Robo-Advisors for Portfolio Managementonlinepresent.org/proceedings/vol141_2016/21.pdf ·...
Transcript of Robo-Advisors for Portfolio Managementonlinepresent.org/proceedings/vol141_2016/21.pdf ·...
Robo-Advisors for Portfolio Management
Jae Yeon Park1 , Jae Pil Ryu1, Hyun Joon Shin2,1*
1KIS Pricing Inc., Seoul, Korea;
{jaeyeon.park, jaepilryu}@kispricing.com 2Department of Management Engineering, Sangmyung University, Cheonan, Korea;
Abstract. Recently, the demand that manage portfolio by using robo-advisor
have been increasing. The scale of asset management with robo-advisor is two
hundred trillion won, which is still relatively small amount but it is expected
more than two thousand trillion won in 2020. Almost all the U.S. asset
management companies which have a lot of investment and interest in robo-
Advisor have invested huge sums of money to development and adaptation of
robo-Advisor. And at the same time, they can cut cost as investment manpower
decrease at the same time. Robo-advisor have advantages not only management
cost saving result from low commission but also good decision making through
systematic and quantitative analysis. In other words, robo-advisor is the system
to make investment decision exclude human psychology or emotion. In this
research, we investigate the effectiveness of Robo-advisor, basic principle of
performance, and the current state of United States’ robo-advisor management
corporations. Also, we compare and analyze Schwab Intelligent, Wealthfront
and Betterment which are the representative robo-advisor manage corporation.
They have similar basic investment strategy and philosophy of robo-advisor
but, there are big differences in methodology such as investment asset type, or
understanding customer’s tendency.
Keywords: Robo-Advisors, Portfolio Management, Mean-Variance model,
Certified Investment Manager
1 Research Background
In modern society, most people have either a direct or an indirect interest in investing
in financial instruments. However, many individual investors make investment
decisions based on their limited knowledge on financial instruments rather than
relying on professional knowledge. In contrast, institutional investors, armed with
better information, invest huge amounts of their management funds; this constantly
exposes them to risks caused by diverse unpredictable variables in the financial
market. These conditions in the financial market have increased investors’ demand for
robo-advisors. Robo-advisor is an artificial intelligence system that makes decisions
based on algorithms by collecting vast quantities of big data. This decision-making
* Corresponding author
Advanced Science and Technology Letters Vol.141 (GST 2016), pp.104-108
http://dx.doi.org/10.14257/astl.2016.141.21
ISSN: 2287-1233 ASTL Copyright © 2016 SERSC
technique was demonstrated by AlphaGo, which is a computer program developed by
Google (Park, 2016).
As mentioned above, artificial intelligence technology has been embodied in the
form of robo-advisors that offer a novel asset management and customer service
system in the financial sector. People’s interest in robo-advisors has grown over time.
In particular, robo-advisors have certain advantages, such as high accessibility by
customers and comparatively low fees. Figure 1 demonstrates that the funds globally
managed by robo-advisors are estimated to be around KRW 250 trillion, and this is
projected to increase to approximately KRW 2,200 trillion by 2020.
Fig. 1. An outlook on robo-advisors
In particular, starting from October 2016, the Financial Services Commission plans
to permit qualified robo-advisors to provide online advisory and discretionary
investment management services (Ryu, 2016). An increasing number of investment
companies have been establishing asset management systems using robo-advisors in
foreign countries. The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) introduced robo-advisors to
reduce its operational costs and respond to the growing demand for online
consultations with investors. As a result, the bank was able to lay off around 550
investment-related employees, including approximately 220 investment advisors and
200 insurance product advisors. In the future, the bank plans to offer advisory services
to customers investing more than GBP 250,000 and online services to customers
investing less than GBP 250,000 via robo-advisors. In addition, financial institutions
have been increasing their investment in robo-advisors. Goldman Sachs has recently
acquired a company called Honest Dollar, which is developing robo-advisors, and
MasterCard Worldwide has applied an algorithm developed by Rainbird, which is a
company that develops robo-advisors, to its customer consulting service. The
investment in robo-advisor technology by investment companies is estimated to rise
to approximately USD 300 million per year, which indicates a tenfold increase from
that in 2010. As previous examples have indicated, robo-advisors are an important
tool to allow individuals and institutions to devise logical strategies for managing
their investment funds. However, portfolio management systems based on robo-
advisors is still at an infant stage of development. It will take some time to formulate
and apply pertinent drafts and policies related to robo-advisors. Many research papers,
published by research centers and academic institutions affiliated to financial
Advanced Science and Technology Letters Vol.141 (GST 2016)
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investment companies, explain the advantages of robo-advisors and the visions for its
future growth.
2 Research Plan
This study is based on a survey, and thus, aims to collect and summarize detailed and
objective research data rather than qualitative or abstract data. It is composed of four
sub-topics, the details of which are as follows:
1 Introduce a mean-variance model, which is a basic model for portfolio
management based on robo-advisors, and explain its strengths and
weaknesses.
2 Discuss the common attributes of robo-advisors and passive indexing, and
explain the operating methods of robo-advisors.
3 Briefly introduce the techniques of robo-advisors deployed by diverse
financial management companies; compare and contrast the management
methods used by Schwab Intelligent, Wealthfront, and Betterment, all of
which are considered the most advanced in this field.
4 Explore the possibility of robo-advisors being an effective alternative to
traditional (funds or portfolio) management strategies.
This paper will focus on the current status of robo-advisors rather than a positive
vision of their future. In addition, by introducing U.S. representative firms that
manage the highest amount of funds through robo-advisors, we would like to describe
the realistic and effective features of robo-advisors rather than approaching the
subject from an academic and theoretical perspective.
3 Analysis of Asset Management Strategy of Robo-Advisors
3.1 Type of Investment Assets
This part introduces major asset management companies that use robo-advisors, and
compares and analyzes their robo-advisor methodologies.US robo-advisors usually
demand that clients at least meet the minimum investment thresholds. Furthermore,
their portfolios have 10–20 assets and most of them are ETFs. The general
information on robo-advisors, as investigated in the study, is presented in Table 1
below.
Most robo-advisors automatically select and invest in stocks and bonds. For stocks,
there are cases where one sector is thoroughly divided up and invested in. Schwab
Intelligent invests in about 30 assets, and the other two companies invest in around 10
or less assets. In particular, all three companies are investing in global bonds when
using robo-advisors. There is a small difference in the asset types that the three
companies invest in, with Schwab Intelligent and Wealthfront investing in resources
such as gold and related ETFs. Betterment can be seen as lacking from a diversity
perspective. During the years 1802–2012, before gold prices were hit by volatility, the
average rate of return for gold and related ETF products was 0.7%, the average rate of
Advanced Science and Technology Letters Vol.141 (GST 2016)
106 Copyright © 2016 SERSC
return for the stock market was 6.6%, and the average rate of return on bonds issued
in the US was about 3.6%.
Another characteristic is that all three robo-advisors invest in US corporate bonds,
and in this case, there are three types of risks: credit risk, liquidity risk, and callrisk.
In particular, Schwab Intelligent invests in high-yield bonds among corporate bonds.
As transaction fees are higher for high-yield bonds compared to regular bonds, they
are rarely traded. The next part explains the methodology of measuring the expected
rate of return for each manager’s portfolio.
Table 1. General Information on Robo-Advisors
Company Minimum amount
of investment Annual commission
Composition
of portfolio
Assets
under
management
Betterment No limit Less than $10,000:0.35%
More than $10,000:0.25%
Maximum 12
ETFs $2.5 billion
Schwab
Intelligent $5,000 None
Maximum 20
ETFs Uncertain
Wealthfront $5,000 Less than $10,000:None
More than $10,000:0.25%
Maximum 7
ETFs $2.5 billion
3.2 Portfolio Rate of Return
The Black-Litterman model is generally used to calculate the expected rates of return
for constructing a portfolio. However, Schwab Intelligent does not use the Black-
Litterman model at all. Betterment and Wealthfront use this model to predict the
expected rates of return and decide whether to use the model according to the
significance levels pertaining to the market equilibrium rate of return. Schwab
Intelligent does not rely onthe market equilibrium rate of return, but rather uses data
such as the robo-advisor’s past rates of return, interest rates, credit risk spreads,
dividends, and GDP growth rates to calculate the expected rate of return. The Gordon
growth model is also used; this model converts future dividends into current value to
calculate the rate of return. Schwab Intelligent uses the Gordon growth model to
predict the expected rates of return, while Wealthfront uses only parts of this model.
3.3 Portfolio Risk and Investment Targets
Schwab Intelligent and Betterment optimize assets according to individual investor’s
investment goals, while Wealthfront focuses on the client’s most basic and common
needs to optimize portfolio assets rather than using a customized approach.
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Schwab Intelligent and Betterment have different methods for measuring investors’
risk preference and investment goals. Schwab Intelligent uses a questionnaire to
measure investors’ risk preference, whereas Wealthfront measures the extent to which
each client handles risk through a behavioral approach. Betterment does not use a
behavioral approach, but rather uses the glide path, an asset allocation method, in all
cases except for retirement planning. Thus, the investment asset types of the three
companies vary according to clients’ investment goals and risk profiles.
4 Conclusion
This study examined US asset management firms that use robo-advisors to manage
assets, and investigated the robo-advisor strategies of the top companies, namely
Schwab Intelligent, Wealthfront, and Betterment. As described above, their
investment philosophies for robo-advisors are similar, but each robo-advisor uses
different approaches in its process of selecting asset types and assets to invest in.
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