Roosevelt Institution University of Wisconsin-Madison October 19, 2007 John Dunlop American Wind...
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Roosevelt Institution University of Wisconsin-Madison October 19, 2007 John Dunlop American Wind Energy Association Roosevelt Energy
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Transcript of Roosevelt Institution University of Wisconsin-Madison October 19, 2007 John Dunlop American Wind...
Roosevelt Institution University of Wisconsin-Madison
October 19, 2007
John Dunlop American Wind Energy Association
Roosevelt Energy
Who is AWEA ?• American Wind Energy Association
– Established 1974– www.awea.org
• National Trade Association for Wind Industry– Legislative / Lobbying– Education & Outreach– Member Services
• Currently 1100 business, utility, academic, and non-profit members
Wind Growing Worldwide
Source: AWEA Global Market Report
1. Germany: 20,622 MW
2. Spain: 11,615 MW
3. U.S.: 11,603 MW
4. India: 6,270 MW
5. Denmark: 3,136 MWAs of December 31, 2006
United States
Europe
Rest of World
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Wind Power Taking Off in U.S.
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
1980 1984 1988 1991 1995 2000 2005
Reduced Cost Driving Wind’s Success
4 - 7 cents/kWh
Levelized cost at good wind sites in nominal dollars, including production tax credit
38 cents/kWh
State Goal
☼ PA: 18%¹ by 2020
☼ NJ: 22.5% by 2021
CT: 23% by 2020
MA: 4% by 2009 + 1% annual increase
WI: requirement varies by utility; 10% by 2015 goal
IA: 105 MW
MN: 25% by 2025(Xcel: 30% by 2020)
TX: 5,880 MW by 2015
☼ AZ: 15% by 2025
CA: 20% by 2010
☼ *NV: 20% by 2015
ME: 30% by 200010% by 2017 - new RE
State RES
HI: 20% by 2020
RI: 16% by 2020
☼ CO: 20% by 2020 (IOUs)
*10% by 2020 (co-ops & large munis)
☼ DC: 11% by 2022
☼ NY: 24% by 2013
MT: 15% by 2015
IL: 25% by 2025
VT: RE meets load growth by 2012
Solar water heating eligible
*WA: 15% by 2020
☼ MD: 9.5% in 2022
☼ NH: 23.8% in 2025
*VA: 12% by 2022
MO: 11% by 2020
☼ *DE: 20% by 2019
☼ NM: 20% by 2020 (IOUs) 10% by 2020 (co-ops)
☼ NC: 12.5% by 2021 (IOUs)10% by 2018 (co-ops & munis)
ND: 10% by 2015
State RES Requirements
OR: 25% by 2025 (large utilities)5% - 10% by 2025 (smaller utilities)
Alaska2
California2376
Colorado291
Iowa931
Minnesota895
New Mexico496
North Dakota
178Oregon438
Pennsylvania179
Texas2749
Wyoming288
Washington 818
South Dakota
44
Oklahoma595
Illinois107
Ohio7
Kansas364
Nebraska20
Wisconsin53
Michigan3
Hawaii63
WV66
New York370
VT 6
Tennessee29
Nebraska73
MA4
Montana146
Idaho
75
New Jersey8Utah
1
Rhode Island1
NH 1
> 1,000 MW
100 MW-1,000 MW
< 100 MW
Wind farm currently under construction (not necessarily comprehensive)
ME 42
U.S. Wind Power InstallationsTotal: 12,634 MW as of 06/30/07
2006 State of the Union Address“…We will invest more in … revolutionary and…wind
technologies”
Advanced Energy Initiative“Areas with good wind resources have the potential to supply up to 20% of the electricity consumption of the United States.”
US Wind 20% Scenario
What does 20% wind look like?• Would require a total of 305 GW installed by 2030.
• Compared to the 14 GW that will be installed by end of 2007.
20% Wind RPS Picture
• Over half trillion dollars investment in wind• Just $43 billion for 20% wind over no-wind scenario• $128 billion in reduced natural gas prices from
reduced demand (11% reduction in demand)• Nearly 180,000 jobs direct (+120,000 indirect) in 2030• Saves 4 trillion gallons of water use (8%)• 825 million tons of CO2 avoided in 2030
Monetary values in present values, discounted at 7% per OMB guidance
National Results: 20% Wind in 2030
20% Wind Vision Employment
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
Job
s
Operations
Construction
Manufacturing
How Does Wind Energy Create Jobs
20% Wind Vision Economic Impacts by Sector
25.0%
23.3%
32.3%
4.0%
9.6%
0.2%
0.1%
5.6%5.9%
Direct Construction ImpactsIndirect Construction ImpactsInduced Construction Impacts
Indirect Operation ImpactsInduced Operation Impacts
Property Taxes Land Lease
Other Direct Operation Impacts
Construction Impacts
Operations Impacts
Direct Operations
Contact AWEAwww.AWEA.org
202.383.2500
612.377.3270
