ROG 12 W3 2011 Federal Election April 18th Release
Transcript of ROG 12 W3 2011 Federal Election April 18th Release
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Innova&veResearchGroup,Inc.
www.innova(veresearch.ca
Toronto::Vancouver
Macleans Election Survey Series
2011 Federal Election: Third Wave
Innova&veResearchGroup
56TheEsplanade,Suite310
Toronto,ON
M5E1A7
April18,2011 STRICTLYPRIVILEGEDANDCONFIDENTIAL::DraJReport::
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The online survey was conducted among current members of INNOVATIVEsCanada 20/20 panel from April 13
th
after the end of the debate to April 17
th
,2011.
The Canada 20/20 Panel is recruited from a wide variety of sources to berepresentative of the known distribution of Canadians by age, gender, regionand language.
Results are weighted according to Census data to ensure that the sample isrepresentative of the age, gender, region and language breakdown of theCanadian population to provide results that are intended to approximate aprobability sample.
Each panellist is provided with a unique URL in their invitation so that onlyinvited panel members are able to complete any specific survey. Each URL canonly be used to complete one survey.
The weighted total sample included 1897 responses eligible for inclusion in ouranalysis including 438 in Quebec. An unweighted probability sample of 1897would have an estimated margin of error of 2.25 percentage points, 19 timesout of 20.
The margin of error will be larger within each sub-grouping of the sample.
Methodology
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TheHorserace
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Na&onalDecidedVotebyRegion
IfaFederaleleconwereheldtoday,whichpartywouldyouvotefor?Inthatcase,whichpartydoyou
leantowardslightly?
Q
Na&onalVoteInten&on
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FederalLeaders
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LeaderFavourables
Nowwearegoingtoprovideyouwithseveralnamesofpublicfigures.Pleaseindicatewhetherornot
youhaveheardofthatpersonand,ifso,whetheryouhaveastronglyfavourable,somewhatfavourable,neutral,somewhatunfavourableorveryunfavourableimpressionofthatperson.
Q
ROC Quebec
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LeaderFavourablesStephenHarper
Nowwearegoingtoprovideyouwithseveralnamesofpublicfigures.Pleaseindicatewhetherornot
youhaveheardofthatpersonand,ifso,whetheryouhaveastronglyfavourable,somewhatfavourable,neutral,somewhatunfavourableorveryunfavourableimpressionofthatperson. Stephen
Harper
Q
ROC Quebec
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LeaderFavourablesMichaelIgna&eff
Nowwearegoingtoprovideyouwithseveralnamesofpublicfigures.Pleaseindicatewhetherornot
youhaveheardofthatpersonand,ifso,whetheryouhaveastronglyfavourable,somewhat
favourable,neutral,somewhatunfavourableorveryunfavourableimpressionofthatperson. Michael
Igna&eff
Q
ROC Quebec
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LeaderFavourablesJackLayton
Nowwearegoingtoprovideyouwithseveralnamesofpublicfigures.Pleaseindicatewhetherornot
youhaveheardofthatpersonand,ifso,whetheryouhaveastronglyfavourable,somewhat
favourable,neutral,somewhatunfavourableorveryunfavourableimpressionofthatperson. Jack
Layton
Q
ROC Quebec
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LeaderFavourablesGillesDuceppe
Nowwearegoingtoprovideyouwithseveralnamesofpublicfigures.Pleaseindicatewhetherornot
youhaveheardofthatpersonand,ifso,whetheryouhaveastronglyfavourable,somewhat
favourable,neutral,somewhatunfavourableorveryunfavourableimpressionofthatperson. Gilles
Duceppe
Q
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LeaderFavourablesElizabethMay
Nowwearegoingtoprovideyouwithseveralnamesofpublicfigures.Pleaseindicatewhetherornot
youhaveheardofthatpersonand,ifso,whetheryouhaveastronglyfavourable,somewhat
favourable,neutral,somewhatunfavourableorveryunfavourableimpressionofthatperson. Elizabeth
May
Q
ROC Quebec
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BestPrimeMinisterbyRegion(Wave3)
WhichofthefollowingpartyleaderswouldmakethebestPrimeMinisterofCanada?Q
BestPrimeMinister(Na&onal)
Wave3
Wave2
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CampaignDiscourseandEvents
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ROC Quebec
AwarenessbyCampaign
Haveyouread,seenorheardanythingaboutQ
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ROC
ToryappeallimitedwhileNDPimpressthemost
Didwhatyouread,saworheardleaveyoufeelingmoreorlesslikelytovoteQ
Quebec
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ROC
Conserva&vecampaignimpactsta&s&callyunchanged
Didwhatyouread,saworheardleaveyoufeelingmoreorlesslikelytovotefortheConservavesQ
Quebec
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ROC
Liberalcampaignimpactsta&s&callyunchanged
Didwhatyouread,saworheardleaveyoufeelingmoreorlesslikelytovotefortheLiberalsQ
Quebec
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ROC
NDPpickupsteaminROC
Didwhatyouread,saworheardleaveyoufeelingmoreorlesslikelytovotefortheNDPQ
Quebec
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Bloccampaignmorepolarizinginthirdweek
Didwhatyouread,saworheardleaveyoufeelingmoreorlesslikelytovotetheBlocQ
Quebec
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AuditorGeneralsReport
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G8andG20spendingstoryverynega&vefor
Conserva&veswith85%lesslikelytosupportthemHaveyouread,seenorheardanythingaboutapreliminaryreportbytheAuditorGeneralintoquesonable
spendingdecisionsinconneconwiththeG8andG20summits?Q
DidthatcoverageleaveyoumoreorlesslikelytovoteConservave?Q
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ROC Quebec
G8andG20spendingverynega&vefor
Conserva&ves,especiallyinQuebecHaveyouread,seenorheardanythingaboutapreliminaryreportbytheAuditorGeneralintoquesonable
spendingdecisionsinconneconwiththeG8andG20summits?Q
Didthatcoverageleaveyoumoreorlesslikely
tovoteConservave?Q
Didthatcoverageleaveyoumoreorlesslikely
tovoteConservave?Q
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DealingwiththePar&Quebecois
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Conserva&vestoppartytodealwithBlocQuebecoisin
ROC;BlocfavouredinQuebec
Q IftheParQuebecoiswinthenextQuebecprovincialeleconandQuebecsovereigntybecomesa
naonalissueagain,whichfederalpartydoyoufeelisbesttodealwiththenewParQuebecoisgovernment?
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BestpartytodealwithPQbycurrentvote
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