Roadbook - Sappi Q1 FY18 Roadbook.pdf · Forward-looking statements and Regulation G. 2...
Transcript of Roadbook - Sappi Q1 FY18 Roadbook.pdf · Forward-looking statements and Regulation G. 2...
February 2018
Sappi Limited
Roadbook delivering on
strategy
2018
Vision2020
intentionalevolution
next phase
growth
1
Forward-looking statements and Regulation G
2
Forward-looking statementsCertain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions ofor indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives. The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “plan”, “assume”, “positioned”, “will”, “may”, “should”,“risk” and other similar expressions, which are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends and which do not relate to historical matters, identify forward-looking statements. In addition, thisdocument includes forward-looking statements relating to our potential exposure to various types of market risks, such as interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity price risk. Youshould not rely on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which are in some cases beyond our control and may cause our actualresults, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements (and from past results,performance or achievements). Certain factors that may cause such differences include but are not limited to:
The highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production capacity, production, input costs including rawmaterial, energy and employee costs, and pricing)
The impact on our business of adverse changes in global economic conditions Unanticipated production disruptions (including as a result of planned or unexpected power outages) Changes in environmental, tax and other laws and regulations Adverse changes in the markets for our products The emergence of new technologies and changes in consumer trends including increased preferences for digital media Consequences of our leverage, including as a result of adverse changes in credit markets that affect our ability to raise capital when needed Adverse changes in the political situation and economy in the countries in which we operate or the effect of governmental efforts to address present or future economic or social problems The impact of restructurings, investments, acquisitions, dispositions and other strategic initiatives (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs or other problems experienced in
connection with dispositions or with integrating acquisitions or implementing restructurings or other strategic initiatives, and achieving expected savings and synergies, and Currency fluctuations.
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or circumstances or otherwise.
Regulation G disclosureCertain non-GAAP financial information is contained in this presentation that management believe may be useful in comparing the company’s operating results from period to period. Reconciliation's ofcertain of the non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures can be found in the quarterly results booklet for the relevant period. These booklets are available on our website:https://www.sappi.com/quarterly-reports.
3
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
4
Sappi Limited
#2 Global producer of coated woodfree paper (47% of sales*)
Forecast: Capacity down 2%, demand down 2% through 2022**
Overview
#1 Global producer of dissolving wood pulp (20% of sales*)
Forecast: Demand up 7% and capacity up 7% through 2021***
* Data reflects FY’17 sales ** RISI WGPF Jan 2018 *** Hawkins Wright Sept 2017, excludes CLP, other non-wood pulps
5
Sappi at a glanceSappi Limited
2017 sales = US$5.2 billion with over 12,000 employees
Sappi Europe48% 2017 sales
Printing papers
Packaging and speciality papers
Sappi North America26% 2017 sales
Printing papers
Dissolving wood pulp
Packaging and speciality papers
Sappi Southern Africa26% 2017 sales
Printing and packaging papers
Dissolving wood pulp
Forests
Sappi Trading
6
Geographic diversificationOur global presence allows us take advantage of opportunities where markets are strong
North America1 Paper mill1 Speciality paper mill1 Paper and specialised
cellulose mill6 sales offices
Europe6 Paper mills1 Speciality paper mill18 Sales offices
Southern Africa2 Paper mills1 Specialised cellulose mill1 Paper and specialised cellulose mill1 Sawmill6 Sales offices492,000ha forests
7
Sales analysis
* Data reflects FY 2017
48%
26%
26%
Sales by source* (US$)
Europe North America
Southern Africa Asia and other 41%
23%
10%
26%
Sales by destination* (US$)
56%
20%
11%
7%5%
1%
Coated paper
Dissolving wood pulp
Speciality paper
Commodity paper
Uncoated paper
Other
Sales by product*
8
Sales analysis
* Data reflects results from Q3 FY17** RISI (August 2017)
59%18%
11%
6%5%
1%Sales by product* (US$)
Coated paper Dissolving wood pulpSpeciality paper Commodity paperUncoated paper Other
Q1 FY2018
Coated paper#2 Global producer of coated paperEBITDA margins ~8%Forecast** demand down 2%paForecast** capacity down 2%pa
Sales analysis
* Data reflects results from Q3 FY17** Hawkins Wright (March 2017)
59%18%
11%
6%5%
1%Sales by product* (US$)
Coated paper Dissolving wood pulpSpeciality paper Commodity paperUncoated paper Other
Q1 FY2018
Commodity paperEBITDA margins ~14%Demand up 3%
Speciality paperEBITDA margins ~14%Demand up 1%-5%
Dissolving wood pulp#1 Global producer Demand forecast** up 5%paEBITDA margins ~35% Capacity forecast** up 5%pa
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Major sensitivities
∆ EU NA SA Translation Group€m US$m ZARm US$m US$m
Net selling prices 1% 24 14 187 - 55DWP prices US$10 - 2 133 - 12Variable costs 1% 13 7 91 - 29Sales volume 1% 8 5 84 - 21Fixed costs 1% 6 4 47 - 14Paper pulp price US$10 6 2 11 - 9ZAR/US$ (weaker) 10c - - 82 -2 3EUR/US$ (weaker) 10c - -4 - -24 -28
Some of the more important factors which impact the group’s EBITDA excluding special items, based on current anticipated revenue and cost levels, are summarised below.
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Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
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Graphic and printing papers grade structure
Coated fine paper (CWF)
Uncoated woodfree (UWF)
Coated mechanical (CGW/LWC)
Supercalendered (SC-A)
Supercalendered (SC-B)
Machine finished specialities (MFS)
Improved newsprint
Newsprint
Fibr
e qu
ality
100% Chemical pulp fibre furnish
Increasing mechanical/recovered fibre content
Image quality
13
Global coated woodfree demand
* Source: RISI Aug 2017
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
North America Europe Far East Latin America Africa/ME Oceania
Forecast*
14
Dissolving wood pulp (DWP)o DWP is the most abundant natural organic polymer on earth and is found in all plant materialso The plant material (wood from certified forests or plantations) is processed and purified by
applying specialised chemistry to extract the cellulose polymers from the wood o The purified natural wood cellulose fibres are further dissolved by our customers and regenerated
or reformed for a host of applications
Cellulose45%
Hemi-cellulose30%
Lignin23%
Resins1% Inorganics
1%
15
Dissolving wood pulp End-uses
Dissolving wood pulp market
16
Viscose-grade DWP is used almost exclusively in textile applications
Source: Hawkins Wright; Fibre Year 2017; RISI ‘Dissolving Pulp Monitor’ (Jan 2017) and ‘Outlook for the Global Dissolving Pulp Market’.
OtherEurope Americas China
0.2
5.3
0.6
0.6
1.7
3.7
1.9
7.8
Market size 2016 Mtpa
CAGR 2010-16%
Viscose
Cellulose ethers and MCC
Cellulose acetate tow
Nitro-cellulose and other
Products (examples)
6.6 ~6-7Total
Rayon Grade
High-alpha/Speciality
DWP gradeDemand geography
Applications (examples)• Textiles (viscose)• Non-wovens• Cellophane• Sausage skins
• Construction• Food additives• Medicine fillers• Cosmetics
• Cigarette filters• Paints and coatings• Films• Plastics
• Explosives• Inks• Lacquers• Nail polish
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CompetitionTop 10 producers by grade, 2017
Source: Hawkins Wright, March 2017
18
Why dissolving wood pulp?Capitalising on MEGA-TRENDS
o Global population growth from a current 6.9bn to 8.3bn by 2030
o Increasing need for food and clothes
o Increasing need for more comfortable clothing
o Rising urbanisation and standard of living in the greater Asian region Asian middle class population is likely to grow from
current 1.9bn to 2.7bn people by 2030 Asian consumers are likely to spend US$32 trillion/year
by 2030, accounting for 43% of total global consumption
39%
70%
94%112%
26%
49%70%
85%
0%11%
20% 27% 32%
-5% -10% -14% -18%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Textile fibres Food Population Arable land
65.8 72
.5 86.8 10
0.7 11
3.3
123.
5
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Textile fibres consumptionMetric tons (millions)
19
There is still significant headroom to increase the level of cellulosic fibre blending in most sub-categories
Source: Expert interviews.
POLYESTER
Future Today Gap Today Future Gap Today Future Gap COTTON CELLULOSIC
Apparel
Home textile
Towels 5% 5% 0% 80% 75% -6% 15% 20% +33%
Bedding 45% 55% +22% 45% 40% -11% 1% 2% +100%
Denim 5% 5% 0 95% 95% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Shirts 35% 40% +14% 50% 40% -20% 15% 20% +33%
T-shirts 30% 50% +67% 70% 50% -29% 3% 5% 0%
Dresses 10% 10% 0% 35% 25% -29% 55% 65% +18%
Suits 35% 40% +14% 25% 20% -20% ~1% ~2% +100%
Sportswear 85% 85% 0% 0% 0% 0% 15% 15% 0%
Casual wear 45% 50% +11% 45% 35% -22% 10% 15% +50%
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Cellulose gap theoryDissolving wood pulp share of the textiles market is expected to grow further
o Production of cotton is forecast to remain stagnant or shrink
o Growth in total fibre consumption will be covered by man-made fibres
o However, certain moisture management properties of cellulose fibres cannot be substituted by oil-based synthetic fibres, enhancing opportunity for cellulosics
Fibre properties and applications
21
Cellulosic fibre properties are superior to cotton and polyester for many textile applications
Source: IHS Global, RISI, Hawkins Wright.
Key strength Qualifies Issue
ApparelHome textilesNonwovens/Technical textiles
Overall value proposition
Applications
Function and feel
Appearance
Sustainability
1762
21
6627
7
5220
28
Cellulosic fibres Cotton Polyester
• On a pure property basis, cellulosic fibres are superior to cotton and differentiated on sustainability.
• Polyester is differentiated on strength/durability versus cotton and cellulosic fibres.
• Natural and attractive, ‘greener’ alternative to cotton
• Natural, functional and well established
• Cheap, durable and versatile
Durability
Absorbency Breathability Softness
Drape Dyeability
Brightness/Lustre
Renewable and biodegradeable
Resource efficiency
22
Textile fibre prices*
* Source: CCF group.
800
1 200
1 600
2 000
2 400
2 800
Cotton 328 Cotton "A" Index PSF 1.4 D VSF 1.2 D VSF 1.5 D
US$
/ton
Global production sites
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Specialities and packaging
Alfeld Mill (Germany)
Flexible packaging, label, SBB board, topliner and release liner
Ehingen Mill (Germany)
Topliner – Fusion®
Somerset Mill (USA)
Label paper – LusterCote® and Flexpack paper – LusterPrint®
Tugela Mill (South Africa)
Liner – UltraTest® and Fluting – UltraFlute®
Maastricht Mill (The Netherlands)
Folding boxboard – atelier™
Cloquet Mill (USA)
Label paper – LusterCote®
Westbrook Mill (USA)
Casting and release paper – Ultracast® & different classic brands
Ngodwana Mill (South Africa)
Liner – KraftPride®
Global market sizes
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Specialities and packaging
Packaging boards48%
Printing and writing27%
Speciality papers
7%
Tissue8%
Newsprint10%
25mtpa
Specialities
• Pressure sensitive and wet adhesive applications, graphic art, outdoor applications
Label & self-adhesives
• Large format inkjet printing for home/personal textiles
Digital Imaging
• Limits oxygen, grease or water, prevents corrosion, fire
Functional/Barrier papers
• Embossing tactile patterns onto other surfaces for fashion industry, car upholstery, etc.
Casting Release papers
25
Specialities and packaging
Demand for specialitiespapers is growing:o Consumer Preferenceo Innovation and
customization o Lighter weighto Recyclableo Sustainable
Packaging
• Consumer packaging, shelf-ready packaging, transport for agricultural and industrial uses
Containerboard, liners and fluting
• Luxury goods with graphic applications such as perfumes, premium beverages
Paperboard
• Food or non-food applications such as sachets, pouches and wrappers
Flexible packaging
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Specialities and packaging
Demand for paper-basedpackaging is growing:o Consumer Preferenceo Environmentally friendlyo Recyclableo Sustainable
Cham acquisition Cham Paper (2 Italian mills combined
capacity 150 k t.p.a) Complementary products to the existing Sappi
Europe portfolio Products include:
Coated one sided (for flexible packaging) food, non-food and tobacco
Industrial release (glassine paper) for the automotive and construction industries
Digital imaging (sublimation papers for digital textile printing)
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Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
Maintaina healthybalancesheet
Rationalisedeclining
businesses
Accelerate growth in
higher margin growth
segments
Achievecost
advantages
Improveoperational
and machineefficiencies
Maximiseprocurement
benefits Optimisebusiness
processes
Continuouslybalance
paper supplyand demandin all regions
Wherepossible
convert papermachines tohigher marginbusinesses
Optimiseworkingcapital
Strongcash
generationSmart
financing
Expandpaper
packaginggrades
Enhancespecialised celluloseportfolio
Extractvalue from our
biorefinerystream
Our group strategy
29
At Sappi we do business with integrity and courage; making smart decisions which we execute with speed.Our values are underpinned by an unrelenting focus on and commitment to safety.
Achievecost
advantages
Improveoperational
and machine efficiencies
Maximiseprocurement
benefitsOptimisebusiness
processes
Our group strategy
30
We work to lower fixed and variable costs, increase cost efficiencies and invest for cost advantages. Group efficiency and procurement initiatives
US$60m target for 2018. Ongoing continuous improvement across all mills. US$50m investment in Saiccor Mill woodyard. €30m upgrade to Gratkorn PM9
Rationalisedeclining
businesses
Continuouslybalance
paper supplyand demand in all regions
Wherepossible
convert paper machines tohigher margin
businesses
Our group strategy
31
Recognising the decreasing demand for graphic paper, we manage our capacity to strengthen our leadership position in these markets, realising their strategic importance to the group and maximising their significant cash flow generation. Progressive transition of Lanaken Mill out of LWC. Reduced CWF exposure at Maastricht Mill, Ehingen
Mill and Somerset Mill PM1. Conversion of Somerset PM1 and Maastricht Mill
Maintaina healthybalancesheet
Optimiseworkingcapital
Strongcash
generationSmart
financing
Our group strategy
32
Maintain leverage below 2x Net debt:EBITDA US$400m 2017 bonds called in April 2017. US$21m in net finance cost savings/annum.
Refinancing and debt reduction leads to lower finance cost - US$60-70m/annum going forward - and EPS growth.
Accelerate growth in
higher margin growth
segments
Extractvalue from our
biorefinerystream
Enhancespecialisedcelluloseportfolio
Expandpaper
packaginggrades
Our group strategy
33
We will make investments in existing and adjacent areas with strong potential growth. Debottlenecking of Saiccor, Cloquet and Ngodwana
DWP. Investments in Speciality packaging incl. Rockwell
and Cham Paper Additional packaging at Ngodwana and Tugela Mills. Securing additional HW timber supply. Biomaterials, bio-chemicals – lignins, sugars. Expansion of Saiccor by 110kt/annum
Accelerate growth in
higher margin growth
segments
Extractvalue from our
biorefinerystream
Enhancespecialisedcelluloseportfolio
Expandpaper
packaginggrades
Debottlenecking Saiccor – 10kt complete April 2018 Ngodwana – 50kt complete September 2018 Cloquet – 30kt complete Q3 2019
additional 70kt swing capacity available
Expansion Saiccor – 110kt ≈Q3 2020 subject to positive EIA
External Paper pulp prices impacting valuations and returns
DWP expansion plans
34
35
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
Highlights
EBITDA ex-special items: US$172m (Q1 FY17: US$181m like-for-like)
Profit for the period: US$63m (Q1 FY17: US$90m)
EPS ex-special items: 14 US cents (Q1 FY17: 16 US cents)
Net debt: US$1,349m (Q1 FY17: US$1,338)
Q1 FY18
36
EBITDA and operating profitExcluding special items*
37
* Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 18 in our Q1 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.
175
201
172
112
136
105
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
US$
milli
on
EBITDA Operating profit
Key ratios Q1 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
Net debt/LTM EBITDA 2.6 1.7 1.8
Interest cover 5.1 7.7 9.9
EBITDA % 13.6 15.4 12.9
ROCE % 16.2 19.5 13.5
EBITDA bridge*Q1 FY17 to Q1 FY18
38
All variances calculated excluding Sappi Forests.'Exchange rate' reflects the impact of changes in the average rates of translation of foreign currency results.* Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 18 in our Q1 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.
201
12
9
8
6 33
172
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
EBITDAQ1 FY17
Sales volume Price and mix Variable anddelivery costs
Fixed costs Other Exchange rate EBITDAQ1 FY18
US$
milli
on Sales revenue
Product contribution split - LTM
39
* Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 18 in our Q1 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items. Data above excludes treasury operations and insurance captive.
49%
16%
35%SpecialisedCellulosePackaging &SpecialitiesPrinting papers
63%16%
21%
EBITDA excluding special items Operating profit excluding special items
Maturity profileFiscal years
40
618
7025 26 39 38
553
433
57
221
390
4093
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2032
US$
milli
on
Cash Short-term SPH term debt Securitisation SSA
EUR450m bond
EUR350m bond
US$221m bond
Capex development
41
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E
US$
milli
on
Maintenance Efficiency and expansion
Saiccor expansion capex subject to EIA approval
42
Net debt/EBITDA development
* EBITDA is excluding special items.** The covenant Net debt/LTM EBITDA calculation has adjustments and therefore differs from that shown above.
238
0
224
8
228
6
194
6 204
0
191
6
191
7
177
1
173
4
165
2
1583
1408
1338
1329
1318
1322 1349
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2 200
2 400
2 600
Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 Q3 FY14 Q4 FY14 Q1 FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 FY15 Q4 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q2 FY16 Q3 FY16 Q4 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
US$
milli
on
Net debt Net debt/LTM EBITDA**
1.78
4.6
43
Highlights – five year review
44
Highlights – five year review
Cash flow
45
US$m Q1 FY18 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY17Cash generated from operations 162 204 202Movement in working capital (83) 103 (97)
Net finance costs paid (6) (20) (17)
Taxation refund (paid) 6 (38) (34)
Dividend paid - - -
Cash generated from operating activities 79 249 54Cash utilised in investing activities (93) (208) (37)Capital expenditure (88) (197) (37)
Net proceeds on disposal of assets - 1 2
Acquisition of subsidiary - (11) -
Other movements (5) (1) (2)
Net cash generated (utilised) (14) 41 17
Excluding special items reconciliation to reported operating profit
46
EBITDA and operating profit
* Refer to page 18 in our Q1 FY18 results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.
US$m Q1 FY18 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY17
EBITDA excluding special items* 172 221 201Depreciation and amortisation (67) (69) (65)
Operating profit excluding special items* 105 152 136
Special items* - gains (losses) 11 (1) 7
Plantation price fair value adjustment 16 7 11
Profit on disposal of assets - (2) -
Asset impairments - (6) -
Fire, flood, storm and other events (5) - (4)
Segment operating profit 116 151 143
47
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
Sappi Europe
48
Divisional overview
Leading European coated paper producer FY17 Net sales: US$2.5b FY17 EBITDA: US$262m 3.5m tons per annum of paper capacity 1.1m tons per annum of pulp capacity (integrated) Well-invested assets in the heart of the European market
Sappi Europe
49
Divisional overview
Coated woodfree paper2 000
Uncoated woodfree paper245
Coated mechanical paper1 015
Speciality paper245
Sappi Europe saleable capacity (‘000tpa) European CWF and CM capacity shares**
Sappi
UPM
Lecta
Stora Enso
Burgo
Others*
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
CWF
UPM
Sappi
Burgo
Leipa
Others*
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
CM
* 22 producers * Nine producers
Western Europe
50
Coated paper deliveries and prices
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
Q1
08
Q1
09
Q1
10
Q1
11
Q1
12
Q1
13
Q1
14
Q1
15
Q1
16
Q1
17
CWF Demand MCR Demand CWF 100gsm Sheets LWC 60gsm offset reels
Western Europe shipments including export.Source: Cepifine, Cepiprint and RISI indexed to calendar 1Q 2008.
Solid performance, strong export volumes and price realisation on local graphics sales Input costs continue to rise, particularly paper pulp and latex Specialities volumes up 9% (normalised) Variable and fixed costs were both 2% higher.
51
Sappi Europe
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
Eur
mill
ion
EBITDA* EBITDA Margin*
* EBITDA and EBITDA margin shown exclude special items. Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 18 in our Q1 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.
600
700
800
900
Jan-
17
Feb-
17
Mar
-17
Apr
-17
May
-17
Jun-
17
Jul-1
7
Aug
-17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
Nov
-17
Dec
-17
Jan-
18
Feb-
18
BHKP Europe (EUR) CWF-S 100g, Germany
Alfeld MillSpeciality conversion (December 2013)
Gratkorn and Kirkniemi MillsPulp mill and paper machine upgrades, power plant rebuild
Nanocellulose pilot plant (The Netherlands)Trial runs
Maastricht, Ehingen, Alfeld and Lanaken Mills ProjectsExpanding our speciality packaging offering, increasing asset flexibility to adapt to market
dynamics
Sappi Europe
52
Projects
Sappi Europe
53
Summary
o Highly competitive in service, quality and cost in Europeo Strong cash flowso Highly attractive and growing specialities business
o Flagship Alfeld Mill, plus Maastricht and Ehingen Mills
o Printing and writing paper market is in decline, capacity needs to be right-sizedo Intentionally transitioning CWF capacity to niche speciality paper products
54
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
Sappi North America
55
Divisional overview
Leading North American coated freesheet paper producero FY17 Net sales: US$1.3bo FY17 EBITDA: US$126mo 1.1m tons per annum of coated paper
capacityo 700,000 tons per annum of integrated
paper pulp capacityo World’s only integrated DWP/paper mill
Sappi North America
56
Divisional overview
Coated freesheet paper1 120
Dissolving wood pulp330
Speciality paper40
NBHK30
Verso57%
Sappi37%
Catalyst6%
US Coated freesheet capacity shares*Sappi North America saleable capacity (‘000tpa)
Source: RISI
United States of America
57
Coated paper prices and shipments
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
Q1
08
Q1
09
Q1
10
Q1
11
Q1
12
Q1
13
Q1
14
Q1
15
Q1
16
Q1
17
Domestic CWF shipments Domestic CWF purchases RISI price CFS #3 60lb rollsUS industry purchases defined as industry shipments, plus imports, less exports.Source: AF&PA and RISI indexed to calendar Q1 FY08.
Sappi North America
58
Projects
Cloquet MillDissolving wood pulp conversion (2013), lime kiln rebuild
Westbrook MillCoater modernisation
Somerset MillNatural gas conversionWoodyard and chip processing investmentPM1 Conversion to speciality packaging
By end-user segment
59
Sappi’s release paper business
Fashion Automotive and commercial upholstery Decorative laminates Engineering films and
other
Sappi Sappi Sappi
Sappi
Sappi Other
Volumes were lower on production challenges and ongoing capital projects at Somerset. Average realised coated paper prices rose, more expected in coming quarter Increased DWP sales volumes, lower pricing however Extended shut for woodyard and PM1 conversion – additional US$6m impact in the quarter
60
Sappi North America
* EBITDA and EBITDA margin shown exclude special items. Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 18 in our Q1 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.** Source: RISI
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
0
10
20
30
40
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
US
$ m
illio
n
EBITDA* EBITDA Margin*
800
820
840
860
880
900
920No 3 Coated freesheet - 60 lb (90g) rolls US$/ton - US East**
Sappi North America
61
Summary
o Well-invested, premier asset portfolioo Established brands with strong market position
o Exposure to most attractive end-market segmento Unmatched reputation for product innovation and customer service
o A low-cost producer with strong free cash flow profileo Defined and focused opportunities for driving further profitable growtho Intentionally transitioning CWF capacity to niche speciality paper products
62
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
Sappi Southern Africa
63
Divisional overview
o Leading South African graphic and packaging paper producer
o FY17 Net sales: US$1.37bo FY17 EBITDA: US$396o 1m tons per annum of dissolving wood pulp
(DWP) capacityo 675,000 tons per annum of graphic and
packaging paper productiono 652,000 tons per annum of pulp production
(integrated)
Sappi Southern Africa
64
Divisional overview
Forestry1 046
Dissolving wood pulp
1 010
Paper and paper packaging
675
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Global dissolving wood pulp demand (‘000k Metric tons)*
Forecast
* Source: Hawkins Wright, Sept. 2017
Sappi Southern Africa
65
Projects
Ngodwana MillDissolving wood pulp (DWP) conversion
Sale of Cape Kraft and Enstra Mills’ recycled packaging business
Debottleneck Tugela, Saiccor and Ngodwana pulp millso ~ 10% increase in volumes in both packaging and dissolving wood pulp
Increase access to more HW timber supply
66
Our DWP competitive advantageSappi Southern Africa
o Low-cost and fast-growing woodfibre from state-of-the-art plantationso Large-scale, modern and well-invested assetso Favourable currency trendo Well-positioned in dynamic market
Strong packaging paper demand Increased sales volumes and pricing for newsprint and office papers. Realised US$ prices for DWP were lower and ZAR strength impacted margins - spot prices have
risen since quarter-end. Costs well controlled, higher energy costs offset by reduced fiber usage.
67
Sappi Southern Africa
* EBITDA and EBITDA margin shown exclude special items. Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 18 in our Q1 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.** Source: CCF
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Q1 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
ZAR
mill
ion
EBITDA* EBITDA Margin*
775.00
800.00
825.00
850.00
875.00
900.00
925.00
950.00
975.00
1000.00China market price – Hardwood DWP (US$/ton)**
Sappi Southern Africa
68
Summary
Improving paper business Better use of timber Improving cost position Product and asset optimisation – printing and packaging papers
Investing in dissolving wood pulp Low-cost producer Fast-growing market Excellent customer relationships
'Growing' our forestry assets Profitable with growth opportunities
69
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
70
Sustainability – PPP + IIRC
International Integrated Reporting Council’s ‘6 Capitals Model’1. Financial2. Manufactured3. Intellectual4. Human5. Social6. Natural
71
Sustainability
#1 – Financial capitalWe manage our financial capital, including shareholder equity,debt and reinvested capital to maintain a solid balance betweengrowth, profitability and liquidity.#2 – Manufactured CapitalInvesting in building, maintaining, operating, and improving thisinfrastructure requires significant financial capital, together withhuman and intellectual capital.#3 – Intellectual CapitalOur technology centres and R&D initiatives promote a culture ofinnovation to support the development of commercially andenvironmentally sustainable solutions for the company.
Inputs:• Total assets US$5.2B• 15 manufacturing sites worldwide• Technology centres in each region• R&D spend = US$29.5m
Outputs:• 6.4mt of saleable production• Dividends up by 36%• Nanocellulose pilot plant• Launched sugar extraction pilot plant
72
Sustainability
#4 – Human capitalBy creating a safe and healthy workplace for our people in whichdiversity is encouraged and valued, and providing them with ongoing development opportunities, we enhance productivity and our ability to service global markets.#5 – Social capitalBuilding relationships with our key stakeholders in a spirit of trust and mutual respect enhances both our license to trade and ourcompetitive advantage, thereby enabling shared value creation.
Inputs:• 12,158 employees, 851 contractors• CSR spend US$5.3m• Ongoing stakeholder engagement
Outputs:• 0.44 LTIFR – 0.46 in FY2016• 62% training spend allocated toward skills
development, 38% to compliance
73
Sustainability
#6 – Natural CapitalRecognising our business depends on natural capital, we focus on managing and mitigating our impacts.
Inputs:• 2,734MW energy purchased, 1,893 generated• Specific water process extracted 33.7m3/adt• 479kha owned or leased plantations, with
approximately 27.4mt of standing timber• Contracted supply covers a further almost 92kha
Outputs:• 92% of water drawn returned to the environment• 45.2% renewable energy, of which 73.6% own black
liquor• 73.5% of fibre used is certified• 1,515,014 tons of waste, of which 465,395 tons sent
to landfill
74
Agenda
Overviewo Productso Strategyo Results
Divisionso Sappi Europeo Sappi North Americao Sappi Southern Africa
Sustainability Conclusions
75
Conclusionso Through intentional evolution, we are growing Sappi into a profitable and cash-
generative diversified woodfibre group.o Selective capital spending in adjacent, growing, and more profitable businesseso Costs remain a chief concerno Cash-generative paper business will fund growth in:
o Cellulose-based solutionso Speciality packaging paperso Complementary products
o Committed to accelerating value for shareholders through:o Debt reductiono Improved profito Strategic positioning
76
Supplementary information
77
Pulp prices*
* Source: FOEX, CCF group.
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
US$
/ton
NBSK Europe BHKP Europe Commodity DWP Cotton linter pulp
Thank you
78