM - 02292012
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Transcript of RSC - FX Trading And STEM - 02292012
/10/$25.00 ©2012 IEEE March 9, 2012, Ewing, NJ
Integrated STEM Education Conference
1
Foreign Currency Trading As An Inter-Disciplinary
Teaching Pathway For STEM Initiatives
Robert S. Colombo, President CEREBRONIX, [email protected]
Debora F. Colombo, Co-Founder The Granite School, [email protected]
Abstract – Successful members of tomorrow’s workforce
must not only be demand learners, but must also be
capable of continually reinventing themselves, while
addressing, pondering and successfully resolving com-
plex inter-disciplinary problems. Critical to developing
these sustainable career capabilities and fluid thinking
skills is the introduction at earlier and earlier ages, of
learning environments that challenge students to process
real-time information, from multiple sources and in a
variety of display formats, while coaches help them to
seamlessly think across multiple disciplines. Using com-
modity trading within the foreign currency market as a
rich platform to introduce students to such challenges,
while helping them integrate knowledge from the disci-
plines of geography, sociology, economics, signal pro-
cessing, modeling, finance, statistics, politics and world
trade is the core of this initiative.
Index Terms - currency trading, foreign exchange, STEM
pathways, inter-disciplinary, sustainable, career, reinven-
tion, MBA programs, courseware, systems thinking, interac-
tive learning, distance learning and real-time laboratories.
INITIATIVE BACKGROUND
The ever increasing importance of the global currency mar-
ket as a liquid investment vehicle, a corporate hedging tool
and a mechanism to support commerce amongst Global
2000 companies has created a strong demand for members
of the corporate and financial services workforce to have
both theoretical and hands-on foreign exchange knowledge.
The Foreign Exchange (F/X) market is the largest trad-
ing market in the world with over $4 trillion traded daily by
its global participants that include individuals, funds, banks,
governments and corporations. In a global economy, easily
accessible sources of cross-market currencies is important to
these various participants to maintain investment objectives,
hedge commodity costs, manage reserve pools and purchase
materials, products and services in the world marketplace.
The behavior and function of the F/X market is like no
other world market in that it combines extreme leverage,
accessible liquidity, cross-factor complexity and inherent
volatility within the context of a center-less infrastructure
that operates around the world and around the clock – it is a
difficult and complex animal to understand, let alone tame!
The F/X market is not only an investment vehicle, but
is also a critical element of the global banking and business
infrastructure. Without an ample supply of money, no busi-
ness could be transacted within a country and without access
to money denominated by country no inter-country business
could be transacted. Add to that, the fact that every coun-
try’s performance and world position can be monitored and
measured in terms of their respective currency value fluc-
tuations and interest rate moves, and you begin to see the
impact that the F/X market has on everything we do and on
everything that is bought or sold in the global marketplace.
These considerations are driving the global need for
knowledgeable practitioners who can analyze, model and
trade the F/X market on behalf of potential employers in
finance, banking, investment, manufacturing and business.
Simultaneously, the market for equally knowledgeable
workers is increasing in all areas of information technology
where systems, algorithms and tools that support F/X analy-
sis, modeling and trading activities need to be developed.
The types of F/X knowledge and hands-on abilities that
are required by the financial services workplace, along with
its supporting information technology counterparts, include
practitioners that are fluidly capable of:
Analyzing, assessing and forecasting the time-based
behavior of single, multiple and baskets of currencies;
Trading individual, multiple and baskets of currencies
along with their respective agile derivative instruments;
Building mathematical models of currency, market,
country, system, instrument and trader behavior; and
Developing software, algorithms, tools, visualizations
and systems to build trading and trader metric systems.
In 2008, when this project was commissioned, although
there were more than twenty (20) educational institutions in
Pennsylvania, there was no available courseware or labora-
tory mechanism available to prepare students to capture the
high-wage opportunities in this burgeoning career area.
Most economics, finance and business programs addressed
/10/$25.00 ©2012 IEEE March 9, 2012, Ewing, NJ
Integrated STEM Education Conference
2
the theory and impact of the global currency market on
world monetary behavior, but they did not extend that foun-
dation to an understanding or practice of real-world curren-
cy market analysis, assessment, forecasting or trading.
The multiple parameters, features, disciplines and inter-
dependencies that make foreign currency markets compli-
cated to engage, along with the absence of relevant real-time
laboratories or courseware, gave rise to the project described
herein where the F/X market was chosen as a rich learning
environment to create new career paths for MBA students,
while exposing them to rigorous inter-disciplinary learning.
GOALS & OBJECTIVES
Seeking to prepare MBA students to engage this rapidly
emerging career, while providing pathways for other K-20
academic community members to participate by distance
learning, the University Of Scranton in cooperation with
CEREBRONIX (a consulting firm with strong financial
services industry experience), undertook a groundbreaking
project within the context of a STEM initiative, to design
and implement a two-semester Foreign Currency Trading
Course along with a real-time F/X Trading Laboratory.
Additional goals and objectives of this Northeastern
Pennsylvania (NEPA) initiative included the following:
in creating the course and laboratory materials to train
students at the University Of Scranton, we would also
be creating a courseware package and outreach program
that could be utilized by other academic institutions;
secondary to training practitioners, was the added goal
of providing a viable mechanism for companies, to lo-
cate and expand their analysis modeling and trading op-
erations by recruiting students from our program; and
finally, a successful project of this type would demon-
strate the value and efficacy of using rich topics like the
F/X market as STEM-based learning foundations.
Because the project was funded in part by a NEPA re-
gional economic development program known as Wall
Street West (www.wallstreetwest.org), it was actively mar-
keted in PA and NY as an active mechanism to create a
leading-edge talent pool continuum (K-20) capable of at-
tracting new businesses to the region over a period of years.
APPROACH
The approach to achieving the goals and objectives of the
initiative within the time frame of the project and success-
fully sustaining them beyond that time frame were broken
down into two (2) focus areas as follows:
Implementation Model – Our deep history with trading
environments told us that successfully implementing a train-
ing mechanism for students to engage these new workforce
opportunities with rigorous inter-disciplinary F/X skills
required courseware that provided students with a continu-
ing combination of underlying theory, supporting infor-
mation, contextual application and hands-on practice over a
sustained interval of actively coached exposure.
Additionally, all the inter-disciplinary material had to
be self-contained within the course and pedagogical reason-
ing demanded that the course be built with a two-semester
framework where we could continually build and reinforce
the student’s depth of knowledge, while supplementing a
recursive education cycle with hands-on practice employing
real-world trading software and live F/X market data.
Implementation Methods – To bring this implementa-
tion model to fruition, the development of the currency
trading course and laboratory materials would need to result
in a unique set of tangible training deliverables as follows:
a self-contained custom course manual (Primer) outlin-
ing the theory (e.g., finance, economics, banking, busi-
ness, etc.), technical background (e.g., analytical tech-
niques, indicators, modeling methods, etc.), mathemati-
cal bases (e.g., calculus, statistics, filtering, etc.), psy-
cho-social background (e.g., trader mentality, win/lose
dynamics, crowd behavior, self-coaching, etc.) and
practical understanding required by an analyst, modeler
or trader planning to work in the F/X world; and
a self-contained custom laboratory manual (Workbook)
outlining the methods (e.g., fundamental, technical, hy-
brid, etc.), techniques (e.g., single-timeframe, multi-
timeframe, pivot points, statistical, etc.) and tools (e.g.,
indicators, news sources, collateral and reports, etc.).
The overall development of the course and laboratory
materials was directed at emphasizing fundamental, tech-
nical and hybrid market analysis approaches coupled with a
risk-mitigated financial engineering approach to understand-
ing indicators, news, behavior and other relevant collateral
information across multiple time-frames simultaneously.
Additionally, we would instill an acute sense of realism
into the student’s trading by utilizing actual trading accounts
stocked with “monopoly money”. Each student would re-
ceive a $50K starting account at the beginning of each se-
mester and their trading performance would be assessed
using the real-world measure of profit, loss and draw down.
By adding self-measurable “win-loss” performance, we
not only ensured a heightened trading experience for the
students, but provided them with the feel of a gaming envi-
ronment – closer to what a real trader would see and feel
while working, what students in their age bracket could
appreciate from their typical leisure activities and what their
/10/$25.00 ©2012 IEEE March 9, 2012, Ewing, NJ
Integrated STEM Education Conference
3
instructors could use to gauge where their technical, psycho-
logical and stress-related performance levels were hovering.
LEVERAGE
A key success element of any innovation investment pro-
gram initiative is leveraging funding to produce the most
outcome potential for every funding dollar invested. As it
relates to this initiative, our effective use of leverage can be
broken down as follows:
a body of practical and proven knowledge about analyz-
ing, modeling and trading the F/X market existed with-
in CEREBRONIX. This knowledgebase of documenta-
tion, process models, methodologies, information links,
software modules, practical examples, course structures
and indicator methods provided the basis of the initia-
tive and part of our core investment;
this body of knowledge, coupled with the contributions
provided by members of The University Of Scranton
faculty, allowed us to accelerate progress towards creat-
ing the finished trading course and superior laboratory
materials, while providing a team-work environment
where faculty folks could gain exposure to real-world
trading methods and inter-disciplinary training as well;
as a commercial consulting company, CEREBRONIX
had developed long standing relationships with plat-
form, software and data-feed providers that could be
called upon to “donate” products and services to the ini-
tiative, making for even more efficient use of funds;
having regionalism as an overarching goal of the Wall
Street West program, and recognizing that not all other
area schools could afford a trading laboratory, we engi-
neered into both the courseware, supporting materials
and laboratory hardware infrastructure the ability to de-
liver the course in a distance-learning mode; and
finally, the course, its pedagogical foundation, its asso-
ciated teaching materials and its testing materials were
packaged in a form that could be used by other depart-
ments, institutions, grade levels and businesses as a
model for the creation of similar instructional and la-
boratory materials in their specific challenge domains.
STEM FOCUS
The methods and techniques that underlie the design of
the trading courseware and laboratory are predicated upon
an inter-disciplinary hands-on approach to teaching and
coaching within a rich subject area as depicted in Figure 1.
To accomplish this, we utilized aspects of our proprie-
tary market models and analysis methods to teach students
how to combine price action observation in multiple time
frames (e.g., daily price action, hourly price action and
quarter hour price action) with coordinated analysis (e.g.,
reports, news, trade flow, interest rates, trading behavior,
political volatility, etc.) to uncover and exploit trending
price action, recurring price pattern behavior and shock
market effects that suddenly drive prices to extremes.
Using this rigorous observation and analysis approach,
while introducing typical MBA students to physics, math,
sociology and information fusion techniques neither typical-
ly experienced nor regularly included in an MBA curricu-
lum, expanded the student’s minds and capabilities to new
and satisfying levels. Over time, their self-confidence im-
proved from being able to absorb knowledge outside their
core MBA focus and from their hands-on experience in
making trades and seeing the results in real-time.
Additionally, feedback from students that the lessons
and experiences that they were garnering from the trading
course began to cross-pollinate into their other courses and
projects. These reports proved our thesis that exposing stu-
dents to new inter-disciplinary ways of observing and think-
ing in one domain could have tremendous collateral benefit
in developing overarching skills to integrate knowledge and
information from multiple potentially disparate sources.
Furthermore, we noted that by creating a component of
the currency trading course as an elective offered to com-
puter science or applied mathematics students, we would be
providing those students with a better understanding of what
currency analysts, modelers and traders do in practice,
thereby opening up potential career opportunities for infor-
mation technology and applied mathematics graduates to be
better equipped to build the appropriate analysis tools and
superior trading systems.
Our industrial experience shows that technology folks
with cross-knowledge make superior information technolo-
gy professionals. Cross-knowledge professionals typically
receive higher salaries, greater respect and more opportuni-
ties for career advancement than their less trained peers.
/10/$25.00 ©2012 IEEE March 9, 2012, Ewing, NJ
Integrated STEM Education Conference
4
IMPACT
The design, development and delivery of the courseware
and the trading laboratory rated as one of the most success-
ful projects amongst the $14M in projects that were funded
under the umbrella of the Wall Street West program.
The activities, methods, materials and outcomes of this
initiative utilized the knowledge, talent and experience of
participants from both the academic and business communi-
ties demonstrating the extreme possibilities of academic-
industry partnerships and set the stage for scaling the mate-
rials and participation to the K-12 and “retail” domains.
Students who participated in the two-semester course
learned to successfully analyze and trade the F/X market,
while developing new life-long skills for observing, analyz-
ing, understanding and building abstract models of complex
inter-disciplinary systems – clearly valuable career assets.
That year, the F/X students were more confident than
their classmates during job interviews and presented a better
employer value proposition because of their expanded capa-
bilities and hands-on trading experience. At a time when
offers were scarce, every trading student got a job offer!
Additionally, The University Of Scranton possesses a
modern trading facility that can host classes locally, engage
distance learners and perform live trading. This state-of-the-
art infrastructure can now be utilized to build other such
courseware and laboratory tools to benefit both undergradu-
ate and graduate students across their chosen “majors”.
The activities, methods, materials and outcomes of this
initiative are fully capable of being used as models for im-
plementing similar courses by participants from other aca-
demic institutions and business entities.
CEREBRONIX has now condensed the courseware into
a series of mini-programs for our new community-based
education entity known as The Granite School (TGS). TGS
will be offering to help educators in the K-12 space to ex-
tend inter-disciplinary program design, while teaching
working people, retired people and stay-at-home spouses
how to generate alternate income streams from F/X trading.
We are now looking for K-12 schools and educators
who are interested in creating similar academic-industry
partnerships that yield inter-disciplinary STEM initiatives
that can expand the capabilities of their students and differ-
entiate their institutions in the academic “marketplace”.
SUMMARY
Having inter-disciplinary thinking and problem solving
skills are the keys to career reinvention, satisfaction and
earning flexibility in a technical world where information
density, problem complexity and socio-economic dynamics
play a role in every aspect of life and sustainability.
Additionally, the expanding nature of globalization,
world commerce and global investing will only serve to
increase the demand for practitioners with F/X market
knowledge to assist with not only analyzing, modeling and
trading currencies, but with the design and development of
information technology systems focused on helping ana-
lysts, modelers and traders perform their functions.
This project initiative demonstrated concretely that new
STEM-based inter-disciplinary teaching programs, when
implemented via strong academic-industry partnerships, can
raise the educational bar, teach students valuable new ways
to consider problems and derive solutions, while creating
real value for the hosting school, its educators and its locale.
Combining the skills and experience of academic and
industry principals to create and deliver a leading-edge F/X
analysis and trading course and an advanced technology
real-time laboratory, not only created a hugely successful
Wall Street West program initiative, but also resulted in
differentiating the nine county region of Pennsylvania and
The University Of Scranton from most other regions and
universities in the country!
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The principals in this project acknowledge the efforts of all
of its participants, agencies, institutions and students who
helped blaze a new trail in educational advancement.
We further acknowledge the funding and support pro-
vided by Wall Street West and the Commonwealth of Penn-
sylvania along with the software and services provided by
NinjaTrader, LLC 1236 Clarkson Street Denver, CO 80218.
AUTHOR INFORMATION
Robert S. Colombo, President, CEREBRONIX, Basking
Ridge, New Jersey. CEREBRONIX is a boutique manage-
ment and technology consulting firm specializing in enter-
prise development, knowledge management, extreme inno-
vation, mathematical modeling and systems engineering.
Robert has been an engineer, executive and entrepreneur for
over 35 years and an educator for more than 19 years.
Debora F. Colombo, Co-Founder, The Granite School,
Clinton, New Jersey. The Granite School is a community-
based school initiative bringing innovative teaching con-
cepts to students of all ages utilizing the foreign currency
market, small business entrepreneurship and alternate in-
come streams as subject cornerstones. Debora (now de-
ceased) was a life-long learner and inter-disciplinary educa-
tor focused on developing advanced thinking skills and
multiple intelligences in children and adults of all ages.