Rob Dixon John Ritchie Di Guo - Cass Business School · Di Guo Economics, Finance and Business...
Transcript of Rob Dixon John Ritchie Di Guo - Cass Business School · Di Guo Economics, Finance and Business...
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The Impact of Governance Structure and Financial Constraints on
Risk Tolerance of VCs: An Empirical Work on China’s Venture Capital
Industry
Rob Dixon Economics, Finance and Business School,
University of Durham E-mail: [email protected]
John Ritchie Economics, Finance and Business School,
University of Durham E-mail: [email protected]
Di Guo Economics, Finance and Business School,
University of Durham E-mail: [email protected]
Appreciation is expressed to Maozu Lu, Guy Liu, and Yan Guo for comments
and advices on earlier version of the manuscript.
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The Impact of Governance Structure and Financial Constraints on Risk
Tolerance of VCs: An Empirical Work on China’s Venture Capital Industry
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of governance structures and soft budget
constraints on the risk tolerance of venture capitalist institutions (hereinafter as VCs)
under Chinese institutional environments. Using the financing stage and technological
preference as proxy risk tolerance scales, VCs with different governance structure and
budget constraints demonstrate various risk taking. The findings from 648 projects
invested by 56 VCs in China and selected unstructured interviews are consistent with
those of Qian and Xu (1999) and Mayer (2002) regarding the significant difference
between hierarchic VCs with harder budget constraints compared with VCs with
softer budget constraints with respect to risk tolerance.
Key words: risk tolerance, venture capital institutions, governance structures,
financial constraints,
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Section 1 introduction
The development of hi-technology sectors has for long been seen as important for
improving the prosperity and vitality of the national economy (Marx, 1978;
Schumpeter, 1950). However, traditional financial institutions were reluctant to invest
in risky hi-tech sectors, especially newly established hi-tech firms. Starting from
1950s in the U.S., venture capital investment has shown striking capability in
nurturing new established hi-tech firms with its special risk return profile.
With unique designs of monitoring mechanism and incentive schemes, venture
capitalists demonstrate a higher degree of risk tolerance than traditional financing
institutions. Nonetheless, studies show that VCs’ risk tolerance degree is far from
homonymous (Elango et al., 1995; Mani et al., 2002; Robinson, 1987, etc). Some VCs
show more risk taking with preference to earlier staged firms with higher
technological intensity while others prefer later staged firms with lower technological
intensity (Wang, 2002; Mayer, 2002; Sahlman, 1990).
Why do VCs differ from each other in investment preference? Are there any
determining factors on the investment choice of VCs? Researchers have attempted to
explain it using both portfolio theories and organizational theories. In this study, we
aim to test the relationship between risk taking degree of VCs and their governance
structures with the perspectives of Soft Budget Constraints (hereinafter SBC) under
China’s institutional arrangments.
As a developing Asian country that is experiencing the transition from planned
economy to market economy system, China has long seen science and technology as a
critical part of its search for economic development and national competitive
capability. As a result, venture capital in the Chinese context has been officially
promoted as a critical mechanism for linking scientific and technological capabilities
and outputs on one hand, with national and regional economic and social development
on the other. Since 1985, when the first venture capital institution was built, China’s
venture capital industry has developed dramatically in terms of the amount and
sources of funds, the types of venture capital institutions and the diversity of
investment preference of VCs.
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According to the theory of SBC, hierarchic organizations with softer budget
constraints are generally less risk taking than independent organizations with harder
budget constraints (Qian & Xu, 1999). Taking financing stages and technological
intensity as risk tolerance scales, and classifying VCs by their governance structures
based on different degree of budget constraints, our study explores whether there is a
statistically significant difference in risk taking between foreign limited partnership
VCs (hereinafter FLPVCs) and domestic hierarchic VCs (hereinafter DVCs), while
the former is more risk taking than the latter in China.
By exploring company documents from various sources, we build up a dataset
covering 648 projects invested by 56 VCs in China, with unstructured interviews with
VCs and entrepreneurs backed by a foreign limited partnership VC, as well as using
further documentations.
This is among the first empirical works on this subject with such a large dataset.
This study could provide a basis for further research in cross country comparative
work in the venture capital industry, with significance for understanding how soft
budget constraints impact upon innovation financing in contemporary transitional
economies, with implications for policy makers concerned with adjusting legal
frameworks and economic strategies and encouraging VCs to meet different hi-tech
development objectives.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 introduces the research
background. Section 3 clarifies the research questions and measurement definitions.
Section 4 introduces the methodology employed. Section 5 discusses the findings
Section 6 is provides the conclusion with future implications. Appendix 1 is the
bibliography, Appendixes 2-4, statistical analyses, Appendix 5, the case study
profiles.
Section 2 Research background
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1. China’s venture capital industry
Starting from mid 1980s, China’s venture capital industry has experienced a
dramatic transformation. Early in 1984, the concept of venture capital was officially
brought forward by National Research Centre of Science and Technology for
Development (under State Science and Technology Commission, SSTC) with the
suggestion that a new venture capital system should be established to promote the
technological development. Consequently, China New Technology Venture
Investment Corporation was formed in 1986 as the first venture capital institution by
the State Science and Technology Commission and the Ministry of Finance.
Operating as a central government agency, its major mission was to support national
technology venture rather than financial organization. The performance of China New
Technology Venture Investment Corporation was not satisfactory and suffered
investment losses amounting to 30m RMB till 1996 when it closed.
Hence, in 1989, China’s first Sino-foreign joint venture in venture capital was
founded with the approval of the State Council and Ministry of Foreign Trade and
Economic Cooperation (MOFTEC). This VC was established with the mission of
funding the industrialization of R&D projects supported by national high-tech
promoting programmes. (863, Torch)1. Chinese government would expand funding
sources by setting up more commercialized hi-tech financing organizations. In 1991,
the State Council announced the “Authorization of National High-Tech Zones and
Related Policies”; allowing relevant departments to set up VC funds in high-tech
zones to support risky high-tech industry development, and mature high-tech zones
could set up VC corporations. Consequently, a series of VCs were established by
local governments in Shenyang, Shanxi, Guangdong, Shanghai and Zhejiang in 1992.
This led to a wave of VC organizational establishments. However, the industry
encountered problem with the experience of domestic venture capitalists drawn from
governmental sectors, the lack of surplus funds for its further investment prior to the
exit of the first invested projects, and thus the constraints of early institutional 1 863 and torch programmes are two important projects in supporting certain promising new hi-tech enterprises
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environment compelled the introduction of a more feasible mechanism for developing
venture capital.
In 1997, Deng Nan (Vice Minister of SSTC), when overseeing VC system,
directed a group from the School of Economics and Management of Tsinghua
University to report about a better VC structure, the relationship between VC and
capital markets, and plan for developing the VC system. That was the first time
central government formally sought academic support for venture capital
development. In the same year, Zindart, a toy manufacturer that had received
investment from ChinaVest in 1993, listed ADRs on NASDAQ, was one of the first
examples of venture capital investment exit.
At the same time, a new tech-based venture AsiaInfo received US$18 million
investment from 3 foreign VC institutions. This was the largest investment from
foreign VCs. ‘Sohu.com’ also received US$6.5 million from foreign VCs as the first
new venture in China’s IT industry to receive such investment. Later, both companies
were listed on NASDAQ, and, since both were foreign investments, researchers
question that whether the foreign venture capitalist practices were more effective.
In March of 1998, the Central Committee of Chinese National Democratic
Constructive Association presented ‘Proposal for developing China’s VC Industry’ at
the Ninth Conference of the NPC. This proposal attracted the serious attention of both
the academics and policy makers. Having been clarified the legitimacy of corporate
VC institutions, venture capital shifted from being a solitary topic of policy research,
discussion and experimentation, or a form of government subsidization of new
technology ventures, to being a rapidly growing segment of China’s commercial
financial system (White, Gao, Zhang, 2002).
2. Data concerning China’s venture capital industry
China’s venture capital industry shows a successive increase in the number of
VC institutions and funds under management from 1994 to 2001. According to the
with the low-interest rate loans.
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China Venture Capital Yearbook 2002, the number of VC institutions increased from
17 in 19942 to 246 by the end of 2001, these VCs have supported over 800 projects
among which over 80% are categorized as hi-tech sector (CVCY, 2002). The
cumulative VC funds under management increased from 2 billion RMB in 1994 to 40
billion RMB till 2001, which shows a 20 times of increase in investment within 7
years (Chart 2.1). However, the rate of increase was not even. From 2.2 billion RMB
under management in 1994, the two sharpest increases occurred in 1997 and 1999
respectively.
Chart 2.1 Increase of venture capital under management 1994-2002
0500000
100000015000002000000250000030000003500000400000045000005000000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91994-2002
Am
ount
of i
nves
tmen
t un
it: 1
0000
RM
B
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Incr
emen
t rat
etotal amount new investment Increment rate
Source: China’s Venture Capital Yearbook 2002
The three major sources of venture capital investment in China are: central and
local government, domestic corporations and foreign venture capital funds, which
contribute 34%, 37%, 21.9% respectively to total VC funds in 2001. The three
sources account for about 92% of the total funds as in chart 2.2-a. VC fund sources
have diversified during the years as shown in chart 2.2-b. While the government has
long been a major capital provider, its percentage contribution has been successively
reduced. The role of foreign VC funds has fluctuated, from being the second funds
2 The reliable statistical data concerning venture capital were collected from 1994. Therefore, in this paper, all statistical data are counted from 1994.
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provider before 1999, it fell to third important with 22% overall. Funds from domestic
corporations have grown considerably to 37% of total capital by 2001.
Chart2.2-a Source of China's venture capital investment in 2001
34. 3%
37. 0%
21. 9%
4. 1% 2. 7%
Governments Domestic corporationsForeign VC firms Domestic Financial institutionsOther institutions and individuals
Source: China’s Venture Capital Yearbook 2002
Chart 2.2-b Source of China's venture capital investment 1994-2001
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 81994- 2001
proportion
Governments
Domestic corporations
Foreign VC firms
Domestic FinancialinstitutionsOther institutions andindividuals
Source: China’s Venture Capital Yearbook 2002
According to CVCY 2002, China’s venture capital industry shows distinct
diversity in terms of the capital flow in financing stages, industrial sectors, and
regional allocations.
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First, the venture capital market is segmented by financing stages. Of the
number of projects, over 71% of VC backed (803 cases) are at the early stage of
development (11.6% at seed stage; 30.5% at start-up stage and 33.4% at growing
stage). Only 16.3% of total are at expansion stage and 8.2% are at mature stage. (See
Chart 2.3-c).
Chart 2.3-c Distribution of venture capital investment by stages (counted by cases)
16. 3%
8. 2%
11. 6%
30. 5%
33. 4% Expanding stageMature stageSeed stageStartup stageGrowing stage
Source: China’s Venture Capital Yearbook 2002
Moreover, as shown in chart 2.3-e, most investments concentrate on special
industrial sectors3. About 45% VC backed projects are in the IT sector and less than
10% in traditional sectors.
3 Distribution of venture capital investment by sector is accounted for by cases but not by the capital invested until the end of 2001.
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Chart 2.3-e Distribution of VC backed projects by industry
7.47%20.55%
15.44%
2.74%
9.47%
44.33%
IT
Communication
Pharmacy and bio-techNew material
O ther Hi-tech
Traditionalindustry
Source: China’s Venture Capital Yearbook 2002
3. Risk tolerance and VCs
Risk aversion is the fundamental investment principle. Concerns about risks are
related to the high degree of uncertainty. Previous work on the screening process of
VCs suggest the particular concerns about the uncertainty of future market,
management team, products and service, business model, and cash out potential
(Macmillan, Zemann & Subbanarasimha, 1987; Tybee & Bruno, 1984; Quindlen,
2000; Kaplan & Stromberg, 2002). Risk factors are often related to the growth stage
of firms and the technological intensity of the projects (Churchill & Lewis, 1983;
Ruhnka & Young, 1987; Wang, 2002).
Ruhnka and Young (1987) created a model consisting five sequential stages in
the development process based on the views of VCs. They found a strong census on
key development goals or benchmarks in various stages, and developmental risks
associated with each stage. It is commonly believed that early stage ventures face
considerable management, market, and technological uncertainty. Empirical research
shows that VCs believe the risk of loss of their investment is much higher for early-
stage investments (Elango et al., 1995; Ruhnka and Young (1991). In addition,
researchers argue that different technological intensity determines uncertainty about
projects. More intensive technology imposes higher risks due to the more serious
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issues of informational asymmetry and the market uncertainty. Thus, VCs’ preference
about financing stages and technological sectors is an important scale in testing the
risk tolerance of VCs (e.g. Wetzel, 1981; Wang, 2002; Mayer, 2002, etc.).
Empirical research (Wetzel, 1981; Elango et al., 1995) suggests that there is a
significant difference in risks profiles by stages and technologies in venture capital
investment. Hence, questions raised here are: Why do VCs differ regarding
investment preference? Are there any particular determinants influencing on
investment choice of VCs?
Previous literature has explained the reason for the investment choice of VCs by
employing Markotwiz’s portfolio methodology. It attributes the results to resource
constraints (Elango et al., 1995), cost considerations (Lerner, 1995) and
macroeconomic environments. These studies mainly focus on explaining why VCs
diversify their investment at different stages and in technological sectors, but they
cannot explain why the venture capital market is divided into different segments as
preferred by different forms of VCs (Wang, 2002).
Recently, researchers (Mayer, 2002; Sahlman, 1990; Wang, 2002) tend to
emphasize the impact of governance structures on the risk tolerance of VCs. Sahlman
(1990) and Bleicher & Paul (1987) state that the hierarchic VCs typically lack an
internal incentive arrangement based on the performance and thus conduct financing
activities on an ad hoc basis. Such a governance structure would discourage hierarchic
VCs to take risks. Wang (2002) tested the risk tolerance degree of three different
types of VCs (i.e. non-organizational VCs, independent VCs and hierarchic VCs
including strategic VCs and financial VCs) and found that there is relationship
between the governance structures to the risk tolerance of VCs.
Moreover, researchers begin to employ the theories of soft budget constraints
(hereinafter as SBC) to explain financing intermediaries (Dewatripont & Maskin,
1995; Qian & Xu, 1999; Dewatripont & Rolland, 1999). Qian and Xu’s work (1999)
is the first one, which sets up a model explaining innovation project financing with
the perspective of SBC. They argue that the lack of commitment to terminate bad
investment projects due to the soft budget constraints of hierarchic investment
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institutions lead to reduced risk taking in investing projects of higher uncertainty. The
findings of Mayer’s empirical work (2002), which examines the degree of risk
tolerance of VCs in UK and Germany, are consistent with Qian and Xu (1999).
SBC has emerged as a very suitable approach in researches in transitional
economies and financial intermediaries. However, empirical work in venture capital
under this framework is still scarce. Our research aims to fill this gap by testing the
relationship between degrees in risk taking and VCs with a different scale of budget
constraints in China.
Section 3 Research questions 1. Research questions statements
As we have stated in previous sections, there are three major types of VC
institutions operating in China, i.e. foreign fund backed VCs (FVCs), government
backed VCs (GVCs) and corporate backed VCs (CVCs). Most FVCs employ limited
partnership structure except for certain strategic VCs under management of large
foreign corporations. GVCs and CVCs are all generally limited companies, which are
under control of their parent company or higher-level supervisional organizations;
Thus, they are of a typical hierarchical governance structure.
Limited partnership VCs base their governance structure on agency contracts
with investors (Sahlman, 1990). Under such a legal structure, VCs serve as an agent
to gain financial revenues for their principals. In order to avoid a general partner
taking undue risks, the contracts are designed to limit life time (Sahlman, 1990).
Thus, limited partners have a very hard budget constraints based on their unlimited
responsibility and limited fund contracts with backers.
Our initial research found that even though GVCs and CVCs are all under
hierarchical governance structure, GVCs do differ from CVCs in a number of
organizational factors, especially the intensity of budget constraints. GVCs operate
with much softer financial constraints. Most of the leaders are former governmental
officers or appointed by related bureaus. Thus, governments not only act as fund
providers, but also fund managers. This suggests that GVCs maintain relatively soft
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budget constraints. Our interviewee ---Dr. X (an executive officer of a GVC) stated
that soft budget constraints cannot be avoided by saying that: [‘All of our
shareholders are governments or government tied, so most of time our work is to
support their policies. But testing policies are risky, and it’s costly, right? So it is
reasonable that we get compensations (refinancing) for the costs.’] This shows that,
acting as political agent, GVCs are generally ‘relaxed’ about budget constraints.
However, CVCs funds are generally provided by cash-rich listed companies in
China. Due to the supervision policy of listed corporations, information disclosure
requirements and diversified shareholders, listed corporations must be very cautious
about their financial statement and may not afford continuous refinancing. Hence, we
propose that the budget constraints of corporate VCs are harder than government
backed VCs.
Therefore, based on the different budget constraints of VCs, we classify VCs into
two groups: 1. Domestic VCs (hierarchic structure, hereinafter DVCs); 2. Limited
partnership FVCs 4 (market oriented structure, hereinafter FLPVCs). We divide
domestic hierarchic VCs into two subgroups: GVCs and CVCs. We then examine
each group in terms of their investment preferences in financing stages and
technology intensity respectively. Based on the literature and our initial studies on
China’s venture capital industry, the research propositions are raised as follows:
Proposition 1: There is a clear difference between FLPVCs and DVCs in risk
taking. DVCs take less risk compared with FLPVCs by investing in more later staged
projects in hi-tech, while FLPVCs are more inclined to expansion staged hi-tech
projects.
Proposition 2: There is a clear difference between CVCs and GVCs in terms of
their risk taking. GVCs take less risk-return projects compared with CVCs by
investing in more later-staged projects.
Proposition 3: There is a clear difference among FLPVCs, CVCs and GVCs in
terms of their risk taking. GVCs take less risk-return projects compared with CVCs
4 Here we do not take foreign hierarchic VCs into our model since from our initial studies, foreign corporate VCs differ a lot from domestic VCs in governance structure.
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and FLPVCs by investing in more later-staged projects than the other two groups
while FLPVCs take more expansion staged projects than other groups.
2. Measurement definitions
Most of our measurements are defined according to existing literature i.e. Mayer
(2002,2001) and Wang (2002). First of all, we use Wang (2002)’s ‘risk return
investment across stages and technology matrix’ to set up the risk tolerant degree
measures. (See table 4.1)
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Table 4.1 Risk return investment across stages and technology
Risk return Early stages Expansion stage Later stage
Hi-tech High Modest Lower
Traditional industry Low Lower Lowest
1.Early stages: include Seed stage, Start-up stage and Growing stage.
(Seed stage: the stage when a concept has still to be proven and developed. Start-up
stage: the stage when products are developed and initial marketing takes place. The
firm may be a year old or younger at this stage. Growing stage: the stage when the
firm is expanding and producing but may remain unprofitable. It is often less than 5
years old at this stage.)
2. Expansion stage: the stage when the sales are close to the aimed amount, and the
firm might go public after 6 months or a year.
3. Later stage: the stage when the firm is gaining profits. Generally, VCs consider exit
at this stage.
Section 4 Methodology justification
1. Data collection
Data in this paper come from two basic sources----secondary documents and
unstructured interviews.
First, much of the data in this paper are drawn from secondary document
analysis. The aggregate data are mainly from China’s Venture Capital Yearbook 2002
and the survey report of Zero2IPO (a leading survey and research company which
focuses on Hi-tech and venture capital industry surveys), while the detailed data about
individual VC’s investment preference in financing stage and sector intensity are
collected from wide range of published sources including websites of venture capital
institutions and their portfolio companies, industrial and financial magazines,
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newspapers as well as related industrial reports. Certain cases in this paper are derived
from the documents and organization profile analysis.
The second major source is our unstructured interviews with venture capitalists
conducted in August 2003. We undertook unstructured interviews with key staff from
two different venture capital institutions (i.e. one is from one of top ten GVCs, the
other one is from CVCs) and with one entrepreneur who was funded by one of top ten
FVCs.
2. Sampling
Our samples are taken from the VC list in China’s VC Survey Report 2002
published by Zero2IPO. 78 venture capital institutions, which have more than 4
portfolio companies, are selected for our investigation, while 22 VCs were screened
out due to the lack of access to gain information of their portfolio companies. The
final sample pool covers 56 VCs with 648 invested projects. Among the sample, 21
are limited partnership VCs, 17 are GVCs and 18 are domestic CVCs.
3. Reliability of the data
Much data is drawn from secondary documents and websites, which could have
some impact on reliability, except the major aggregate figures are from an officially
published venture capital yearbook, may be presumed to be accurate. However, the
resources from website are also mainly from official sites of the venture capital
institutions and their portfolio companies, and are thus probably accountable. So, we
suggest that the data in this study is reliable.
4. Data analysis
Quantitative data in this paper are analyzed with simple descriptive statistical
approach i.e. AVOVA since the number of factors in this research is small and this
study is a preparatory one. Qualitative data are generated and analyzed based on
interview transcripts and company history analysis. Case1-4 are the results of our
company history analysis: case1 is a CVC while case 2 and case 3 are GVCs, case 4 is
a FLPVC.
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Section 4 Findings and Discussion
1. Overview of the investigation results
There is a clear market segmentation of VCs in stages and technological sectors
in China. 60% of projects were invested at their early stages, 31% at expansion stage,
and 10% at a later stage (see table 5.1. -a). A significant concentration on IT and
electronic sectors: about 87% of total projects are from hi-tech industry in which over
50% are IT and electronic projects, while only 13% of total are from traditional
sectors (see table 5.1-b).
Table 4-1-a Descriptive results of VCs’ preference in financing stage in China
Descriptive Statistics
56 .20 1.00 .5824 .0234 .1751356 .00 .63 .3130 .0218 .1635156 .00 .25 .1047 .0114 .0854956
EARLY STAGESEXPANSION STAGELATER STAGEValid N (listwise)
Statistic Statistic Statistic Statistic Std. Error StatisticN Minimum Maximum Mean Std.
Table 4-1-b Descriptive results of VCs’ preference in financing sectors in China
Descriptive Statistics
56 .00 1.00 .5057 .0386 .2887856 .00 .80 .1263 .0210 .15702
56 .00 .33 .0541 .0125 .09355
56 .00 .60 .1068 .0179 .1335956 .00 .50 .0739 .0151 .1130856 .00 1.00 .1331 .0297 .2221056
IT & ELECTRONICBIO-TECH&PHARMNEW MATERIAL &ENERGYCOMMUNICATIONOTHER HI-TECHTRADITIONAL INDUSTRYValid N (listwise)
Statistic Statistic Statistic Statistic Std. Error StatisticN Minimum Maximum Mean Std.
Basically, our results are similar to data from CVCY 2002. However, there are
some small differences in proportion of investment in the seed stage and start-up
stage, our data show about 10% less projects funded in their early stages than that in
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CVCY 2002. We argue that data from CVCY 2002 were collected by the end of 2001,
and VCs became more sensitive to investment risk after the crash of ‘internet bubble’
in 2001. Thus, projects invested after 2001 are mainly from expansion stage and later
stage. This is consistent both with the findings of our interviews with VCs and
secondary document analysis.
2. Findings of differences between FLPVCs and DVCs
The findings show that the risk tolerance degree of FLPVCs and DVCs is
significantly different, while FLPVCs are more risk taking than DVCs (see appendix
2-1). There is a statistically significant difference between FLPVCs and DVCs in
investments to projects at expansion stage and later stage. FLPVCs are more
interested in expansion-staged projects than DVCs, while DVCs are more interested
in the later stages than FLPVCs. There is almost no difference between the two
groups in choice of investing in hi-tech or traditional sectors (see appendix 2-2). Both
show strong interest in hi-tech industries though they are significantly different in hi-
tech sectors they choose (see appendix 2-3). FLPVCs are more significantly interested
in IT/Electronic and communication industry compared with DVCs, while DVCs
invest in new material /new energy and bio-tech/pharmacy significantly more than
FLPVCs. The results are consistent with the propostition1.
Qualitative data also support such statistics. For instance, VC3 (Appendix 5-3),
which is backed by both central and local governments, show a clear orientation
towards investing in expansion and later stages. According to its investment strategy,
this VC concentrates mainly on pre-investment screening processes. We also find that
the decision-making processes of hierarchic VCs are more complex than independent
VCs while the average time of pre-screening of hierarchic VCs are longer than
independent VCs.
In terms of the financing stage preference, Dr. X, an executive officer of one of
top ten GVCs stated that: [‘ Of course we prefer later staged firms which could be
more secure. Our project managers could not make final decisions. All the final
decisions are made by executive officers and based on the screening reports and the
advice from internal and external experts. We are responsible for all the losses and
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revenues. So, we have to be very cautious… a loss of one project could be millions of
RMB. Earning less is acceptable, losing is much more troublesome. And, you know,
we don’t earn more for more profits, but are blamed for losses…’] The interview
transcripts reveal the impact of DVCs’ hierarchic structure on their risk tolerance ia
related to the lack of sound incentive mechanisms.
Moreover, Mr. Z, a successful entrepreneur backed by an FVC, stated that some
owners of earlier staged hi-tech projects are reluctant to ask for venture capital from
hierarchic DVCs. Asked whether he has any preferences in choosing VC when he was
looking for investments, the current CEO said that:
‘I have been in business for years before taking the current business, and I am
familiar with domestic institutions. It is normally very time consuming and uncertain
for they have incredibly complex procedures and system in decision making.
Sometimes you wait for a long time for a seemingly positive decision, but lose at
finally for unclear reasons…Hi-tech projects are those you cannot afford long time
waiting …losing time means losing money…So, at the very beginning I told myself to
contact foreign VCs, which only focus on the profitability of the investments. The fact
shows that I made a right decision while I gained the first round money in two months
and I have got the second round investments now…’
Concerning the technological intensity preference, there is a statistically
significant difference between the two groups in the choice of technology sectors (see
appendix 2-3). FLPVCs are significantly interested in IT/Electronic and
communication industry compared with DVCs, while DVCs’ investment in new
material /new energy and bio-tech/pharmacy are more than FLPVCs’.
We cannot measure the technological intensity of various hi-tech sectors and
their risk degree in this paper. However, intuitively, as a series of new business modes,
E-commerce and some other Internet services appears to be much riskier for there is
no prior-knowledge in this area, and the crash of ‘dot com bubble’ in 2000 also
evidenced the higher risks of certain IT sectors than of others. Even though we did
not break down IT industry into subgroups, interviews and case studies show that
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FLPVCs invest more in these riskier projects such as ICP and E-commerce than
DVCs. Asked about their technology preference, one interviewee said:
‘Well, everyone knows IT is a promising industry. But what I am concerned with
is that it is overestimated now in the investment market. You know, most of them are
just a concept, for example, the so called B to C (on-line Business to Customer
commercial mode) sounds like a good idea, but we are quite far away from that era
both from technical aspect and psychological aspects...no way… Investments in
hardware, software are sound, but, in Internet, one should be more cautious. So, we
prefer to invest in the IT industry, while we pay more attention to hardware, software
or some other facility manufacturing rather than ICP or E-commerce… (Dr. X----an
executive officer of a GVC).
From the interview transcripts, DVCs were more sensitive to certain riskier areas
in hi-tech fields, especially those sectors that are lack of prior knowledge and
experiments in business practices. This finding is consistent with Qian and Xu (1999).
DVCs’ portfolio companies in new material/new energy and bio-tech/pharmacy
are statistically more than FLPVCs’. New materials and energy are generally seen to
be more technologically intensive (Wang, 2002). However, it is hard to estimate the
risk taking capability of DVCs in technological intensity. Rather, it may be more
related to governmental policies. Recently, MoST cites a list of technology area as
priorities for development and commercialization: electronics and IT; biotechnology;
new materials; integration of optical, mechanical and electronic components; new
energy, high-efficiency energy, energy saving technology; and environmental
protection (Chen 2002). As we have stated in earlier sections, generally, such a
governmental policy has more influence on DVCs rather than FVCs. So, the choice of
GVCs in sectors of investments is not only determined by risk concerns but also
political considerations.
To summarize: according to both our statistical analysis and the follow-up
interviews and case studies, our findings support the first proposition, which presume
that there is a clear difference in risk tolerance between FLPVCs and DVCs while
Page 21 of 38
DVCs are of less risk taking than FLPVCs. This is consistent with Qian and Xu
(1999), Mayer (2002) and Wang (2002).
3. Difference between GVCs and CVCs
Our data show that no statistically significant difference between GVCs and
CVCs in investment stage preference. However, we can see that CVCs show more
interest in early staged projects and less interest in later staged projects comparing
with GVCs. (see appendix 3-1). This is consistent with our case studies (Case 1vs.
case 2 and case 3, appendix 5-1, 5-2, 5-3).
For the technological intensity preference, our data shows that there is also no
difference between the two groups in terms of choice of investing in hi-tech or
traditional sectors (see appendix 3-2. 3-3). Both of them show strong interest in hi-
tech industries with about 90% of projects in hi-tech sectors and only 10% projects
invested in traditional technology. Breaking down the hi-tech industries, there is also
no statistically significant difference between the two groups.
In short, with no significant difference in both stage preference and technological
intensity, the two groups do not show statistical divergence in risk tolerance. So, the
findings are not consistent with proposition 2 though it is worth noting that CVCs
show more interest in riskier projects than GVCs in the descriptive data and case
studies.
4. Difference between FLPVCs, CVCs and GVCs
Our data show that there is a statistically significant difference in later staged projects
investments among the three groups. FLPVCs, CVCs and GVCs are in ascending
order in later staged projects investments (See appendix 4-1). There is no statistically
significant difference among the three groups. However, FLPVCs is outstanding for
its greater interest in expansion stage with 37.27% of projects, which is 10% more
than for the two other groups in our descriptive data.
Again, there is no difference in technological intensity among the groups by
comparing their choice between hi-tech and traditional sectors. (See appendix 4-2).
However, they differ from each other in choice of sectors within hi-tech industries.
This is shown in IT/Electronic, new material/new energy and bio-tech/pharmacy
Page 22 of 38
industries. GVCs are most interested in new material/new energy and bio-
tech/pharmacy, while FLPVCs invest more in IT/Electronic industry. (See appendix
4-3)
To summarize, with significant difference in investment in later staged projects
and little difference in technological intensity preference, GVCs are less risk taking
while CVCs and FLPVCs are in ascending order. This is consistent with proposition
3. In addition, our findings show that each type of VCs has their own favourite
technological sectors.
5. Summary
Based on the statistical tests, case studies and interviews, China’s venture capital
market is found to be segmented by different types of VCs in terms of their risk taking
degree.
VCs with different degree of budget constraints show different investment
preference in terms of their financing stage and technological sectors. Segmentation
might be caused by many factors, such as external environments, incentive
mechanism, etc., and our study reveals that budget constraints have a strong effect on
risk tolerance of VCs. Our findings are consistent with Dewatripont & Maskin (1995)
and Qian & Xu (1999) by demonstrating that VCs under hierarchic structure with
softer budget constraints are less risk taking comparing with independent VCs under
decentralized structure with a harder budget constraints.
We cannot conclude that the degree of budget constraints has the single
determining impact on stage preference and technological choice based on our
premature tests, but, we propose that the findings of this research do imply that the
impact of budget constraints needs to be examined.
Section 6 Conclusion and implication
Page 23 of 38
By demonstrating the market segmentation of China’s venture capital industry in
terms of financing stages and technological sectors, this study has implications in both
policymaking and further research.
First, this study provides a brief view on China’s venture capital industry in
terms of investment choice of different VCs according to their different degree of
budget constraints. This provides some useful data for further comparative research.
In addition, the framework employed in this research could be extended to studies on
other aspects of financial intermediaries, for example, the relationship between budget
constraints and the financial contracting, monitoring activities. Further, studies would
appear to reveal differences of investment choice, contracting and the controlling
mode of the same financial institution under different institutional environments----
decentralized and centralized (e.g. FVC in China and in their own land).
Moreover, we suggest that our study has implications for policymaking. In recent
years, many developing nations have promoted venture capital industry to accelerate
commercialization of hi-technology and support newly established small hi-tech
firms. However, this research reveals that not all VCs are willing to nurture projects at
earlier stages. Therefore, we suggest that government could either adjust their policies
to encourage certain types of VCs, under different circumstance to change budget
constraints for some VCs.
Page 24 of 38
Appendix 1
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Appendix 2-1 Differences in financing stage between DVCs and FLPVCs
Descriptives
21 .5623 .17041 .03719 .4847 .6399 .25 .9135 .5944 .17925 .03030 .5329 .6560 .20 1.0056 .5824 .17513 .02340 .5355 .6293 .20 1.0021 .3727 .15781 .03444 .3009 .4445 .05 .6335 .2771 .15834 .02676 .2227 .3315 .00 .6056 .3130 .16351 .02185 .2692 .3567 .00 .6321 .0650 .08929 .01948 .0243 .1056 .00 .2535 .1285 .07468 .01262 .1028 .1541 .00 .2556 .1047 .08549 .01142 .0818 .1276 .00 .25
LPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotal
EARLY STAGES
EXPANSION STAGE
LATER STAGE
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
ANOVA
.014 1 .014 .437 .5111.673 54 .0311.687 55
.120 1 .120 4.798 .0331.350 54 .0251.470 55
.053 1 .053 8.181 .006
.349 54 .006
.402 55
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
EARLY STAGES
EXPANSION STAGE
LATER STAGE
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 28 of 38
Appendix 2-2 Differences in technological choice (traditional /hi-tech) between DVCs and FLPVCs
Descriptives
21 .1003 .16420 .03583 .0255 .1750 .00 .5935 .1056 .13214 .02234 .0602 .1510 .00 .5756 .1036 .14355 .01918 .0652 .1421 .00 .5921 .8997 .16420 .03583 .8250 .9745 .41 1.0035 .8944 .13214 .02234 .8490 .9398 .43 1.0056 .8964 .14355 .01918 .8579 .9348 .41 1.00
LPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotal
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
HI-TECH
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
ANOVA
.000 1 .000 .018 .8941.133 54 .0211.133 55
.000 1 .000 .018 .8941.133 54 .0211.133 55
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
HI-TECH
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 29 of 38
Appendix 2-3 Differences in hi-tech sector preference between DVCs and FLPVCs
Descriptives
21 .6378 .25784 .05627 .5204 .7552 .20 1.0035 .4533 .25212 .04262 .3667 .5399 .00 1.0056 .5225 .26757 .03576 .4508 .5941 .00 1.0021 .0268 .05439 .01187 .0020 .0516 .00 .1735 .1907 .16533 .02795 .1339 .2475 .00 .8056 .1293 .15616 .02087 .0874 .1711 .00 .8021 .0157 .04341 .00947 -.0040 .0355 .00 .1735 .0803 .10696 .01808 .0436 .1171 .00 .33
56 .0561 .09356 .01250 .0311 .0812 .00 .33
21 .1672 .15805 .03449 .0953 .2392 .00 .6035 .0831 .10667 .01803 .0465 .1198 .00 .4056 .1147 .13345 .01783 .0789 .1504 .00 .6021 .0521 .08254 .01801 .0146 .0897 .00 .2535 .0869 .12732 .02152 .0432 .1306 .00 .5056 .0739 .11308 .01511 .0436 .1042 .00 .5021 .1003 .16420 .03583 .0255 .1750 .00 .5935 .1056 .13214 .02234 .0602 .1510 .00 .5756 .1036 .14355 .01918 .0652 .1421 .00 .59
LPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotal
LPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotalLPFVCDVCTotal
IT & ELECTRONIC
BIO-TECH&PHARM
NEW MATERIAL &ENERGY
COMMUNICATION
OTHER HI-TECH
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
Page 30 of 38
ANOVA
.447 1 .447 6.913 .0113.491 54 .0653.938 55
.353 1 .353 19.267 .000
.989 54 .0181.341 55
.055 1 .055 6.933 .011
.427 54 .008
.481 55
.093 1 .093 5.660 .021
.887 54 .016
.979 55
.016 1 .016 1.246 .269
.687 54 .013
.703 55
.000 1 .000 .018 .8941.133 54 .0211.133 55
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
IT & ELECTRONIC
BIO-TECH&PHARM
NEW MATERIAL &ENERGY
COMMUNICATION
OTHER HI-TECH
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 31 of 38
Appendix 3-1 Differences in financing stage between GVCs and CVCs
Descriptives
17 .5693 .13565 .03290 .4995 .6390 .33 .8018 .6182 .21381 .05040 .5119 .7245 .20 1.0035 .5944 .17925 .03030 .5329 .6560 .20 1.0017 .2825 .15615 .03787 .2023 .3628 .00 .5018 .2720 .16473 .03883 .1900 .3539 .00 .6035 .2771 .15834 .02676 .2227 .3315 .00 .6017 .1482 .05158 .01251 .1216 .1747 .08 .2518 .1099 .08885 .02094 .0657 .1540 .00 .2535 .1285 .07468 .01262 .1028 .1541 .00 .25
2.003.00Total2.003.00Total2.003.00Total
EARLY STAGES
EXPANSION STAGE
LATER STAGE
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
ANOVA
.021 1 .021 .644 .4281.072 33 .0321.092 34
.001 1 .001 .038 .847
.851 33 .026
.852 34
.013 1 .013 2.395 .131
.177 33 .005
.190 34
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
EARLY STAGES
EXPANSION STAGE
LATER STAGE
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 32 of 38
Appendix 3-2 Differences in technological choice (traditional /hi-tech) between GVCs and CVCs
Descriptives
17 .1050 .10479 .02541 .0511 .1588 .00 .4218 .1063 .15680 .03696 .0283 .1843 .00 .5735 .1056 .13214 .02234 .0602 .1510 .00 .5717 .8950 .10479 .02541 .8412 .9489 .58 1.0018 .8937 .15680 .03696 .8157 .9717 .43 1.0035 .8944 .13214 .02234 .8490 .9398 .43 1.00
GVCCVCTotalGVCCVCTotal
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
HI-TECH
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
ANOVA
.000 1 .000 .001 .977
.594 33 .018
.594 34
.000 1 .000 .001 .977
.594 33 .018
.594 34
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
HI-TECH
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 33 of 38
Appendix 3-3 Differences in hi-tech sector preference between GVCs and CVCs
ANOVA
.077 1 .077 1.224 .2772.084 33 .0632.161 34
.014 1 .014 .501 .484
.915 33 .028
.929 34
.004 1 .004 .307 .583
.385 33 .012
.389 34
.003 1 .003 .263 .612
.384 33 .012
.387 34
.025 1 .025 1.596 .215
.526 33 .016
.551 34
.000 1 .000 .001 .977
.594 33 .018
.594 34
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
IT & ELECTRONIC
BIO-TECH&PHARM
NEW MATERIAL &ENERGY
COMMUNICATION
OTHER HI-TECH
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 34 of 38
Appendix 4-1 Differences in financing stage among FLPVCs, GVCs and CVCs
Descriptives
21 .5623 .17041 .03719 .4847 .6399 .25 .9117 .5693 .13565 .03290 .4995 .6390 .33 .8018 .6182 .21381 .05040 .5119 .7245 .20 1.0056 .5824 .17513 .02340 .5355 .6293 .20 1.0021 .3727 .15781 .03444 .3009 .4445 .05 .6317 .2825 .15615 .03787 .2023 .3628 .00 .5018 .2720 .16473 .03883 .1900 .3539 .00 .6056 .3130 .16351 .02185 .2692 .3567 .00 .6321 .0650 .08929 .01948 .0243 .1056 .00 .2517 .1482 .05158 .01251 .1216 .1747 .08 .2518 .1099 .08885 .02094 .0657 .1540 .00 .2556 .1047 .08549 .01142 .0818 .1276 .00 .25
LPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotal
EARLY STAGES
EXPANSION STAGE
LATER STAGE
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
ANOVA
.034 2 .017 .553 .5791.652 53 .0311.687 55
.121 2 .060 2.375 .1031.349 53 .0251.470 55
.066 2 .033 5.179 .009
.336 53 .006
.402 55
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
EARLY STAGES
EXPANSION STAGE
LATER STAGE
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 35 of 38
Appendix 4-2 Differences in technological choice (traditional /hi-tech) among FLPVCs, GVCs and CVCs
Descriptives
21 .1003 .16420 .03583 .0255 .1750 .00 .5917 .1050 .10479 .02541 .0511 .1588 .00 .4218 .1063 .15680 .03696 .0283 .1843 .00 .5756 .1036 .14355 .01918 .0652 .1421 .00 .5921 .8997 .16420 .03583 .8250 .9745 .41 1.0017 .8950 .10479 .02541 .8412 .9489 .58 1.0018 .8937 .15680 .03696 .8157 .9717 .43 1.0056 .8964 .14355 .01918 .8579 .9348 .41 1.00
LPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotal
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
HI-TECH
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
ANOVA
.000 2 .000 .009 .9911.133 53 .0211.133 55
.000 2 .000 .009 .9911.133 53 .0211.133 55
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
HI-TECH
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Page 36 of 38
Appendix 4-3 Differences in hi-tech sector preference among FLPVCs, GVCs and CVCs
Descriptives
21 .6378 .25784 .05627 .5204 .7552 .20 1.0017 .4049 .24715 .05994 .2778 .5320 .00 1.0018 .4989 .25513 .06013 .3721 .6258 .00 1.0056 .5225 .26757 .03576 .4508 .5941 .00 1.0021 .0268 .05439 .01187 .0020 .0516 .00 .1717 .2112 .13227 .03208 .1432 .2792 .00 .5018 .1714 .19335 .04557 .0752 .2675 .00 .8056 .1293 .15616 .02087 .0874 .1711 .00 .8021 .0157 .04341 .00947 -.0040 .0355 .00 .1717 .0907 .10618 .02575 .0362 .1453 .00 .3318 .0705 .10980 .02588 .0159 .1251 .00 .3356 .0561 .09356 .01250 .0311 .0812 .00 .3321 .1672 .15805 .03449 .0953 .2392 .00 .6017 .0735 .08977 .02177 .0273 .1196 .00 .2918 .0922 .12245 .02886 .0313 .1531 .00 .4056 .1147 .13345 .01783 .0789 .1504 .00 .6021 .0521 .08254 .01801 .0146 .0897 .00 .2517 .1146 .12424 .03013 .0508 .1785 .00 .4018 .0607 .12806 .03018 -.0030 .1244 .00 .5056 .0739 .11308 .01511 .0436 .1042 .00 .5021 .1003 .16420 .03583 .0255 .1750 .00 .5917 .1050 .10479 .02541 .0511 .1588 .00 .4218 .1063 .15680 .03696 .0283 .1843 .00 .5756 .1036 .14355 .01918 .0652 .1421 .00 .59
LPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotalLPFVCGVCCVCTotal
IT & ELECTRONIC
BIO-TECH&PHARM
NEW MATERIAL &ENERGY
COMMUNICATION
OTHER HI-TECH
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound
95% Confidence Interval forMean
Minimum Maximum
Page 37 of 38
ANOVA
.524 2 .262 4.070 .0233.413 53 .0643.938 55
.367 2 .183 9.968 .000
.975 53 .0181.341 55
.058 2 .029 3.656 .033
.423 53 .008
.481 55
.096 2 .048 2.879 .065
.883 53 .017
.979 55
.041 2 .021 1.653 .201
.662 53 .012
.703 55
.000 2 .000 .009 .9911.133 53 .0211.133 55
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
Between GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotalBetween GroupsWithin GroupsTotal
IT & ELECTRONIC
BIO-TECH&PHARM
NEW MATERIAL &ENERGY
COMMUNICATION
OTHER HI-TECH
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
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