Rochester Area Employment Trends
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Transcript of Rochester Area Employment Trends
The good, the badand the ugly…
Tammy MarinoAssociate Economist
NYS Department of LaborDivision of Research & Statistics
(585) [email protected]
www.labor.state.ny.us/workforceindustrydata/fin/index.shtm
March 18, 2009Finger Lakes Workforce Investment Board
Private Sector EmploymentUnited States
January 2008-January 2009
105,000
107,000
109,000
111,000
113,000
115,000
117,000
Jan2008
Feb2008
Mar2008
Apr2008
May2008
Jun2008
Jul2008
Aug2008
Sep2008
Oct2008
Nov2008
Dec2008
Jan2009
Jobs
Employment declined 3.7 million (-3.2%) over-the-year.
Private Sector EmploymentRochester MSA
January 2008-January 2009
400,000
405,000
410,000
415,000
420,000
425,000
430,000
435,000
440,000
445,000
450,000
Jan2008
Feb2008
Mar2008
Apr2008
May2008
Jun2008
Jul2008
Aug2008
Sep2008
Oct2008
Nov2008
Dec2008
Jan2009
Jobs
Employment down 1,400 (-0.3%) over-the-year.
Unemployment Rates(January of each year)
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Per
cen
t
Rochester MSANYSUSFLR
2009 8.0% 8.5% 8.6%2008 5.7% 5.4% 6.1%
Rochester MSA U.S. FLR
Unemployment Rates
Rochester MSA
US4-county
FLR
July 2009 8.2 9.7 7.3
July 2008 5.6 6.0 5.0
Private Sector EmploymentRochester MSA
(January of Each Year)
475,000
480,000
485,000
490,000
495,000
500,000
505,000
510,000
515,000
520,000
525,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Jobs
Employment down 16,500 (-3.7%) since its peak in 2001.
Two Trends Driving Change…Rochester MSA
1990-2008
405060708090
100110120130140
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Manufacturing Health Care
Locally manufacturing comprises:14% of employment and 22% of wages
(Nationally manufacturing accounts for 11% of employment)
Employment by Industry4-County Finger Lakes Region-2nd Quarter 2008
Leisure & Hospitality10%
Information1%
Trade, Transportation,
Utilities21%
Manufacturing16%
Construction5%
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing
2%
Other Services3%
Government23%
Professional & Business Services
3%
Educational Servcices
2%
Health & Social Services
12%
Finance2%
Industries that Lost Jobs 4-County Region
2Q 2005 to 2Q 2008
Food & Beverage Stores
Machinery Manufacturing
Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing
Electronics Wholesale Agents/Brokers
Food & Beverage Manufacturing
Truck Transportation
Wood Product Manufacturing
Building Equip. & Garden Stores
Change
-300
-300
-200
-200
-200
-200
-100
-100
Wage
$340
$990
$720
$980
$670
$700
$570
$490
Industries that Gained Jobs 4-County Region
2Q 2005 to 2Q 2008
Nursing/Residential Care Fac.
Specialty Trade Contractors
Clothing & Accessories Stores
General Merchandise Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Educational Services
Internet Publishing & Broadcasting
Computer & Electronic Product Mfg.
Change
+1,400
+ 500
+ 400
+ 300
+ 300
+ 200
+ 200
+ 200
Wage
$650
$870
$260
$390
$240
$810
$1,400
$830
Trends in Today’s Economy
• More Women in the Workforce
• Baby Boomers are Retiring
• Aging Out of the Workforce
• Service Based Economy
• Global Trade
• Technology Advances
Spas, financial services, lawn services, landscapingHands on careers-hvac, nursing, spas, education, daycare, pet care
Fastest Growing OccupationsFinger Lakes Region
2006-2016
TitlePercentChange
Employment
Wages 2016
Computer Software Engineers, Applications 29.3 $81,700 3,620
Social & Human Service Assistants 24.4 $29,300 3,520
Home Health Aides 23.8 $25,300 7,480
Personal & Home Care Aides 22.5 $20,300 2,990
Computer Systems Analysts 21.0 $69,300 2,360
Customer Service Representatives 15.3 $30,500 9,100
Bill & Account Collectors 14.4 $29,300 2,220
Combined Food Prep & Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 13.6 $17,800 5,580
Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 13.3 $25,900 2,050
Accountants & Auditors 13.0 $66,700 6,590
Fastest Growing Occupations continued…
Registered Nurses 12.5 $56,200 12,670
Child Care Workers 12.4 $21,000 7,690
Landscaping & Groundskeeping Workers 12.1 $25,100 4,720
Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants 11.6 $24,600 7,970
Security Guards 10.6 $26,000 3,970
Construction Laborers 10.5 $36,800 3,890
Food Preparation Workers 10.3 $19,000 7,200
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 10.0 $54,500 7,170
Janitors & Cleaners, Except Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners
8.3 $23,400 11,300
Bookkeeping, Accounting, & Auditing Clerks 8.0 $32,700 9,760
Elementary School Teachers, Ex. Special Ed. 220Secondary School Teachers, Ex. Special & Vocational Ed. 210Accountants and Auditors 180Middle School Teachers, Ex. Special and Vocational Ed. 90Computer Systems Analysts 90
Occupations Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree,
Finger Lakes, 2006-2016
Fastest Growing Occupations % Growth
Network Systems & Data Communications Analysts 40.0%Physician Assistants 39.6%Personal Financial Advisors 32.7%Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software 31.9%Database Administrators 31.2%
Occupations with Most Annual Openings Openings/Year
Median Wage
$68,560 $72,010 $84,370 $81,330 $71,450
$63,170 $64,440 $60,560 $62,610 $71,530
Source: New York State Department of Labor
Registered Nurses 330Computer Support Specialists 100Paralegals and Legal Assistants 30Radiologic Technologists and Technicians 10Dental Hygienists/Assistants/Lab Technicians 60
Occupations Requiring an Associate Degree, Finger Lakes, 2006-
2016Fastest Growing Occupations % Growth
Medical Records and Health Info. Technicians 35.6%Physical Therapist Assistants 34.6%Dental Hygienists 29.9%Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 28.1%Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians 27.6%
Occupations with Most Annual Openings Openings/Year
Median Wage
$32,520 $36,640 $59,090 $27,220 $42,650
$60,780 $47,940 $43,250 $50,570 $59,090
Source: New York State Department of Labor
Fastest Growing Occupations* % Growth
Fitness Trainers & Aerobics Instructors 30.8%Electricians 29.3%Heating, AC, & Refridge. Mechanics & Installers 26.2%EMTs and Paramedics 24.1%Plumbers, Pipefitters, & Steamfitters 23.5%
Occupations with Most Annual Openings Openings/YearNursing Aides, Orderlies & Technicians 140Licensed Practical Nurses 130Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 70Carpenters 130Electricians 60
Median Wage
$33,260 $52,530 $41,830 $34,440 $52,550
$46,670 $35,860 $53,690 $40,640 $52,530
Source: New York State Department of Labor
Occupations Requiring Either Postsecondary Training or Long-term OTJ Training,
Finger Lakes, 2006-2016
Occupations Requiring Moderate to Short-term OTJ Training,
Finger Lakes, 2006-2016
Occupations with Most Annual Openings Openings/Year
Customer Service Representative 340Child Care Workers 290Janitors and Cleaners 290General Office Clerks 250Teacher Assistants 230Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 210Farmworkers and Laborers 200Laborers and Freight Movers 200Home Health Aides 190Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 180
Median Wage
$29,300 $19,000 $21,500 $20,300 $32,000 $19,600 $22,300 $23,100 $20,700 $38,300
Source: New York State Department of Labor
Occupations Requiring Moderate to Short-term OTJ Training,
Finger Lakes, 2006-2016
Occupations with Most Annual Openings Openings/Year
Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor Trailer 120Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 110Security Guards 110Social and Human Service Assistants 100Correctional Officers and Jailers 80Construction Laborers 70
Median Wage
$35,300 $23,200 $24,000 $25,400 $54,000 $33,700
Source: New York State Department of Labor
When will the economy turn around?
Recession Proof Jobs
• Education– Teacher, Teacher Assistant, Instructor
• Health Care– Nurse, Pharmacist, Physician Assistant
• Energy– Alternative Energy (solar, wind, biofuel…)
• Environmental– Ecologists, Hydrologists, Environmental Chemists
• Security– Police Officer, Detective, Security Guard,
Homeland Security
Long Term Trends
• Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts • Computer Software Engineers, Applications• Home Health Aides• Personal and Home Care Aides• Medical Assistants• Dental Hygienists • Dental Assistants • Physical Therapist Assistants • Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors • Computer Systems Analysts• Physical Therapist Aides • Network and Computer Systems Administrators