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Robotics, 3 d printing, crafts and future of latvia 2013-03-12
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Transcript of Robotics, 3 d printing, crafts and future of latvia 2013-03-12
ROBOTS, 3D PRINTING, CRAFTS AND THE FUTURE OF LATVIAWhat skills can be taught to 50 year old collective farm tractor drivers to get them into a job - and what job is then there for them anyway?
Amatnieciskās ražošanas alianse 2013-03-12
Topics
• Manufacturing – key to Latvia’s breakthrough
• Robots and manufacturing
• Robots taking over many jobs
• Manufacturing coming back to US and EU from China
• 3D printing, printed electronics reopening a future for local production
• Crafts system and Latvia’s future
• History
• 3D printing empowers crafts based manufacturing
• Crafts – formal education partnership
• Manufacturing in the future – a scenario for Latvia
• Action steps
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Attempting to build a future for Latvia without manufacturing is like asking Māris Strombergs to ride his BMX without pedals.
12.04.2023
Manufacturing is key to economic breakthrough Thesis of Erik Reinert book: How Rich
Countries Got Rich and Poor Countries Stay Poor
Rich countries build things with high knowledge and design content
Poor countries consume manufactured products from rich countries and sell commodities
Government policy not market forces key to achieve wealth
Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Robots and manufacturing
Few jobs in traditional manufacturing Precision-built modern products favor robot
production even with the availability of low cost labor
Robots are now becoming much more flexible and threatening many high skill occupations. Driverless cars – millions of professional drivers Watson – millions of call center workers,
lawyers, doctors, professor jobs threatened
Latvia needs a different kind of manufacturing
Return of manufacturing to US and EU Capital intensive, highly automated,
high volume – less costly than from China
No growth in US, EU jobs – work done by robots
China is shifting to robotic production to compete
Implications for Latvia
Robotics threatens many existing jobs
No more large factories Fewer service jobs with high pay Increased automation in larger farms
threatens farm employment Little prospect for competing as a
low-wage economy
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
3D printing explained
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
3D printing reopening a future for local production Much of manufacturing is not suited
for large scale factory production but fits 3D printing.
3D printing no economies of scale in production fabricates one item at a time through a
printing process similar to two dimensional dot matrix printing.
.
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Competitive advantages
Product design Uniquely meet customer needs Variable, customized¾Inherently high value added
Flexibility Responsive, fast delivery
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Economies through networking Digital design drives the printing process
Manufacturing becomes desktop much as publishing became desktop.
Multiple identical, or varied copies can be made from the same basic design
Networks for sourcing raw materials, components
Internet portals for designs – www.thingverse.com
Portals for global sales – eBay, www.etsy.com
Opportunities for Latvia
Low volume, high quality, highly differentiated, personalized products not favored for factory production
Design intensive products in low volume
Products requiring rapid turnaround, flexible response
Products from locally available materials – wood, clays, stone, linen, other textiles
Art and high level crafts
New future for local production 3D printing, printed electronics and
other desktop manufacturing tools Access to global networks of
expertise, tools and materials Thingverse – open source library of tools
and designs for thousands of products Global distribution through online
marketplaces like eBay
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Products
Low volume parts for cars, trucks, aircraft, rail, industrial parts, unique harware items
Boats, cars, other transport Toys, playground equipment Craft, art items from manymaterials Personalized gift items, corporate gift products Prototype parts Press forms for injection molding, volume
production Desktop manufacturing equipment and supplies
Laser cutting, coatings, multimaterial Alternative feedstock – fiberglass, other materials
Home level of 3D printer
$1,000 machine, initially open sourced.
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
3D scanner
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3D printing status
About where 2D printing was in early 1980’s Limited materials – plastic resin common. Expensive raw materials Simple colors Slow
Digital design, networking and communications technology now very sophisticated Integration with social networking via open source
Outlook – expect similar to evolution of 2D printing. Industrial grade machines sophisticated - $10,000+ Competition for home craftsman market drive down
costs - $1,000
Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Crafts system and Latvia’s future The crafts system was highly developed in
Latvia prior to 1918 Medieval crafts guilds were modernized after
independence with the addition of formal education to the historical master – apprentice teaching
Crafts system was suppressed during Soviet rule Crafts system was renewed after renewal of
independence in 1991 Mastercrafts certification is recognized through
most of Europe Crafts combined with formal education offer a
platform to launch 3D printing based manufacturing in Latvia
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
3D printing empowers crafts based manufacturing Master craftsmen have shops across
Latvia where they produce furniture, art objects, ceramics, jewelry, homes and other products
3D printing expands the range of products that can be produced Low volume automotive, aerospace and
other industrial products New forms of products in new media by
traditional crafts masters
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Global resources available to Latvian craftsmen Makers fairs, open source portals
with designs and suppliers as well as sales channels empower mastercraftsmen working with 3D printing, printed electronics and other capabilities
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Crafts – formal education partnership Master – apprentice:
Learn to make things by doing Learn small business management Certification through crafts system
Doing informed by formal knowledge High tech draws on scientific research Best practices are taught in classrooms and labs Post secondary ed positioned to train new entrants
Skills must be acquired to use tools and to communicate and collaborate Networking, open source key to rapid advancement Much learning Internet based, learn to cooperate
through direct contact
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Power of open source model Open source augments the master-
apprentice relationship Open source brings the power of a
community into the learning – doing relationship
Latvia should adopt the open source model to build next generation manufacturing into Latvia
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
A scenario for the future
Latvia develops a fifth industrial revolution manufacturing system to meet needs of locally and globally through web
Community of makers – open source design, portals for sharing designs, experience and teachings, modify mastercraft certification to include 3D printing, and open source, networked design,supply chain managment and marketing and sales
Formal teaching through programs delivered through regional higher education
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
Implementation
Develop a national 3D industrial revolution strategy
Form a Latvia 3D community Makers, instructors, master craftsmen, designers
Fully take advantage of crafts guilds, open source design philosophy and formal education in design, business startup, business management, entrepreneurship.
Provide access to 3D printing technology & 3D printing service centers at business incubators in Latvia
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Action plan
Develop a 3D printing demonstration site in Latvia.
Need: Team Host organization Funding
Build maker – designer community
Vision Facilitat
e Change
Measure
Results
Kaija Consulting SIA
GGConsulting SIA
Latvijas Amatniecības Kamera
Amatnieciskās ražošanas alianse
Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse
12.04.2023Amatnieciskā ražošanas alianse March 8, 2013
3D Printing Suppliers
3D Systems, Rockhill, SC, USA, http://www.zcorp.com/en/home.aspx
MakerBot, Brooklyn, NY, USA http://www.makerbot.com/
For a full list see the 3D Printing Directory - http://www.explainingthefuture.com/3d_printing_directory.html