Rotterdam Climate Initiative

BIOENERGY IN BRAZILCONSUMPTION AND TRADE

Jose Roberto MoreiraBrazilian Reference Center in

Biomass/IEE/Univ. of Sao PauloHotel Renaissance

São Paulo, May 8, 2012

Ethanol production for different scenarios – 2008-2017

* Agricultural prices expressed in terms of the energy value of liquid fuels – ethanol or biodiesel – produced. Values are indicative and do not reflect local price or operating cost differentials nor revenues from co-generation or by-products such as dried distillers grains. Source: IEA, November 2011

Sugar cane mills geographycal profile in Brazil

Potential bioelectricity from sugar cane – Brazil 2008-2020

Law 11.097/2005: Determine minimum percent blend of biodiesel in diesel and monitors the introduction of the new fuel in the market

Allowed Compulsory CompulsoryReality Allowed 2008 = 3% 2009=4% 2010=5%

Figure 16 - Biodiesel Legislation and Reality

Biodiesel Production in Brazil (Billions of litres per year

•Preliminary data ** Projection•Source: ANP and UBRABIO

Forecasted biodiesel consumption – Brazil 2008-2017

Source: EPE, 2008

Source: Who is winning the clean energy race, 2011. The Clean Energy Foundation and the Pew Center

Source: Who is winning the clean energy race, 2011. The Clean Energy Foundation and the Pew Center

•Surprising enough is the volume of investments in the oil sector•Such investments surpass electricity investments; very unusual at globe level

1955

1959

1963

1967

1971

1975

1979

1983

1987

1991

1995

1999

2003

2007

2011

2015

2019

2023

2027

2031

2035

2039

2043

2047

2051

2055

2059

2063

2067

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Present oil reserves without pre-salt, Expected oil reserves with pre-salt, Oil consumption, and Ethanol oil displacement in High and Low Scenarios

Producing Fields (Million bbl) Peak= 768 Mbbl/Br Reserve=25 billion Oil Consumption BP+trend 1970/2009

Total EOR Pre-salt+Producing Fields Total OilProduction Mbbl

Ethanol Production 5 yrs avg. BEN (Million bbl/y) Low scenario Liquid Fuel+ Electricity Low Scenario

Ethanol Production BEN/Trend 2003/10 High Scenario Liquid Fuel+ Electricity High scenarioYear

Eth

ano

l E

lect

. O

il P

rod

uct

ion

an

d C

on

sum

pti

on

(m

illi

on

bb

l)

Dai

ly L

iqu

id F

uel

Pro

du

ctio

n a

nd

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n (

mil

lio

n b

bl)

Consumption

EUR=25 Billion

REAL DATA

TOTAL 65 Bil-lion

Ethanol+Elect.High Sce-nario

TOTAL 71 Bil-lion

ImportationProduction

Consumption

FORECAST

Total=25 Billion

REAL DATA

Ethanol Elect.. Low Scenario

Source: Datagro 2011, No 11P

EVOLUTION OF AUTO AND LIGHT COMMERCIAL FLEETS IN BRAZIL (OTTO CYCLE)

Mill

ion

of u

nits

BEST(BioEthanol for Sustainable Transport)

Venues: Rio de Janeiro, RJ; and São Paulo, SP

The City of Sao Paulo Receives the First Bus Fleet of Diesel Engine Busses Running on Ethanol May

25th, 2011

60 busses already sold10 busses in operation by May 27, 201150 busses in operation by June 30, 2011

Source: CENBIO 2011

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

2,0 3,5 5,0 7,0 8,0

Euro I

Euro II

Euro III

Emission Limits for diesel enginesN

Ox

(g/k

Wh)

MP (g/kWh)

Euro V Euro IV

Third engine generationSecond engine

generationSource:SEKAB

Source: EPA, 2010

Sugar Cane Bagasse

Wood Wastes from Pulp & Paper Industry

THANK YOU VERY MUCH

JOSE ROBERTO MOREIRA

rmoreira69@hotmail.com